Free MLB Picks For Today 9/17/2023
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Rays at Orioles—Zack Littell to start for Tampa Bay. Littell in 25 appearances in 2023 carries an ERA of 4.25 and WHIP of 1.16. The righthander is striking out 19.8% with 2.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.7% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. Dean Kremer will start for Baltimore. Kremer has 29 starts with an ERA of 4.25 and WHIP of 1.32. The fourth year righty strikes out 20.9% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.2% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. Kremer in his past start allowed five earned runs with four walks in 4 1/3rd innings against the Cardinals. Littell past two starts allowed four earned runs in fifteen innings. Rays bullpen has allowed one earned run in their past ten games. Tampa Bay past seven games hitting .274 and the Orioles at .227. Kremer at home an ERA of 4.78. Play Tampa Bay +109.
New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Yankees at Pirates—Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon has eleven starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 6.14 and WHIP of 1.42. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 22% with 11% walks. Ground balls come in at 26% with 2.28 home runs per nine innings. Andre Jackson gets the start for Pittsburgh. Jackson has fifteen appearances dealing an ERA of 5.51 and WHIP of 1.24. The righthander fans 21.5% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.7% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. New York has won six of seven. Rodon has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. He faced the Pirates twice last season allowing two earned runs over fourteen innings. Jackson in his past two starts allowed ten earned runs in 8 1/3rd innings. Play New York.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta appeared in 35 games deals an ERA of 4.56 and WHIP of 1.22. The veteran righthander had an elite strikeout rate of 31% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.9% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. Hyun Jin Ryu to start for Toronto. Ryu has eight starts with an ERA of 2.93 and WHIP of 1.05. The lefthander strikes out 20.4% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.3% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Pivetta in his past three starts allowed ten earned runs in 14 1/3rd innings. Ryu has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Team record behind Pivetta 10-30 on the road against winning teams with a -17.6 unit loss. Red Sox -22.7 units in divisional games past two seasons. Play Toronto -130.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Reds at Mets—Brandon Williamson to start for Cincinnati. Williamson has 20 starts in the year producing an ERA of 4.47 and WHIP of 1.28. The lefthander is fanning 21.2% with 8.2% walks. Grounders sit at 36.8% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. Jose Quintana to start for New York. Quintana in ten starts an ERA of 3.05 and WHIP of 1.27. The veteran lefty has a K rate of 17.8% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 40% with minimal home run damage. The Reds have won five of six. Quintana has allowed three earned runs in his past three starts working 18 innings. Williamson has been roughed up of late allowing ten runs in his past two starts working ten innings. Red’s bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 2.65 and Mets at 6.67. Cincinnati is 12-2 against losing teams past fourteen with a +11.5 unit return. New York 14-30 facing left-handed starters with a -24.6 unit loss. Play Cincinnati +119.
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Rangers at Guardians—Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez in 31 appearances in 2023 delivers an ERA of 4.71 and WHIP of 1.46. The twelve-year lefthander strikes out 14.7% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.1% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Gavin Williams to start for Cleveland. Williams has fifteen starts with an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP of 1.28. The righty fans 23.1% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.9% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Perez on the road this year an ERA of 6.02 with WHIP of 1.70. Williams in the better current form. Guardians’ bullpen at home an ERA of 3.20. Rangers’ bullpen has been an issue season long. Play Cleveland.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Braves at Marlins—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in 28 starts carries an ERA of 3.42 and WHIP of 1.40. The sixteen year veteran fans 25.8% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.3% with limited home run damage. Jesus Luzardo will start for Miami. Luzardo has 29 starts with an ERA of 3.82 and WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander is striking out 27.8% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.1% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Morton in his last start allowed four earned runs with four walks to the Phillies. Luzardo was tagged for six earned runs and four walks in his last start against the Brewers. Both bullpens have been pounded over the past ten games. Atlanta is 30-19 to the over facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse. Braves are batting .289 against lefthanders and putting up 6 runs per game. Play Atlanta and Miami over 8.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Nationals at Brewers—Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin has 29 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 5.13 and WHIP of 1.48. The twelve-year lefthander a strikeout mark of 16.4% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.9% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. Brandson Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in nine starts with an ERA of 1.93 and WHIP of 0.79. The righthander strikes out 29.7% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.4% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.52 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Corbin the past three starts allowed sixteen earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings. Woodruff has allowed three earned runs in his past four starts working 28 innings. Woodruff 21-11 to the run line when pitching on 5-6 days of rest. Past seven games Nationals hitting .208. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Astros at Royals—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in 28 starts on the year carries an ERA of 3.32 and WHIP of 1.10. The sixth-year lefthander has a K rate of 24.3% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 54.3% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Lyles to start for Kansas City. Lyles has 28 starts with an ERA of 6.44 and WHIP of 1.28. The righthander fans 15.8% with 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.7% with 2.02 home runs per nine innings. Astros have lost four of five with two losses to the Royals and Athletics. Valdez past four starts allowed six earned runs in 27 innings. Lyles past two starts allowed ten earned runs in 10 1/3rd innings. Lyles 11-4 to the over against winning teams this season. Play Houston and Kansas City over 9.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Twins at White Sox—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray at 29 starts on the campaign and produces an ERA of 2.96 and WHIP of 1.19. The eleven-year veteran is fanning 23.9% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls delivered at 47.7% with limited home run damage. Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has 30 starts with an ERA of 4.87 and WHIP of 1.46. The righthander strikes out 26.9% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 37% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.89 signals a possible drop in ERA should form hold. Chicago pitching has allowed 44 runs past five games. Gray has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Cease past five starts allowed 25 runs in 25 2/3rd innings. Twins’ bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.50. Chicago past seven games hitting .201. Play Minnesota -146.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Phillies at Cardinals—Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker has 28 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP of 1.33. The eleven-year veteran is striking out 19.7% with 10% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.1% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Dakota Hudson to start for St Louis. Hudson appeared in fifteen games with an ERA of 5.10 and WHIP of 1.44. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 13% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls are 52.3% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Phillies have won seven straight against the Cardinals. Walker has been roughed up four 19 runs in his past five starts in 26 innings. Hudson has been hammered for 18 earned runs in his past four starts working 22 innings. Walker is 13-2 facing losing teams this year with a +10 unit return. Play Philadelphia -128.
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Giants at Rockies—Sean Manaea to start for San Francisco. Manaea appeared in 34 games on the year with an ERA of 4.80 and WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 26.9% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.3% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Chris Flexen to start for Colorado. Flexen has 26 appearances with an ERA of 7.22 and WHIP of 1.76. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 16.4% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls settle in at 40.3% with 2.41 home runs per nine innings. Rockies have won five of six on this home stand all as huge underdogs. San Francisco -11.4 units as a favorite of -150 or greater. Team record behind Manaea 4-13 on the road with a -13.2 unit loss. Rockies +13.6 units as a home underdog of +100 or greater this year. Flexen has allowed four earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Manaea on the road an ERA of 10.1 and WHIP of 2.62. Play Colorado +147.
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Tigers at Angels—Joey Wentz to start for Detroit. Wentz appeared in 22 games on the season deals an ERA of 6.65 and WHIP of 1.69. The second year righthander strikes out 19.3% with 9.9% walks. Grounders hit at 36.7% with 2.02 home runs per nine innings. Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers has 26 starts with an ERA of 4.77 and WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander fans 25.8% with 9.1% walks. Grounders served at 35.8% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Tigers have won five of seven. Past ten games Angels bullpen an ERA of 4.58 and hitting .219. Wentz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Tigers hitting and bullpen form better than the Angels right now. Play Detroit.
San Diego Padres vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Padres at Athletics—Pedro Avila to start for San Diego. Avila has 11 appearances on the campaign producing an ERA of 3.63 and WHIP of 1.49. The righthander a strikeout mark of 22.5% with 12.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 55.6% with limited home run damage. Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk in 32 appearances an ERA of 5.14 and WHIP of 1.56. The lefthander is striking out 21.1% with 11.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.4% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. Avila has been hammered for eighteen runs in his past four starts working 16 2/3rd innings. Waldichuk has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. San Diego -15 units facing losing teams this season. Avila an ERA of 10.64 and WHIP of 2.18 in his road games. Play Oakland +150.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Dodgers at Mariners—Gavin Stone will start for Los Angeles. Stone in six appearances in 2023 posts an ERA of 10.80 and WHIP of 2.19. The rookie righthander is fanning 9.9% with 7.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.3% with 2.31 home runs per nine innings. Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has 29 starts with an ERA of 3.62 and WHIP of 1.06. The third year righty has 25.2% strikeouts with 4.4% walks. Grounders were booked at 40.8% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Gilbert has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Stone in his road games allowed twelve earned runs in six innings. Gilbert at home a WHIP of 1.01. After clinching the NL West the Dodgers could have a letdown in this spot and even rest starters. Play Seattle.
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/17/2023
Cubs at Diamondbacks—Jordan Wicks to start for Chicago. Wicks in four starts produces an ERA of 1.99 and WHIP of 1.06. The rookie lefthander is fanning 16.9% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.5% with limited home run damage. Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson has 26 starts with an ERA of 5.53 and WHIP of 1.44. The righthander a strikeout mark of 15.1% with 7% walks. Grounders served at 37% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. Chicago has lost seven of nine with five of those losses coming to the Diamondbacks. Wicks has allowed one earned run in three of four starts. Team record 4-0 in those games. Nelson has been hammered for nineteen earned runs in his past four starts working 16 innings. Arizona is hitting .234 past ten games. Nelson at home an ERA of 8.59 and WHIP of 1.95. Play Chicago -113.