New Mexico State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos 9-16-2023

New Mexico State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobos 9/16/23 NCAAF Week 3 Tips, Picks, and Analysis

New Mexico State Aggies (1-2) vs. New Mexico Lobos (1-1)


New Mexico State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobos 9/16/23 – The New Mexico State Aggies, currently holding a 1-2 record, are gearing up to face off against the New Mexico Lobos, who sit at 1-1. Set to unfold on Saturday, September 16, 2023, at 8:00 PM ET, this NCAAF Week 3 matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter. The venue is the University Stadium, and the game will be televised on MWN.


The Aggies have shown plenty of shine this season. Starting with Monte Watkins at running back, who has been an incredible force on the ground. With only 11 attempts, Watkins has amassed 161 yards – an outstanding 14.6 average per carry! Furthermore, two touchdowns have made him an extremely valuable member of the Aggies’ backfield. On the receiving side, Jonathan Brady has been an impressive force. Snagging seven receptions for 143 yards at an average of 20.4 per reception and scoring one touchdown as an anchor of his offense, his presence is undeniable in any matchup.


Jacory Croskey-Merritt has been an outstanding running back for the Lobos. His 23 rushing attempts netted 212 yards – an average of 9.2 yards per carry! His stats are impressive. Croskey-Merritt has also found success finding the end zone, scoring four rushing touchdowns thus far. His ability to both rack up yards and score could prove pivotal in this matchup. Duece Jones has also excelled for Lobos in wide receiver duties. Jones has amassed an impressive 94 receiving yards on just two receptions despite their small number, boasting an astounding 47 yards per catch average and one touchdown score. Jones may play an instrumental role in stretching the Aggies’ defense further. If you’re looking for the free expert NCAAF picks, consider their matchups carefully.


New Mexico State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobos Game Info


When: Saturday, September 16, 2023, at 8:00 PM ET
Where: University Stadium
Stream: Sofascore


Diego Pavia QB vs. Dylan Hopkins QB


Diego Pavia, the Aggies’ quarterback, has been putting up respectable numbers despite some inconsistencies. His completion rate stands at 64.7%, converting 44 of his 68 attempts into 715 yards. While these statistics are solid, Pavia has also thrown 4 interceptions, indicating room for improvement in decision-making. Furthermore, he’s been sacked six times, losing 46 yards in the process. His big-play ability is evident with an 80-yard longest pass, but he needs to work on his pocket presence and decision-making under duress for the Aggies to triumph.


Dylan Hopkins, for the Lobos, has completed 28 out of 41 passes, accumulating 388 yards in the air. His completion rate of 68.3% and a passer rating close to Pavia’s at 170.2 indicate a quarterback who is efficient and effective. However, like Pavia, Hopkins has areas to improve; he’s thrown two interceptions and been sacked twice. Hopkins has shown the capacity to be a game-manager and also to make big plays when needed, including a long pass of 78 yards.


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: New Mexico Lobos -145, Total Odds: 51.5


Betting markets have the Lobos as marginal favorites, evidenced by their -145 moneyline and -2.5 point spread. The total points are set at 51.5, which might seem inviting given the offensive firepower on both sides.


New Mexico State Betting Trends


New Mexico State has generally been favorable for bettors, boasting a 7-3 ATS record in their last ten games. The Aggies have also had a tendency to be part of high-scoring affairs, with the total going over in 6 of their last 8 games. Despite their positive ATS stats, their straight-up record reveals a more balanced picture. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 matchups against the Lobos but only 3-7 straight-up. Their 2-18 record in their last 20 road games is a red flag for potential backers.


New Mexico Betting Trends


The Lobos have not been kind to bettors recently, logging a dismal 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games. Despite their poor ATS record, they have a trend of being in high-scoring games, with the total going over in 4 of their last 5 games. Their 1-10 straight-up record in their last 11 contests doesn’t inspire confidence, but they have a silver lining with the total going over in 5 of their last 6 home games.


New Mexico State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobos 9/16/23 Betting Picks


Both teams have shown their offensive capabilities, making this an open contest. Based on performance, betting trends, and home advantage, the Lobos are slight favorites. However, given the Aggies’ impressive ATS record against the Lobos, betting on them to cover the spread could be a wise decision. The over/under is set at 51.5, and considering the offensive stats, taking the over could be another good bet. For more insights and potential betting opportunities, you can also explore some free sports picks.


Free Pick and Prediction: New Mexico 30, New Mexico State 27.



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