Free MLB Picks For Today 9/16/2023
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San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Giants at Rockies Game 1—Ross Stripling to start for San Francisco in Game 1. Stripling has 19 appearances with an ERA of 5.29 and WHIP of 1.30. The veteran fans 18.4% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls served at 44.4% with 2.30 home runs per nine innings. Peter Lambert to start for Colorado. Lambert appeared in 25 games dealing an ERA of 5.36 and WHIP of 1.39. The righthander strikes out 18.9% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.7% with 1.85 home runs per nine innings. San Francisco -18 units past two seasons as a favorite of -150 or greater. Rockies +10.5 units as a home underdog of +100 or higher this year. Lambert in his four home starts has a WHIP of 1.19. Play Colorado +205.
Giants at Rockies Game 2—Keaton Winn to start for San Francisco. Winn appeared in seven games on the year producing an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP of 1.00. The rookie righthander is striking out 18.8% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 60.2% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland has 28 starts with an ERA of 5.07 and WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander is striking out 14% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.7% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. Freeland in his past two starts allowed five earned runs in 12 innings. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in his past two starts against the Giants. Winn has never experienced pitching in Colorado, and he is laying nearly -200. Broken record how well the Rockies have performed unit wise as a home underdog the past two seasons. Play Colorado +164.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Chris Sale to start for Boston. Sale in 17 starts to the year posts an ERA of 4.88 and WHIP of 1.20. The veteran lefthander is fanning 28.8% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.9% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.90 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has 30 starts with an ERA of 3.83 and WHIP of 1.21. The righthander is striking out 21.6% with 7.4% walks. Grounders served at 41.1% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Sales in his past five starts allowed seventeen runs in 23 innings. Bassitt at home a WHIP of 1.00. Blue Jays are hitting left handed pitching. Bassitt over a month ago held the Red Sox to one run over seven innings. Play Toronto -126.
San Diego Padres vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Padres at Athletics—Matt Waldron to start for San Diego. Waldron has five appearances this season putting up an ERA of 5.55 and WHIP of 1.27. The rookie righthander strikes out 14.4% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.6% with 2.22 home runs per nine innings. Luis Medina to be primary pitcher for Oakland. Medina appeared in 20 games with an ERA of 5.68 and WHIP of 1.55. The rookie righty a strikeout mark of 20.9% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.7% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Past seven games San Diego averaging 5.4 runs per games and Oakland hitting .227. Medina the past three starts allowed 12 runs in 12 innings. Padres bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 3.73. Oakland -28 units in day games this year and -25.4 units against right handed starters. Athletics 31-81 facing teams with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or better on the year. Play San Diego -147.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Braves at Marlins—Jared Shuster to start for Atlanta. Shuster in ten starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 5.26 and WHIP of 1.41. The rookie lefthander is striking out 13.1% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.4% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Bryan Hoeing to start for Miami. Hoeing has 30 appearances dealing an ERA of 4.04 and WHIP of 1.22. The second year righty fans 18.8% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.6% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Shuster on the road an ERA of 6.56. Hoeing past two starts allowed twelve earned runs with four homers and five walks in 6 2/3rd innings. Braves past seven games averaging 6.1 runs per game. Braves 30-19 to the over facing teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse on the season. Past ten games Braves bullpen an ERA of 5.49 and Marlins at 4.93. Play Atlanta and Miami over 9.5.
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Rangers at Guardians—Dane Dunning will start for Texas. Dunning appeared in nine games on the season posting an ERA of 3.91 and WHIP of 1.28. The fourth year righthander strikes out 19.2% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.8% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Bibee is the starter for Cleveland. Bibee has 24 starts with an ERA of 3.03 and WHIP of 1.19. The rookie righty has a 24.3% K rate with 8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.1% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Dunning past four starts allowed thirteen earned runs in 19 innings of work. Past ten games Rangers bullpen an ERA of 5.73 and Guardians at 7.91. Texas 12-2 to the over past fourteen games and 20-8 to the over against the AL Central. Past seven games Rangers putting up 7.1 runs per game and hitting .295. Play Texas and Cleveland over 8.
New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Yankees at Pirates—Luke Weaver is the starter for New York. Weaver has 26 appearances in 2023 with two clubs posting an ERA of 6.77 and WHIP of 1.61. The claimed off waivers righthander strikes out 18.4% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls settle in at 35.3% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. Luis Ortiz to start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz has fifteen appearances with an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.68. The second year righty is striking out 14.3% with 11.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 48% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Weaver faced the Pirates twice this year giving up eight earned runs with four homers in 9 2/3rd innings. Past seven games New York hitting .175. Play Pittsburgh -112.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Rays at Orioles—Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow in eighteen starts in 2023 has an ERA of 3.15 and WHIP of 1.04. The righthander has an elite 33.5% strikeout rate with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 50.2% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in 20 starts produces an ERA of 4.88 and WHIP of 1.39. The rookie righty is striking out 24.9% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.2% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Rays have won seven of eight. Orioles have dropped five of six. Rodriguez past four starts allowed nine runs in 22 innings. Tampa Bay bullpen the past ten games has not allowed an earned run. Glasnow on the road a WHIP of 1.23 with team record of 6-3. Rodriguez at home an ERA of 5.65 and WHIP of 1.61. Play Tampa Bay -119.
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Astros at Royals—J.P. France to start for Houston. France has 22 appearances dealing an ERA of 3.61 and WHIP of 1.32. The rookie righthander has a strikeout mark of 17.8% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.6% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.73 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Cole Ragans to start for Kansas City. Ragans appeared in 26 games with an ERA of 3.01 and WHIP of 1.12. The second year lefthander strikes out 29.7% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.9% with limited home run damage. Ragans in his past four starts allowed two earned runs in 24 2/3rd innings. Past seven games Royals hitting .223. France on the road an ERA of 2.75 and WHIP of 1.25. Astros 41-25 to the under when a road favorite of -100 to -150 past two seasons. Play Houston and Kansas City under 9.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Reds at Mets—Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott has eighteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.64 and WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander fans 26.2% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 28.1% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Tylor Megill to start for New York. Megill in 22 starts has an ERA of 5.03 and WHIP of 1.64. The righthander strikes out 18.4% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.2% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Reds have won four of five. Past ten games New York bullpen an ERA of 5.97. Cincinnati 12-2 past fourteen games against losing teams with a +11.6 unit return. New York 14-30 against left handed starters with a -24.6 unit loss. Play Cincinnati -112.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Twins at White Sox—Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez has 29 starts carries an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP of 1.14. The sixth year righthander is striking out 28.9% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Touki Toussaint to start for Chicago. Toussaint appeared in 17 games with an ERA of 5.65 and WHIP of 1.52. The veteran fans 22% with 15.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 50.3% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Minnesota has won six straight against the White Sox. They have outscored Chicago 20-4 in this series. Lopez past three starts allowed three earned runs in 20 innings. Toussaint past start allowed eight earned runs in one inning against the Royals. Lopez 28-16 to the run line +15.2 units when working on 5-6 days of rest. Twins bullpen in good form. Play Minnesota on run line -1.5 runs at -136.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Nationals at Brewers—Trevor Williams will start for Washington. Williams in 28 starts posts an ERA of 5.44 and WHIP of 1.55. The veteran righthander had a strike out mark of 16.9% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls delivered at 37.7% with 2.20 home runs per nine innings. Corbin Burnes will start for Milwaukee. Burnes has 29 starts with an ERA of 3.47 and WHIP of 1.06. Righty fans 25% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.7% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Williams in his past two starts allowed fifteen runs in 8 1/3rd innings. Burns has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of three starts. Past ten games Brewer’s bullpen an ERA of 1.89. Milwaukee past seven games hitting .278 and putting up 5.6 runs per game. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at -130.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Phillies at Cardinals—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in nineteen starts to the season deals an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander strikes out 22.6% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 50% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas had 31 starts with an ERA of 4.75 and WHIP of 1.32. The righthander fans 15.4% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.9% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Philadelphia has won six straight against the Cardinals. Suarez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Mikolas past five starts allowed 23 runs in 28 2/3rd innings. Team record behind Suarez 23-13 in night games with a +10.5 unit return. Past seven games St Louis hitting .216. They have lost -8 units facing left handed starters. Play Philadelphia -113.
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Cubs at Diamondbacks—Kyle Hendricks the starter for Chicago. Hendricks in 21 starts on the year carries an ERA of 3.71 and WHIP of 1.15. The ten year veteran is striking out 16.4% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.5% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Zach Davies to start for Arizona. Davies had 16 starts with an ERA of 6.81 and WHIP of 1.61. The righthander fans 18.8% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls served at 44.5% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Hendricks has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Davies past two starts allowed eight earned runs in seven innings. Team record behind Hendricks 13-6 facing winning teams with a +13.5 unit return. Past seven games Arizona hitting .224. Play Chicago -116.
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Tigers at Angels—Sawyer Gipson Long will start for Detroit. Gipson Long in his MLB debut allowed two earned runs with five strikeouts in five innings at home to the White Sox. A sixth round pick in 2019 out of Mercer who spent 2023 in Double and Triple A with poor numbers in Triple A. Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson appeared in 26 games with an ERA of 5.36 and WHIP of 1.48. The lefthander is fanning 18.5% with 9.8% walks. Grounders sit at 31.4% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Anderson past five starts allowed 23 runs in 25 innings. Past ten games Tigers bullpen an ERA of 3.02. Tigers 13-2 on the road as a favorite of -100 to -150 with a +10.4 unit return. They are 13-5 in their past eighteen on the road against a losing team with a +8.3 unit return. Angels past seven games hitting .189. Play Detroit -113.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/16/2023
Dodgers at Mariners—Clayton Kershaw to start for Los Angeles. Kershaw in 21 starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 2.61 with WHIP of 1.07. The veteran has a K rate of 26.3% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.2% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Byrce Miller will start for Seattle. Miller has 22 starts posting an ERA of 4.05 and WHIP of 1.11. The rookie righthander is striking out 22.8% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls served at 32.4% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Kershaw has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five starts. Miller past four starts allowed 12 earned runs in 20 innings. Past ten games Mariners bullpen an ERA of 4.98. Mariners are 8-18 facing teams outscoring opponents by one run or greater per game. Los Angeles 16-2 facing the AL West past two seasons with a +14 unit return. Past seven games Dodgers averaging 6.7 runs per game. Play Los Angeles -143.