Free MLB Picks For Today 9/14/2023
More MLB Picks Predictions Previews
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/14/2023
Nationals at Pirates—Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in 27 starts deals an ERA of 4.13 and WHIP of 1.50. The third year righthander fans 19.5% with 12% walks. Ground balls served at 39% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has 29 starts delivers an ERA of 4.23 and WHIP of 1.28. The righty is striking out 25.5% with 6.8% walks. Grounders dished at 43.2% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Keller just allowed eight earned runs to the Braves in his last start. He faced the Nationals twice last season giving up nine earned runs in 7 2/3rd innings. Gray in his past five starts 17 runs in 19 2/3rd innings. Nationals are 35-22 to the over against losing teams. Pirates 36-22 to the over against teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse. Play Washington and Pittsburgh over 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/14/2023
Reds at Tigers—Ben Lively to be primary pitcher for Cincinnati. Lively appeared in fifteen games in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.17 and WHIP of 1.33. The righthander is striking out 21% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.4% with 2.11 home runs per nine innings. Reese Olson will start for Detroit. Olson has eighteen appearances with an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.15. The rookie righty has a K rate of 23.7% with 7% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.6% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Olsen past five starts allowed thirteen runs in 24 2/3rd innings. The Reds past seven games hitting .273 and putting up 5.3 runs per game. Tigers are struggling to score in this span. Lively has allowed three earned runs or fewer in seven of eight starts. Play Cincinnati -110.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/14/2023
Yankees at Red Sox Game 1—Michael King to start for New York. King has 45 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 2.82 and WHIP of 1.13. The righthander fans 29.2% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 44% with limited home run damage. Tanner Houck will start for Boston. Houck in 17 starts an ERA of 5.28 and WHIP of 1.34. The fourth year righty fans 21.2% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 52.5% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Houck in his past two starts allowed nine earned runs in 10 1/3rd innings. Red Sox bullpen over the past ten games an ERA of 5.15. Boston is struggling to score runs. King past three starts allowed two earned runs in fourteen innings. The Yankees bullpen in good form. Play New York +107 in Game 1.
Yankees at Red Sox Game 2—Clarke Schmidt to start for New York. Schmidt has 29 appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.54 and WHIP of 1.32. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 22.8% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.2% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Chris Murphy to start for Boston. Murphy appeared in fourteen games with an ERA of 4.64 and WHIP of 1.50. The rookie lefthander strikes out 22.3% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.6% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Schmidt past five starts has allowed 19 runs in 25 2/3rd innings. Murphy at home an ERA of 6.29 and WHIP of 1.73 with 4.8 walks per nine innings. Play New York and Boston over 9 in Game 2.
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/14/2023
Marlins at Brewers—Eury Perez will start for Miami. Perez at seventeen starts delivers an ERA of 2.90 and WHIP of 1.10.The rookie righthander is striking out 29.1% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 27.5% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.14 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Adrian Houser will start for Milwaukee. Houser in nineteen appearances an ERA of 4.58 and WHIP of 1.48. The veteran righty fans 19.3% with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.6% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Houser in his past four starts allowed thirteen runs in 17 1/3rd innings. Perez in his past four starts allowed five earned runs in 21 2/3rd innings striking out 26 batters. Play Miami -114.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/14/2023
Diamondbacks at Mets—Merrill Kelly will start for Arizona. Kelly at 26 starts this season and posts an ERA of 3.16 with WHIP of 1.19. The fifth year righthander is striking out 26.4% with 9.3% walks. Grounders served at 45.6% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Kodai Senga to start for New York. Senga has 26 starts in the year with an ERA of 3.07 and WHIP of 1.23. The righty a strikeout mark of 28.9% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.3% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Kelly has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Senga has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Senga is 15-5 to the under when favored by -110 or higher and when starting on 5 or 6 days. Kelly 18-8 to the under this season. Diamondbacks bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 2.17. Play Arizona and New York under 7.5.
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/14/2023
Rangers at Blue Jays—Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi in 21 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 2.90 and WHIP of 1.07. The thirteen year righthander fans 23% with 7.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 51.5% with limited home run damage. Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has 28 starts with an ERA of 3.28 and WHIP of 1.17. The veteran has an elite K rate of 31.5% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.2% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Eovaldi has pitched 3 2/3rd innings in his past two starts back from injury. This exposes a Rangers bullpen with an ERA of 6.14 the past ten games. Blue Jays bullpen an ERA of 6.00 in this period. Blue Jays 14-4 to the over facing an American League team averaging 5.4 runs per game or greater on the season. Play Texas and Toronto over 8.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/14/2023
Rays at Orioles—Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale in 20 starts on the year produces an ERA of 2.96 and WHIP of 1.12. The righthander is striking out 21.4% with 6.5% walks. Grounders come in at 39.6% with limited home run damage. Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish has 26 starts with an ERA of 3.03 and WHIP of 1.09. The righty has a 24.7% K rate with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.5% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Rays have won seven of nine. Past ten games Rays bullpen an ERA of 2.20. Civale on the road has an ERA of 2.03 and WHIP of 1.14. Team record behind Civale on the road 21-12 with a +12.3 unit return. Play Tampa Bay +120.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/14/2023
Twins at White Sox—Kenta Maeda will start for Minnesota. Maeda has eighteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.65 and WHIP of 1.26. The veteran righthander is fanning 25.8% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 32.9% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. Jose Urena will start for Chicago. Urena in six starts has an ERA of 8.46 and WHIP of 2.10. The righty strikes out only 10.7% with 14.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.6% with 3.63 home runs per nine innings. Maeda on the road a WHIP of 1.16. Past seven games Twins hitting .227. White sox batting only .236 against righthanders. Chicago bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 3.50. White Sox are 55-37 to the under when an underdog of +100 or higher on the year. Twins 54-24 to the under against teams with a .380 to .460 win percentage the past two seasons. Play Minnesota and Chicago under 9.5.
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/14/2023
Giants at Rockies—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in 30 starts on the season produces an ERA of 3.40 and WHIP of 1.08. The fifth year righthander fans 23.2% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 61.1% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. Chase Anderson to start for Colorado. Anderson has sixteen appearances with an ERA of 6.49 and WHIP of 1.53. The ten-year veteran has a strikeout mark of 16.5% with 7.9% walks. Grounders served at 35.2% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings. Webb has an ERA of 4.58 on the road. Giants -16.6 units as a favorite of -150 or higher the past two seasons. Rockies +15 units as a home underdog of +100 or higher past two seasons. Anderson has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Play Colorado +210.