Free MLB Picks For Today 8/30/2023
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/30/2023
Angels at Phillies—Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers has 23 starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 5.03 and WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander is striking out 26.5% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls served at 35.5% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez in thirteen starts has an ERA of 3.33 and WHIP of 1.01. The third year lefthander a strikeout mark of 22.95 with 4.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 57.6% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.31 does suggest a rising ERA based on form. Angels have lost seven of nine. Detmers in his past four starts allowed eighteen earned runs in 18 2/3rd innings. Past seven games Angels batting .220 and Phillies at .315. Detmers on the road an ERA of 5.70. Phillies ae 17-4 at home against lefthanded starters with a +11.3 unit return. Play Philadelphia -163.
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/30/2023
White Sox at Orioles—Dylan Cease will start for Chicago. Cease in 27 starts on the season deals an ERA of 4.81 and WHIP of 1.46. The fifth year righthander fans 26.5% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls served at 36.8% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.77 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Kyle Gibson will start for Baltimore. Gibson in 27 starts has an ERA of 4.89 and WHIP of 1.32. The eleven year veteran strikes out 20.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.1% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.84 which indicates a drop in his ERA based on his form. Orioles have won eight of ten. Cease in his past five starts allowed 23 runs in 22 2/3rd innings. Past ten games White Sox bullpen an ERA of 6.80 and Orioles at 1.67. White Sox 13-23 to the run line on the road facing an American League team that averaging 4.9 runs per game with a -18 unit loss. Team record behind Gibson 10-2 to the run line at home facing an AL team with an OBP .320 or worse with a +9.7 unit return. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at +123.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/30/2023
Guardians at Twins—Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee has 21 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 3.01 and WHIP of 1.20. The rookie righthander strikes out 23.6% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.4% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Sonny Gray is the starter for Minnesota. Gray in 26 starts produces an ERA of 3.06 and WHIP of 1.19. The eleven year veteran a strikeout mark of 24.3% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.4% with limited home run damage. Bibee has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Gray in his past three starts against Cleveland allowed ten earned runs in 13 2/3rd innings resulting in losses in each game. Twins -26.7 units against righthanded starters past two seasons. Play Cleveland +141.
San Diego Padres vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/30/2023
Padres at Cardinals—Rich Hill to start for San Diego. Hill appeared in 26 games in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.21 and WHIP of 1.50. The nineteen year lefthander has a K rate of 19.3% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.6% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Miles Mikolas will start for St Louis. Mikolas has 28 starts with an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.30. The righthander strikes out 16.2% with 4.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.5% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Hill in his past three starts allowed twelve earned runs with five homers in 11 1/3rd innings. Padres -19 units on the road this year. San Diego 16-30 when closely lined between +125 and -125. Past seven games Padres hitting .223. Play St Louis -106.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/30/2023
Brewers at Cubs—Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in six starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 2.65 and WHIP of 0.88. The seven year veteran has an elite 31.8% strikeout rate with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.1% with 1.85 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.41 which suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks has eighteen starts an ERA of 3.80 and WHIP of 1.14. The ten year righthander is striking out 15.7% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.2% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Woodruff has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five. Brewers bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 2.45. Brewers 56-37 facing right handed starters with a +18.5 unit return. Woodruff on the road a WHIP of 0.79. Hendricks at home an ERA of 4.84. Play Milwaukee -109.
Washington Nationals vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/30/2023
Nationals at Blue Jays—Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin has 26 starts to the season producing an ERA of 4.70 and WHIP of 1.47. The twelve year lefthander strikes out 15.9% with 7.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 45% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings. Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has 27 starts in the season delivering an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP of 1.23. The ten year righthander a strike out mark of 22.4% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.8% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. Blue Jays have lost five of seven. Corbin has allowed seven earned runs in his past four starts working 23 1/3rd innings. Bassitt past three starts has allowed eleven runs in 17 2/3rd innings. Nationals are 38-38 as an underdog of +150 or greater with a +33 unit return. Play Washington +202.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/2/2023
Reds at Giants—Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene at sixteen starts on the year and has an ERA of 5.06 and WHIP of 1.52. The second year righthander fans 29.8% with 10.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.8% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has 27 starts dealing with an ERA of 3.51 and WHIP of 1.10. The righty fans 23.6% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 60.6% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Greene in his return from injury has allowed fourteen runs in 6 2/3rd innings walking eight. Team record behind Greene 4-19 against a winning team past two seasons with a -14 unit loss and Webb 42-16 as a favorite of -110 or higher with a +19 unit return. Past seven games Reds hitting .207. Webb at home a WHIP of 0.99. Play San Francisco -156.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/2/2023
Athletics at Mariners—Zach Neal will start for Oakland. Neal appeared in eight games posting an ERA of 6.88 and WHIP of 1.82. The righthander strikes out 13.6% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.5% with 3.71 home runs per nine innings. He has a 35% fly ball to home run ratio. Bryce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller in nineteen starts with an ERA of 3.90 and WHIP of 1.04. The rookie righthander strikes out 23.3% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.4% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Head to head they played to under in seven of nine. Past seven games Oakland hitting .200. Miller at home an ERA of 1.04. Play Oakland and Seattle under 8.5.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/2/2023
Astros at Red Sox—Framber Valdez will start for Houston. Valdez in 25 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 3.40 and WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander fans 24.3% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 54.5% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford has 25 appearances posting an ERA of 3.65 and WHIP of 1.09. The righthander has a K rate of 24.6% with 6.1% walks. Grounders served at 34.5% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Crawford has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Red Sox 45-28 against left handed starters past two seasons with a +16.4 unit return. Past seven games Boston hitting .304. Valdez on the road an ERA of 4.00. Play Boston +124.
Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/2/2023
Rangers at Mets—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning has 28 appearances in 2023 delivers an ERA of 3.36 and WHIP of 1.21. The fourth year righthander is striking out 19% with 7.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.9% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Denyi Reyes to start for New York. Reyes appeared in seven games delivers an ERA of 7.50 and WHIP of 1.92. The righty fans 20.7% with 12.1% walks. Ground balls served at 34.2% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. New York has lost six of seven struggling to score runs. They are 22-40 against a winning team with a -21.4 unit loss. Mets in their past seven games hitting .179. Play Texas -140.
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/2/2023
Yankees at Tigers—Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole has 27 starts on the campaign dealing with an ERA of 2.95 and WHIP of 1.04. The eleven year veteran is striking out 27% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.8% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Joey Wentz to start for Detroit. Wentz appeared in nineteen games delivering an ERA of 6.62 and WHIP of 1.65. The second year lefthander strikes out 19.7% with 9% walks. Grounders sit at 36.5% with 1.92 home runs per nine innings. Cole past three starts against the Tigers allowed three earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings. Cole 15-4 to the under on the road against a losing team the past three seasons. Tigers are 24-12 to the under facing an AL starter with an ERA of 3.40 or lower. New York past seven games hitting .212 and Tigers .206. Cole on the road a WHIP of 0.98. Head to head 7-1 to the under in Detroit. Play New York and Detroit under 8.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/2/2023
Rays at Marlins—Zach Eflin will start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has 25 starts on the year posting an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP of 1.04. The veteran righthander fans 25.7% with 3.5% walks. Ground balls served at 51.3% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Jesus Luzardo will start for Miami. Luzardo has started 26 games with an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander strikes out 27.9% with 7% walks. Grounders come in at 40.9% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Rays have won nine of ten against the Marlins. They have won seven of eight overall. Eflin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five. Luzardo in his past five starts allowed 21 runs in 23 innings. Marlins bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 4.59. Miami is 3-14 facing teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 runs or greater in their past seventeen in this spot with a -10.1 unit loss. Marlins are 10-29 against the AL East with a -19 unit loss. Tampa Bay in their past seven games hitting .297 and Miami hitting .216. Play Tampa Bay -110.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/2/2023
Pirates at Royals—Andre Jackson to start for Pittsburgh. Jackson has 12 appearances the season posting an ERA of 4.91 and WHIP of 1.23. The third year righthander has a K rate of 23.1% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 36% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings. Angel Zerpa will start for Kansas City. Zerpa appeared in seven games with an ERA of 7.27 and WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander strikes out 17.3% with 4.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.3% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings. Royals have dropped nine of ten. In this period their bullpen an ERA of 5.85 and hitting .190. Pittsburgh 35-25 facing losing teams with a +15.2 unit return. Royals 4-13 facing teams with a .380 to .460 win percentage with a -10.3 unit loss. Play Pittsburgh -102.
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/2/2023
Braves at Rockies—Darius Vines to start for Atlanta. Vines makes his MLB debut. A seventh round pick in 2019 out of Cal State Bakersfield. He spent 2023 in three levels of the minors with good results and missed much of the season with a shoulder injury. The righthander has worked 43 1/3rd minor league innings this year with 46 strikeouts. Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland has 25 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 5.00 and WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander fans 14.7% with 6.3% walks. Grounders sit at 39.3% with 1.67 home runs per nine innings. Braves have won seven straight against the Rockies covering the run line in all seven. Freeland in his past three starts has allowed eleven earned runs in sixteen innings. Past ten games Colorado bullpen an ERA of 8.91. Past seven games Braves are hitting .309. The Rockies are hitting .268 at home. Play Atlanta and Colorado over 13.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/2/2023
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Brandon Pfaadt will start for Arizona. Pfaadt has thirteen starts this season posting an ERA of 5.91 and WHIP of 1.36. The rookie righthander strikes out 20.8% with 6.9% walks. Grounders served at 30.7% with 2.01 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Pepiot to start for Los Angeles. Pepiot has two starts allowing two earned runs with six hits and eleven strikeouts in nine innings of work. He has been recovering from an oblique injury out of spring training and has 22 2/3rd innings in Triple A this year with an ERA of 3.91 and WHIP of 1.17 striking out 26. A career MLB ERA of 3.18 with WHIP of 1.32. Past two starts Pfaadt allowed two earned runs in 12 1/3rd innings. Diamondbacks 22-10 to the under in their past 32 against winning teams. Pfaadt WHIP on the road at 0.96. Play Arizona and Los Angeles under 10.