Free MLB Picks For Today 8/29/2023
Los Angeles Angels vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Angels at Phillies—Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson in 23 appearances deals an ERA of 5.35 and WHIP of 1.53. The lefthander is striking out 18.95 with 9.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 31.7% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Lorenzon will start for Philadelphia. Lorenzon has 22 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.69 and WHIP of 1.12. The ninth year righthander fans 18.7% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.8% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies have won six of seven. Anderson, past two starts has allowed twelve earned runs with five walks in 8 2/3rd innings. Phillies 17-4 at home against lefthanded starters with a +11.3 unit return. Past seven games Los Angeles hitting .217 and Phillies .309. Play Philadelphia -167.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Rays at Marlins—Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale has seventeen starts in the season producing an ERA of 2.59 and WHIP of 1.10. The fifth year righthander has a K rate of 19.8% with 6.1% walks. Grounders served at 39.6% with limited home run damage.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara in 26 starts an ERA of 4.16 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran righty fans 20.5% with 6.3% walks. Grounders come in at 51.9% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Marlins have lost six of eight as this series begins.
Civale has allowed five earned runs in his past three starts working sixteen innings. Alcantara past four starts surrendered thirteen runs in 27 2/3rd innings. The team record behind Alcantara 2-10 facing at home facing teams that outscore opponents by 0.5 runs or greater over the past three seasons.
Team record behind Civale on the road is 20-12 with a +11.1 unit return. Rays past seven games hitting .299 and Marlins .204. Play Tampa Bay +107.
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Yankees at Tigers—Jhony Brito the primary pitcher for New York. Brito appeared in seventeen games in 2023 deals an ERA of 5.37 and WHIP of 1.34. The rookie righthander is striking out 17.5% with 8% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.3% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings.
Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal has nine starts on the campaign with an ERA of 4.06 and WHIP of 1.08. The third year lefthander strikes out 28.2% with 4.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.8% with minimal home run damage. New York has won six of seven against the Tigers.
Skubal in his past three starts allowed ten runs in 17 1/3rd innings. Detroit is 12-31 at home facing a bullpen with an ERA of 3.45 or lower past two seasons with a -16.9 unit loss. New York does put up runs against left handed starters. Play Yankees +108.
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
White Sox at Orioles—Jesse Sholtens to start for Chicago. Sholtens appeared in 21 games on the year posting an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 1.32. The rookie righthander strikes out 16.8% with 8.1% walks. Grounders served at 41.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Dean Kremer is the starter for Baltimore. Kremer has 26 starts with an ERA of 4.31 and WHIP of 1.29. The righthander fans 21.3% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.6% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. Sholtens in his past two starts allowed ten earned runs with five walks in 8 2/3rd innings.
Krember has allowed five earned runs in his past three starts working 19 innings. Chicago bullpen past ten games has an ERA of 7.33. Orioles sit 19-9 to the run line facing an AL team that allows 4.9 runs per game or greater with a +11.2 unit return.
Team record behind Krember 24-7 facing an AL team with an OBP of .330 or worse with a +15.4 unit return. Past seven games Orioles hitting .278. Play Baltimore on the run line -1.5 runs at -113.
Washington Nationals vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Nationals at Blue Jays—MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has 25 starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 4.38 and WHIP of 1.37. The second year lefthander a strikeout mark of 26.8% with 9.8% walks. Grounders come in at 39.8% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Berrios is the starter for Toronto. Berrios in 26 starts carries an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP of 1.22. The eight year veteran is striking out 22.8% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.9% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Gore has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts.
Berrios in his past four starts allowed fourteen runs in 21 2/3rd innings. Blue Jays in their past ten games hitting .231. Nationals +21.5 unit return as a road underdog of +150 or greater this season. Play Washington +176.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Astros at Red Sox—J.P. France to start for Houston. France appeared in nineteen games in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.51 and WHIP of 1.31. The rookie righthander fans 17.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.5% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello has 22 starts dealing an ERA of 3.56 and WHIP of 1.28. The second year righty strikes out 19.5% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 55.4% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox just put up 19 runs over 2 1/3rd innings on France in his last start.
Bello has allowed one earned run in three of his past four starts. Team record behind Bello 15-7 facing a team that averages seven or greater strikeouts per game with a +8 unit return and 12-3 in night games. Past seven games Red Sox hitting .317. Play Boston -121.
Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Rangers at Mets—Andrew Heaney is the starter for Texas. Heaney in 25 starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP of 1.36. The veteran lefthander a strikeout mark of 24.1% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.4% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Quintana is the starter for New York. Quintana has seven starts with an ERA of 3.73 and WHIP of 1.39. The twelfth year lefty an eight year low 17.3% strikeouts with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.8% with minimal home run damage. New York 13-28 facing a left handed starter with a -23.5 unit loss.
Rangers are averaging 6.2 runs per game against lefthanded starters winning 23 of 37. Past seven games Mets hitting .216. Quintana gave up five runs in 5 1/3rd innings against Miami in his past start. Past five starts Heaney allowed seven earned runs in 21 innings. Play Texas -123.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 8/29/2023
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Guardians at Twins—Gavin Williams to start for Cleveland. Williams in 12 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.52 and WHIP of 1.28. The rookie righthander a K rate of 25.3% with 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.8% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Pablo Lopez is the starter for Minnesota. Lopez has 26 starts this campaign dealing with an ERA of 3.69 plus WHIP of 1.13. The sixth year veteran fans 29.3% with 6.1% walks. Grounders served at 41.8% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Lopez faced the Guardians in June allowing six earned runs in 5 2/3rd innings. He faced Texas in his past start giving up five earned runs with ten hits in five innings against the Rangers.
Williams was just lit up for seven runs in 4 1/3rd against the Dodgers. Lopez 19-8 to the over in home games. Lopez on the road an ERA of 4.62. Play Cleveland and Minnesota over 8.
San Diego Padres vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Padres at Cardinals—Seth Lugo will start for San Diego. Lugo has 20 starts this season dealing an ERA of 3.70 and WHIP of 1.23. The righthander is striking out 23.6% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.5% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Zack Thompson is the starter for St Louis. Thompson in nineteen appearances deals an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP of 1.46. The second-year lefthander a strikeout mark of 28.8% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.9% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Lugo in his past two starts allowed no runs in twelve innings. Thompson, past three starts allowed five earned runs in fourteen innings. The Padres are 25-15 to the under against left handed starters on the year. Past seven games San Diego hitting .223 and Cardinals at .169. Play San Diego and St Louis under 9.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Brewers at Cubs—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in 26 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.65 and WHIP of 1.08. The sixth year righthander strikes out 24.9% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 42.4% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele has 24 starts on the year with an ERA of 2.80 and WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander fans 23.2% with 5.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.7% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Burnes has allowed eleven earned runs in his past three starts working 18 2/3rd innings.
Steele in his past five starts allowed sixteen runs in 28 1/3rd innings. Past seven games Brewers putting up 7 runs per game and Cubs 5.7. Chicago 15-6 to the over in their past 21 against winning teams. Play Milwaukee and Chicago over 7.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Pirates at Royals—Luis Ortiz is the starter for Pittsburgh. Ortiz has twelve starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 5.37 and WHIP of .184. The second year righthander strikes out 14.5% with 11.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.2% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
Cole Ragans to start for Kansas City. Ragans appeared in 23 games in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.66 and WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander fans 28.7% with 9.75 walks. Ground balls dished at 43.7% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
Ragans have allowed seven earned runs in his past five starts working 29 2/3rd innings. Ortiz in his past three starts allowed fifteen earned runs with nine walks in 11 1/3rd innings. Pirates past ten games hitting .237. Play Kansas City.
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Braves at Rockies—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has 25 starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 3.37 and WHIP of 1.38. The sixteen year veteran fans 25.5% with 10.9% walks. Grounders dealt at 44.6% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
Peter Lambert to start for Colorado. Lambert appeared in 22 games in 2023 delivering an ERA of 4.92 and WHIP of 1.33. The righthander strikes out 20.6% with 8.3% walks. Grounders come in at 43.3% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. Braves in their five games against the Rockies have scored 54 runs.
Colorado bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 9.46. Braves are 16-4 to the over against an opponent outscored by one or greater runs per game on the season. Past seven games Atlanta hitting .290. Rockies are batting .270 at home. Morton on the road a WHIP of 1.57. Play Atlanta and Colorado over 12.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Athletics at Mariners—Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk appeared in 29 games on the year posting an ERA of 6.05 and WHIP of 1.67. The second year lefthander strikes out 21.8% with 11.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.1% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby has 25 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 3.28 and WHIP of 1.03. The righthander is fanning 23% with 2.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.2% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Oakland hitting .195 against the division. Waldichuk has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Kirby at home a WHIP of 0.89. Athletics 23-13 to the under against the division. Play Oakland and Seattle under 8.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Reds at Giants—Brandon Williamson the starter for Cincinnati. Williamson in eighteen starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 4.18 and WHIP of 1.25. The rookie lefthander striking out 21.3% with 8.6% walks. Grounders are 36.7% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb has 24 starts with an ERA of 3.74 and WHIP of 1.38. The thirteen year veteran a strikeout mark of 20.6% with 6% walks. Ground balls come in at 56.5% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Williamson has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts.
Cobb past four starts allowed 17 runs in 20 1/3rd innings. Giants bullpen past ten games an ERA of 4.75. Reds are 17-15 as a road underdog of +125 to +175 with a +9.5 unit return. San Francisco -17.2 unit loss when favored by -150 or greater. Play Cincinnati +141.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/29/2023
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in 23 starts carries an ERA of 2.97 and WHIP of 1.13. The fifth year righthander is striking out 26.6% with 8.9% walks. Grounders served at 45.4% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
Clayton Kershaw is the starter for Los Angeles. Kershaw has nineteen starts producing an ERA of 2.52 and WHIP of 1.02. The lefthander deals 27.1% K’s with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.8% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.75 which suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Kershaw has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. Past ten games Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA of 5.31. The Dodgers are 10-2 to the run line at home facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.70 or worse this season.
Los Angeles 20-7 to the run line in August with a +13.5 unit return. Past seven games Dodgers hitting .309. Play Los Angeles on run line -1.5 runs at +104.
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