Free MLB Picks For Today 8/28/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 8/28/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 8/28/2023

Los Angeles Angels vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Angels at Phillies—Lucas Giolito to start for Los Angeles. Giolito in 26 starts on the year has an ERA of 4.32 and WHIP of 1.27. The eight year righthander is striking out 25.2% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.8% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings.

 

Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker has 25 starts posting an ERA of 4.02 and WHIP of 1.29. The veteran fans 19.8% with 10% walks. Ground balls served at 45.3% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Past seven games Angels batting .229. In this period Phillies hitting .319 and pushing across 7.7 runs per game.

 

Team record behind Giolito 4-14 against a winning team with a -11.2 unit loss. Giolito has allowed 20 runs in his past four starts working 21 2/3rd innings. Team record behind Walker 12-2 when favored by -110 or higher this season. Play Philadelphia -143.

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Yankees at Tigers—Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino appeared in sixteen games on the campaign dealing an ERA of 7.26 and WHIP of 1.75. The nine year righthander is striking out 17.7% with 9% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.4% with 2.42 home runs per nine innings.

 

Reese Olson will start for Detroit. Olson has fifteen appearances dealing an ERA of 5.29 and WHIP of 1.25. The rookie righty a strikeout mark of 23.5% with 6.9% walks. Grounders sit at 40.8% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.25 does signal a drop in ERA based on his numbers.

 

Tigers pitching hammered for 26 runs in their past two games. Severing past two starts allowed three earned runs in 10 2/3rd innings. Olsen past two starts allowed ten earned runs in 7 1/3rd innings. Tigers bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.91. Detroit is 5-20 facing the AL East this year with a -11.7 unit loss. Play New York -103.

Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

White Sox at Orioles—Michael Kopech will start for Chicago. Kopech has 24 starts on the year dealing an ERA of 4.95 and WHIP of 1.49. The fourth year righthander is fanning 22.8% with 15% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.2% with 2.10 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 6.51 which suggests a rise in ERA based on form.

 

Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in seventeen starts has an ERA of 5.38 and WHIP of 1.43. The rookie righty fans 24.3% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.6% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Kopech past three starts allowed thirteen runs with thirteen walks in 16 1/3rd innings.

 

Rodriguez has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Chicago bullpen past ten games an ERA of 6.38. Orioles 18-9 to the run line facing AL teams that allowing 4.9 runs per game or greater with a +10.2 unit return. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at -112.

Washington Nationals vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Nationals at Blue Jays—Josiah Gray is the starter for Washington. Gray has 25 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 3.85 and WHIP of 1.44. The third year righthander is striking out 19.9% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.7% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.91 does suggest a rising ERA based on form.

 

Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto. Gausman in 25 starts posts an ERA of 3.23 and WHIP of 1.16. The eleven year veteran an elite 31.7% strikeout rate with 6.2% walks. Grounders come in at 42.9% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Gray in his last start held the Yankees to one run over six innings.

 

Team record behind Gray 18-17 on the road facing teams that average seven strikeouts per game or greater with a +13.3 unit return. Washington 26-22 as an underdog of +175 to +250 with a +29 unit return.

 

Team record behind Gausman 17-17 as a home favorite of -150 or greater with a -19 unit loss. Blue Jays past ten games hitting .221. Play Washington +215.

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Astros at Red Sox—Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in 24 starts on the season produces an ERA of 4.52 and WHIP of 1.26. The fourth year righthander is striking out 21.3% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 25.9% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.

 

Chris Sale is the starter for Boston. Sale has fourteen starts deals an ERA of 4.68 and WHIP of 1.14. The veteran lefthander sits with a K rate of 29.4% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 38% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.69 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.

 

Red Sox over in ten straight. Red Sox bullpen past ten games an ERA of 4.37 and the Astros at 5.57. Javier 16-7 to the over this year. Past seven games Boston hitting .323 and Astros at .284. Play Houston and Boston over 9.5.

Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Rangers at Mets—Jon Gray will start for Texas. Gray in 23 starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 3.76 and WHIP of 1.23. The nine year righthander is fanning 20.6% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.1% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.

 

Tylor Megill to start for New York. Megill has nineteen starts delivering an ERA of 5.54 and WHIP of 1.73. The righty has a strikeout mark of 17.5% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Rangers have lost nine of ten with the pitching staff getting pounded.

 

In this period their bullpen an ERA of 6.92. Gray past five starts allowed 17 runs in 28 1/3rd innings. Megill past five starts allowed 21 runs in 22 innings. Rangers 27-15 to the over when favored on the road by -100 to -150. Play Texas and New York over 9.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Guardians at Twins—Xzavion Curry will start for Cleveland. Curry in 32 appearances in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.51 and WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 16.6% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 28.5% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.

 

Kenta Maeda to start for Minnesota. Maeda has fifteen starts on the year dealing with an ERA of 4.22 and WHIP of 1.17. The righty is striking out 28.9% with 6.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 32.5% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings.

 

Twins bullpen past ten games an ERA of 4.99 and Guardians at 2.88. Minnesota hitting .231 in division games. Maeda at home an ERA of 5.57. Play Cleveland +146.

 

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San Diego Padres vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Padres at Cardinals—Blake Snell will start for San Diego. Snell in 26 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 2.73 and WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 31% with 13.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.8% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.78 does suggest a rising ERA based on his numbers.

 

Adam Wainwright will start for St Louis. Wainwright has started 17 games with an ERA of 8.61 and WHIP of 1.99. The nineteen year veteran has seen his strikeouts plummet to 11.6% with 7.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.9% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings.

 

Past five starts Wainwright has allowed 28 runs in 20 2/3rd innings. Past four starts Snell has allowed ten runs in 23 innings. Play San Diego and St Louis over 9.5.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Brewers at Cubs—Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley in seventeen starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.18 and WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander is striking out 16.5% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls served at 43.2% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.54 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.

 

Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon has 23 starts posting an ERA of 5.60 and WHIP of 1.35. The veteran fans 29.2% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.8% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. Eight straight wins for the Brewers.

 

Cubs have won seven of nine. Miley past five starts allowed eight earned runs in 26 innings. Taillon past three starts has allowed sixteen runs in 14 2/3rd innings. Brewers past seven games hitting .291 and putting up 6.9 runs per game. Play Milwaukee +111.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Pirates at Royals—Johan Oviedo will start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo in 26 starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 4.46 and WHIP of 1.33. The fourth year righthander a strikeout mark of 20.4% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.4% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.

 

Zack Greinke to start for Kansas City. Greinke appeared in 23 games in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.34 and WHIP of 1.23. The nineteen year veteran strikes out 16.4% with 3.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.2% with 1.81 home runs per nine innings.

 

Royals have lost seven of eight. Past five starts Greinke has allowed eighteen runs in 23 1/3rd innings. Kansas City is 7-17 at home when lined between +125 and -175 for a -10.3 unit loss. Past seven games Royals batting .213. Play Pittsburgh -108.

Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Braves at Rockies—Bryce Elder will start for Atlanta. Elder in 25 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.39 and WHIP of 1.20. The second year righthander a strikeout mark of 17.5% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.9% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.

 

Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber has 26 starts on the year dealing an ERA of 5.48 and WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander a K rate of 14.6% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.9% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings.

 

Colorado bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.89. Atlanta is 48-31 to the over against lefthanded starters. Gomber at home an ERA of 7.06 with WHIP of 1.57. Play Atlanta and Colorado over 12.

Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Athletics at Mariners—Kyle Muller is the starter for Oakland. Muller appeared in thirteen games on the campaign with an ERA of 7.28 and WHIP of 1.89. The lefthander strikes out 15.1% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.1% with 1.67 home runs per nine innings.

 

Brian Woo to start for Seattle. Woo has twelve starts posting an ERA of 4.58 and WHIP of 122. The rookie righthander is striking out 25.3% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 39% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.

 

Past seven games Oakland batting .219. They are pushing across just 2.6 runs per game and hitting .196 in divisional games. Past seven games Mariners hitting .342 and averaging 9 runs per game. Play Seattle on run line -1.5 runs.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Reds at Giants—Andrew Abbott will start for Cincinnati. Abbott has fifteen starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 3.16 and WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander strikes out 26.8% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 26.4% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.00 does signal a rise in ERA based on his numbers.

 

Kyle Harrison to start for San Francisco. Harrison in his MLB debut allowed two earned runs with five strikeouts in 3 1/3rd innings at Philadelphia. The lefthander was a third round pick in 2020 with no college. In 20 starts in Triple A, the rookie posted an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 15.3 striking out 105 batters in 65 2/3rd innings.

 

San Francisco bullpen past ten games an ERA of 4.96. Team record behind Abbott 11-3 facings teams that average seven strikeouts per game or greater with a +9.1 unit return. Team record behind Abbott 7-1 on the road with a +8.4 unit return. Play Cincinnati +106.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/28/2023

Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in 27 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.11 and WHIP of 1.06. The righthander fans 26.8% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls served at 38.9% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.

 

Bobby Miller will start for Los Angeles. Miller has fifteen starts this season dealing an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP of 1.16. The rookie righty fans 22.2% with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.2% with limited home run damage.

 

Gallen has averaged six innings per start past three. Dodgers 32-11 at home facing a National League pitcher with an ERA of 3.20 or lower. Gallen on the road an ERA of 4.46 with a team record of 5-9. Play Los Angeles -136.

 

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Free MLB Picks For Today 8/28/2023

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