Free MLB Picks For Today 8/25/2023
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Nationals at Marlins—Joan Adon to start for Washington. Adon appeared in five games in 2023 delivering an ERA of 7.00 and WHIP of 1.11. The righthander strikes out 23% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls served at 35.3% with 2.00 home runs per nine innings.
Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett has 25 appearances delivering an ERA of 3.94 and WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander deals 24.9% K’s with 4% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.5% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Nationals have won eight of ten. Nationals 34-36 as an underdog of +150 or higher with a +27.7 unit return.
Past seven games Marlins batting .212 and putting up 3.3 runs per game. Washington is hitting .272 against lefthanders. Adon in his lone road start allowed three runs in six innings and Cincinnati. Garrett at home an ERA of 4.94. Play Washington +175.
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Astros at Tigers—Framber Valdez will start for Houston. Valdez in 24 starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP of 1.13. The sixth year lefthander striking out 24.4% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 53.5% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Matt Manning will start for Detroit. Manning has 12 starts with an ERA of 4.31 and WHIP of 1.14. The righthander fans 15.6% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.1% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. Valdez past five starts allowed 22 runs in 32 1/3rd innings.
Manning past two starts allowed one earned run in 11 1/3rd innings. Tigers 22-26 as an underdog of +150 or higher with a +15.2 unit return. Astros putting up just 4.5 runs per game against righthanders. Play Detroit +150.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Yankees at Rays—Gerrit Cole will start for New York. Cole has 26 starts, produces an ERA of 3.03 and WHIP of 1.07. The veteran has seen his strikeouts drop to 26.4% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.9% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Zach Eflin will start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has 24 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 3.58 and WHIP of 1.03. The righthander is striking out 24.9% with 3.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 51.6% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
New York has lost ten of eleven. Rays 37-18 against the AL East with a +15 unit return. Past seven games New York hitting .162. Tampa Bay in this period hitting .326 and putting up 8.1 runs per game. Play Tampa Bay -123.
Colorado Rockies vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Rockies at Orioles—Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland has 24 starts on the year dealing an ERA of 5.02 and WHIP of 1.47. The seventh year lefthander is striking out 14.8% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.3% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings.
Cole Irvin to start for Baltimore. Irvin appeared in eighteen games with an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander strikes out 20.5% with 7.4% walks. Grounders served at 38.3% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Freeland has allowed four earned runs in three of four starts.
Irvin has allowed one earned run or fewer in five starts. Rockies bullpen past ten games an ERA of 9.64 and Orioles at 2.43. Rockies 11-21 to the run line against a team with a .540 to .620 win percentage with -12.5 unit loss. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at +110.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Cubs at Pirates—Kyle Hendricks will start for Chicago. Hendricks in seventeen starts this season deals an ERA of 3.83 and WHIP of 1.14. The ten year veteran has seen his strikeouts drop to 15.7% with 4.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.6% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has 26 starts with an ERA of 4.22 and WHIP of 1.28. The righthander fans 26% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.7% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. As this series began the Cubs had won nine of ten against the Pirates.
Hendricks has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Pirates 18-33 when closely lined at +125 to -125 this season for a -14 unit loss. Pittsburgh hitting only .222 against the division and pushing across just 3.7 runs per game Play Chicago -112.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Cardinals at Phillies—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in 27 starts on the season carries an ERA of 4.55 and WHIP of 1.30. The veteran is striking out 16.5% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.1% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Cristopher Sanchez is the starter for Philadelphia. Sanchez has 12 starts with an ERA of 3.36 and WHIP of 1.03. The lefthander fans 22.7% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 58% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.38 does suggest a rising ERA based on his numbers.
Mikolas past two starts has allowed eleven earned runs in 11 innings. Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Cardinals 15-26 facing good offensive National League teams that average 4.5 runs per game or greater with a -12 unit loss.
Past seven games Cardinals batting .231 and averaging 3.1 runs per game. Their opponents in this period hitting .290 and scoring 6.9 runs per game. Phillies in this span hitting .304 and scoring 7.3 runs a game. Play Philadelphia -139.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Guardians at Blue Jays—Tanner Bibee will start for Cleveland. Bibee has starts in 20 games producing an ERA of 3.01 and WHIP of 1.21. The rookie righthander has a K rate of 23.7% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.6% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Chris Bassitt will start for Toronto. Bassitt in 26 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.92 and WHIP of 1.21. The ten year veteran fans 22.4% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.5% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Bibee past four starts allowed seven earned runs in 24 innings. Blue Jays 9-13 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 with a -10 unit loss. Past seven games Blue Jays hitting .211. Play Cleveland +142.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 8/25/2023
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Angels at Mets—Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson appeared in 23 games on the campaign posts an ERA of 5.35 and WHIP of 1.53. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 18.9% with 9.8% walks. Grounders dished at 31.7% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Kodai Senga to start for New York. Senga in 23 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.19 and WHIP of 1.25. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 28.1% with 11.1% walks.
Ground balls sit at 46.3% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Angels have lost six of nine. Los Angeles bullpen an ERA of 7.27 past ten games. Senga at home an ERA of 2.63 with WHIP of 1.11. Play New York -135.
Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Athletics at White Sox—Sean Newcomb expected to be primary pitcher for Oakland. Newcomb spent 5.5 seasons with the Braves. He has 30 appearances in Triple A this year with good results. The lefthander has a career ERA of 4.51 and WHIP of 1.47 striking out 415 batters in 407 innings.
Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease in 26 starts this season deals an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.41. The fifth year righthander fans 26.7% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls served at 24.1% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
White Sox -20 units as a home favorite of 110 or higher past two seasons. Ceasae past five starts allowed eighteen earned runs in 24 1/3rd innings. White Sox bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.62. Play Oakland +174.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Dodgers at Red Sox—Lance Lynn to start for Los Angeles. Lynn has 25 starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 5.60 and WHIP of 1.36. The thirteen year veteran has a strikeout mark of 26.8% with 7.9% walks. Grounders sit at 37.9% with 1.99 home runs per nine innings.
Kutter Crawford will start for Boston. Crawford in 24 appearances this season delivers an ERA of 3.66 and WHIP of 1.09. The righthander strikes out 24.1% with 6.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.7% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. First home game for Boston after a ten game road trip with no rest.
Lynn past three starts allowed one earned run in eighteen innings. Crawford at home an ERA of 8.00 and WHIP of 1.67 at home. Dodgers bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.08. Play Los Angeles -108.
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Rangers at Twins—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning has 27 starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 3.19 and WHIP of 1.16. The fourth year righthander strikes out 18.7% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.1% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray in 25 starts has an ERA of 3.15 and WHIP of 1.21. The eleven year veteran is striking out 24.7% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.8% with minimal home run damage. Rangers have lost six straight.
Twins 32-9 at home versus teams with a poor bullpen with an ERA of 4.20 or higher and +19.1 unit return. Team record behind Dunning 2-16 in night road games the past three seasons with a -14.4 unit loss. Past seven games Rangers hitting .214. Gray past four starts allowed eight earned runs in 25 2/3rd innings. Play Minnesota -122.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Padres at Brewers—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in 23 starts on the season posts an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP of 1.28. The veteran strikes out 24.9% with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.3% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff has five starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 2.89 and WHIP of 0.86. The seventh year righthander has a K rate of 28.3% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.4% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.66 does imply a possible rise in ERA based on his form.
Darvish past two starts allowed eight earned runs in twelve innings. Padres 17-30 facing a staring pitcher who averages five or greater strikes out per game with a -19.2 unit loss. Milwaukee is 21-9 at home favored by -100 to -150 with a +10 unit return. Play Milwaukee -124.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Reds at Diamondbacks—Brett Kennedy expected to start for Cincinnati. Kennedy appeared in three games on the year delivering an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP of 1.00. The righthander fans 12.2% with 6.1% walks. Grounders dished at 43.6% with no homers allowed.
Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaddt has 12 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 6.13 and WHIP of 1.41. The righty is striking out 20.5% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.4% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings.
Reds are 33-16 facing a team with a poor bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher with a +22 unit return. Pfaadt in his seven home starts an ERA of 7.95 and WHIP of 1.83. Past ten games Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA of 1.36 and Diamondbacks at 4.93. Play Cincinnati +140.
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Royals at Mariners—Brady Singer to start for Kansas City. Singer in 25 starts on the campaign sits with an ERA of 5.04 and WHIP of 1.36. The fourth year righthander has a K rate of 19.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.5% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Bryce Miller will start for Seattle. Miller has eighteen starts delivering an ERA of 3.78 and WHIP of 1.01. The rookie righty is striking out 22.8% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.2% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
First home game for Seattle after a ten game road trip. Mariners 19-18 as a favorite of -175 to -250 for a -17 unit loss past two seasons. Singer past three starts against Seattle allowed four earned runs in 20 1/3rd innings. Play Kansas City +162.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/25/2023
Braves at Giants—Spencer Strider will start for Atlanta. Strider in 25 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP of 1.08. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 38.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has 26 starts this year posting an ERA of 3.36 and WHIP of 1.09. The fifth year righty fans 24.2% with 3.9% walks. Grounders sit at 60.7% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Braves 30-9 facing an NL team with an OBP of .315 or worse returning +14.3 units.
Strider has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Cobb in his past start allowed four earned runs in six innings against the Braves. Atlanta bullpen past ten games an ERA of 1.97 and Giants at 5.54. Play Atlanta -153.
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