Free MLB Picks For Today 8/23/2023
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/23/2023
Cardinals at Pirates—Zack Thomspon will start for St Louis. Thompson in eighteen appearances carries an ERA of 3.90 and WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander fans 29.8% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls served at 49.4% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Ortiz to start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz has appeared in 11 games producing an ERA of 4.86 and WHIP of 1.73. The second year righthander is striking out 13.8% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.9% with limited home run damage.
Pirates have won five straight against the Cardinals. Pirates 19-30 when lined at -100 to -150 this season with an -18.7 unit loss. Past seven games St Louis averaging 2.7 runs per game. Cardinals bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 5.08. Play Pittsburgh -101.
Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/23/2023
Cubs at Tigers—Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon in 22 starts produces an ERA of 5.56 and WHIP of 1.37. The seven year veteran fans 19.8% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.3% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.46 which suggests a drop in ERA based on form.
Tarik Skubal will start for Detroit. Skubal has eight starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.76 and WHIP of 1.07. The fourth year lefthander is striking out 28.3% with 4.6% walks. Grounders dished at 55% with minimal home run damage. A FIP of 1.99 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Tigers have now won five of seven. Past three starts Taillon has allowed fourteen runs in sixteen innings. Skubal past three starts allowed five earned runs in 16 2/3rd innings.
Team record behind Taillon 1-7 in Day Games with a -7.8 unit loss. Tigers are 14-4 when lined between -100 and -150 on the year. Past seven games Cubs batting .220. Play Detroit -121.
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/23/2023
Mariners at White Sox—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby has 24 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 3.23 and WHIP of 1.02. The second year righthander a strikeout mark of 22.4% with 2.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.6% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Kopech to start for Chicago. Kopech in 23 starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 5.12 and WHIP of 1.50. The righty strikes out 22.6% with 14.7% walks. Grounders served at 35.4% with 2.17 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.58 does indicate a rising ERA based on form.
Kopech past three starts allowed fifteen earned runs with 14 walks in 13 2/3rd innings. Kirby has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. White Sox bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.17. Mariners 14-3 to the run line in their past seventeen against an AL team hitting .255 or worse.
Kirby 12-2 to the run line on the road against an AL team with a slugging percentage of .410 or lower. He is also 18-7 to the run line on 5-6 days of rest. Past seven games Mariners averaging 7.9 runs and batting .337. Play Seattle on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/23/2023
Twins at Brewers—Kenta Maeda will start for Minnesota. Maeda has fourteen starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 4.13 and WHIP of 1.16. The veteran strikes out 28.9% with 6.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 32.2% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
Corbin Burnes will start for Milwaukee. Burnes in 25 starts an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP of 1.06. The righthander is striking out 25.2% with 8.9% walks. Grounders dished at 43.6% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Maeda 1-7 in days games with a -8 unit loss this season. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Past ten games Twins bullpen an ERA of 6.03. Play Milwaukee -127.
Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/23/2023
Royals at Athletics—Cole Ragans to start for Kansas City. Ragans appeared in 22 games on the year produces an ERA of 4.08 and WHIP of 1.38. The second year lefthander fans 26.4% with 10.6% walks. Grounders sit at 43% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Muller will start for Oakland. Muller has twelve appearances with an ERA of 7.64 and WHIP of 1.97. The lefty is striking out 14.9% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 48% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings.
Muller past three starts allowed fourteen earned runs in fourteen innings. Past ten games Royals batting .296. Both bullpens struggling. Play Kansas City and Oakland Over 7.5.
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/23/2023
Giants at Phillies—Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb has 23 starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 3.75 and WHIP of 1.39. The thirteen year veteran fans 20.6% with 6.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 56.7% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Lorenzen to start for Philadelphia. Lorenzen in 21 starts puts up an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP of 1.08. The righthander strikes out 18.9% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.6% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Giants have lost five of six. Past seven games San Francisco averaging 3.3 runs per game. In this period Phillies hitting .278 and putting up 6 runs per game. Cobb past three starts has allowed fifteen earned runs in 15 1/3rd innings. Lorenzen at home a WHIP of 1.13. Play Philadelphia -133.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/23/2023
Reds at Angels—Andrew Abbott will start Game 1. Abbott in fourteen starts to the season posts an ERA of 2.99 and WHIP of 1.12. The rookie lefthander is striking out 26.9% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls delivered at 26.7% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani to start for Los Angeles. Ohtani has 22 starts with an ERA of 3.17 and WHIP of 1.06. The righthander has an elite K rate of 31.4% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.4% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Abbott 10-3 facing teams that average seven strikeouts or more per game with a +7.8 unit return. Angels 4-18 facing an NL team with a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.25 or lower.
Team record behind Abbott this year is 11-3. Past seven games Los Angeles hitting .202. Angels +0.4 unit return in Ohtani’s thirteen home starts. Play Cincinnati +142 in Game 1.
In Game 2 Brett Kennedy to start for Cincinnati. Kennedy appeared in three games posting an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP of 1.00. The righthander fans 12.2% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.6% with no homers allowed.
Reid Detmers will start for Los Angeles. Detmers has 22 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.93 and WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander is striking out 27.3% with 9.6% walks. His grounders come in at 34.6% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
Detmers past three starts allowed fourteen earned runs with nine walks in 13 2/3rd innings. He is 6-14 working on 5 of 6 days or rest with a -9.1 unit loss. Reds hit and put up runs against lefthanders. Past ten games Angels bullpen an ERA of 7.52. Play Cincinnati +120 in Game 2.
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Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/23/2023
Marlins at Padres—Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara has 25 starts on the season posts an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP of 1.18. The seven-year veteran strikes out 20.9% with 6.1% walks. Grounders dealt at 52.1% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
Seth Lugo to start for San Diego. Lugo in nineteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.92 and WHIP of 1.26. The righthander is striking out 24% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.7% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
Alcantara has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Padres 16-29 facing a starting pitcher that averages five strikeouts per game or greater with a -18.6 unit loss.
Marlins 24-22 on the road against righthanded starters with a +8.4 unit return. Team record behind Lugo 6-10 when lined at -110 or higher with a -9.7 unit loss. Play Miami +106.
Colorado Rockies vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/26/2023
Rockies at Rays—Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber has 25 starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 5.52 and WHIP of 1.47. The fifth year lefthander is fanning 14.5% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.1% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale at sixteen starts posts an ERA of 2.44 and WHIP of 1.12. The righthander strikes out 18.4% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.3% with limited home run damage. Rays 13-4 to the over against a team with a poor bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse this season.
Past seven games Rockies are batting .296. In this period the Rays are hitting .320 and posting 7.3 runs per game. Gomber was hammered for six earned runs over 5 1/3rd innings in his start against the Diamondbacks. Play Colorado and Tampa Bay over 8.5.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/26/2023
Blue Jays at Orioles—Kevin Gausman starts for Toronto. Gausman in 24 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 3.24 and WHIP of 1.16. The eleven year veteran an elite strikeout rate of 31.7% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.9% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Jack Flaherty is the starter for Baltimore. Flaherty has 23 starts with an ERA of 4.73 and WHIP of 1.55. The righthander deals 22.7% K’s with 11.3% walks. Grounders served at 44% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Orioles past seven games hitting .295 and averaging six runs per game. Blue Jays 12-23 against the division with a -19 unit loss. Orioles have returned +15.2 units as an underdog of +100 or higher. Team record behind Flaherty 15-6 in his closely lined games of -125 to +125. Play Baltimore +121.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/26/2023
Nationals at Yankees—MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has 24 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 4.38 and WHIP of 1.38. The second year lefthander fans 27% with 10% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.5% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino appeared in fifteen games with an ERA of 7.98 and WHIP of 1.88. The nine year righthander a K rate of 18.4% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.4% with 2.66 home runs per nine innings. Nine straight losses for the Yankees.
In their past seven games they are batting .192 and averaging 2.7 runs per game. Nationals in this period hitting .289 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Washington 9-3 facing American League teams averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer with a +8.9 unit return.
They have returned +17.7 units as a road underdog of +100 or higher. Severino past three starts allowed nineteen runs in 11 1/3rd innings. Gore has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Play Washington +123.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/26/2023
Dodgers at Guardians—Clayton Kershaw the starter for Los Angeles. Kershaw has eighteen starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 2.48 and WHIP of 1.03. The veteran is striking out 26.7% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.3% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
A FIP of 3.68 an indicator of a rising ERA based on his numbers. Xzavion Curry will start for Cleveland. Curry has 31 appearances posting an ERA of 3.24 and WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 16.9% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 29.3% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Kershaw has allowed two earned runs in his past four starts working 23 innings. Curry has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Guardians 19-8 to the under facing lefthanded starters. Cleveland bullpen at home an ERA of 2.66. Los Angeles bullpen past ten games an ERA of 0.72. Play Dodgers and Guardians under 8.5.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/26/2023
Mets at Braves—Jose Quintana will start for New York. Quintana has six starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 3.03 and WHIP of 1.26. The twelve year lefthander fans 16.9% with 9.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.7% with minimal home run damage.
Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has 24 starts on the year carrying an ERA of 3.54 and WHIP of 1.43. The sixteen year veteran fans 24.7% with 11.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.3% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Quintana past five starts has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of those games. Morton past two starts allowed no runs with fourteen strikeouts in eleven innings. Braves bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.67. Atlanta is under in five of seven. Play New York and Atlanta under 9.5.
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/26/2023
Red Sox at Astros—Chris Sale the starter for Boston. Sale in thirteen starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.12. The veteran strikes out 28.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.3% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
Jose Urquidy will start for Houston. Urquidy has nine appearances posting an ERA of 5.21 and WHIP of 1.42. The righthander a K rate of 20.6% with 7.9% walks. Grounders served at 37.6% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings.
Astros 67-27 facing lefthanded starters past two seasons. Past seven games Houston hitting .285. Red Sox bullpen past ten games an ERA of 4.95. Urquidy past three starts a WHIP of 0.95. Play Houston -116.
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