Free MLB Picks For Today 8/22/2023
Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Cubs at Tigers—Drew Smyly will start for Chicago. Smyly has 26 appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.92 and WHIP of 1.37. The veteran lefthander strikes out 21.3% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.2% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
Reese Olson to start for Detroit. Olson appeared in fourteen games producing an ERA of 4.83 and WHIP of 1.23. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 22.8% with 6.4% walks.
Ground balls sit at 41.8% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Tigers batting only .226 against lefthander and is 10-19 against them. Olson past five starts allowed 17 earned runs in 24 2/3rd innings. Play Chicago -117.
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Giants at Phillies—Kyle Harrison will start for San Francisco. Harrison will make his MLB debut. The lefthander was a third round pick in 2020 out of high school. He had 20 starts in Triple A in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.66 with WHIP of 1.53 striking out 105 batters in 65 2/3rd innings.
Taijuan Walker will start for Philadelphia. Walker in 24 starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 4.03 and WHIP of 1.28. The eleven year righthander strikes out 19.3% with 10% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.1% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Giants have lost four of five. Team record behind Walker 17-6 against teams that average seven strikeouts per game or greater and 11-1 when favored by -125 to -175. Past ten games Giants bullpen an ERA of 5.26 and Phillies hitting .278 plus putting up 6.4 runs per game. Play Philadelphia -148.
Colorado Rockies vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Rockies at Rays—Ty Blach will start for Colorado. Blach appeared in 12 games in 2023 delivering an ERA of 4.14 and WHIP of 1.46. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 9.3% with 4.9% walks. Grounders come in at 41.5% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.02 signals a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Zack Littell will start for Tampa Bay. Littell has 20 appearances this season delivering an ERA of 3.99 and WHIP of 1.23. The righthander fans 20.7% with 3% walks. Ground balls served at 43.3% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
Blach has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Littell has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Rockies are 37-24 to the under when a road underdog of +100 or higher. Play Colorado and Tampa Bay under 9.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Blue Jays at Orioles—Yusei Kikuchi will start for Toronto. Kikuchi in 24 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.44 and WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander deals 24.9% K’s with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.2% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.34 does suggest a rising ERA based on his numbers.
Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez has sixteen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 5.44 and WHIP of 1.41. The rookie righthander fans 24.7% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.1% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
Kikuchi has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Kikuchi 10-2 to the under in their against teams hitting .255 or worse this season. Past ten games Blue Jays bullpen ERA of 1.85 and Orioles at 2.60. Play Toronto and Baltimore under 8.5.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Nationals at Yankees—Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in 24 starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 3.96 and WHIP of 1.47. The third year righthander sports a K rate of 20% with 10.9% walks. Grounders served at 39.8% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
A FIP of 4.80 does signal a possible rise in ERA should form hold. Carlos Rodon will start for New York. Rodon has six starts with an ERA of 7.33 and WHIP of 1.52. The lefthander strikes out 20.5% with 14.8% walks. Grounders sit at 35.1% with 2.67 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals have won six of eight. They have returned +17.7 units as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Past seven games Nationals batting .289 and averaging 6.1 runs per game.
In this period the Yankees are hitting .192. Gray on the road with an ERA of 2.82. Past five games Rodon has allowed 20 earned runs in 21 2/3rd innings. Play Washington +162.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Cardinals at Pirates—Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright has sixteen starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 8.42 and WHIP of 2.01. The nineteen year veteran strikes out only 11.5% with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.7% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings.
Jovan Oviedo will start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo in 25 starts with an ERA of 4.55 and WHIP of 1.34. The righty is striking out 20.2% with 10% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.2% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Cardinals have scored two runs or fewer in five of their past six games. Past seven games Pirates batting .201. Wainwright last outing encouraging. Oviedo held the Cardinals to one run and ten strikeouts earlier this season. Play St Louis and Pittsburgh under 10.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Dodgers at Guardians—Bobby Miller the starter for Los Angeles. Miller in fourteen starts carries an ERA of 3.70 and WHIP of 1.17. The rookie righthander fans 22.4% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.5% with limited home run damage.
Noah Syndergaard to start for Cleveland. Syndergaard in sixteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 6.57 and WHIP of 1.45. The veteran is striking out 14.3% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.5% with 2.11 home runs per nine innings.
Miller has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight starts. Syndergaard past five starts has allowed 19 earned runs in 24 1/3rd innings. Past seven games Guardians hitting .239 and averaging 3.4 runs per game. Los Angeles 33-19 to the run line against a losing team this year. Play Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 8/22/2023
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Mets at Braves—Tylor Megill to start for New York. Megill has eighteen starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 5.53 and WHIP of 1.70. The righthander fans 17.4% with 11.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 43% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Bryce Elder the starter for Atlanta. Elder in 24 starts carries an ERA of 3.46 and WHIP of 1.21. The second year righty strikes out 17.6% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 52.4% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Elder has allowed twelve runs in his past three starts working 16 1/3rd innings.
Megill past four starts allowed 18 runs in 17 1/3rd innings. Mets bullpen has struggled of late. Braves 36-25 to the over when favored at home by -110 or higher on the season. Play New York and Atlanta over 10.5.
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Red Sox at Astros—Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck in thirteen starts to the season has an ERA of 5.05 and WHIP of 1.26. The righthander has a K rate of 22.5% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.7% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.21 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander has nineteen starts with an ERA of 3.36 and WHIP of 1.19. The nineteen year veteran has seen his strikeouts plummet to 20.2% with 7.5% walks. Grounders sit at 36.5% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
Verlander has allowed eight runs in his past two starts working 11 innings. Past seven games Red Sox hitting .273 and putting up six runs per game. Boston 12-8 as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Play Boston +134.
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Mariners at White Sox—Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo has eleven starts posts an ERA of 4.75 and WHIP of 1.24. The rookie righthander strikes out 25.9% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Mike Clevinger will start for Chicago. Clevinger in sixteen starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 3.26 and WHIP of 1.25. The veteran righty has a K rate of 19.7% with 8.9% walks. Grounders served at 30.3% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.42 does imply a rising ERA based on his numbers.
Seven straight wins for the Mariners. But Clevinger has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five starts. Woo returns from a forearm and last pitched 19 days ago. Past four starts Woo has allowed sixteen runs in 20 1/3rd innings. Play Chicago +134.
Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Twins at Brewers—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in 20 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.40 and WHIP of 1.13. The third year righthander is striking out 24.6% with 4.8% walks. Grounders dealt at 32.9% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley has sixteen starts with an ERA of 3.05 and WHIP of 1.17. The veteran lefthander fans 16.3% with 7.7% walks. Grounders sit at 43.1% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.52 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his performance.
Ober past four starts allowed fifteen runs in 19 innings. Past four starts Miley has allowed five earned runs in 21 innings. Twins -19.4 units this season facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower.
Brewers 29-16 when lined at +100 to -150 this year. Twins hitting .220 against lefthanded starters and pushing across 3.3 runs per game. Minnesota bullpen an ERA of 6.03 past ten games. Play Milwaukee -108.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Reds at Angels–Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in 23 starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.89 with WHIP of 1.40. The second year righthander strikes out 16.4% with 8.75 walks. Grounders sit at 48.9% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
Lucas Giolito will start for Los Angeles. Giolito has 25 starts in the season with an ERA of 4.44 and WHIP of 1.27. The veteran fans 24.8% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.4% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Reds are 30-16 facing a poor bullpen with an ERA of 4.20 or higher on the season with a +17.7 unit return.
Los Angeles is 5-21 facing a National League Team averaging 4.5 runs or greater on the season. Team record behind Giolito 8-20 against winning teams with a -13.1 unit loss.
Ashcraft over his past five starts allowed nine earned runs in 33 1/3rd innings. Giolito past three starts allowed sixteen earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings. Angels past seven games hitting .202. Play Cincinnati +120.
Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Royals at Athletics—Zack Greinke to start for Kansas City Grienke has 22 starts on the year posting an ERA of 5.53 and WHIP of 1.27. The nineteen year veteran fans 15.8% with 3.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.2% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings.
Hogan Harris to start for Oakland. Harris appeared in thirteen games with an ERA of 6.98 and WHIP of 1.48. The rookie lefthander is striking out 19.3% with 9.8% walks.
Grounders come in at 38.7% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. Greinke returns from an elbow injury. Greinke on the road an ERA of 7.69 with 2.7 home runs allowed per nine innings. Play Oakland +110.
Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Rangers at Diamondbacks—Jon Gray will start for Texas. Gray in 22 starts on the year has an ERA of 3.52 and WHIP of 1.19. The nine year righthander has a K rate of 20.5% with 7.9% walks. Grounders served at 40.6% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Zac Gallen will start for Arizona. Gallen in 26 starts an ERA of 3.17 and WHIP of 1.05. The fifth year righty fans 26.1% with 5.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.2% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Gray past two starts allowed one earned run in fourteen innings.
Gallen has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Diamondbacks 20-5 to the under in their past 25 against winning teams. Rangers 27-16 to the under in their past 43 games. Past seven games Texas hitting only .231. Play Texas and Arizona under 8.5.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/22/2023
Marlins at Padres—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo has 25 starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 4.13 and WHIP of 1.29. The fifth year lefthander a K rate of 27.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has 25 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 2.65 and WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander has an elite 31% strikeout rate with 13.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.7% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.77 indicates a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Luzardo has allowed 21 runs in his past four starts working 17 innings. Snell has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five. Marlins offense struggling the past three on this trip. Padres hit well and put up runs against lefthanded starters. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at +119.
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