Free MLB Picks For Today 8/21/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 8/21/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 8/21/2023

Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/21/2023

Cubs at Tigers—Javier Assad will start for Chicago. Assad has 22 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.11 and WHIP of 1.25. The righthander strikes out 18.1% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls served at 46.1% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.41 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.

 

Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo in nine starts carries an ERA of 5.16 and WHIP of 0.99. The second year righty fans 22.7% with 6.1% walks. Grounders sit at 36.7% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings.

 

Cubs hitting only .223 past ten games. Faedo past three starts allowed three earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings. He does have a WHIP of 1.14 at home. Play Detroit +119.

San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/21/2023

Giants at Phillies—Sean Manaea is expected primary pitcher for San Francisco. Manaea in 29 appearances an ERA of 4.89 and WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander is striking out 28.5% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.3% with 0.89 home run damage

 

. Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has 25 starts on the season dealing an ERA of 4.58 and WHIP of 1.15. The veteran righthander fans 25.4% with 6.2% walks. Grounders come in at 39.8% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. San Francisco has won nine of ten against the Phillies.

 

Philadelphia has failed to win a series in three straight. Alexander the opener for San Francisco has allowed no runs in three of four starts. Nola in his past four starts allowed seventeen runs in 20 innings. Giants have pounded him the past two seasons. Play San Francisco +145.

St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/21/2023

Cardinals at Pirates—Drew Rom to start for St Louis. Rom expected to make his MLB debut. The lefthander spent 2022 in Double and Triple A with an ERA of 5.58 and WHIP of 1.69 in Triple A. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his past seven Triple A starts this year.

 

Bailey Falter to start for Pittsburgh. Falter appeared in eleven games on the campaign posting an ERA of 4.86 with WHIP of 1.49. The third year lefthander strikes out 16.2% with 5.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.2% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings.

 

Pirates past ten games hitting only .207. They hit just .213 in divisional games. Cardinals do hit and put up runs against lefthanders. Play St Louis -118.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/21/2023

Mets at Braves—David Peterson to start for New York. Peterson appeared in 20 games on the year carrying an ERA of 5.45 and WHIP of 1.65. The lefthander strikes out 24.2% with 11% walks. Ground balls sit at 56.3% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.

 

Allan Winans to start for Atlanta. Winans has two starts on the year allowing two earned runs with fourteen strikeouts in 11 1/3rd innings. The righthander was a 17th round pick in 2018 out of Campbell. He has put up good numbers in most levels of the minors.

 

Peterson has not been able to make in through four complete innings past three starts. Braves put up four runs over five innings against him this year. New York 10-24 to the run line against a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or better with a -16.1 unit loss.

 

They are also 7-15 to the run line on the road against a team averaging 1.5 home runs per game or greater. Past ten games New York bullpen an ERA of 8.52 and Braves at 1.82. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -105.

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/21/2023

Red Sox at Astros—James Paxton to start for Boston. Paxton in sixteen starts produces an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander fans 26.3% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.3% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings.

 

Cristian Javier will start for Houston. Javier in 23 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 4.49 and WHIP of 1.23. The righthander fans 21.8% with 8.2% walks. Grounders served at 26.4% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. Boston is 35-19 facing American League teams hitting .255 or worse on the year.

 

Astros 10-18 at home when lined at -100 to -150 this season with a -16.3 unit loss. Paxton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Javier has allowed 12 runs in his past four starts working 20 1/3rd innings. Play Boston +117.

 

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Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/21/2023

Mariners at White Sox—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in 25 starts posts an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP of 1.05. The seventh year righthander deals 27.3% strikeouts with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 40.7% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.

 

Touki Toussaint will start for Chicago. Toussaint has twelve appearances in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.47 and WHIP of 1.45. The righty sports a K rate of 23.1% with 16.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 50.8% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Castillo past three starts allowed twelve earned runs in 19 innings.

 

Toussaint has allowed eleven earned runs in his past 14 1/3rd innings. White Sox bullpen an ERA of 6.38 past ten games. Mariners over their past seven games hitting .290. Mariners are 19-8 to the over on the road against bad teams with a .380 to .460 win percentage. Play Seattle and Chicago over 9.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/21/2023

Reds at Angels—Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in 23 starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.89 with WHIP of 1.40. The second year righthander strikes out 16.4% with 8.75 walks. Grounders sit at 48.9% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.

 

Lucas Giolito will start for Los Angeles. Giolito has 25 starts in the season with an ERA of 4.44 and WHIP of 1.27. The veteran fans 24.8% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.4% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Reds are 30-16 facing a poor bullpen with an ERA of 4.20 or higher on the season with a +17.7 unit return.

 

Los Angeles is 5-21 facing a National League Team averaging 4.5 runs or greater on the season. Team record behind Giolito 8-20 against winning teams with a -13.1 unit loss.

 

Ashcraft over his past five starts allowed nine earned runs in 33 1/3rd innings. Giolito past three starts allowed sixteen earned runs in 15 2/3rd innings. Angels past seven games hitting .202. Play Cincinnati +108.

Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/21/2023

Royals at Athletics—Alec Marsh to start for Kansas City. Marsh appeared in nine games this season delivering an ERA of 5.68 and WHIP of 1.68. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 23% with 13.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 31.8% with 2.37 home runs per nine innings.

 

A FIP of 6.81 has an arrow up on his ERA based on form. Paul Blackburn will start for Oakland. Blackburn in fourteen appearances produces an ERA of 4.09 and WHIP of 1.50. The seventh year righty strikes out 22.9% with 8% walks. Grounders dished at 40.6% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.

 

Blackburn has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts with the Athletics winning all four of those games. Marsh ERA on the road of 7.41 with WHIP of 1.76. Play Oakland -125.

Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/21/2023

Rangers at Diamondbacks—Jordan Montgomery will start for Texas. Montgomery in 24 starts on the season delivers an ERA of 3.30 and WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander is striking out 22% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.9% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.

 

Slade Cecconi will start for Arizona. Cecconi in three appearances posts an ERA of 3.48 and WHIP of 1.26. The rookie righthander fans 15.9% with 9.1% walks. Grounders dished at 48.4% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.91 indicates a possible increase in ERA if form holds.

 

Massive step up in class for Arizona after beating up on losing teams in the Padres and Rockies in their past three series. Diamondbacks 6-19 in their past 25 against winning teams with a -11.7 unit loss. Montgomery has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Diamondbacks bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.44. Play Texas -155.

Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/21/2023

Marlins at Padres—Ryan Weathers to start for Miami. Weathers in thirteen appearances on the year carries an ERA of 6.89 and WHIP of 1.70. The traded lefty strikes out 15.7% with 9.7% walks. Grounders served at 39.2% with 2.05 home runs per nine innings.

 

Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has 25 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 2.65 and WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander has an elite 31% strikeout rate with 13.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.7% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.77 indicates a rise in ERA based on his numbers.

 

Padres past seven games hitting .207 and Marlins struggling to score runs against lefthanded starters. Snell 13-4 to the under facing an NL team with an OBP of .315 or worse and 27-14 to the under at home. Marlins are 22-10 to the under against lefthanded starters. Play Miami and San Diego under 8.5.

 

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Free MLB Picks For Today 8/21/2023

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