Free MLB Picks For Today 8/16/2023
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Pirates at Mets—Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo has 24 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.42 and WHIP of 1.31. The fourth year righthander strikes out 20.4% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls served at 44.1% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Tylor Megill will start for New York. Megill in seventeen starts produces an ERA of 5.64 plus WHIP of 1.70. The righty fans 17.1% with 10.7% walks. Grounders served at 42.4% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. Pirates are 30-23 facing losing teams with a +11.4 unit return. Past seven games New York hitting .225.
Oviedo has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four. Megill past five starts allowed 26 runs in 22 innings. Pirates pounded Megill for nine runs over 3 2/3rd innings on June 9th. Play Pittsburgh +110.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Tigers at Twins—Reese Olson will start for Detroit. Olson in thirteen appearances on the campaign delivers an ERA of 4.45 and WHIP of 1.14. The rookie righthander has a K rate of 23.1% with 6.4% walks. Grounders dished at 43.5% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
Kenta Maeda will start for Minnesota. Maeda has thirteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.97 and WHIP of 1.11. The veteran strikes out 28.8% with 6.4% walks. Grounders served at 33.5% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Olsen has faced the Twins twice this year allowing one runs over 11 1/3rd innings.
Maeda faced the Tigers twice in 2023 allowing one run in 11 innings. Twins 50-21 to the under to these bad teams with a .380 to .460 win percentage. Tigers bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.52. Play Detroit and Minnesota under 9.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Slade Cecconi to s for Arizona. Cecconi appeared in two starts on the campaign allowing two earned runs with three strikeouts in 6 1/3rd innings. Drafted in 2020 out of Miami. The righthander had 20 starts in Triple A on the year posting an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 0.95 striking out 104 batters in 103 innings.
Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber has 23 starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 5.33 and WHIP of 1.46. The lefthander deals 15% strikeouts with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.2% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings.
After losing the opener of this series the Diamondbacks have lost eight of ten. Team record behind Gomber 18-10 as an underdog of +100 to +150. Past ten games Arizona bullpen an ERA of 6.46 and team hitting .222. Play Colorado +124.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Rays at Giants—Aaron Civale will start for Tampa Bay. Civale in fifteen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 2.61 and WHIP of 1.12. The fifth year righthander is striking out 18.2% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.6% with limited home run damage.
Ross Stripling will be the starter for San Francisco. Stripling appeared in eighteen games delivering an ERA of 5.10 and WHIP of 1.26. The veteran strikes out 19.1% with 3.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.3% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. After losing the opener of this series the Giants have lost seven of nine.
Civale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Past ten games Giants hitting .190 and Rays .286. Civale on the road an ERA of 2.13 with WHIP of 1.13. Stripling at home an ERA of 7.05. Play Tampa Bay -110.
Houston Astros vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Astros at Marlins—Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander in eighteen starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.19 and WHIP of 1.15. The nineteen year veteran fans 21% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.2% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Jesus Luzardo will start for Miami. Luzardo has 24 starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 3.91 and WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander strikes out 28.2% with 6.8% walks. Grounders come in at 41.4% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.. Verlander has allowed seven earned runs in his past five starts.
Luzardo has been hammered for fifteen earned runs with five homers in his past three starts working 13 1/3rd innings. Astros bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.00. Play Houston -125.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Guardians at Reds—Noah Syndergaard to start for Cleveland. Syndergaard in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 6.35 and WHIP of 1.40. The veteran righthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 14.5% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.7% with 1.99 home runs per nine innings.
Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott has thirteen starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 2.95 and WHIP of 1.11. The rookie lefthander fans 27% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 26.7% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
Abbott past three starts allowed 12 earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings. Syndergaard has allowed one earned run in two of three starts. Past ten games Guardians bullpen an ERA of 2.91. Play Cleveland +130.
Oakland Athletics vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Athletics at Cardinals—Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn has thirteen appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 4.52 and WHIP of 1.55. The seven year righthander fans 22.2% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.1% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Matthew Liberatore to start for St Louis. Liberatore appeared in eleven games posting an ERA of 5.72 and WHIP of 1.51. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 14.4% with 8.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 42.2% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
St Louis 10-12 as a home favorite of -150 or greater with a -12.4 unit loss. Blackburn past four starts allowed seven earned runs in 23 innings. Liberatore in his past four starts allowed twelve earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings. Play Oakland +154.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 8/16/2023
Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Red Sox at Nationals—James Paxton to start for Boston. Paxton has fifteen starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 3.36 plus WHIP of 1.15. The eleven year lefthander strikes out 27.4% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.4% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
Mackenzie Gore is the starter for Washington. Gore in 23 starts puts up an ERA of 4.62 and WHIP of 1.43. The lefty fans 26.7% with 10% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.1% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Paxton 3-8 as a favorite of -110 or higher with a -7.9 unit loss.
Paxton on the road an ERA of 4.07. Nationals hit .273 against lefthanded starters with a +4.1 unit return. Paxton past five starts allowed fourteen runs in 24 1/3rd innings. Play Washington +142.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Phillies at Blue Jays—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in 24 starts on the season posts an ERA of 4.49 and WHIP of 1.14. The nine year veteran strikes out 25.2% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.7% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings.
Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto. Gausman in 23 starts an ERA of 3.04 and WHIP of 1.14. The righthander has an elite 32.5% strikeouts with 6% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.6% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Gausman 4-11 when a home favorite of -125 to -175 with a -13 unit loss.
Past seven games Phillies are hitting .264 and averaging 5.6 runs per game. Blue Jays in this period averaging only 3.4 runs per game. Play Philadelphia +138.
New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Yankees at Braves—Randy Vasquez to start for New York. Vasquez in four appearances delivers an ERA of 1.89 and WHIP of 1.05. The rookie righthander strikes out 15% with 10% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.7% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.11 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Charlie Morton will start for Atlanta. Morton has 23 starts on the season producing an ERA of 3.71 and WHIP of 1.46. The sixteen year veteran a strikeout mark of 23.9% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.8% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees have lost seven of nine with six of those losses by two runs or greater. Past ten games Braves hitting .323 and averaging 8.1 runs per game. In this period the Atlanta bullpen an ERA of 2.29 and the Yankees sit at 4.78.
Braves 12-5 to the run line in their past seventeen against a team that averages seven strikeouts or greater per game. New York hitting only .222 in night games and averaging 3.8 runs per game. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
LA Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Angels at Rangers—Griffin Canning to start for Los Angeles. Canning in seventeen appearances has an ERA of 4.69 with WHIP of 1.27. The fourth year righthander strikes out 25.6% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.1% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings.
Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray has 21 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.65 and WHIP of 1.19. The nine year veteran delivers 20.8% K’s with 7.9% walks. Grounders served at 40.3% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Past seven games Angels hitting .191.
Texas puts up 6.3 runs per game at home. Los Angeles 3-9 to the run line in their past 12 against a winning team with a -9.5 unit loss. Rangers 15-8 to the run line in their past 23 at home against a losing team. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at +106.
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
White Sox at Cubs—Mike Clevinger will start for Chicago White Sox. Clevinger has fifteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP of 1.30. The righthander fans 19.2% with 9% walks. Ground balls dished at 29.8% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.59 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad in 21 appearances an ERA of 3.12 and WHIP of 1.27. The second year righty strikes out 18.1% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Clevinger has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Past seven games Cubs batting only .229. Assad in his two starts at home an ERA of 5.40 with WHIP of 1.8. Play White Sox +156.
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Mariners at Royals—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo has 24 starts with an ERA of 3.14 and WHIP of 1.03. The righthander deals 28.2% K’s with 6.2% walks. Grounders sit at 41.4% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Alec Marsh to start for KC.
Marsh in eight appearances in 2023 posts an ERA of 6.27 and WHIP of 1.67. The rookie righty fans 22.9% with 12.4% walks. Grounders served at 30.9% with 2.73 home runs per nine innings. Royals bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.18.
KC 15-25 to the run line facing AL teams allowing 4.4 runs per game or fewer with a -13 unit loss. Marsh past three starts allowed twelve earned runs with eight walks in 12 innings. Play Seattle on the run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Orioles at Padres—Dean Kremer the starter for Baltimore. Kremer has 24 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.32. The fourth year righthander is striking out 21.4% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls served at 37% with 1.70 home runs per nine innings.
Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell in 24 starts has an ERA of 2.63 and WHIP of 1.28. The lefthander has an elite K rate of 31.3% with 13.9% walks. Grounders come in at 43.9% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.74 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.
After losing the opener of this series the Padres had lost seven of eight Kremer has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four straight. Snell past two starts allowed five earned runs with eight walks in eleven innings.
Padres bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.55. Team record behind Kremer 17-5 facing teams that average 7 strikeouts per game or greater. Play Baltimore +144.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. LA Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/16/2023
Brewers at Dodgers—Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley in fifteen starts to the season has an ERA of 2.90 and WHIP of 1.13. The thirteen year lefthander strikes out 17% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.9% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.41 signals a rising ERA based on his advanced numbers.
Clayton Kershaw is the starter for Los Angeles. Kershaw has seventeen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 2.51 and WHIP of 1.03. The veteran fans 27.5% with 6% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.5% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Kershaw has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five. Smyly past three starts allowed two earned runs in sixteen innings. Dodgers 12-4 to the under at home facing an NL team hitting .250 or worse.
Brewers 22-12 to the under against lefthanded starters. Milwaukee bats only .219 against lefthanders and Dodgers hitting .249. Play Milwaukee and Los Angeles under 8.5.
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