Free MLB Picks For Today 8/7/2023
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Dodgers at Padres—Tony Gonsolin to start for Los Angeles. Gonsolin in seventeen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.15. The fifth year righthander strikes out 19.4% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls served at 37.6% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Seth Lugo to start for San Diego. Lugo has sixteen starts with an ERA of 3.54 and WHIP of 1.19. The righty fans 24% with 5.2% walks. Grounders dished at 46.7% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Dodgers have won seven of eight against the Padres. Team record behind Lugo 3-15 when facing a team with a .540 to .620 win percentage. Past seven games Dodgers averaging 5.9 runs per game. Gonsolin past three starts against the Padres allowed two earned runs in 11 1/3rd innings. San Diego hitting only .229 against righthanders. Play Los Angeles +107.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Nationals at Phillies—Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams has 22 starts on the campaign an ERA of 4.72 with WHIP of 1.49. The eight year righthander fans 16.4% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.8% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Rangers Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in fifteen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP of 1.43. The lefthander strikes out 20.8% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 52.5% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Williams past two starts allowed nine earned runs in ten innings. Nationals are hitting .272 against lefthanders. Play Washington and Philadelphia over 9.5.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Marlins at Reds—Eury Perez to start for Miami. Perez has eleven starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 2.36 with WHIP of 1.09. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 28.4% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.8% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.69 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Brandon Williamson will start for Cincinnati. Williamson in fourteen starts has an ERA of 4.85 plus WHIP of 1.34. The rookie lefthander striking out 19.1% with 10.1% walks. Grounders dealt at 34.2% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. Miami bullpen past ten games has an ERA of 5.84. Miami is 16-40 against lefthanded starters past two seasons with a -21.7 unit loss. They are averaging only 3.9 runs per game against lefthanders this year. Reds past seven games averaging 5.6 runs per game. Play Cincinnati +120.
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Twins at Tigers—Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez in 22 starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander fans 29.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.5% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Joey Wentz to start for Detroit. Wentz has seventeen appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 6.37 and WHIP of 1.60. The lefthander is striking out 20.6% with 9.2% walks. Grounders served at 38.1% with 1.89 home runs per nine innings. Lopez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Twins are 48-19 to the under to bad teams with a .380 to .460 win rate past two seasons. Minnesota hits only .216 against lefthanders. Detroit batting only .232 against righthanders. Play Minnesota and Detroit under 8.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Braves at Pirates—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider in 22 starts posts an ERA of 3.61 with WHIP of 1.09. The righty has an elite 39.3% strikeout mark with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.1% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Osvaldo Bido to start for Pittsburgh. Bido appeared in nine games this year posting an ERA of 5.18 with WHIP of 1.52. The rookie righthander fans 19.9% with 9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.6% with limited home run damage. His FIP is 3.99 which suggests a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Atlanta has won eight straight against Pittsburgh with seven wins by two runs or greater. Strider past two starts allowed three earned runs with 19 strikeouts in 13 innings. Bido past four starts allowed thirteen earned runs in 13 innings. Past seven games Atlanta hitting .311 and averaging 7.3 runs per game. Braves 31-11 to the run line facing a bad team on the road with a .380 to .460 win percentage with a +17.4 unit return. The are also 21-4 to the run line against a Nationals League team with an OBP of .315 or worse this year. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -160.
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Royals at Red Sox—Cole Ragans to start for Kansas City. Ragans in nineteen appearances posts an ERA of 4.33 with WHIP of 1.36. The traded lefthander previously with Texas fans 23.2% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls served at 41.8% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello has eighteen starts with an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.24. The second year righthander fans 20.6% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 56.2% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Royals 8-2 to the over past ten games. Past ten games KC has a bullpen ERA of 6.14 and Boston at 6.80. Kansas City is 74-51 to the over against a winning team. Past seven games Royals are hitting .307 and averaging 6.4 runs per game. Play Kansas City and Boston over 10.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Cubs at Mets—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly has appeared in 22 games on the season with an ERA of 4.71 with WHIP of 1.35. The twelve year lefthander fans 21.3% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.1% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. Kodai Senga to start for New York. Senga in 20 starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 3.25 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander strikes out 28.7% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.4% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Cubs have won five of six. Mets in free fall dropping all six on the road trip. New York 11-26 against left handed starters with a -23.1 unit loss. Past seven games Chicago hitting .291 and averaging 7.7 runs per game. Smyly’s numbers have been better on the road. Play Chicago +110.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Blue Jays at Guardians—Hyun Jin Ryu to start for Toronto. Ryu in his first start in 2023 allowed four earned runs with nine hits in five innings at home to Baltimore. He returned from Tommy John surgery. The lefthander has 176 career appearances with 175 starts posting an ERA of 3.28 with WHIP of 1.18. He struck out 899 batters in 1008 1/3rd innings. Gavin Williams to start for Cleveland. Williams has eight starts with an ERA of 3.38 plus WHIP of 1.34. The rookie righthander is striking out 20.7% with 11.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 35% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Guardians have dropped seven of nine. Past seven games Cleveland hitting .217 and averaging 2.9 runs per game. Williams at home an ERA of 4.21. Play Toronto -123.
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Rockies at Brewers—Peter Lambert to start for Colorado. Lambert has eighteen appearances producing an ERA of 5.07 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander fans 20.2% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.7% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings. Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in 21 starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 4.46 plus WHIP of 1.25. The sixth year righty strikes out 28.3% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.9% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Lambert has allowed no earned runs in three of four starts. Peralta past three starts allowed nine earned runs in 17 innings. Team record behind Peralta 7-17 to the run line against losing teams with a -28.8 unit loss. Play Colorado on run line +1.5 runs at +100.
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Yankees at White Sox—Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole in 23 starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 2.64 with WHIP of 1.04. The eleven year veteran has a K rate of 27.5% with 6.7% walks. Grounders dished at 38.8% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has 23 starts with an ERA of 4.61 plus WHIP of 1.40. The righthander strikes out 26.9% with 9.7% walks. Grounders sit at 37.7% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.74 which indicates a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Cole has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Cease past two starts allowed eleven earned runs in 7 1/3rd innings. Yankees have pounded Cease in the past. Past ten games Yankees bullpen ERA 1.91. Play New York -163.
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Giants at Angels—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in 23 starts on the year has an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.08. The fifth year righthander is striking out 24.7% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls served at 60.6% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Patrick Sandoval to start for Los Angeles. Sandoval in nineteen starts delivers an ERA of 4.11 plus WHIP of 1.41. The lefty fans 18.6% with 10% walks. Ground balls served at 50.5% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. Past seven games Giants hitting .225 and averaging 2.9 runs per game. Angels struggling for runs in this period. San Francisco 35-20 to the under when favored by -110 or higher. Sandoval 9-2 to the under in night games. Play San Francisco and Los Angeles under 8.5.
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/7/2023
Rangers at Athletics—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in 24 appearances has an ERA of 3.14 plus WHIP of 1.14. The fourth year righthander strikes out 17% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 46% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.13 an indicator of a rise in ERA should form hold. Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk has 25 appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 6.52 plus WHIP of 1.74. The second year lefthander fans 21.4% with 13% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.8% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings. Rangers have won five of six against Oakland with all wins by two runs or greater. Waldichuk past three starts allowed eleven earned runs with eight walks in 11 2/3rd innings. Rangers are hitting .285 against lefthanders and averaging 6.5 runs per game. Texas 28-12 to the run line facing an AL team averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer. They are also 13-4 to the run line facing a starting pitcher that averages less than five innings per start. Dunning 18-7 to the run line against the AL West with a +12.1 unit return. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at -125.