Free MLB Picks For Today 8/4/2023
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Braves at Cubs—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in five starts in 2023 has an ERA of 2.08 with WHIP of 1.08. The lefthander fans 24.3% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 60.9% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. He returns from a forearm injury that placed him on the 60 Day injured list.
Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks has thirteen starts carrying an ERA of 3.49 with WHIP of 1.06. The veteran righthander fans 15.3% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls served at 46.4% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Hendricks 20-12 facing a winning team with a +12.4 unit return. Chicago 19-10 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 with a +18.1 unit return. Cubs bats have been hot. Play Chicago +145.
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Nationals at Reds—Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in 22 starts on the season delivers an ERA of 5.07 with WHIP of 1.53. The twelve year lefthander strikes out 15.5% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls served at 44.7% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft has 20 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 5.31 with WHIP of 1.50. The second year righthander fans 16.4% with 9.3% walks.
Ground balls served at 47.6% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Reds bullpen has been hammered. Ashcraft has been hammered at home with an ERA of 6.71 in 11 starts. Play Washington +169.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Rays at Tigers—Zack Littell will start for Tampa Bay. Littell has seventeen appearances on the campaign producing an ERA of 4.85 with WHIP of 1.48. The righthander fans 22.7% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls served at 46.9% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.45 does indicate a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Reese Olson to start for Detroit. Olson in eleven appearances with an ERA of 4.71 with WHIP of 1.13. The rookie righty has a K rate of 22.9% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.6% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Rays have won eight of nine against the Tigers.
Littell has allowed two earned runs or lower in four straight starts. Olson past two starts allowed nine earned runs with three homers in eleven innings. Past seven games Detroit hitting .228. Littell on the road an ERA of 2.61. Olson in his four home starts an ERA of 6.87. Play Tampa Bay -144.
New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Mets at Orioles—David Peterson to start for New York. Peterson appeared in seventeen games on the season with an ERA of 5.92 and WHIP of 1.62. The lefthander is striking out 24.4% with 9% walks. Ground balls served at 55.8% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.31 which suggests a possible drop in ERA based on form.
Dean Kremer will start for Baltimore. Kremer has 22 starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.66 plus WHIP of 1.34. The fourth year righthander deals 21.8% K’s with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.2% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings.
Mets drop three straight in Kansas City allowing 20 runs. Team record behind Kremer 15-5 facing a team that averages seven or greater strikeout per game. New York 7-25 as an underdog of +100 or greater this season with a -17.3 unit return. Play Baltimore -157.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Astros at Yankees—Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown in twenty starts on the year posts an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.30. The second year righthander strikes out 27% with 7.9% walks. Grounders come in at 53.7% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino has twelve starts delivering an ERA of 7.49 with WHIP of 1.84. The veteran righty fans 18% with 8.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.5% with 2.34 home runs per nine innings. Past five starts Severino allowed 29 runs in 21 2/3rd innings.
Brown has allowed two earned runs in each of his past two starts. Astros past seven games hitting .274 and averaging 5.6 runs per game. New York hitting only .217 in night games. Play Houston -138.
Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Royals at Phillies—Jordan Lyles to start for Kansas City. Lyles in twenty starts to the season carries an ERA of 6.15 with WHIP of 1.29. The thirteen year veteran strikes out 16.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 32.8% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings.
Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has 22 starts posting an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander is striking out 24.7% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls served at 40.7% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. Royals 71-51 to the over against winning teams past two seasons.
Past seven games Royals hitting .293 and averaging five runs per game. Lyles on the road an ERA of 7.52. Kansas City bullpen an ERA of 5.50 past ten games. Nola past four starts allowed eighteen runs in 25 innings. Play Kansas City and Philadelphia over 9.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Blue Jays at Red Sox—Alek Manoah to start for Toronto. Manoah in seventeen starts on the year has an ERA of 5.87 with WHIP of 1.79. The third year righthander fans 18.4% with 14.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.9% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
James Paxton to start for Boston. Paxton has thirteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP of 1.07. The veteran lefthander a strikeout mark of 28.4% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.7% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox have won seven straight against the Blue Jays.
Paxton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Toronto is 8-22 against the division this year with a -21.9 unit loss. They have a -22.1 unit loss against left handed starters past two seasons. Paxton at home an ERA of 2.25 with WHIP of 0.93. Past ten games Blue Jays hitting .230. Play Boston -152.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 8/4/2023
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
White Sox at Guardians—Mike Clevinger to start for Chicago. Clevinger in thirteen starts has an ERA of 3.59 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander a strikeout rate of 19.3% with 9% walks. Ground balls served at 31% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.67 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen has fifteen starts this year producing an ERA of 3.70 and WHIP of 1.37. The rookie lefthander fans 23.1% with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.9% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians 25-7 to the under against the division and 13-4 to the under as a favorite of -150 or greater. Past seven games White Sox hitting .210 and Guardians at .225. Guardians bullpen an ERA of 26.3 at home. Play Chicago and Cleveland under 8.5.
Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Marlins at Rangers—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in 22 starts in 2023 has an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander is striking out 28.6% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.9% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Montgomery to start for Texas. Montgomery has 21 starts with an ERA of 3.42 and WHIP of 1.25. The seventh year lefty fans 21.2% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls served at 44.4% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Rangers hitting .285 against lefthanders pushing across 6.6 runs per game. Luzardo an ERA of 4.63 on the road. Play Texas -135.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Diamondbacks at Twins—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in eighteen starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander strikes out 25.3% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.4% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has seventeen starts delivering an ERA of 3.19 with WHIP of 1.04. The third year righty fans 24.3% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.6% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Diamondbacks 14-4 to the under in their past eighteen against a winning team.
Kelly 20-7 to the under in his past 27 against a winning team. Past seven games Arizona hitting .228 and struggling to score runs. Twins batting only .231 against the National League. Play Arizona and Minnesota under 8.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Pirates at Brewers—Quinn Priester to start for Pittsburgh on Friday. Priester in three starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 9.19 with WHIP of 1.72. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 17.8% with 15.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.9% with 2.30 home runs per nine innings.
Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea in nineteen appearances has an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP of 1.20. The righty fans 20.6% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 44.2% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. Brewers have now won seven of eight against the Pirates after their 14-1 win in the opener.
Rea held the Pirates to two earned runs in 6 2/3rd innings in a victory last month. Pirates 21-38 to the run line with a -22.4 unit loss facing an NL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.25 or lower. Pittsburgh past seven games hitting .219. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
Colorado Rockies vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Rockies at Cardinals—Chris Flexen to start for Colorado. Flexen has eighteen appearances on the year with an ERA of 8.08 and WHIP of 1.93. The righthander fans 15.1% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.5% with 2.56 home runs per nine innings.
Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright in thirteen starts posts an ERA of 7.18 with WHIP of 1.90. The veteran strikes out 11.3% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 37.9% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings. Both pitchers in poor form. Cardinals bullpen an ERA of 4.55 at home. Play Colorado and St Louis over 9.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Mariners at Angels—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in 22 starts on the season carries an ERA of 2.88 with WHIP of 1.01. The seventh year righthander strikes out 28.3% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 40.2% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.72 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers has nineteen starts with an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander fans 29.3% with 9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.2% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Castillo past two starts allowed two earned runs in thirteen innings. Past seven games Mariners batting .276 and putting up 5.1 runs per game. Past ten games Mariners bullpen an ERA of 1.65. Play Seattle -112.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 8/4/2023
Dodgers at Padres—Bobby Miller to start for Los Angeles. Miller has eleven starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.37 plus WHIP of 1.19. The rookie righthander strikes out 23.8% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.2% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Yu Darvish will start for San Diego. Darvish in nineteen starts has an ERA of 4.53 with WHIP of 1.29. The twelve year veteran a strikeout mark of 25.9% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls served at 42.9% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
Darvish has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Miller past two starts allowed six earned runs in eleven innings. Padres home series against the Rangers is encouraging here. Play San Diego -105.
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