Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/28/2023 Picks

Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/28/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

The Pittsburgh Pirates are hosting the Philadelphia Phillies at the PNC Park in Pittsburgh on Friday, July 28, 2023, at 18:40 ET in the opening game of this series.

The Pirates have been alternating wins and losses for their last 8 games, while the Phillies are 3-1 in their last 4 games.

The Pirates have a 45-57 record so far this season, 23-26 at home and 51-45-4 in over/under. They are sitting on the second to last place of the AL Central Division.

They are coming off a road victory against the San Diego Padres with a 3-2 score. Jack Suwinski leads the team in home runs this season with 21, while Jared Triolo leads the team in batting average with .274.

The Pirates average 4.2 runs offensively while allowing 5.09 runs per game defensively. They have a .232 hitting percentage and average 1 home runs per game.

On the mound for the Pirates will be the rightie Mitch Keller who has a 9-6 record, 4.01 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

Pirates Betting Trends:

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.40 Units / 55% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+0.85 Units / 10% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 67 games (-10.35 Units / -14% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 30 games at home (-9.40 Units / -26% ROI).

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions 7/28/2023

The Phillies have a 55-47 record so far this season, 27-27 on the road and 40-51-9 in over/under. They are sitting on the third place of the AL East Division.

They are coming off a home victory against the Baltimore Orioles with a 6-4 score. Kyle Scwarber leads the team in home runs this season with 26, while Johan Rojas leads the team in batting average with .333.

The Phillies average 4.5 runs offensively while allowing 4.45 runs per game defensively. They have a .253 hitting percentage and average 1.1 home runs per game.

On the mound for the Phillies will be the rightie Zach Wheeler who has a 7-5 record, 3.88 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

Phillies Betting Trends:

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.75 Units / 38% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 97 games (+6.10 Units / 5% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 away games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 97 games (-21.15 Units / -19% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 81 games (-19.35 Units / -22% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 41 away games (-11.65 Units / -23% ROI)

Head-to-Head Betting Trends:

Phillies are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
Under is 4-2 in the last 6 meetings.

Prediction:

Mitch Keller has been terrible in his last two starts and the Phillies have a superior bullpen. Take the Phillies to win on the road.

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