Free MLB Picks For Today 7/22/2023
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Royals at Yankees—Brady Singer to start for Kansas City. Singer in nineteen starts has an ERA of 5.70 with WHIP of 1.50. The righthander fans 17.8% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls served at 47.4% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.39 which indicates a possible drop in ERA if form holds.
Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole has twenty starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.78 with WHIP of 1.09. The eleven year veteran fans 26.9% with 7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.5% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
Cole 18-8 to the under facing AL teams averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Royals are 23-13 to the under on the road against right handed starters. Past seven games Yankees hitting only .222. Their bullpen has been outstanding at home. Play Kansas City and New York under 8.
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Rockies at Marlins—Chase Anderson to start for Colorado. Anderson in thirteen appearances has an ERA of 6.26 with WHIP of 1.50. The ten year righthander strikes out 15.7% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.7% with 2.30 home runs per nine innings.
Johnny Cueto to start for Miami. Cueto appeared in two games this season allowing four earned runs with two homers in four innings.
The veteran righty He had 25 appearances, starting 24, in 2022 with an ERA of 3.35 and WHIP of 1.23 striking out 102 in 158 1/3rd innings. He had been sidelined with a biceps injury. Marlins have lost seven straight allowing five runs or greater in all seven games. Play Colorado +140.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Cardinals at Cubs—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in 21 starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 4.14 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran deals 16.1% strikeouts with 4.6% walks. Grounders sit at 38.7% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Drew Smyly will be primary pitcher for Chicago. Smyly has nineteen starts with an ERA of 4.50 plus WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander fans 19.9% with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.4% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. St Louis has won eight of ten.
Chicago now 7-15 at home facing a losing team after their loss on Friday. Mikolas past two starts against Chicago allowed one run in 12 1/3rd innings. Past four appearances Smyly allowed 19 runs in 17 1/3rd innings. Play St Louis -118.
LA Dodgers vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Dodgers at Rangers—Bobby Miller to start for Los Angeles. Miller has starts in nine games producing an ERA of 4.25 and WHIP of 1.19. The righthander deals 23.2% strikeouts with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.8% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in 21 appearances carries an ERA of 2.82 plus WHIP of 1.11. The fourth year righty strikes out 15.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.1% with limited home run damage. His FIP is 3.90 which suggest a rise in ERA with no improvement in his numbers.
Los Angeles played to over in all three games in Baltimore prior to the opener of this series and are 25-10 to the over facing teams outscoring teams by 0.5 runs per game or greater this season. Miller past five starts allowed 21 runs in 25 2/3rd innings. Rangers a bullpen ERA of 4.42 at home. Play Los Angeles and Texas over 9.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Diamondbacks at Reds—Tyler Gilbert to start for Arizona. Gilbert has two appearances in 2023 allowing on earned run with two strikeouts in four innings. He has seen work with Arizona in 2021 and 2022 with mixed results. In 78 1/3rd career innings an ERA of 4.02 and WHIP of 1.11 striking out only 47 batters.
In 21 appearances in Triple A this season the lefthander has an ERA of 5.67 and WHIP of 1.39 with 65 strikeouts in 54 innings. Brandon Williamson to start for Cincinnati. Williamson in eleven starts posts an ERA of 4.96 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander fans 18.3% with 9.8% walks.
Grounders served at 36.3% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. Reds hitting .277 against lefthanders and averaging 5.4 runs per game. Diamondbacks bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.84. Williamson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Play Cincinnati.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Orioles at Rays—Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in eleven starts carries an ERA of 7.33 with WHIP of 1.75. The rookie righthander fans 25.8% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls served at 41.3% with 2.32 home runs per nine innings.
Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan has eighteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 2.56 with WHIP of 1.13. The lefthander deals 26.2% strikeouts with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.5% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.83 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.
Rodriguez past four starts allowed 23 runs in 16 2/3rd innings. McClanahan has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Rays 36-7 facing a starting pitcher who averages less than five innings per start.
Rays are 26-6 at home as a favorite of -150 or greater. McClanahan at home an ERA of 1.89, WHIP of 0.92 and team record 7-1. Play Tampa Bay Run Line -1.5 runs at +115.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Blue Jays at Mariners—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in nineteen starts produces an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.13. The eleven year veteran an elite strikeout rate of 32.6% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 43% with limited home run damage.
Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has started nineteen games on the year with an ERA of 3.65 and WHIP of 1.01. The righthander fans 24.5% with 4.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.1% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Gausman has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. He held the Mariners to no runs with thirteen strikeouts in his meeting this season. Gilbert past three starts allowed three earned runs in 21 innings.
Blue Jays 30-19 to the under facing AL teams hitting .255 or worse on the year. Gilbert 13-4 to the under in these low totaled games of 7 to 7.5. Play Toronto and Seattle under 7.5.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 7/22/2023
New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Mets at Red Sox—Max Scherzer to start for New York. Scherzer has seventeen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.99 and WHIP of 1.18. The veteran deals 27.4% K’s with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.3% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings.
James Paxton to start for Boston. Paxton in eleven starts carries an ERA of 3.51 with WHIP of 1.03. The eleven year lefthander fans 28.8% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.5% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. As this series opened the Mets were 16-26 against winning teams.
New York is 10-21 against left handed starters hitting .214 and averaging 3.3 runs per game. As this series opened New York was hitting only .165 past seven games. Play Boston -107.
San Diego Padres vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Padres at Tigers—Jackson Wolf to start for San Diego. Wolf expected to make his debut on Saturday. A fourth round pick in 2021 out of West Virginia. The lefthander spent 2022 in two levels of the low minors with mixed results. In seventeen starts in Double A this season he sported an ERA of 3.39 with WHIP of 0.99 in 85 innings of work.
Matt Manning to start for Detroit. Manning has six starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 0.98. The third year righthander strikes out 16.7% with 7.2% walks. Grounders come in at 36.6% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.67 which suggests a rising ERA based on his numbers.
Past two starts Manning has allowed no earned runs in 12 2/3rd innings. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. San Diego is hitting only .225 against righthanders sitting six games under .500 against them as this series opened. Tigers bullpen past ten games an ERA of 3.44 with WHIP of 0.98. Play Detroit.
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Giants at Nationals—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has twenty starts this year with an ERA of 3.11 and WHIP of 1.08. The fifth year righthander posts a strikeout rate of 25.5% with 4.4% walks. Grounders sit at 60.5% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in nineteen starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.59 plus WHIP of 1.47. The righty fans 20.3% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.1% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.86 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Webb on the road an ERA of 4.08. Gray at home an ERA of 5.20 and WHIP of 1.71. Past ten games Nationals bullpen has been hammered with an ERA of 9.15. As this series started the Nationals played to seven straight overs. Play San Francisco and Washington over 8.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Phillies at Guardians—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in nineteen 2023 starts posts an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP of 1.16. The veteran fans 26.9% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.2% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.97 an indicator of a dropping ERA should form hold.
Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee in fourteen starts produces an ERA of 3.32 plus WHIP of 1.26. The rookie righthander deals 23.9% K’s with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 38% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Bibee is in fantastic form allowing four earned runs in his past four starts working 22 2/3rd innings.
Wheeler in his past four starts allowed fifteen earned runs in 23 1/3rd innings. Past seven games Phillies hitting .247 and have a -7.4 unit return in their night games. Guardians in the better hitting form in this period. Play Cleveland +105.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
White Sox at Twins—Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease in twenty starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.34. The fifth year righthander fans 27.4% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.2% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray has nineteen starts with an ERA of 3.16 and WHIP of 1.29. The veteran is fanning 23.8% with 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 49.1% with minimal home run damage. Minnesota has won six of eight after winning the opener of this series.
White Sox 27-43 against righthanded starters hitting just .230 against them. Past seven games Twins averaging 6 runs per game. Gray at home an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.19. Play Minnesota -133.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Braves at Brewers—Allan Winans to start for Atlanta. Winans makes his MLB debut. A 17th round pick in 2018 spent 2022 in three levels of the minors with mixed results. He has eighteen appearances in Triple A this year with an ERA of 2.81 and WHIP of 1.01 striking out 89 in 102 2/3rd innings.
Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser in twelve appearances produces an ERA of 3.79 and WHIP of 1.53. The veteran righthander deals 15.5% K’s with 7.6% walks. Grounders dealt at 47.6% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Braves 20-4 facing an NL team with a slugging percentage of .400 or worse this season. Braves past seven games averaging 6 runs per game. Brewers in this period hitting .223 and averaging 3 runs per game. Houser at home an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP of 1.69. Play Atlanta -134.
Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Astros at Athletics—Christian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in eighteen starts on the year carries an ERA of 4.39 and WHIP of 1.21. The righthander strikes out 22.1% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls served at 27% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn in nine appearances has an ERA of 5.48 plus WHIP of 1.59. The seventh year righty strikes out 22.3% with 7.6% walks. Grounders sit at 37.8% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.70 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
After winning the opener of this series the Astros had won nine of ten against the Athletics with eight of those wins by two runs or greater. Javier in his past two starts against Oakland allowed one run in eleven innings. Athletics are 12-29 to the run line facing a team with a good bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or lower on the season.
Astros 30-20 to the run line on the road after winning the opener of this series. Blackburn past two starts allowed eleven earned runs with six walks in 10 2/3rd innings. His past three starts against the Astros he allowed sixteen earned runs with seven homers in 12 2/3rd innings. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -125.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. LA Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/22/2023
Pirates at Angels—Osvaldo Bido to start for Pittsburgh. Bido has seven starts on the year posting an ERA of 5.00 plus WHIP of 1.52. The rookie righthander fans 19.5% with 9.4% walks. Grounders served at 34.1% with minimal home run damage.
Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers in seventeen starts an ERA of 4.42 plus WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander fans 28.9% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.8% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Detmers allowed eleven earned runs in his past two starts working 9 1/3rd innings.
Los Angeles as this series began was 11-17 against the National League with a -10.2 unit return. Bido on the road an ERA of 3.29. Past ten games Angels bullpen an ERA of 8.24. Play Pittsburgh +165.
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