Free MLB Picks For Today 7/20/2023
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/20/2023
Diamondbacks at Braves—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in twenty starts has an ERA of 3.14 with WHIP of 1.08. The fifth year righthander fans 26.3% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls served at 38.5% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider has nineteen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.10. The righty deals an elite 38.9% strikeouts with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.6% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
Braves are 16-7 to the over at home facing NL teams allowing 4.5 runs per game or greater. Strider 9-1 to the over at home when favored at -110 or higher. Both lineups hitting. Gallen an ERA of 5.11 on the road and Strider 4.30 at home. Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA of 5.71 past ten games. Play Arizona and Atlanta over 8.5.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/20/2023
Giants at Reds—Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb in seventeen starts has an ERA of 2.82 with WHIP of 1.32. The thirteen year veteran deals 22.4% K’s with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 57.5% with limited home run damage.
Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott has eight starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 2.45 with WHIP of 1.01. The lefthander fans 27.3% with 8.6% walks. Grounders sit at 20.3% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. After winning the first two in this series the Giants had won seven straight and Reds dropped seven of eight.
Cobb has allowed five earned runs total in his past four starts working 21 innings. Abbot past two starts has allowed eight runs with four homers in 10 1/3rd innings.
San Francisco 16-7 on the road facing an NL team hitting .255 or worse. Team record behind Cobb is 13-4 this season. Past seven games Reds batting only .197. Play San Francisco -125.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/20/2023
Brewers at Phillies—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has nineteen starts on the season posting an ERA of 3.73 with WHIP of 1.11. The sixth year righthander deals 24.8% strikeouts with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in nineteen starts has an ERA of 4.00 with WHIP of 1.25. The righty fans 21.1% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Walker 9-1 when lined at -100 to -150 this season and Phillies 26-11.
Past seven games Brewers averaging only 3.4 runs per game. After winning the opener of this series the Phillies had won four straight against Milwaukee. Philadelphia bullpen an ERA of 2.95 at home. Prefer the Phillies bats here. Play Philadelphia -119.
San Diego Padres vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/20/2023
Padres at Blue Jays—Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has nineteen starts posts an ERA of 2.71 with WHIP of 1.22. The veteran lefthander has an elite strikeout rate of 32.4% with 12.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.6% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt in twenty starts produces an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.23. The ten year righthander fans 21.9% with 7.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.3% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings.
Snell has pitched five innings total in two of three starts. Team record behind Snell 2-8 on the road. Team record behind Bassitt 29-7 against losing teams. Bassitt at home an ERA of 2.47 with WHIP of 0.87. Play Toronto +105.
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/20/2023
White Sox at Mets—Michael Kopech to start for Chicago. Kopech has seventeen starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.47 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander delivers a strike out mark of 25.5% with 13.9%. Ground balls sit at 35.5% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.90 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Jose Quintana starts for New York. Quintana makes his 2023 debut after a March surgery on his ribs. The twelve year veteran in 2022 had an ERA of 2.93 with WHIP of 1.21. He struck out 20.2% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sat at 46.4% with limited home run damage.
White Sox have been hitting of late. Quintana may not go far in his first start of the season. Kopech walk and home run rate a massive concern. Play Chicago and New York over 9.5.
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Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/20/2023
Tigers at Royals—Michael Lorenzen to start for Detroit. Lorenzen has sixteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran righthander strikes out 19.5% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.8% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Zack Greinke to start for Kansas City. Greinke in eighteen starts produces an ERA of 5.44 with WHIP of 1.29. The 20 year righty fans 16.4% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 44% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings.
Greinke at home an ERA of 3.67 with WHIP of 1.29. Team record behind Lorenzen on the road is 2-5. Play Kansas City +116.
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/20/2023
Twins at Mariners—Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez in nineteen starts on the campaign has an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander has an elite 30.2% K rate, a career high, with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.5% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby has eighteen starts with an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP of 1.07. The second year righty fans 20.7% with 2.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.9% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Twins hitting only .227 on the road. Kirby a WHIP of 0.99 at home and a team mark of 6-3 in his nine starts. Past ten games Mariners bullpen an ERA of 2.41 and Twins at 4.63. Play Seattle -130.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/20/2023
Orioles at Rays—Kyle Gibson to start for Baltimore. Gibson in twenty starts puts up an ERA of 4.77 with WHIP of 1.35. The eleven year veteran is striking out 18.4% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.9% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Glasnow expected to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow in nine starts on the campaign has an ERA of 3.78 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander posts an elite 35.1% strikeout rate with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.5% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings.
Tampa Bay has lost four straight. Orioles are 31-21 against winning teams with a +13.5 unit return. Past seven games Baltimore averaging 6.3 runs per game. In this period the Rays hitting only .223. Play Baltimore +151.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/20/2023
Cardinals at Cubs—Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz in twenty appearances in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.86 with WHIP of 1.51. The lefthander deals 21.7% strikeouts with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.2% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman has 20 starts with an ERA of 2.88 and WHIP of 1.09. The ten year righthander fans 21.3% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 58.4% with limited home run damage.
Cubs are hitting .286 against lefthanders putting up six runs per game. Matz on the road an ERA of 6.37 with WHIP of 1.69. At home Stroman an ERA of 2.69 with WHIP of 0.86. Play Chicago -126.
Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/20/2023
Astros at Athletics—J.P. France to start for Houston. France in twelve starts carries an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.26. The rookie righthander deals 16.9% K rate with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.2% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.65 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his form.
Hogan Harris to start for Oakland. Harris has twelve appearances in 2023 has an ERA of 6.51 with WHIP of 1.47. The rookie lefthander fans 19.2% with 10.6% walks. Grounders served at 38.6% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Astros have won nine of ten against the Athletics with eight of those wins by two runs or greater. Harris past two starts allowed twelve runs in ten innings. Astros hitting .282 against lefthanders and averaging 5.7 runs per game. Athletics at home hitting .210 and averaging 3.3 runs per game. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
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