Free MLB Picks For Today 7/19/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 7/19/2023

Free MLB Picks For Today 7/19/2023

Cleveland Guardians vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Guardians at Pirates—Aaron Civale to start for Cleveland. Civale in ten starts posts an ERA of 2.65 with WHIP of 1.08. The fifth year righthander fans 19.7% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls served at 38.9% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.80 signals a rise in ERA possible based on his numbers.

 

Rich Hill will start for Pittsburgh. Hill has nineteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP of 1.44. The veteran lefthander fans 20.2% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls served at 37.3% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Civale 18-10 with +11.8 unit return in his past 28 road starts.

 

Past seven games Pirates hitting .189 and averaging 2.6 runs per game. After dropping the opener of this series, Pittsburgh had dropped eight of nine games. Civale has allowed three earned runs total in his past three starts working 18 innings. Play Cleveland -124.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Dodgers at Orioles—Julio Urias to start for Los Angeles. Urias in thirteen starts carries an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.11. The eighth year lefthander has a strikeout rate of 24.3% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls served at 36.4% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings.

 

Dean Kremer will start for Baltimore. Kremer has nineteen starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 4.59 and WHIP of 1.33. The righthander deals 22.7% K’s with 6.1% walks. Grounders sit at 35.3% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. After winning the opener of this series Los Angeles has won seven of eight.

 

Team record behind Urias 19-5 on the road when lined at -100 to -150. Urias has been sharp in his past two starts allowing two earned runs with fifteen strikeouts in 12 innings. Kremer at home an ERA of 5.07. Play LA Dodgers -145.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Rays at Rangers—Cooper Criswell to start for Tampa Bay. Criswell appeared in seven games in 2023 carrying an ERA of 5.04 with WHIP of 1.48. The righthander fans 21.6% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.6% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.

 

Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray has seventeen starts with an ERA of 3.45 and WHIP of 1.15. The nine year righty deals 19.8% K’s with 8.3% walks. Ground balls served at 40.1% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.57 does suggest a rising ERA based on his numbers.

 

Rangers are hitting .287 at home and averaging 6.3 runs per game. Past four starts Gray has allowed 20 runs in 25 1/3rd innings. Rangers have trended over the total of home. Their bullpen an ERA of 4.41 at home. Play Tampa Bay and Texas over.

Miami Marlins vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Marlins at Cardinals—Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara in nineteen starts on the campaign an ERA of 4.64 with WHIP of 1.26. The seventh year righthander strikes out 19.6% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50.4% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.

 

Dakota Hudson to start for St Louis. Hudson has four appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 1.80 with WHIP of 1.20. The righty fans 16.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.9% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.38 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.

 

Alcantara has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. In his past three starts against the Cardinals, he allowed two earned runs in 25 1/3rd innings. St Louis is 31-40 against righthanded starters with a -17.4 unit loss. Their bullpen an ERA of 4.69 at home. Play Miami.

Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Astros at Rockies—Brandon Bielak to start for Houston. Bielak in eleven appearances with an ERA of 3.79 and WHIP of 1.47. The righthander fans 17.9% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 50% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.23 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.

 

Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber has nineteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 6.19 with WHIP of 1.48. The lefthander produces 15% strikeouts with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.5% with 1.97 home runs per nine innings.

 

Gomber has allowed two earned runs in each of his past four starts resulting in wins in each game. Bielak an ERA of 4.82 and WHIP of 1.71 on the road. Play Colorado +144.

Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Red Sox at Athletics—Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in fifteen starts has an ERA of 3.14 with WHIP of 1.20. The second year righthander fans 20.8% with 6.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 55.4% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.

 

Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk in 22 appearances in 2023 produces an ERA of 6.66 with WHIP of 1.84. The lefthander deals 20.2% strikeouts with 12.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.7% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings.

 

Red Sox after taking the opener of this series had won eight of nine against the Athletics and six of seven in Oakland. Past seven games they are hitting .301 and averaging 7.3 runs per game.

 

Bello past five starts allowed eight earned runs in 32 2/3rd innings. Athletics hit just .204 in day games averaging 3 runs per game. Play Boston on the run line -1.5 runs at -125.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Brewers at Phillies—Collin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea appeared in sixteen starts on the year with an ERA of 4.71 and WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 19.8% with 7.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 46% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings.

 

Cristopher Sanchez is the starter for Philadelphia. Sanchez in six starts an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 0.99. The lefthander deals 22.2% K’s with 4.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 54.1% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.

 

A home run to fly ball rate of 19.2%. His FIP is 4.13 which suggests a rising ERA based on his numbers. Team record behind Rea 18-8 in night games with a +14.8 unit return. Sanchez at home an ERA of 4.43. Play Milwaukee +159.

 

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San Diego Padres vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Padres at Blue Jays—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish has sixteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.65 with WHIP of 1.26. The twelfth year veteran deals 25.8% K’s with 7.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.9% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.

 

Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios in nineteen starts an ERA of 3.41 and WHIP of 1.16. The righthander fans 22.8% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.8% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Berrios 34-14 facing teams that average seven strikeouts per game or greater and 20-4 at home.

 

San Diego is 26-33 facing righthanders with a -16.5 unit loss and hitting .225 as this series opened. Blue Jays bullpen at home an ERA of 3.24 and WHIP of 1.11. Darvish in nine road starts an ERA of 5.58. Berrios at home an ERA of 2.83 with WHIP of 1.09 and team record of 6-2. Play Toronto -111.

New York Yankees vs. LA Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Yankees at Angels—Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon in his two starts on the year allowed six earned runs with eight strikeouts in 10 1/3rd innings. He returns from a back and forearm injury.

 

Last season with San Francisco the lefthander had an ERA of 2.88 and WHIP of 1.03. His strikeout mark was 18.6% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls came in at 38.7% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.

 

Shohei Ohtani to start for Los Angeles. Ohtani in eighteen starts an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.12. The veteran an elite strikeout rate of 32.2% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.9% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.

 

Los Angeles is 9-17 against lefthanded starters with a -13.3 unit loss. Ontani past two starts allowed ten runs with seven walks in ten innings and dealing with an index finger issue. Play New York.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Giants at Reds—Ross Stripling to start for San Francisco. Stripling appeared in thirteen games on the campaign with an ERA of 6.11 and WHIP of 1.42. The eighth year veteran strikes out 20.2% with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.8% with 2.36 home runs per nine innings.

 

Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft has seventeen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 5.95 with WHIP of 1.56. The righthander fans 15.9% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.6% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. After winning the suspended game the Giants had won seven of eight and Reds dropped six of seven.

 

The Giants were also 10-1 against the NL Central after taking the opener of this series. Past seven games Reds were hitting .168 and averaging 2.7 runs per game. Past three starts Stripling a WHIP of 0.97. Ashcraft at home an ERA of 7.16 in ten starts. Play San Francisco -111.

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

White Sox at Mets—Touki Toussaint to start for Chicago. Toussaint in six appearances carries an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.38. The righthander deals 21.6% strikeouts with 17.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 60.3% with limited home run damage.

 

Justin Verlander to start for New York. Verlander has thirteen starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.23. The nineteen year veteran strikes out 20.2% with 8% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.2% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.

 

Verlander 22-5 to the under facing AL teams hitting .250 or worse and 7-0 to the under facing the AL Central. Toussaint has allowed two earned runs in each of his three starts. Play Chicago and New York under 8.5.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Diamondbacks at Braves—Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson has nineteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.98 with WHIP of 1.44. The second year righthander is striking out 15.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.6% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.

 

Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in eighteen starts to the year carries an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.36. The veteran deals 25.7% K’s with 9.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.9% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.

 

Diamondbacks pitching has been hammered on this trip. Morton past two starts has allowed one run in 19 innings. Prefer the Braves bats and bullpen here. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at +100.

Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Nationals at Cubs—Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams has nineteen starts in 2023 delivers an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP of 1.42. The righthander fans 17.7% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.4% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.44 does suggest a rising ERA based on his numbers.

 

Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Henricks in ten starts carries an ERA of 3.57 with WHIP of 1.09. The ten year veteran posts a K rate of 15.6%, an eight year low, with 4.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.1% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Line drive contact is at an eight year low of 16.1%.

 

After dropping the opener of this series the Cubs were 5-13 at home against a losing team. Team record behind Williams 18-8 facing an NL team hitting .255 or worse. Past seven games Nationals averaging 5.9 runs per game. Past two starts Hendricks allowed nine runs with six homers in 10 1/3rd innings. Play Washington +139.

Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Tigers at Royals—Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez in thirteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 1.00. The ninth year lefthander is striking out 26.8% with 6% walks. Grounders dished at 41.3% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.

 

Ryan Yarbrough to start for Kansas City. Yarbrough appeared in eleven games on the campaign with an ERA of 5.29 and WHIP of 1.27. The lefty fans a career low 13.9% with 5.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.6% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.

 

Kansas City tagged Rodriguez for four runs and eight hits in late May in victory. Yarbrough in his past two starts allowed two earned runs total in 11 2/3rd innings. Tigers are five games under .500 on the road and hit only .218 on the highway. Play Kansas City +136.

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/19/2023

Twins at Mariners—Kenta Maeda to start for Minnesota. Maeda in eight starts posts an ERA of 5.50 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander deals 26.6% K’s with 7.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.3% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.44 does indicate a drop in ERA should form holds.

 

Luis Castillo is the starter for Seattle. Castillo has nineteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.96 with WHIP of 1.03. The seventh year veteran delivers 26.9% strikeouts with 6.2% walks. Ground balls delivered at 40.8% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.90 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.

 

Team record behind Castillo 10-15 when favored by -125 to -175 with a -13.4 unit loss. Past seven games Mariners batting only .206. Maeda on the road an ERA of 3.15 in five starts. Past two home starts Castillo allowed nine runs in 11 innings. Play Minnesota +145.

 

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