Free MLB Picks For Today 7/17/2023
Cleveland Guardians vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/17/2023
Guardians at Pirates—Xzavion Curry to start for Cleveland. Curry has 23 appearances out of the bullpen with an ERA of 3.04 and WHIP of 1.16. The righthander fans 16.4% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls served at 31.1% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Quinn Priester will start for Pittsburgh. Priester makes his MLB debut on Monday. The righty is a first round pick in 2019 that spent 2022 in four minor league stops with great results in both Double and Triple A. This season he has eighteen starts in Triple A with an ERA of 4.31 with WHIP of 1.36 striking out 84 batters in 87 2/3rd innings.
Pirates past seven games hitting .194 and averaging 2.9 runs per game. Guardians in this period hitting .272. Pittsburgh has lost nine of eleven. Play Cleveland -130.
LA Dodgers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/17/2023
Dodgers at Orioles—Emmet Sheehan to start for Los Angeles. Sheehan in four starts produces an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.06. The rookie righthander has a K rate of 19.5% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.5% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez has ten starts in 2023 with an ERA of 7.35 with WHIP of 1.75. The rookie righty fans 26.5% with 10% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 2.58 home runs per nine innings. He returns from the minors after being sent down due to ineffectiveness.
Los Angeles pitching has been outstanding following the break. Dodgers are 29-15 when lined between -100 and -150. Rodriguez home run rate massive concern. Play Dodgers -101.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/17/2023
Giants at Reds—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in nineteen starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 3.14 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 25.3% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 60.3% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Brandon Williamson to start for Cincinnati. Williamson has ten starts with an ERA of 5.21 with WHIP of 1.35. The rookie lefthander strikes out 19% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.2% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
San Francisco past seven games hitting .222 and pushing across 2.7 runs per game. Reds bullpen has been good at home. Webb on the road an ERA of 4.24. Play Cincinnati +131.
Miami Marlins vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/17/2023
Marlins at Cardinals—Jesus Luzardo will start for Miami. Luzardo in nineteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.13. The lefthander strikes out 29.1% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 41.2% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas has twenty starts with an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran posts a strikeout mark of 16.3% with 4.9% walks. Grounders dished at 37.8% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Marlins have won four of five against the Cardinals.
Luzardo past five starts allowed four earned runs in 31 2/3rd innings. St Louis is seven games under .500 at home. Their bullpen at home an ERA of 4.75. Luzardo pitched six shutout innings against the Cardinals on July 4th. On July 3rd the Marlins hit Mikolas for four runs in 6 1/3rd innings. Play Miami +108.
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/17/2023
Nationals at Cubs—MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore in eighteen starts on the campaign an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP of 1.46. The second year lefthander is striking out 27.8% with 10.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.3% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly has eighteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.31 and WHIP of 1.36. The twelve year veteran lefty fans 19.5% with 8.4% walks. Grounders served at 34.1% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Gore 7-1 against an NL team hitting .255 or worse. Cubs 5-12 at home against losing teams. Smyly past three starts allowed fourteen earned runs in 11 1/3rd innings. Nationals hit lefthanders. Play Washington +126.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/17/2023
Rays at Rangers—Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan in seventeen starts posts an ERA of 2.53 with WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander deals 26% strikeouts with 9.8% walks. Ground balls served at 43.1% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.85 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.
Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning has twenty appearances with an ERA of 2.84 and WHIP of 1.13. The fourth year righthander fans 15.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 45.7% with limited home run damage. Rangers 21-10 when lined at +125 to -125 this season.
Past seven games Rays hitting .217 and averaging 3.9 runs per game. Rays bullpen no longer elite and McClanahan returns from the injured list. Texas hits .285 against lefthanders averaging 6.5 runs per game. Historically Dunning has been much better at home. Play Texas +106.
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/17/2023
Tigers at Royals—Matt Manning to start for Detroit. Manning in five starts carries an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.03. The third year righthander deals 16.9% K’s with 8.5% walks. Grounders served at 36.9% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 5.14 which suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Jordan Lyles to start for Kansas City. Lyles has seventeen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 6.42 with WHIP of 1.29. The veteran righty fans 16.7% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.6% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings.
Detroit has won seven of nine against Kansas City. They come off the break taking two of three in Seattle. Royals 17-52 facing a team with a good bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower this season. Royals bullpen ERA is 5.56 at home this season. Team record behind Lyles 1-16 this season. Play Detroit -120.
New York Yankees vs. LA Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/17/2023
Yankees at Angels—Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino in nine starts on the year produces an ERA of 7.38 with WHIP of 1.80. The veteran strikes out 17.8% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls served at 38.5% with 2.32 home runs per nine innings.
Griffin Canning to start for Los Angeles. Canning has seventeen starts with an ERA of 4.62 and WHIP of 1.20. The righthander deals 22.9% strikeouts with 7.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 46% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings.
Angels pitching torched in their home series against the Astros for 28 runs in the three games. Severino has been hammered for sixteen runs in his past two starts working 6 2/3rd innings. Play New York and Los Angeles over 9.
Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/17/2023
Red Sox at Athletics—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta in 22 appearances produces an ERA of 4.83 with WHIP of 1.29. The veteran deals a 27.1% K rate with 10.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 32% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings.
Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn in eight appearances in 2023 has an ERA of 4.86 with WHIP of 1.54. The eighth year righthander a strikeout mark of 24.1% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.8% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.76 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Red Sox have won nine of ten against the Athletics and 5-1 in their past six in Oakland. Athletics pitching pounded at home by the Twins who scored 20 runs in the three games. But Oakland did manage 15 runs in this three game series. Red Sox past seven games hitting .305 and putting up 6.7 runs per game. Play Boston and Oakland over.
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/17/2023
Twins at Mariners—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray has eighteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 2.89 with WHIP of 1.27. The eleven year veteran strikes out 24.1% with 9.3% walks. Grounders sit at 48.5% with minimal home run damage.
Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert in eighteen starts an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 0.98. The righthander fans 24.8% with 4.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.4% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Gilbert has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts.
Gray was pounded in his last start against Baltimore for six runs in six innings. Minnesota hits just .223 on the road and have a losing record.
Prior to facing Oakland the Twins were held to five runs total in their three game series against Baltimore. Team record behind Gilbert 29-13 facing an AL team with a slugging percentage of .410 or worse on the season. Play Seattle -122.
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