Free MLB Picks For Today 7/15/2023
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Padres at Phillies—In Game 1 Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell in eighteen starts has an ERA of 2.85 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander has an elite strikeout rate of 32.4% with 12% walks. Ground balls served at 42% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker has eighteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.02 with WHIP of 1.25. The eleven year veteran righthander is striking out 21.4% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls served at 47.4% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
Snell has allowed two earned runs total in his past five starts. Walker has allowed one earned run in four of five starts. Padres 12-3 to the under facing an NL starting pitcher who has a WHIP of 1.25 or lower. Walker 37-18 to the under in day games. Play San Diego and Philadelphia under 9 in Game 1.
Game 2 starter for San Diego is Ryan Weathers. The lefthander in eleven appearances has an ERA of 6.08 and WHIP of 1.60. Weathers is striking out 15.5% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 40% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. He is expected to be called up from Triple A as he was sent down due to ineffectiveness.
Ranger Suarez to start the nightcap for Philadelphia. Suarez has eleven starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP of 1.34. The sixth year lefty delivers 22.4% K’s with 8.4% walks. Ground balls served at 50.3% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Suarez 21-11 in night games. Padres bullpen an ERA of 4.76 on the road. Phillies pen at home an ERA of 2.68. Weathers tough to back. Play Philadelphia -137 in Game 2.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Rays at Royals—Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay in Game 1. Glasnow in eight starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.10 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 36.4% with 9.1% walks. Grounders sit at 44.2% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings.
Alec Marsh to start for Kansas City. Marsh in two starts on the campaign allowed seven earned runs with ten strikeouts and seven walks in nine innings. The rookie righty was drafted in 2019 out of Arizona St. He spent 2022 in tow levels of the minors with very poor numbers in Double A.
In 2023 he pitched in two levels of the minors with struggles in Double A but good performance in Triple A. Rays hit just .197 past seven games hitting the break. Royals in this period hitting .211 and averaging 2.6 runs per game.
Glasnow three weeks ago held K.C. to one earned run over five innings. Play Tampa Bay and Kansas City under 9 in Game 1.
In Game 2 Cooper Criswell to start for Tampa Bay. Criswell in six appearances carries an ERA of 5.14 with WHIP of 1.52. The righthander is striking out 23.2% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.3% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Cole Ragans will start for Kansas City. Ragans in seventeen appearances carries an ERA of 5.92 with WHIP of 1.40. The former Rangers lefthander fans 22.6% with 13.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.3% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. He was traded from the Rangers to the Royals.
This figures to be a bullpen game for the Royals. Their bullpen sits with an ERA of 5.41 at home. Rays bullpen no longer elite. Play Tampa Bay and Kansas City over 9 in Game 2.
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Red Sox at Cubs—James Paxton to start for Boston. Paxton in ten starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 2.73 with WHIP of 0.98. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 29.1% with 6.4% walks. Grounders sit at 37.9% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman has nineteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.96 and WHIP of 1.11. The ten year righthander fans 21.6% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate of 59% with limited home run damage. Red Sox continue to be a hot team winning six straight and nine of ten.
Red Sox now 24-11 on the road against the National League. Team record behind Paxton 18-7 on the road with 5 to 6 days of rest. Paxton has allowed to earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Stroman past two starts allowed nine earned runs with six walks in 10 2/3rd innings. Play Boston +110.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Diamondbacks at Blue Jays—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in nineteen starts this season carries an ERA of 3.04 with WHIP of 1.05. The fifth year starter fans 26.5% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.3% with limited home run damage.
Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has nineteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.13. The eleven year veteran has an elite K rate of 32.6% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43% with limited home run damage. Gallen has allowed one earned run in two of his past four starts.
Diamondbacks are 10-3 facing an AL pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or lower. Team record behind Gausman 4-10 when lined as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Play Arizona +139.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Guardians at Rangers—Gavin Williams to start for Cleveland. Williams in four starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander a strikeout mark of 19.4% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.2% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.82 is an indicator of a possible rise in ERA based on his form.
Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney has seventeen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 4.71 and WHIP of 1.34. The lefthander deals 25% K’s with 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.9% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings.
Heaney in his past three starts allowed fourteen runs with five homers in 13 2/3rd innings. Rangers bullpen an ERA of 4.65 at home. Play Cleveland +145.
Miami Marlins vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Marlins at Orioles—Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett in eighteen appearances this season produces an ERA of 3.70 with WHIP of 1.14. The fourth year lefthander fans 26.7% with 4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.2% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Gibson to start for Baltimore. Gibson has nineteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.60 and WHIP of 1.31. The eleven year righthander fans 19.3% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.3% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Gibson past four starts allowed twelve earned runs in 17 2/3rd innings. Team record behind Garrett 11-3 facing a team that averages 7 or greater strike outs per game. Garrett in his nine road starts posts an ERA of 2.14 with WHIP of 1.05 and team record of 7-2. Play Miami +105.
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Giants at Pirates—Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb in sixteen starts carries an ERA of 2.91 with WHIP of 1.34. The righthander is striking out 22.5% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls served at 57.6% with limited home run damage.
Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo has eighteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.75 with WHIP of 1.42. The fourth year righty is dealing 19.4% K’s with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 46% with .90 home runs per nine innings.
Giants have won five of six and Pirates continue their slump hitting the break. Past seven games Pirates hitting .208 and averaging 3.7 runs per game. Cobb has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five games. Oviedo has been pounded in his past two starts for thirteen earned runs in 11 2/3rd innings. Play San Francisco -150.
Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Twins at Athletics—Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez in eighteen starts produces an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander has an elite strikeout mark of 30.5% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.6% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Hogan Harris to start for Oakland. Harris has nine appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 6.07 and WHIP of 1.40. The rookie lefthander fans 18.7% with 10.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.2% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Twins have won six of seven against the Athletics.
Lopez past two starts has allowed one run in fifteen innings. Harris has been pounded in his past two starts for twelve runs with six walks in ten innings. The bullpen behind Harris an ERA of 5.75 this year. Play Minnesota on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Brewers at Reds—Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta has seventeen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.70 with WHIP of 1.30. The sixth year righthander fans 27% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.8% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings.
Andrew Abbott the starter for Cincinnati. Abbott in seven starts has an ERA of 2.38 with WHIP of 1.03. The rookie lefthander is striking out 28.9% with 8.4% walks. Grounders served at 19.6% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP if 3.85 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold.
Brewers pounded Abbott for six earned runs and two homers on July 7th. Milwaukee has now won six of eight against Cincinnati. Brewers hit the ball well hitting the break. Overall Milwaukee has won four of five. Play Brewers +105.
Washington Nationals vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Nationals at Cardinals—Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin in twelve starts puts up an ERA of 4.60 and WHIP of 1.45. The righthander a strikeout mark of 15.8% with 10.85 walks. Ground ball rate of 43.5% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Steven Matz will start for St Louis. Matz in nineteen appearances in 2023 has an ERA of 4.65 with WHIP of 1.51. The ninth year lefthander fans 21.8% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 47% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Matz 0-7 in night games and 8-12 as a home favorite of -110 or higher.
Nationals are hitting .270 against left handed starters. Cardinals a -17.2 unit return in their home games. Washington is one game under .500 on the road with a +16 unit return. Play Washington +173.
Chicago White Sox vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
White Sox at Braves—Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn in eighteen starts posts an ERA of 6.03 with WHIP of 1.42. The veteran strikes out 27.9% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.1% with 1.92 home runs per nine innings.
Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider has eighteen starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.44 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 38.9% with 8% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.6% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Strider past four starts allowed a total of four earned runs in 26 innings.
Chicago 31-19 to the under as an underdog of +100 or greater. Braves bullpen has performed well. Play Chicago and Atlanta under 8.5.
LA Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Dodgers at Mets—Tony Gonsolin to start for Los Angeles. Gonsolin in thirteen starts on the season carries an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.12. The fifth year righthander fans 18.9% with 9.1% walks. Grounders dealt at 39.8% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Kodai Senga to start for New York. Senga has sixteen starts with an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.28. The righty deals 29.5% strikeouts with 12.3% walks. Ground balls served at 46.3% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Five straight wins for Los Angeles. Bats have come alive.
New York is 15-25 facing winning teams this season. They are now 7-22 as an underdog of +100 or greater. Team record behind Senga 1-3 in his past four starts with a total lack of run support. Play LA Dodgers +101.
New York Yankees vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Yankees at Rockies—Clarke Schmidt to start for New York. Schmidt in nineteen appearances produces an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander fans 22.7% with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.5% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
Connor Seabold to start for Colorado. Seabold has nineteen appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 6.65 and WHIP of 1.51. The righty deals 16.5% K’s with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.1% with 2.05 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Schmidt 6-12 this season.
New York has now lost five of six. Rockies hit .278 at home. Yankees are hitting only .229 against righthanders. Schmidt on the road an ERA of 5.18 and WHIP of 1.61. Play Colorado +148.
Houston Astros vs. LA Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Astros at Angels—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in seventeen starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 2.51 with WHIP of 1.05. The lefthander fans 26.2% with 5.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 55.3% with limited home run damage.
Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers has sixteen starts produces an ERA of 4.31 with WHIP of 1.28. The third year lefty is striking out 29.2% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.4% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Angels are 16-37 facing a starter who allows 0.5 home runs per nine innings or fewer. Los Angeles is 8-17 facing left handed starters. Houston has won six of seven against the Angels. The Angels have lost six straight and nine of ten. Play Houston -132.
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/15/2023
Tigers at Mariners—Michael Lorenzen to start for Detroit. Lorenzen in fifteen starts posts an ERA of 4.03 with WHIP of 1.14. The veteran righthander deals 18.9% strikeouts with 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.2% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby has seventeen starts with an ERA of 3.09 with WHIP of 1.04. The second year righty fans 20.8% with 2.3% walks. Grounders sit at 45.5% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Lorenzen has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts.
Mariners are 3-11 facing an AL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.20 or lower. Seattle hits just .229 against right handed starters. Play Detroit on run line +1.5 runs at -125.
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