Free MLB Picks For Today 7/14/2023
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Padres at Phillies—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in fifteen starts has an ERA of 4.87 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran fans 25% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has five starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 1.03. The lefthander is striking out 22.2% with 4% walks. Ground balls sit at 55.6% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Padres 20-24 on the road. Their bullpen an ERA of 4.76 on the road. Sanchez has allowed one earned run in each of his past two starts. Phillies have own six of seven against San Diego. Past four starts Darvish has allowed 17 earned runs in 21 1/3rd innings. Play Philadelphia +101.
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Giants at Pirates—Ross Stripling to start for San Francisco. Stripling in twelve appearances produces an ERA of 6.37 with WHIP of 1.46. The eighth year veteran has a strikeout mark of 18.9% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 46.3% with 2.41 home runs per nine innings.
Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill has eighteen starts posting an ERA of 4.78 with WHIP of 1.44. The lefthander deals 21.1% strikeouts with 9% walks. Grounders served at 35.9% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
San Francisco is 26-14 when lined between +125 and -125 in these closely lined games. Hill has been hammered in his past three starts. Play San Francisco -124.
Miami Marlins vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Marlins at Orioles—Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara in eighteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 4.72 with WHIP of 1.25. The seventh year righthander strikes out 19.7% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.4% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has eighteen starts with an ERA of 4.78 with WHIP of 1.37. The righty fans 22% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.7% with 1.84 home runs per nine innings. Orioles hit the break winning five straight behind strong pitching performance.
Team record behind Kremer 8-2 against winning teams and 25-11 facing teams that average seven or more strikeouts per game. Marlins 7-23 against the AL East. Orioles a strong home team. Play Baltimore -120.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Diamondbacks at Blue Jays—Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson in eighteen starts produces an ERA of 5.19 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander fans 16% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.2% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
Chris Bassitt expected to start for Toronto. Bassitt has nineteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.23. The ten year veteran strikes out 21.9% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.4% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. Blue Jays hit the break winning five of six on their road trip.
Toronto bullpen has performed well at home. Nelson was hammered in his last start against the Mets allowing seven runs in three innings. Bassitt at home an ERA of 2.41 with WHIP of 0.84. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
LA Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Dodgers at Mets—Julio Urias to start for Los Angeles. Urias has twelve starts puts up an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander fans 23.7% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 1.96 home runs per nine innings.
Justin Verlander to start for New York. Verlander in twelve starts in 2023 has an ERA of 3.60 with WHIP of 1.20. The nineteen year veteran has a strikeout mark of 19.7% with 6.6% walks. Grounders served at 40.6% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Dodger bats hot hitting the break. Team record behind Urias 16-4 when lined at +100 to -150. Mets are 7-21 as an underdog of +100 or greater this season. New York has struggled to hit lefthanders this season by batting .219 and averaging 3.4 runs per game. Urias showed good form in his last start. Play LA Dodgers -117.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Brewers at Reds—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in eighteen starts carries an ERA of 3.94 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander strikes out 23.1% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.5% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft has sixteen starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 6.28 with WHIP of 1.59. The second year righty delivers 16.4% K’s with 9.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.1% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings.
Brewers have won five of seven against the Reds this season. Burnes has allowed two earned runs in each of his past two starts. Ashcraft has been pounded at home with an ERA of 7.95 and WHIP of 1.65 at home and could put the Reds in a hole early in this game.
Burnes has pitched well against the Reds. Brewers pounded Ashcraft for ten earned runs in four innings 40 days ago. Play Milwaukee -119.
Chicago White Sox vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
White Sox at Braves—Michael Kopech to start for Chicago. Kopech in sixteen starts on the campaign has an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander fans 26% with 13.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.5% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.58 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds.
Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has seventeen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.41. The sixteen year veteran is striking out 26.1% with 9.9% walks.
Ground balls sit at 46.8% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. White Sox lost seven of nine hitting the break. Kopech a WHIP of 2.43 past three starts. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -130.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 7/14/2023
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Guardians at Rangers—Aaron Civale to start for Cleveland. Civale in nine starts in 2023 puts up an ERA of 2.56 with WHIP of 1.06. The righthander fans 20.7% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.7% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 3.62 does indicate a rise in ERA based on form.
Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray has sixteen starts with an ERA of 3.29 and WHIP of 1.14. The nine year veteran a strikeout mark of 20.1% with 8% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.6% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.36 does indicate a rising ERA based on his numbers.
Guardians have won eight of ten against the Rangers. Rangers have slumped the past two weeks. Team record behind Civale 18-9 on the road. Civale an ERA of 1.25 and WHIP of 1.02 in his four road starts.
Gray past two starts allowed nine runs, eight earned in 12 innings. Team record behind Gray -14 in his past five starts. Play Cleveland +127.
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Red Sox at Cubs—Bryan Bello to start for Boston. Bello has fourteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.04 plus WHIP of 1.19. The righthander has a K rate of 20.8% with 6.5% walks. Grounders served at 55.8% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks in nine starts an ERA of 3.04 with WHIP of 1.03. The ten year veteran fans 14.9% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 43.8% with limited home run damage.
Red Sox hot hitting the break winning eight of nine. Bello has been very sharp allowing two earned runs or fewer in 12 of 13 starts. Boston 23-11 in their past 34 interleague games. Play Boston -120.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Rays at Royals—Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow in eight starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.10 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 36.4% with 9.1% walks. Grounders sit at 44.2% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings.
Alec Marsh to start for Kansas City. Marsh in two starts on the campaign allowed seven earned runs with ten strikeouts and seven walks in nine innings. The rookie righty was drafted in 2019 out of Arizona St. He spent 2022 in tow levels of the minors with very poor numbers in Double A.
In 2023 he pitched in two levels of the minors with struggles in Double A but good performance in Triple A. Rays hit just .197 past seven games hitting the break.
Royals in this period hitting .211 and averaging 2.6 runs per game. Glasnow three weeks ago held K.C. to one earned run over five innings. Play Tampa Bay and Kansas City under 9.
Washington Nationals vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Nationals at Cardinals—Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams has eighteen starts with an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP of 1.44. The righty fans 17% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.3% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.41 does suggest a rise in ERA possible with his numbers.
Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in nineteen starts carries an ERA of 4.23 with WHIP of 1.30. The veteran righthander strikes out 16.1% with 5% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.7% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
Mikolas has pitched well against the Nationals the past two seasons. In his last start against St Louis, Williams allowed no runs over five innings. Play Washington and St Louis under 8.
New York Yankees vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Yankees at Rockies—Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon in his 2023 debut allowed two earned runs with two strikeouts in 5 1/3rd innings at home to the Cubs. He returned from a forearm and back injury.
Last year the lefthander had 31 starts with an ERA of 2.88 and WHIP of 1.03. He struck out an elite 33.4% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls were dealt at 34.1% with limited home run damage. Austin Gomber to start for Colorado.
Gomber in 33 appearances carries an ERA of 5.56 with WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander is striking out 18% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.6% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.53 does suggest a drop in ERA if form holds.
Yankees lost four of five hitting the break. Gomber has pitched well the past three starts allowing two earned runs in each game. Rockies hit and score well at home. Play Colorado +178.
Houston Astros vs. LA Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Astros at Angels—J.P. France to start for Houston. France in eleven starts produces an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.21. The rookie righthander fans 17.6% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.3% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.78 does suggest a rising EFA if form holds.
Shohei Ohtani to start for Los Angels. Ohtani has seventeen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP of 1.10. The veteran has an elite strikeout rate of 32.4% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.1% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Astros have won five of six against the Angels.
Los Angels in a massive slump as they are struggling to score runs after getting hit with injuries dropping nine of ten games. Their pitching staff has been pounded in this stretch. Play Houston +140.
Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Twins at Athletics—Kenta Maeda to start for Minnesota. Maeda in seven starts this year has an ERA of 5.18 with WHIP of 1.27. The seventh year righthander is fanning 25.5% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.9% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.46 does indicate a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn in eight appearances posts an ERA of 4.86 plus WHIP of 1.54. The righty deals 24.1% strikeouts with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.8% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Oakland has won four of six against the AL Central. On the road the Twins are hitting .219 and averaging only 3.9 runs per game and are five games under .500. Blackburn at home a respectable ERA of 4.05. Play Oakland +160.
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/14/2023
Tigers at Mariners—Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez in twelve starts in 2023 has an ERA of 2.64 with WHIP of 1.00. The lefthander strikes out 26.3% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.7% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
George Kirby will start for Seattle. Kirby has seventeen starts with an ERA of 3.09 with WHIP of 1.04. The second year righthander a K rate of 20.8% with 2.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.5% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers 34-17 to the under facing a starting AL pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or lower. Mariners 16-4 to the under at home facing an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.40 or better. Rodriguez on the road an ERA of 2.57 with WHIP of 1.08. Castillo at home an ERA of 2.58 and WHIP of 0.96. Both bullpens rested. Play Detroit and Seattle under 7.
Free MLB Picks For Today 7/14/2023
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