Free MLB Picks For Today 7/9/2023
Texas Rangers vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Rangers at Nationals—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in nineteen appearances has an ERA of 2.61 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 15.9% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 47% with limited home run damage. His FIP of 3.70 which suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin has eighteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.59. The twelve year veteran fans 14.8% with 6.9% walks. Grounders sit at 44.3% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. Dunning has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight.
After losing the opener of this series the Nationals are 4-21 at home against a winning team. Team record behind Corbin 5-25 against winning teams. Rangers hitting .286 against lefthanders and averaging 6.7 runs per game.
Past seven games Nationals averaging only 3.3 runs per game. Team record behind Corbin 1-10 to the run line at home facing a team outscoring opponents by 0.5 runs or greater and 6-16 to the run line as a home underdog. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Athletics at Red Sox—JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears in seventeen starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 4.09 with WHIP of 1.05. The lefthander is striking out 23.2% with 5.2% walks. Grounders served at 26.1% with 1.81 home runs per nine innings.
Chris Murphy to be primary pitcher for Boston. Murphy in five appearances has an ERA of 1.98 with WHIP of 1.10. The rookie lefty fans 23.2% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.4% with limited home run damage.
Red Sox have won eight of nine against the Athletics with seven of those wins coming by two runs or greater. Past ten games Athletics bullpen ERA of 6.86 with Red Sox at 2.68. In this period the Red Sox hitting .291. Play Boston on run line -1.5 runs at -140.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Cubs at Yankees—Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks in eight starts posts an ERA of 2.64 with WHIP of 0.94. The twelve year veteran fans 14.4% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls served at 44.2% with limited home run damage.
Domingo German to start for New York. German has sixteen starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 4.52 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander fans 23.5% with 7.1% walks. Grounders come in at 38.1% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. Hendricks has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts.
Team record behind Hendricks 19-11 against winning teams. New York bats only .224 at home. Hendricks on the road an ERA of 2.05 and WHIP of 0.68 in four starts. Team record behind German at home is 3-5. Play Chicago +130.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Royals at Guardians—Ryan Yarbrough to start for KC. Yarbrough has ten appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 6.15 and WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander strikes out 12.4% with 6.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 38.6% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in eighteen starts puts up an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.24. The sixth year righthander has a K rate of 19.3% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.3% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians have won eight of ten against the Royals with seven of those wins by two runs or greater. Bieber has pitched well against the Royals past two seasons. Team record against the run line 18.-8 with Bieber at home against the Division.
Past seven games Royals hitting .217 and averaging 3.3 runs per game. They are 8-20 to the run line against the division. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Blue Jays at Tigers—Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt in eighteen starts on the year carries an ERA of 4.09 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran deals 22.1% K’s with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.8% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. His FIP of 4.83 which indicates a possible rise in ERA based on form.
Reese Olson is the primary pitcher for Detroit. Olson in twelve appearances puts up an ERA of 4.02 with WHIP of 1.02. The rookie righthanders fans 27.6% with 6.3% walks. Grounders delivered at 44% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Bassitt 15-0 on the road against a losing team. After winning the opener of this series the Blue Jays have won five of six against the Tigers. After losing the opener the Tigers are 2-15 against the AL East. Past seven games Blue Jays averaging 5.3 runs per game. Detroit struggles to score runs. Play Toronto -130.
Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Braves at Rays—Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder has seventeen starts on the season with an ERA of 2.45 and WHIP of 1.14. The second year righthander has a strikeout mark of 19.3% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 54.5% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 3.79 does suggests a rising ERA if this form holds.
Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin in sixteen starts has an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 1.00. The righty fans 26.1% with 3.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.1% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. After losing the opener of this series the Rays have lost six straight with run production an issue.
Elder has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight. Past seven games Atlanta hitting .287 and averaging 6.9 runs per game. In this span the Rays hitting only .218. Past ten games Braves bullpen an ERA of 0.84. Play Atlanta +105.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Phillies at Marlins—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in eighteen starts has an ERA of 4.30 with WHIP of 1.10. The nine year veteran is striking out 25% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 41.1% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings.
Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo has eighteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP of 1.16. The lefthander fans 28.6% with 6.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.4% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Nola has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of three starts.
Luzardo past three starts allowed no runs in 19 1/3rd innings. Luzardo 11-1 to the under facing a good team with a .540 to .620 win percentage. Play Philadelphia and Miami under 7.5.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Orioles at Twins—Kyle Gibson to start for Baltimore. Gibson has eighteen starts on the year posts an ERA of 4.73 with WHIP of 1.36. The eleven year veteran righthander has a K rate of 17.8% with 8% walks. Grounders dished at 45.6% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in seventeen starts has an ERA of 3.42 with WHIP of 0.98. The righthander strikes out 27.9% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.5% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Gibson has been hammered in his past three starts allowing fifteen earned runs in 13 2/3rd innings.
Twins 35-17 when lined between -100 to -150 at home. Team record behind Gibson 6-16 when lined between +125 and -125 in these closely lined games. Past ten games Twins bullpen an ERA of 2.34 and Orioles hitting only .231. Ryan at home an ERA of 2.73 with WHIP of .83. Play Minnesota -146.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Reds at Brewers—Ben Lively to start for Cincinnati. Lively in nine appearances puts up an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander fans 23.1% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.8% with 1.96 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.13 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee.
Miley has twelve starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 3.36 with WHIP of 11.5. The lefthander is striking out 15.1% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.1% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.61 an indicator of a rising ERA based on form.
Cincinnati is 14-6 on the road when lined between +125 and -125. Reds are hitting .281 against lefthanders. Past ten games Brewers bullpen an ERA of 5.71. Play Cincinnati +120.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Mariners at Astros—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has seventeen starts this year carrying an ERA of 3.82 with WHIP of 1.02. The third year righthander is striking out 24.8% with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Brandon Bielak to start for Houston. Bielak in ten appearances produces an ERA of 3.81 with WHIP of 1.51. The righty fans 17.5% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 50.9% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings. His FIP of 5.44 which signals a possible rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Bielak at home an ERA of 2.42 with WHIP of 1.25 with team record of 3-1 in his four starts. Past ten games Astros hitting .279 and averaging 6.1 runs per game. In this period the Mariners hitting only .222. Play Houston +110.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Cardinals at White Sox—Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz has eighteen appearances this season producing an ERA of 5.02 with WHIP of 1.60. The lefthander fans 20.1% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.9% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in eighteen starts delivers an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.17. The veteran is striking out 25.6% with 7.1% walks. Ground ball dealt at 33.9% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Matz is 2-8 this season. Matz on the road an ERA of 7.77 and WHIP of 1.97. Giolito at home an ERA of 2.43 with WHIP of 0.91. Play Chicago -123.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Rockies at Giants—Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland has eighteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.93 with WHIP of 1.44. The lefthander deals 15.1% strikeouts with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.5% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in eighteen starts has an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.14. The fifth year righthander a strikeout mark of 24.8% with 4.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 60.2% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
San Francisco past ten games hitting only .196 and averaging 2.4 runs per game. Freeland 14-4 to the under facing an NL team hitting .250 or worse and 36-13 as an underdog of +150 or greater. Cobb 12-6 to the under in his eighteen starts producing a WHIP of 1.08 at home. Play Colorado and San Francisco under 8.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Pirates at Diamondbacks—Cam Alldred to start for Pittsburgh. Alldred appeared in one game allowing no runs and a strikeout in a single inning. A 24th round draft pick in 2018 spent 2022 in Triple A with an ERA of 4.07 and WHIP of 1.38 striking out 62 in 66 1/3rd innings.
The lefthander has eighteen appearances in Triple A this season producing an ERA of 4.07 with WHIP of 1.23 striking out 51 in 55 1/3rd innings. Zach Davies to start for Arizona. Davies in ten starts carries an ERA of 6.52 with WHIP of 1.57.
The nineth year veteran fans 18.1% with 10.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.1% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.38 does indicate a possible drop in ERA if form holds. Past ten games Pirates bullpen an ERA of 7.69 and hitting only .226. Play Arizona -155.
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/9/2023
Mets at Padres—Max Scherzer to start for New York. Scherzer has fifteen starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 4.03 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran fans 27.5% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.6% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove in thirteen starts an ERA of 3.56 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander deals 23.6% K’s with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.6% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. After winning the opener of this series the Mets have won six straight.
Scherzer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Musgrove has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Both bullpen in outstanding form past ten games with Mets ERA of 2.07 and Padres at 2.65.
New York past ten games hitting only .214. Padres 12-3 to the under facing an NL starter with a WHIP of 1.25 or lower and 21-9 to the under when lined at +125 to -125 in these closely lined games. Play New York and San Diego under 8.
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