Free MLB Picks For Today 7/8/2023
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Cubs at Yankees—Drew Smyly will start for Chicago. Smyly in seventeen starts produces an ERA of 4.10 with WHIP of 1.31. The twelve year lefthander delivers 19.7% strikeouts with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 33.8% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole has eighteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.79 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander fans 26.3% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls served at 36.1% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Smyly 22-15 on the road. Past seven games Chicago is averaging 5.4 runs per game. Smyly in nine road starts an ERA of 3.44. Play Chicago +165.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Blue Jays at Tigers—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has eighteen starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran carries an elite 32.7% strikeout rate with 6.1% walks. Grounders sit at 44.2% with limited home run damage.
Matt Manning to start for Detroit. Manning in four starts has an ERA of 4.84 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander strikes out 15.8% with 7.4% walks. Grounders served at 35.7% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.61 suggest a rise in ERA if form holds.
Blue Jays roughed up Manning earlier this season hitting three homers. Prefer the Blue Jays bats and starter here. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Cardinals at White Sox—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in eighteen starts posts an ERA of 4.51 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander fans 15.7% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.5% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
Touki Toussaint to start for Chicago. Toussaint in four appearances in 2023 has an ERA of 3.95 with WHIP of 1.46. The righty posts a K rate of 22% with 22% walks. Ground balls sit at 53.3% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 5.20 does indicate a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
White Sox 26-38 facing righthanded starters hitting only .230. Toussaint form in question as is a White Sox bullpen with an ERA over five on the road. Play St Louis.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Orioles at Twins—Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells has seventeen starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 3.19 with WHIP of 0.90. The fourth year righthander fans 25.9% with 5.8% walks. Grounders sit at 31.8% with 1.92 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.74 does indicate a possible rise in ERA should his form hold.
Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray in seventeen starts produces an ERA of 2.50 with WHIP of 1.26. The veteran strikes out 24.4% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 48% with minimal home run damage.
Twins have been good at home in this line range at 35-17 when favored by -100 to -150 at home. Wells an ERA of 4.54 on the road. Gray has been sharp at home with an ERA of 2.29. As this series began the Twins had won five of six. Play Minnesota -121.
Texas Rangers vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Rangers at Nationals—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney has sixteen starts posting an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.28. The lefthander deals 25.1% strikeouts with 9.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.7% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
Jake Irvin will start for Washington. Irvin in eleven starts carries an ERA of 4.70 and WHIP of 1.45. The rookie righthander a strikeout mark of 16.8% with 10.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.8% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. As this series began the Nationals were 4-20 at home against a winning team.
In Day Games Ranges hitting .302 and averaging 7.1 runs per game. Past seven games Nationals averaging 3.3 runs per game. Heaney has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. On the road Heaney an ERA of 2.55 and WHIP of 0.93 in six starts. Irvin at home an ERA of 5.40 with team record of 1-7. Play Texas -168.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Rockies at Giants—Connor Seabold to start for Colorado. Seabold in eighteen appearances in 2023 produces an ERA of 6.62 and WHIP of 1.47. The righthander strikes out 16.5% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.9% with 2.03 home runs per nine innings.
Alex Wood to start for San Francisco. Wood has twelve appearances with an ERA of 5.20 with WHIP of 1.56. The veteran lefthander fans 22.2% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.7% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Seabold on the road an ERA of 6.65 and WHIP of 1.52. Wood at home and ERA of 7.59 and WHIP of 1.59 at home in five starts. Play Colorado and San Francisco over the total.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Reds at Brewers—Luke Weaver to start for Cincinnati. Weaver has fourteen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 6.72 and WHIP of 1.59. The eighth year righthander fans 18% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36% with 1.94 home runs per nine innings.
Colin Rea to start Milwaukee. Rea in fifteen appearances produces an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.19. The righty has a K rate of 19% with 7.9% walks. Grounders served at 45.3% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
As this series began the Reds were 12-7 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 on the season. Past seven games Reds hitting .275 and pushing across 5.9 runs per game. Milwaukee hitting only .226 at home. Play Cincinnati +113.
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Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Royals at Guardians—Brady Singer will start for KC. Singer in seventeen starts on the year posts an ERA of 5.52 with WHIP of 1.48. The righthander delivers 18.6% strikeouts with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.8% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.35 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
Gavin Williams the starter for Cleveland. Williams in three starts an ERA of 3.70 and WHIP of 0.95. The rookie righty fans 16.7% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls served at 39.6% with 1.89 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.86 does indicate a rise in ERA with no form improvement.
After Game 1 of this series the Guardians were 18-4 to the under against the division. Royals average just 3.3 runs per game on the road and Cleveland 3.6 at home. Guardians bullpen at home an ERA of 2.23. Play Kansas City and Cleveland under 8.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Pirates at Diamondbacks—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in eighteen starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.14. The sixth year righthander a K rate of 27.3% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.3% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Slade Cecconi to start for Arizona. Cecconi expected to make his MLB debut. He was Drafted in 2020 out of Miami. He spent 2022 in Double A with good results. The righty had sixteen starts in 2023 at Triple A posting an ERA of 6.47 and WHIP of 1.43 striking out 89 batters in 80 2/3rd innings.
Keller on the road and ERA of 4.30. Pirates past seven games are averaging 5.1 runs per game. Cecconi’s minor league form this season a massive concern. Pirates bullpen ERA past ten games is 7.53 with the Diamondbacks at 4.45. Play Pittsburgh and Arizona over the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Phillies at Marlins—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in ten starts on the year has an ERA of 3.67 with WHIP of 1.26. The sixth year lefthander a strikeout mark of 23.4% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 50% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett has seventeen appearances posts an ERA of 3.61 with WHIP of 1.13. The lefty a K rate of 27.5% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 49% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Suarez on the road an ERA of 1.97 and WHIP of 1.08 in five starts. Garrett at home an ERA of 5.21 in five starts.
Phillies past seven games hitting .278 and averaging 5.9 runs per game. Team record behind Suarez 15-6 against winning teams. Philadelphia has won eight of ten. Play Philadelphia -103.
Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Athletics at Red Sox—Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn in seven starts produces an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.47. The veteran righthander fans 24.5% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.7% with limited home run damage.
James Paxton to start for Boston. Paxton has nine starts carries an ERA of 2.70 and WHIP of 0.96. The lefthander delivers an elite 31.1% strikeouts with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 35% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox have won seven of eight against the Athletics covering the run line in six of those wins.
Boston has won six of seven. Paxton has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Red Sox 13-5 to the run line this season against an AL team hitting .255 or worse on the season. Athletics bullpen ERA is 6.18 away from home. Play Boston on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Mariners at Astros—Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in six starts carries an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.15. The rookie righthander posts an elite strikeout rate of 32.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.1% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
Framber Valdez will start for Houston. Valdez has sixteen starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 2.49 with WHIP of 1.05. The sixth year lefthander fans 26.3% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 56.5% with limited home run damage.
Mariners 0-8 facing an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or lower. Woo on the road an ERA of 5.00 in four starts. Valdez at home an ERA of 2.05 and WHIP of 0.98 in ten starts. Play Houston -125.
Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Braves at Rays—Spencer Strider will start for Atlanta. Strider has seventeen starts with an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander has an elite strikeout rate of 38.6% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 33% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
Taj Bradley to start for Tampa Bay. Bradley in twelve starts on the campaign has an ERA of 5.27 with WHIP of 1.38. The rookie righty too has an elite 30.8% strikeout mark with 6.9% walks. Grounders sit at 34.9% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. Past seven games Braves hitting .307 and averaging 7 runs per game.
Rays in their past seven games batting only .227. Bradly at home an ERA of 5.70. He has been pounded in his past two starts giving up 12 runs, 11 earned in 7 1/3rd innings at Seattle and Arizona. Past ten games Rays bullpen an ERA of 5.48. Play Atlanta -146.
LA Angels vs. LA Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Angels at Dodgers—Reid Detmers to start for LA Angels. Detmers has fifteen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 3.73 with WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander fans 29.8% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.3% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Gove expected to start for LA Dodgers. Grove in ten appearances has an ERA of 7.02 with WHIP of 1.61. The rookie righthander delivers 20.1% K’s with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.5% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings. Grove put up a better outing in his last home start against Pittsburgh.
As this series opened the Dodgers had won eight straight against the Angels. Detmers an ERA of 4.31 on the road. Past seven games Angels are batting .218 and averaging 3.7 runs per game. Play LA Dodgers.
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/8/2023
Mets at Padres—David Peterson to start for New York. Peterson in ten starts produces an ERA of 6.61 with WHIP of 1.67. The lefthander fans 23.8% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 55.5% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.59 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has seventeen starts with an ERA of 3.03 and WHIP of 1.26. The eighth year lefthander an elite strikeout mark of 31.3% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.5% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Peterson past two starts allowed one earned run in ten innings.
Snell has been sharp allowing two earned runs total in his past five starts. Padres bullpen behind Snell an ERA of 2.84 at home. New York hitting only .222 against lefthanders. Play New York and San Diego under 8.
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