Free MLB Picks For Today 7/7/2023
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Phillies at Marlins—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in seventeen starts carries an ERA of 4.03 with WHIP of 1.19. The eleven year veteran righthander fans 26.8% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 40% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 2.82 does suggest a drop in ERA if form holds.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara has seventeen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.93 with WHIP of 1.25. The righty is striking out 19.7% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.6% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
Philadelphia bats have been hot as in their past seven games hitting .297 and averaging 6.6 runs per game. Marlins offense generating only 3.5 runs per game against the division. At home team record behind Alcantara is 2-6. Play Philadelphia -125.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Blue Jays at Tigers—Alek Manoah to start for Toronto. Manoah in thirteen starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 6.36 with WHIP of 1.90.
The third year righthander has a strikeout mark of 17% with 14.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.8% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. He returns after two starts in the minors due to his ineffectiveness.
Alex Faedo to start for Detroit. Faedo has five starts in 2023 with an ERA of 5.54 and WHIP of 0.92. The righty is striking out 25.2% with 1.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.7% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings. He returns after losing a nail in his finger.
Blue Jays as they entered their doubleheader on Thursday were hitting only .214 and averaging 3.1 runs per game past seven games. Blue Jays bullpen on the road an ERA of 4.38. Manoah’s form a big concern to lay as a road favorite. Faedo’s WHIP encouraging. Play Detroit +127.
Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Braves at Rays—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in sixteen starts on the year has an ERA of 3.57 with WHIP of 1.44. The sixteen year veteran has a strikeout mark of 26.1% with 10% walks. Grounders sit at 45.2% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Glasnow expected to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow has seven starts with an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.33. The righthander carries an elite strikeout rate of 36.4% with 9.7% walks. Grounders served at 42.7% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. Past seven games Atlanta hitting .307 and averaging 7 runs per game.
Rays in this period averaging 5.4 runs per game. Morton 33-14 to the over past two seasons. Tampa Bay is 41-29 to the over against right handed starters. Play Atlanta and Tampa Bay over 8.5.
Texas Rangers vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Rangers at Nationals—Cody Bradford will start on Friday. Bradford in six appearances carries an ERA of 4.98 with WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander strikes out 27% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 23.2% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.98 and indicator of a possible drop in ERA based on his numbers.
Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams has seventeen starts with an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP of 1.42. The righthander fans 16.9% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.2% with 1.91 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.58 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Nationals 4-20 facing a winning team and 29-73 as a home underdog of +100 or higher. Past seven games Washington averaging only 3.3 runs per game. Play Texas -155.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Cubs at Yankees—Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has fourteen starts this season producing an ERA of 6.93 with WHIP of 1.52. The righthander delivers 20.7% K’s with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.2% with 1.84 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Rodon will start for New York. Rodon makes his 2023 debut with a combination of back and forearm injury. The nine year veteran in 2022 had an ERA of 2.88 with WHIP of 1.03 in 31 starts with San Francisco. The lefthander had an elite strikeout mark of 33.4% with 7.3% walks.
Ground balls sat at 34.1% with limited home run damage. Chicago hitting .278 against lefthanders and averaging 5.5 runs per game. New York is hitting only .227 at home. Rodon’s long layoff a concern to back at this huge price. Play Chicago +152.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Royals at Guardians—Daniel Lynch to start for Kansas City. Lynch in seven starts carries an ERA of 4.14 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 16% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.1% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Aaron Civale to start for Cleveland. Civale has eight starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 2.96 plus WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 18.4% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.9% with limited home run damage. Lynch 11-2 to the under on the road facing an AL team that averages 4.4 runs per game or fewer.
As this series began the Guardians were 17-4 to the under against the division. KC averages 3.3 runs per game on the road and Cleveland 3.5 at home. Guardians bullpen at home an ERA of 2.28. Lynch on the road an ERA of 1.89 and WHIP of 1.00 in 19 innings. Play Kansas City and Cleveland under 8.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Athletics at Red Sox—Luis Medina to start for Oakland. Medina appeared in eleven games in 2023 producing an ERA of 6.37 with WHIP of 1.64. The righthander strikes out 19.3% with 20.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.4% with 1.84 home runs per nine innings.
Brandon Walter expected to start for Boston. Walter in two appearances allowed three earned runs with two strikeouts in 7 2/3rd innings. He was drafted in the 26th round in 2019 out of Delaware. He worked in two levels in the minors in 2022 with good results in Double A and was pounded in Triple A.
In fourteen Triple A appearances this season the lefthander has an ERA of 6.08 and WHIP of 1.63. Past seven games Oakland is averaging 5.4 runs per game. Athletics bullpen a road ERA of 6.19. Play Oakland and Boston over the total
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Orioles at Twins—Cole Irvin to start for Baltimore. Irvin in nine appearances carries an ERA of 6.32 with WHIP of 1.69. The lefthander fans 19% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 29.8% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has thirteen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 2.70 and WHIP of 0.95. The righthander strikes out 24.9% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls served at 31.4% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Irvin has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Orioles seven games over .500 on the road with a +11.2 unit return averaging 5.2 runs per game. Twins hitting only .218 against lefthanders and averaging 3.3 runs per game. Play Baltimore +140.
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Reds at Brewers—Andrew Abbott will start for Cincinnati. Abbott has six starts on the year producing an ERA of 1.21 with WHIP of 0.88. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 29.4% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 20.9% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.47 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has seventeen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP of 1.13. The seven year veteran a strikeout rate of 23% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.3% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Reds have won eight of nine. Abbot has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five games. He faced the Brewers a month ago allowing no runs and a hit in six innings.
Reds are 12-5 in these closely line games when lined at +125 to -125 this season. Team record behind Abbott 6-0. Past seven games Reds hitting .300 and averaging 6.7 runs per game. Play Cincinnati +107.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Mariners at Astros—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo has seventeen 2023 starts carrying an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.07. The righthander deals 27.9% K’s with 6.9% walks. Grounders dished at 40.2% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Hunter Brown will start for Houston. Brown in sixteen starts has an ERA of 3.76 with WHIP of 1.25. The righty a strikeout mark of 27.5% with 8% walks. Ground ball rate of 55.7% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Castillo 3-8 against a winning team and 0-6 on the road this season. Past seven games Astros hitting .305 and averaging 6.9 runs per game. Play Houston -112.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Cardinals at White Sox—Jordan Montgomery to start for St Louis. Montgomery in seventeen starts produces an ERA of 3.28 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander deals 22% strikeouts with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.2% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
Dylan Cease will start for Chicago. Cease in eighteen starts has an ERA of 4.10 with WHIP of 1.31. The righthander fans 27.4% with 10% walks. Ground ball rate of 40% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
White Sox have lost five of six after getting swept in the doubleheader on Thursday to Toronto. Montgomery has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five games. Play St Louis -105.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Pirates at Diamondbacks—Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill has seventeen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander fans 21.5% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in eighteen starts an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 1.08. The sixth year righthander deals 26.8% K’s with 5.1% walks. Grounders sit at 37.5% with limited home run damage.
Pirates pounded Gallen for eight runs nearly two months ago. Diamondbacks have lost six of eight. Pirates past seven games averaging 5.6 runs per game and Diamondbacks 2.9 runs per game. Play Pittsburgh on run line +1.5 runs.
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Mets at Padres—Justin Verlander to start for New York. Verlander has eleven starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.19 The nineteen year veteran fans 20.8% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.7% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in fourteen starts has an ERA of 4.84 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander strikes out 25.7% with 7.6% walks. Grounders served at 44.2% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.87 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
New York has won five straight. Verlander has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Darvish past five starts has been pounded for 21 earned runs in 26 innings. San Diego bats just .225 against right handed starters. Play New York +113.
LA Angels vs. LA Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Angels at Dodgers—Griffin Canning to start for LA Angels. Canning has thirteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.29 and WHIP of 1.16. The fifth year righthander a strikeout mark of 24% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.5% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings.
Tony Gonsolin will start for LA Dodgers. Gonsolin in twelve starts an ERA of 3.69 with WHIP of 1.11. The righty strikes out 19% with 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.9% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Dodgers have won eight straight against the Angels all by two runs or greater.
Angels 5-16 to the run line facing an NL team averaging 4.5 runs or greater per game. Team record on run line behind Gonsolin 13-5 at home. Angels bullpen past ten games an ERA of 6.42. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/7/2023
Rockies at Giants—Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber in seventeen starts produces an ERA of 6.64 with WHIP of 1.56. The lefthander deals 16% strikeouts with 8% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.3% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings.
Ross Stripling to start for San Francisco. Stripling has eleven appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 6.51 and WHIP of 1.50. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.7% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.2% with 2.41 home runs per nine innings.
San Francisco in their past seven games hitting .203 and averaging 2.6 runs per game. Gomber has allowed two earned runs in each of his past two starts. Stripling has been hammered at home this season. Play Colorado.
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