Free MLB Picks For Today 7/6/2023
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Reds at Nationals—Brandon Williamson to start for Cincinnati. Williamson in nine starts has an ERA of 5.56 with WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander fans 18% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.6% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings.
Mackenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has seventeen starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.48 with WHIP of 1.47. The second year lefty deals 27.9% strikeouts with 10.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.5% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. After winning the first two in this series the Reds are 28-16 against a losing team.
Nationals are 26-61 against left handed starters. Cincinnati against lefthanded starters hitting .285 and averaging 5.6 runs per game. Nationals are home putting up only 3.6 runs per game. Gore past three games allowing thirteen earned runs with seven walks in 13 2/3rd innings. Play Cincinnati +107.
Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Athletics at Tigers—Hogan Harris to start for Oakland. Harris appeared in eight games in 2023 carrying an ERA of 5.17 with WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander has a K rate of 17.9% with 9.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.7% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Lorenzen to start for Detroit. Lorenzen has fourteen starts with an ERA of 4.28 with WHIP of 1.17. The righty is striking out 18.6% with 6% walks. Ground balls served at 41% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
After winning the opener of this series the Athletics have won seven of nine against the Tigers. Detroit hitting only .212 against lefthanders. Play Oakland +144.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Cubs at Brewers—Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman has eighteen starts on the season producing an ERA of 2.76 with WHIP of 1.09. the ten year veteran fans 21.3% with 8.6% walks. Grounders sit at 59.7% with limited home run damage.
Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in sixteen starts carries an ERA of 4.67 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander delivers a strikeout mark of 26.1% with 9.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.2% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
Stroman has struggled past two starts allowing eleven runs, eight earned in nine innings. Past seven games Brewers are averaging 6.6 runs per game. Brewers bullpen has been good at home and Chicago pen an ERA of 4.92 on the road. Play Milwaukee +104.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Blue Jays at White Sox—Game 1 Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has seventeen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander is striking out 22.7% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.1% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn in seventeen starts produces an ERA of 6.47 with WHIP of 1.50. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 26.9% with 8.3% walks. Grounders sit at 38.8% with 2.06 home runs per nine innings. White Sox are 11-22 facing a starting pitcher who strikes out five or greater batters per game.
At home Lynn has an ERA of 7.22 and WHIP of 1.55 and is getting hurt by the home run. Berrios in his lone meeting against the White Sox this season allowed no runs in seven. Lynn gave up four earned runs with three walks in five innings against the Blue Jays this season. Play Toronto -125 in Game 1.
In Game 2 Yusie Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi in seventeen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander strikes out 24.8% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.9% with 2.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.25 indicates a rise in ERA possible if form holds.
Jesse Scholtens to be primary pitcher for Chicago. Scholtens in ten appearances has an ERA of 2.96 with WHIP of 1.06. The rookie righthander fans 14.5% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls delivered at 38.6% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 4.17 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
Kikuchi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. He faced the White Sox early this season allowing no runs with eight strikeouts in 5 2/3rd innings. After winning the opener of this series the Blue Jays have won five straight against the White Sox. Play Toronto in Game 2.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Cardinals at Marlins—Jack Flaherty to start for St Louis. Flaherty in sixteens starts posts an ERA of 4.60 with WHIP of 1.56. The seven year veteran has a K rate of 22.2% with 12.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.1% with limited home run damage.
Eury Perez to start for Miami. Perez has ten starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.47 and WHIP of 1.12. The rookie righthander fans 28% with 7.8% walks. Grounders come in at 30.1% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.61 is an indicator of a possible rise in ERA based on his numbers.
After dropping the first two in this series the Cardinals are 16-29 against a winning team. Marlins are 27-11 facing a bad bullpen with an ERA of 4.20 or worse. Cardinals 7-21 facing an NL starter who has an ERA of 2.70 or better. Perez an ERA of 1.01 and WHIP of .89 in five home starts. Play Miami -130.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Phillies at Rays—Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez in four starts on the year produces an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander is striking out 25.6% with 5.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 50.9% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Shawn Armstrong to start for Tampa Bay. Armstrong has twelve appearances with an ERA of 1.15 and WHIP of 1.02. The righthander fans 23.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.2% with limited home run damage.
Past seven games Phillies hitting .276 and scoring 6.1 runs per game. Past three starts Glasnow allowed ten earned runs in fifteen innings. Play Philadelphia +155.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Orioles at Yankees—Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in fifteen starts carries an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP of 1.21. The second year righthander fans 23% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 45.3% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino has eight starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 6.30 with WHIP of 1.65. The nine year veteran has a K rate of 18% with 9.5% walks. Grounders come in at 38.3% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Bradish 15-8 against a team with a winning record.
Orioles 29-11 as a favorite of -110 or higher and 14-2 on the road as a favorite of -110 or higher. Bradish has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Play Baltimore -118.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Royals at Guardians—Jordan Lyles to start for Kansas City. Lyles in sixteen starts posts an ERA of 6.68 with WHIP of 1.30. The thirteen year veteran strikes out strikes out 16.3% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.9% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings.
Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee has twelve starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.46 and WHIP of 1.26. The righthander fans 24.4% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball dished at 38.7% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. KC struggled against the Twins pitching.
Guardians averaging only 3.6 runs per game at home. Cleveland bullpen an ERA of 2.18 at home. Team is 1-10 to the under with Lyles as a road underdog of +150 to +200. Guardians 17-4 to the under against the division. Play Kansas City and Cleveland under 9.
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Rangers at Red Sox—Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi has seventeen starts on the campaign with an ERA of 2.64 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander deals 24.7% strikeouts with 6.3% walks. Grounders served at 51.7% with limited home run damage.
Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford in sixteen appearances in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.92 with WHIP of 1.10. The righty strikes out 23.7% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.6% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings.
Crawford has been pounded at home with an ERA of 9.82 and WHIP of 1.81 in his three starts at home. Past seven games Boston averaging just 3.1 runs per game. Crawford could put the Red Sox in an early hold here. Eovaldi on the road an ERA of 2.44 and WHIP of 1.04. Play Texas -130.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Mariners at Astros—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in sixteen starts on the year carries an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 1.04. The second year righthander a strikeout mark of 21.4% with 2.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.8% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Spenser Watkins to start for Houston. Watkins has been pounded in Triple A this season allowing 27 earned runs in 31 innings striking out 23 batters with 22 walks. He posted an ERA of 4.70 with WHIP of 1.41 in 23 appearances with the Orioles in 2022.
Astros 6-12 at home as a favorite of -100 to -150 this season. Past seven games Mariners averaging 5.1 runs per game. Kirby form sharp. Play Seattle +130.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Mets at Diamondbacks—Carlos Carrasco to start for New York. Carrasco in eleven starts provides an ERA of 5.94 with WHIP of 1.57. The fifteen year veteran deals 16.3% K’s with 10.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.8% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings.
Ryne Nelson will start for Arizona. Nelson has seventeen starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 4.67 with WHIP of 1.38. The righthander fans 16.5% with 7.5% walks. Grounders served at 36.2% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
Nelson has been hammered at home with an ERA of 7.09 and WHIP of 1.83. Past seven games Arizona batting .221 and averaging 3.9 runs per game. Play New York +115.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. LA Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/6/2023
Pirates at Dodgers—Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo in seventeen starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.61 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander delivers 19.2% K’s with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.1% with limited home run damage.
Julio Urias the starter for Los Angels. Urias has eleven starts with an ERA of 4.94 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander is fanning 22.5% with 5.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.6% with 2.16 home runs per nine innings.
Pirates 44-62 to the run line on the road against a winning team with a loss of -29 units. Team record against the run line behind Urias 30-14 when he faces an NL team hitting .245 or worse.
Past seven games Dodgers averaging 6.9 runs per game. Oviedo hammered for eight runs in five innings in his last start facing Milwaukee. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
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