Free MLB Picks For Today 6/18/2023
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Orioles at Cubs—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in fourteen starts has an ERA of 4.74 and WHIP of 1.43. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 19.9% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.4% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has eleven starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 6.70 and WHIP of 1.51. The veteran fans 20.5% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 32% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Kremer 23-12. Taillon an ERA of 7.25 at home. Play Baltimore -102.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Yankees at Red Sox Game 1—In Game 1 Clarke Schmidt to start for NYY. Schmidt in fourteen starts on the campaign an ERA of 4.70 and WHIP of 1.40. The righthander fans 24.1% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.5% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Schmidt has been pounded on the road. Yankees hitting .194 past ten games. Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta in seventeen appearances has an ERA of 5.40 and WHIP of 1.44. The veteran deals 23.3% strikeouts with 10.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 32% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.
Red Sox 14-5 to the over facing a good bullpen with a WHIP of 1.25 or better. They are 19-7 to the over at home against a righthanded starter. Play New York and Boston over 9 in Game 1.
Yankees at Red Sox Game 2—Luis Severino to start for NYY. Severino in five starts produces an ERA of 6.48 and WHIP of 1.48. The righthander is striking out 19.1% with 8.7% walks. Grounders sit at 44.3% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello has ten starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.78 and WHIP of 1.34. The righty a strikeout mark of 21.4% with 7.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 56.9% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Bello has shown improvement allowing two earned runs or fewer in seven of his past eight starts. Severino has been pounded on the road. Play Boston -123 in Game 2.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Marlins at Nationals—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in fourteen starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 4.17 and WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander has a K rate of 27.3% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls served at 38.1% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin has fourteen starts posting an ERA of 4.81 and WHIP of 1.54. The lefthander deals 14.5% strikeouts with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.6% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
Luzardo has been roughed up on the road with an ERA near six. Corbin has shown improvement this season. Nationals do a good job of scoring and hitting lefthanders. Play Washington +143.
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Rockies at Braves—Chase Anderson to start for Colorado. Anderson in eight appearances posts an ERA of 2.72 and WHIP of 1.05. The righthander fans 17.4% with 5.6% walks. Grounders served at 37.7% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.65 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has thirteen starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.60 and WHIP of 1.44. The veteran is striking out 25.7% with 10% walks. Grounders come in at 46.6% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Braves have been pounding Rockies pitching outscoring them 26-6 in this series. Colorado average just 3.7 runs per game on the road. Anderson has allowed five homers in his past three starts. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -150.
St Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Cardinals at Mets—Matthew Liberatore to start for St Louis. Liberatore in five appearances on the year produces an ERA of 5.14 and WHIP of 1.57. The lefthander strikes out 16.3% with 10.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.6% with limited home run damage.
Carlos Carrasco to start for NYM. Carrasco has eight starts with an ERA of 5.71 and WHIP of 1.46. The righty has seen his strikeout mark plummet to 13.3% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.7% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings.
New York 8-16 against lefthanders this season. Team record behind Carrasco 10-23 in these closely lined games between +125 to -125. Mets average just 3.5 runs per game against lefthanders. Play St Louis +102.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Reds at Astros—Luke Weaver to start for Cincinnati. Weaver has ten starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 6.23 and WHIP of 1.46. The righthander fans 21.6% with 6.6% walks. Grounders dealt at 37% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings.
Ronel Blanco to start for Houston. Blanco in eleven appearances has an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP of 1.71. The righty a K rate of 24.1% with 13% walks. Grounders served at 34.3% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
Astros struggling for runs. Concern for Blanco are the number of baserunners he allows. Reds are a hot team. Team record behind Weaver this season is 5-5. Play Cincinnati +129.
LA Angels vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Angels at Royals—Tyler Anderson to start for LAA. Anderson in 12 starts has an ERA of 5.80 and WHIP of 1.69. The lefthander fans 15.5% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.7% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Zack Greinke to start for KC. Greinke has 14 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.65 and WHIP of 1.13. The veteran is striking out 18.5% with 3.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.3% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. KC is 5-25 against winning teams this season. LAA bullpen has performed well on the road. Play LA Angels -119.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Tigers at Twins—Tyler Alexander to start for Detroit. Alexander has nineteen appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.23 and WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander has a K rate of 22.4% with 1.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 30.3% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings.
Louie Varland to start for Minnesota. Varland has nine starts producing an ERA of 4.70 and WHIP of 1.26. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 22.9% with 6.4% walks
. Ground ball rate of 44.1% with 2.09 home runs per nine innings. Twins bullpen has been outstanding at home. On the road the Tigers average just 3.4 runs per game and hitting only .214. Play Minnesota.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 6/18/2023
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Pirates at Brewers—Luis Ortiz to start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz has seven starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.64 and WHIP of 1.76. The righthander pitches to high contact with 13.2% strikeouts and 11.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 50% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.96 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds
Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in thirteen starts carries an ERA of 4.73 and WHIP of 1.36. The righty deals 24.4% K’s with 8.8% walks. Grounders served at 39.7% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings.
Pirates have lost all games on this trip. Their bullpen has been hammered with an ERA of 8.41 in their past ten games. Ortiz has been hammered on the road with an ERA of 6.75 and WHIP of 2.10. Play Milwaukee -156.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Blue Jays at Rangers—Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt in fourteen starts posts an ERA of 4.02 and WHIP of 1.13. The righty has a strikeout mark of 21.4% with 7.7% walks. Grounders come in at 42.5% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.00 suggesting a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray has twelve starts this season with an ERA of 2.32 and WHIP of 0.96. The veteran fans 22.3% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.8% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.16 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds.
Bassitt has been hammered on the road with an ERA near six. Gray form outstanding allowing one earned run or fewer in each of his past five starts. Play Texas -120.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Phillies at Athletics—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in fourteen starts this season carries an ERA of 3.73 and WHIP of 1.10. The veteran fans 27.4% with 5.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.3% with limited home run damage.
Hogan Harris to start for Oakland. Harris has five appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 4.84 and WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander deals 15.7% strikeouts with 10.1% walks. Grounders served at 43.8% with limited home run damage.
Athletics trending under with improvement from their pitching staff. Phillies 11-2 to the under facing AL teams hitting .255 or worse on the season. Philadelphia averages just 3.7 runs per game against lefthanded starters. Athletics hitting only .207 at home. Play Philadelphia and Oakland under 7.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Guardians at Diamondbacks—Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee in nine starts has an ERA of 3.91 and WHIP of 1.24. The righthander fans 22.2% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.6% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Zach Davies to start for Arizona. Davies has six starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.46 and WHIP of 1.61. The righthander is striking out 20.5% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.7% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians lack of offense a concern. They average just 3.4 runs per game against righthanders. Bibee has been hammered on the road. Prefer the Diamondbacks offense here. Play Arizona -102.
San Francisco Giants vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Giants at Dodgers—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in fourteen starts this season carries an ERA of 3.15 and WHIP of 1.08. The righthander strikes out 25.2% with 4.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 59.7% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD. Gonsolin has nine starts producing an ERA of 1.93 and WHIP of 0.94. The righty fans 18.9% with 9.5% walks. Grounders dished at 39.4% with limited home run damage.
Dodgers weak bullpen getting exploited in this series. Team record behind Webb 26-8 facing teams hitting .245 or worse. SF 16-9 when an underdog of +100 to +150 on the season. Play San Francisco +122.
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
White Sox at Mariners—Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn in fourteen starts posts an ERA of 6.75 and WHIP of 1.56. The veteran strikes out 24.4% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.4% with 2.09 home runs per nine innings.
Bryce Miller will start for Seattle. Miller has eight starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.06 and WHIP of 0.92. The righthander a strikeout mark of 22.5% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.7% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
Miller showed improvement in his last start. Lynn is just getting hammered. Mariners have the better bullpen. Play Seattle on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 6/18/2023
Rays at Padres—Yonny Chirinos to start for Tampa Bay. Chirinos has nine appearances with an ERA of 2.35 and WHIP of 0.94. The righthander fans 11.3% with 8% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.9% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.49 does suggest a rise in ERA if form holds.
Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove in nine starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.37 and WHIP of 1.33. The veteran has a K rate of 22.9% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.1% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
Padres 4-9 when lined as a home favorite of -100 to -150 this season. Team record behind Musgrove 6-17 in Day Home Games. San Diego averaging only 3.7 runs per game at home. Play Tampa Bay +130.