Free MLB Picks For Today 5/23/2023
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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
White Sox at Guardians—Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease in ten starts posts an ERA of 4.78 and WHIP of 1.39. The righthander is striking out 24.1% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.7% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen has started five games this year with an ERA of 3.04 and WHIP of 1.46. The lefthander has a K rate of 24.4% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.8% with limited home run damage. As this series opened the White sox were 7-16 on the road. White Sox averaging just 3.7 runs per game against lefthanders. Play Cleveland -115.
Texas Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Rangers at Pirates—Nathan Eovaldi will start for Texas. Eovaldi in nine starts produces an ERA of 2.83 and WHIP of 0.99. the veteran fans 26.2% with 4.3% walks. Grounders sit at 51.3% with limited home run damage. Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill has nine starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.80 and WHIP of 1.35. The lefthander is striking out 21.3% with 7.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.3% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. Rangers are pounding lefthanders this year averaging 7.9 runs per game and hitting .292. Past ten games Pirates hitting only .199 against righthanders. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at +110.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Diamondbacks at Phillies—Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson in nine starts posts an ERA of 5.48 and WHIP of 1.48. The righty has a K rate of 16.1% with 7.5% walks. Grounders served at 43% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Dylan Covey is the primary pitcher for Philadelphia. Covey appeared in one game for LAD allowing two earned runs with three strikeouts in four innings and was waived. The 31 year old has 72 career appearances with an ERA of 6.54 and WHIP of 1.59 striking out 187 in 268 1/3rd innings. Nelson high contact a concern against this lineup and in this ballpark. Covery has also pitched to high contact in his MLB career. Play Arizona and Philadelphia over the total.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays—Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has nine starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.61 and WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 23.6% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.1% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.59 suggests a drop in ERA if form holds. Taj Bradley to start for Tampa Bay. Bradley in four starts carries an ERA of 3.54 and WHIP of 0.93. The righthander is striking out 33.8% with 5% walks. Grounders dealt at 33.3% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Team record behind Berrios on the road this season 1-4 with an ERA of 6.67. As this series began the Rays were 21.4 at home. Play Tampa Bay -130.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Cardinals at Reds—Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright in three starts posts an ERA of 5.74 and WHIP of 1.60. The veteran has seen his strikeouts plummet to 11.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.9% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft has nine starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.84 and WHIP of 1.43. The righthander has a K rate of 17% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 49% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. Past ten games Cardinals have been pounding righthanders. Wainwright high contact a massive concern in this ballpark. Play St Louis and Cincinnati over 9.5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Orioles at Yankees—Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in seven starts posts an ERA of 3.90 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 21% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.4% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole in ten starts posts an ERA of 2.01 with WHIP of 1.09. The veteran fans 26.8% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.2% with limited home run damage. Orioles 15-8 to the over on the road where they average 5.8 runs per game. Yankees have been hitting at home since the return of Judge. Play Baltimore and New York over eight.
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Padres at Nationals—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in eight starts carries an ERA of 3.56 plus WHIP of 1.13. The righthander is striking out 27.2% with 8.2% walks. Grounders served at 43.3% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Mackenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has eight starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.69 and WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander has a K rate of 29% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.8% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Past ten games Padres batting just .182. San Diego averaging just 3.6 runs per game against lefthanders. Play Washington +131.
LA Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Dodgers at Braves—Bobby Miller to start for LAD. Miller will make his MLB debut on Tuesday. The righthander was a first round pick in 2020 out of Louisville. He is needed with May and Urias on the injured list. He has worked two levels in the minors in 2022 with high strikeouts. In four Triple A starts this season he posted an ERA of 5.65 with WHIP of 1.21 striking out 12 in 14 1/3rd innings. Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider has nine starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.96 and WHIP of 1.01. The righty has an elite strikeout rate of 41.5% with 8.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 33% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. Dodgers offense producing runs against righthanded starters averaging 5.9 per game. Braves bullpen an ERA of 4.75 at home. Play Los Angeles on run line +1.5 runs at -114.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Mets at Cubs—Kodai Senga to start for NYM. Senga in eight starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP of 1.44. The righthander has a K rate of 29.4% with 13.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.5% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly has nine starts producing an ERA of 2.86 and WHIP of 0.93. The lefty is striking out 23.2% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.8% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Mets have won five straight. Cubs have dropped seven of eight. Past ten games Chicago hitting .222 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA of 8.54. Play New York -105.
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Tigers at Royals—Eduardo Rodriguez will start for Detroit. Rodriguez in nine starts posts an ERA of 2.06 and WHIP of 0.86. The lefthander is striking out 24.4% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.1% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Daniel Lynch to start for KC. Lynch makes his 2023 debut. He had 27 starts last season with an ERA of 5.13 and WHIP of 1.57. The lefthander had a strikeout mark of 20.3% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls sat at 41.5% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Lynch had his season delayed by a shoulder injury. Prefer Rodriguez and Tigers bullpen against Lynch as well as the KC bullpen here. Royals have lost eight of ten. Play Detroit.
San Francisco Giants vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Giants at Twins—Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb in nine starts carries an ERA of 1.94 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander is striking out 20.4% with 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 62.4% with limited home run damage. Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray has nine starts in 2023 with an ERA of 1.64 plus WHIP of 1.16. The righty fans 29.6% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.5% with no homers allowed. SF has won six of seven with the pitching staff performing well. Gray’s form outstanding at home with an ERA of 0.89. Play San Francisco and Minnesota under 7.5.
Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Astros at Brewers—JP France to start for Houston. France in three starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.11 plus WHIP of 1.24. The rookie righthander is striking out 15.2% with 6.1% walks. Grounders sit at 41.2% with 2.35 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea will start for Milwaukee. Rea in seven appearances produces an ERA of 5.52 plus WHIP of 1.29. The righty fans 19.2% with 10% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.9% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings. Astros are 14-8 on the road. Rea has been pounded at home with an ERA of 6.58. Play Houston -130.
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Marlins at Rockies—Eury Perez to start for Miami. Perez in his two starts allowed three earned runs with thirteen strikeouts in 9 2/3rd innings. A 2019 draft pick spent the bulk of 2022 in Double A with good results. The righthander had six starts in Double A this season posting an ERA of 2.32 with WHIP of 0.81 with 42 K’s in 31 innings. Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber in nine starts carries an ERA of 6.70 plus WHIP of 1.53. The lefty pitches to contact with 14.9% strikeouts and 9.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.7% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings. Marlins are 13-26 against a left handed starter on the road. They average just 3.4 runs per game against lefty starters and are last in MLB in run production. Gomber has shown improvement in two of his past three starts. Play Colorado +118.
Boston Red Sox vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Red Sox at Angels—Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in six starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 4.45 plus WHIP of 1.59. The righthander fans 23.8% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 61.9% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. Griffin Canning will start for LAA. Canning has six starts with an ERA of 6.14 plus WHIP of 1.50. The righty is striking out 19.1% with 8.4% walks. Grounders sit at 46.2% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. Canning form the concern. Red Sox 30-11 against the AL West. Bello has pitched well past three starts. Play Boston -108.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 5/24/2023
Athletics at Mariners—Luis Medina to start for Oakland. Medina in three starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 6.88 and WHIP of 1.24. The rookie righthander a K rate of 20.5% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.1% with 2.65 home runs per nine innings. Marco Gonzales to start for Seattle. Gonzales has eight starts on the campaign with an ERA of 6.10 plus WHIP of 1.59. The lefthander fans 15.3% with 8.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 40.9% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. 12 of the Athletics past 13 losses have been by two runs or greater. Medina an ERA of 6.88 with the bullpen behind him an ERA of 6.62. Athletics hitting only .227 against lefthanders and averaging 3.6 runs per game against them. Play Seattle on run line -1.5 runs at -113.