Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez 4/27/24 UFC on ESPN 55 Game Prediction, Odds, and Picks

Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez 4/27/24 UFC on ESPN 55 Game Prediction, Odds, and Picks

Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez 4/27/24 – The upcoming UFC on ESPN 55 features an intriguing flyweight bout that pits Matheus Nicolau against Alex Perez. Nicolau enters the cage with a solid record of 19 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw, while Perez boasts 24 wins and 8 losses. As the world of MMA continues to grow, so does the market for paid predictions, which suggests a tight contest according to the betting odds. With the event scheduled for April 27, 2024, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, fans are in for a potentially explosive encounter.


Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez 4/27/24 Game Info


When: Saturday, April 27, 2024, at 7:00 PM ET
Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA


Matheus Nicolau Analysis


Matheus Nicolau comes into the UFC octagon with a solid background, which is evident through the balance of his skills. With a score of 19-4-1, the grappler is capable not only in striking but also in grappling. He sustains an average number 3.66 of meaningful strikes per minute in which he has striking accuracy of 53 percent and takes 3.14 strikes each minute. The player covers himself defensively with a strong 66% striking defense and a really tough 93% takedown defense. At the same line, grappling is an essential element of Nicolau’s style. He is excellent at it, with an average of 1.48 takedowns per 15 minutes, with an effectiveness of 45%. The Royval bout was his last fight and brought up some weaknesses, and dealing with threatening strikers is one of these weaknesses, which may just turn the tables around in the favor of the next contender.


Alex Perez Analysis


On the one hand, Alex Perez delivers his “aggressive approach” which he is famous for through a record of 24 wins, 8 losses, and 0 draws. He keeps Nicolau at bay with his greater striking pace, scoring 4.12 significant strikes per minute, this is despite Nicolau’s greater accuracy, which is 46%. The rate of strikes that Perez absorbs per minute is in the same range as Nicolau and his defensive results are to the lower side: He defends successfully just 59% of strike attacks and only 82% of takings-down. While there may be a slight deficit on the part of Perez when it comes to striking, he boards up this weakness with his grappling, securing more takedowns in each match at 2.26 with overall accuracy. His most recent loss to Mokaev demonstrated how he is vulnerable to a highly technical and skilled opponent. This attribute is important to take into account in this face-off.


Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez Stats


Nicolau Perez
Wins/Losses/Draws 19-4-1 24-8-0
Average Fight Time 11:14 6:38
Height 5′ 6″ 5′ 6″
Weight 125 lbs. 125 lbs.
Reach 66″ 65″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 3.66 4.12
Striking Accuracy 53% 46%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 3.14 3.14
Defense 66% 59%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 1.48 2.26
Takedown Accuracy 45% 44%
Takedown Defense 93% 82%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.9 1.0


Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez Betting Picks


Regarding the latest results and numbers, it seems that Matheus Nicolau might slightly win this matchup by employing well in the defense that might especially in this clash against a high- output fighter like Perez. Nicolau’s better striking defense and effective takedown defense provide him with more ways defensively, which makes him less susceptible to Perez’s more aggressive approach. Nicolau is a favorable bet at -180 and this is justifiable since he has a stern defense and neutral attack that could counteract Perez’s attacking strengths.


Between Nicolau and Perez, Nicolau is undoubtedly the safest choice. He is good at dictating the rhythm and space, coupled with his combative defense capabilities that match up well versus the aggressive-style but less-precise strike of Perez. As a result, Nicolau represents the most sensible choice for the fight.


Free Pick: Matheus Nicolau -180

This fight promises to deliver excitement and a tough challenge for both fighters. Fans looking for the latest UFC free predictions should consider the defensive strengths and overall versatility of Matheus Nicolau as key factors in this matchup. As fight night approaches, it will be interesting to see how each fighter’s strategy unfolds in the cage.


Click Here For More UFC Video Free Picks