Free MLB Picks For Today 5/21/2023
New York Yankees vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Yankees at Reds—Luis Severino to start for NYY. Severino was sidelined with a lat injury and makes his 2023 debut. Last season the righthander started nineteen games with an ERA of 3.18 and WHIP of 1.00. He had a K rate of 27.7% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sat at 44.3% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene in nine starts has an ERA of 4.60 and WHIP of 1.58. The righty is striking out 29.8% with 8.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 30.8% with 12.6 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Greene as an underdog is 5-21. With Judge’s returns the Yankees have been scoring runs and winning. Plus they have a bullpen with an ERA under three. Play NYY -147.
Detroit Tigers vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Tigers at Nationals—Joey Wentz to start for Detroit. Wentz has eight starts in 2023 with an ERA of 6.38 and WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander fans 18.8% with 8.8% walks. Grounders dealt at 37.9% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in eight starts posts an ERA of 2.73 and WHIP of 1.35. The righty has a strikeout mark of 20% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.2% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.18 suggests a rise in ERA with his numbers.
Gray in great form and Wentz is not. Nationals batting .303 against lefthanders on the road. Tigers push across just 3.5 runs per game on the road. Play Washington -124.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Diamondbacks at Pirates—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in nine starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 2.92 and WHIP of 1.09. The righthander deals 26.6% strikeouts and 10.1% walks. Grounders served at 50.4% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has nine starts carries an ERA of 2.38 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander has an elite strikeout mark of 30.1% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.7% with limited home run damage.
Diamondbacks have won six of eight. Team record behind Kelly 13-7 on the road. Past ten games Pirates batting .209 against righthanders. Play Arizona -119.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Cubs at Phillies—Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele has nine starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.44 and WHIP of 1.03. The lefthander has a K rate of 21.7% with 6.9% walks. Grounders dealt at 48.7% with minimal home run damage.
Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in nine starts has an ERA of 6.53 and WHIP of 1.50. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 21.5% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls served at 52% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies just 4-9 against lefthanded starters averaging only 2.6 runs per game. Prefer Steele here over Walker. Play Chicago +103.
Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Mariners at Braves—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in eight starts on the campaign has an ERA of 2.45 and WHIP of 1.01. The righthander a K rate of 20.3% with 2% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.5% with minimal home run damage.
Jared Shuster to start for Atlanta. Shuster has three starts producing an ERA of 7.24 and WHIP 1.90. The lefthander pitches to high contact with 12.5% strikeouts and 17.2% walks. Grounders served at 33.3% with limited home runs damage.
Check mark for the Mariners with their starter and bullpen. Braves have dropped six of nine. Braves struggling with injuries to their starting rotation. Play Seattle -106.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Orioles at Blue Jays—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in nine starts posts an ERA of 4.94 with WHIP of 1.42. The righthander fans 17.8% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.7% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has nine starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.27 and WHIP of 1.09. The veteran has an elite strikeout mark of 34.7% with 4.1% walks. Grounders served at 46.3% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Kremer 11-2 against winning teams. Team record behind Gausman 16-17 when favored at home by -110 or greater. Orioles offense and bullpen can keep them in reach. Play Baltimore on run line +1.5 runs at -124.
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Guardians at Mets—With the game on Saturday rained out they play two on Sunday. The starters from Saturday go in Game 1. Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee has four starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.22 and WHIP of 1.03. The righthander fans 25% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 27.1% with limited home run damage.
Max Scherzer will start for NYM. Scherzer in six starts carries an ERA of 4.88 and WHIP of 1.30. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 22.4% with 10.3% walks. Grounders served at 26% with 1.95 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians bullpen has kept them in games. Mets just 20th in runs scored in MLB. Scherzer strikeouts way down and walks way up. Play Cleveland on run line +1.5 runs at -155.
Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland in Game 2. Bieber in nine starts produces an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander is striking out 18.5% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.1% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Justin Verlander to start for NYM. Verlander has three starts with an ERA of 4.76 and WHIP of 1.18. The veteran has a K rate of 21.7% with 7.2% walks. Grounders dished at 36.7% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings.
Verlander was fine against the Reds and Tigers. He was pounded by the Rays. Bieber’s dropping K rate a concern. Play New York -138 in Game 2.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Brewers at Rays—Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in eight starts carries an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP of 1.30. The righthander deals 25.4% strikeouts with 9.6% walks. Grounders come in at 35% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Cooper Criswell will start for Tampa Bay. Criswell in two appearances has allowed five earned runs with ten strikeouts in 6 2/3rd innings. He had a start in 2021 and 2022. The righthander has seven Triple A appearances this season with an ERA of 3.38 and WHIP of 1.48 striking out 29 in 29 1/3rd innings.
Brewers batting .216 against left handed starters averaging 2.7 runs per game. Rays are outscoring teams by 3.3 runs per game at home. Play Tampa Bay -140.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/21/2023
Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Athletics at Astros—James Kaprielian to start for Oakland. Kaprielian has seven appearances with an ERA of 10.17 and WHIP of 1.96. The righthander is striking out 21.6% with 12.9% walks. Grounders sit at 23.9% with 2.35 home runs per nine innings.
Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in nine starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 2.84 and WHIP of 1.12. The lefthander a fan rate of 28.1% with 5.2% walks. Grounders come in at 60.7% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
Athletics are struggling to score on Houston pitching. Astros offense averaging only 4 runs per game in this series. Play Oakland and Houston under 8.5.
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Royals at White Sox—Carlos Hernandez to start for Kansas City. Hernandez in nineteen appearances carries an ERA of 4.09 and WHIP of 1.27. The righthander has a K rate of 30.1% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.3% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings.
Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn in nine starts produces an ERA of 6.66 and WHIP of 1.52. The veteran fans 26.6% with 7.4% walks. Grounder balls come in at 37.6% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. Too big of a price to back Lynn and the bullpen behind him facing a starter with some good qualities. Play Kansas City +158.
LA Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Dodgers at Cardinals—Clayton Kershaw will start for LAD. Kershaw in nine starts carries an ERA of 2.52 with WHIP of 1.02. The lefthander is striking out 29.6% with 5.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.4% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Jack Flaherty will start for St Louis. Flaherty has nine starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 5.24 and WHIP 1.58. The veteran fans 24.3% with 14.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.7% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Both lineups hitting. Cardinals do a great job of scoring and hitting lefthanders. LAD bullpen an ERA near six on the road. Play Los Angeles and St Louis over 8.5.
Colorado Rockies vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Rockies at Rangers—Connor Seabold to start for Colorado. Seabold has ten starts in 2023 with an ERA of 5.14 and WHIP of 1.61. The righthander has a K rate of 15.3% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.5% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
Andrew Heaney will start for Texas. Heaney in eight starts posts an ERA of 4.71 and WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander is striking out 26.6% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.2% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings.
Seabold’s high contact a concern against a Rangers offense averaging 6.5 runs per game at home while giving up just 4.4 runs. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Marlins at Giants—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in nine starts produces an ERA of 3.16 and WHIP of 1.36. The lefthander fans 25.2% with 7.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.6% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Alex Wood to start for San Francisco. Wood has five appearances with an ERA of 2.87 with WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander is striking out 21.9% with 11% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.3% with limited home run damage.
Marlins offense is last in baseball in runs scored. They are 10-1 to the under against the NL West this season. The team is also 30-17 to the under against left handed starters. Play Miami and San Francisco under 8.
Minnesota Twins vs. LA Angeles MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Twins at Angels—Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez has nine starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP of 1.07. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 30% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.8% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani to start for LAA. Ohtani in nine starts produces an ERA of 3.23 and WHIP 0.91. The righty also has an elite strikeout rate of 34% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.2% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Twins on the road hitting only .197 against righthanders. Angels are putting up 5.3 runs per game at home. Play LA Angels -139.
Boston Red Sox vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/21/2023
Red Sox at Padres—Corey Kluber to start for Boston. Kluber in eight starts carries an ERA of 6.41 with WHIP of 1.47. The veteran deals 18.4% strikeouts with 8.4% walks. Grounders come in at 30.7% with 2.52 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Wacha to start for San Diego. Wacha has eight starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander fans 22.2% with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 32.6% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. Padres have dropped nine of ten hitting just .193.
Red Sox are 36-16 against an NL team batting .245 or worse. Red Sox 11-4 when an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. They are also 21-9 in their past 30 interleague games. Play Boston +127.
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