Free MLB Picks For Today 5/9/2023
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Tigers at Guardians—Michael Lorenzen to start for Detroit. Lorenzen in four starts has an ERA of 5.14 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 17.6% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in seven starts produces an ERA 2.96 with WHIP 1.07. The righty has seen his strikeouts plummet to 16.6% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.5% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Bieber’s high contact plus Guardians .212 home batting average where they put up 2.7 runs per game the concern here. Play Detroit on run line +1.5 runs at +106.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Rays at Orioles—Zach Eflin to start for Baltimore. Eflin in five starts has an ERA 2.25 with WHIP 0.96. The veteran fans 28.4% with 2.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 57.5% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez has six starts in 2023 with an ERA 5.46 and WHIP 1.54. The righthander a K rate of 29.8% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.3% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings.
Ray’s averaging 7.2 runs per game on the road with a starting pitcher in the better form and good bullpen. Play Tampa Bay -114.
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Rockies at Pirates—Connor Seabold to start for Colorado. Seabold started five games in 2022 posting an ERA 11.29 with WHIP 2.35. The righthander has eight appearances this season with an ERA 5.30 and WHIP 1.50. The righthander pitches to contact with 16.5% strikeouts and 3.5% walks.
Ground ball rate of 40% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. Luis Ortiz to start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz had four starts in 2022 with an ERA 4.50 and WHIP 1.13. The righthander in seven Triple A starts produced an ERA 2.23 and WHIP 0.97 striking out 29 in 32 1/3rd innings.
Rockies bullpen has performed well on the road. Pirates offense has struggled in recent games. Play Colorado on the run line +1.5 runs at -140.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Blue Jays at Phillies—Alek Manoah to start for Toronto. Manoah has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.71 and WHIP of 1.65. The righthander is striking out 18.1% with 12.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.4% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in seven starts posts an ERA 4.64 and WHIP 1.13. The veteran has seen his strikeouts plummet to 19.2% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.4% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Nola 12-26 against winning teams. Blue Jays are hitting on this trip and Phillies bullpen an ERA of 5.19. Play Toronto +120.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Mets at Reds—Max Scherzer to start for NYM. Scherzer in five starts has an ERA of 5.56 and WHIP 1.41. The veteran has seen his strikeouts tank to 20.8% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 24.2% with 2.38 home runs per nine innings.
Luke Weaver to start for Cincinnati. Weaver in three starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 7.88 plus WHIP 1.69. The righthander a K rate of 26% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.2% with 2.81 home runs per nine innings. NYM batting only .233 and Scherzer struggling. Play Cincinnati +175.
Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Athletics at Yankees—Drew Rucinski to start for Oakland. Rucinski spent the past four seasons in Korea. In two starts this season the righthander has allowed eight earned runs, six walks and fifteen hits in 9 1/3rd innings. He made three starts in Triple A with an ERA 6.52 with WHIP 1.85.
Clarke Schmidt to start for the Yankees. Schmidt in seven starts carries an ERA 5.83 with WHIP 1.70. The righthander has a K rate of 25.7% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.3% with 2.15 home runs per nine innings.
Athletics hitting only .219 with a bullpen ERA 6.70. Schmidt’s K rate encouraging enough with a solid bullpen behind him. Play NYY on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Red Sox at Braves—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta in six starts posts an ERA 4.99 with WHIP 1.30. The righty has a strikeout rate of 25.4% with 9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.9% with 2.05 home runs per nine innings.
Charlie Morton to start for ATL. Morton has six starts in 2023 posting an ERA 3.38 with WHIP 1.44. The veteran has a K rate of 20.8% with 9.7% walks. Grounders sit at 50% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
Team is 14-5 to the over with Morton against a winning team. Red Sox over in 13 of 18 at night and Braves in 13 of 17 at home. Play Boston and Atlanta over 9.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Cardinals at Cubs—Jack Flaherty to start for Chicago. Flaherty in seven starts produces an ERA 6.29 plus WHIP 1.63. The righthander is striking out 23.4% with 14.3% walks. Grounders served at 48.4% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has four starts in 2023 posting an ERA 5.29 plus WHIP 1.29. The veteran has a career high 27% strikeouts with 5.4% walks. Grounders dealt at 32% with limited home run damage.
As this series opened the Cardinals were 3-17 in night games and were 14-35 as a road underdog of +100 or greater. Flaherty walk rate a massive concern. Play Chicago -123.
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Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
White Sox at Royals—Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in seven starts posts an ERA 3.67 with WHIP 1.10. The righthander is striking out 23.6% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.8% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Jordan Lyles to start for KC. Lyles has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA 6.69 plus WHIP 1.39. The veteran deals 16.8% strikeouts with 7.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 25% with 2.45 home runs per nine innings.
KC batting only .214 at home and when this series opened was 3-16 at home. Royals averaging only 3.6 runs per game against righthanded starters. Play Chicago -137.
San Diego Padres vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Padres at Twins—Michael Wacha to start for San Diego. Wacha in six starts produces an ERA 5.46 with WHIP 1.40. The righthander is fanning 19% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 28.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Louie Varland to start for Minnesota. Varland had five starts last year with an ERA 3.81 and WHIP 1.23. The 2019 draft pick has two starts on the campaign allowing seven earned runs with fourteen strikeouts in 10 2/3rd innings.
Team record behind Wacha 15-4 facing an AL team batting .255 or worse. Twins last in MLB in team batting hitting .218. Past ten games Twins batting .191 and Padres .275. Play San Diego +112.
LA Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Dodgers at Brewers—Noah Syndergaard to start for LAD. Syndergaard in six starts posts an ERA 6.32 plus WHIP 1.40. The veteran a career low 15.2% strikeouts with 2.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.6% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
Eric Lauer to start for Milwaukee. Lauer has six starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.40 and WHIP 1.53. The lefty fans 21.6% with 10.4% walks. Grounders sit at 27.5% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings. Syndergaard’s road form alarming. Dodgers batting only .110 on the road against lefthanders. Play Milwaukee +108.
Houston Astros vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Astros at Angels—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA 2.60 and WHIP 1.16. The lefthander is striking out 24.9% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 65% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani to start for LAA. Ohtani in seven starts has an ERA of 2.54 with WHIP 0.87. The righthander a career high 38.6% strikeout rate with 11.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.6% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Team behind Ohtani 31-13 against a team batting .265 or worse. Team is 20-7 to the under behind Ohtani against the AL West. Play Houston and LAA under 7.5.
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Marlins at Diamondbacks—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo starts in seven games has an ERA 3.66 plus WHIP 1.40. The lefthander is striking out 25.6% with 8.3% walks. Grounders sit at 36.1% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaadt was a fifth round pick in 2020. In his MLB debut he allowed seven earned runs with four homers in 4 2/3rd innings at Texas. In five Triple A starts this season the righthander carries an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP 1.20 striking out 30 in 25 1/3rd innings.
Luzardo ERA of 6.10 on the road. Marlins last in runs scored and Diamondbacks second in the Majors in hitting. Play Arizona -104.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Rangers at Mariners—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney has six starts in 2023 posting an ERA 5.52 plus WHIP 1.30. The lefthander fans 24.4% with 11% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.6% with 2.15 home runs per nine innings.
George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in six starts posts an ERA 3.11 and WHIP 0.98. The righthander a K rate of 17.6% with 2% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.7% with limited home run damage.
Mariners batting only .199 against lefthanders. Rangers are putting up 6.7 runs per game on the road and bullpen performing well. Play Texas +157.
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/9/2023
Nationals at Giants—Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in seven starts produces an ERA 5.17 and WHIP 1.43. The lefthander pitches to contact with 15.9% strikeouts and 5.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.5% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has seven starts in 2023 with an ERA 3.80 and WHIP 1.11. The righthander a career high 27% strikeouts with 3.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 57.9% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals average 3.7 runs per game against righthanders. Corbin has shown improvement in his past three starts. Play Washington and San Francisco under 8.5.
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