Free MLB Picks For Today 5/6/2023
Detroit Tigers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Tigers at Cardinals—Spencer Turnbull to start for Detroit. Turnbull in six starts has an ERA 6.84 with WHIP 1.67. The righthander pitches to high contact with 14.6% strikeouts and 11.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.3% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
Adam Wainwright expected to start for St Louis. Wainwright makes his 2023 debut after being sidelined with a groin injury. The veteran in 2022 had an ERA of 3.71 and WHIP 1.28. His strikeout rate dropped to 17.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.2% with limited home run damage.
Wainwright unimpressive in his minor league rehab starts. Cardinals are hitting lefthanders but their bullpen struggling past ten games. Play Detroit and St Louis over 8.5.
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Marlins at Cubs—Bryan Hoeing to start for Miami. Hoeing had eight appearances with Miami in 2022 posting an ERA of 12.08 with WHIP 1.89 in 12 2/3rd innings. In his two starts this season the righthander allowed six earned runs with six strikeouts in 8 2/3rd innings.
Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly has six starts with an ERA 2.83 and WHIP 0.91. The lefty fans 21.3% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.7% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings.
Team is 13-2 to the under with Smyly against a team with an OBP of .315 or worse. Marlins 25-11 to the under against the NL Central. Play Miami and Chicago under nine.
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Rockies at Mets—Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber in six starts carries an ERA 7.57 with WHIP 1.68. The lefthander pitches to contact with 15.1% strikeouts and 11.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.4% with 1.98 home runs per nine innings.
Tylor Megill to start for NYM. Megill has six starts in 2023 with an ERA 4.11 and WHIP 1.43. The righthander is striking out 17.3% with 11.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.3% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.64 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
Mets struggling to score runs and hitting only .226 against lefthanders. Play Colorado on run line +1.5 runs at +100.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Yankees at Rays—Domingo German to start for NYY. German in six starts posts an ERA 4.46 with WHIP 0.90. The righthander a K rate of 28.9% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.3% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings.
Drew Rasmussen to start for Tampa Bay. Rasmussen has six starts in 2023 posting an ERA 3.66 with WHIP 1.28. The righthander fans 25.6% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 49.4% with limited home run damage.
German’s strikeout rate and bullpen behind him could make this a one run game. Play NYY on run line +1.5 runs at -135.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Twins at Guardians—Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray in six starts has an ERA 0.77 and WHIP 1.06. The righthander is striking out 29.3% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.7% with no homers allowed.
Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen spent 2022 in Double and Triple A with an ERA of 6.49 and WHIP 1.57 in Triple A.
Good numbers in three Triple A starts this season with an ERA 1.26, WHIP 1.06 and 20 strikeouts in 14 1/3rd innings. The lefthander has two starts on the campaign allowing three earned runs with sixteen strikeouts in 11 innings. Gray’s form and Guardians struggles to score runs the difference here. Play Minnesota -114.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Blue Jays at Pirates—Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has six starts in 2023 with an ERA 5.29 and WHIP 1.29. the veteran fans 23.9% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 49% with limited home run damage. Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh.
Oviedo in six starts posts an ERA 4.78 plus WHIP 1.47. The righty a strikeout mark of 20.4% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 53.9% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
Berrios and his bullpen’s road form the concern. Team record 2-14 with Berrios on the road against a team that outscores an opponent by one run or greater on the season. Play Pittsburgh +120.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
White Sox at Reds—Mike Clevinger to start for Chicago. Clevinger in six starts has an ERA 4.60 with WHIP 1.60. The righthander is striking out 19.3% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.3% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo has six starts in 2023 posting an ERA 6.16 plus WHIP 1.73. The lefthander an elite strikeout mark of 30.3% with 6.2% walks.
Ground balls come in at 45.3% with 2.35 home runs per nine innings. Reds averaging only 3.5 runs per game against righthanders. Lodolo has been pounded at home. Play Chicago +110.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/6/2023
Oakland Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Athletics at Royals—Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk has six starts in 2023 producing an ERA 7.26 and WHIP 1.65. The lefthander fans 17.4% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34% with 2.90 home runs per nine innings.
Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in six starts posts an ERA 8.49 plus WHIP 1.52. The righthander a K rate of 21.8% with 6.8% walks. Grounders served at 42.4% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Two starters and bullpens in poor form here. Play Oakland and Kansas City over 9.5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Orioles at Braves—Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish has four starts in 2023 with an ERA 6.14 with WHIP 1.84. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 20% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 55.1% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings.
Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider in six starts carries an ERA 2.57 plus WHIP 0.94. The righty an elite strikeout mark of 41% with 10.1% walks. Grounders served at 31.8% with limited home run damage.
Mets got to Strider in his last start. Bradish form good on the road. Orioles are pounding the baseball and their bullpen is outperforming Atlanta. Play Baltimore on run line +1.5 runs at -105.
Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Red Sox at Phillies—Corey Kluber to start for Boston. Kluber in six starts produces an ERA 6.44 plus WHIP 1.40. The veteran is striking out 20.6% with 9.2% walks. Grounders sit at 28.9% with 2.45 home runs per nine innings.
Bailey Falter will start for Philadelphia. Falter has six starts in 2023 with an ERA 5.01 plus WHIP 1.33. The lefthander is fanning 16.3% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.5% with 1.67 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox hitting and still concerned about the Phillies bullpen especially if they enter early here. Play Boston +133.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Brewers at Giants—Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea in four starts has an ERA 4.79 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander is striking out 22% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 53.7% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.
Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb has six starts in 2023 posting an ERA 2.43 with WHIP 1.29. The veteran fans 23.4% with 2.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 60.8% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. Brewers do a better job of hitting righthanders and Giants bullpen performance at home a concern. Play Milwaukee +148.
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Nationals at Diamondbacks—MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has six starts in 2023 with an ERA 3.77 plus WHIP 1.42. The lefty a strikeout mark of 29.5% with 13.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 52.7% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
Tommy Henry to start for Arizona. Henry had nine starts in 2022 with an ERA 5.36 and WHIP 1.45. The lefthander has two starts on the campaign allowing seven earned runs with five walks in 9 2/3rd innings. Nationals do a good job hitting lefthanders. Gore and the bullpen in good form for Washington. Play Washington +121.
LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Dodgers at Padres—Dustin May to start for LAD. May has six starts in 2023 with an ERA 31.5 and WHIP 0.99. The righthander has seen his strikeouts drop to 16.9% with 10.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.3% with minimal home run damage.
Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell in six starts produces an ERA 5.28 with WHIP 1.76. The lefty has a strikeout rate of 24.4% with 13.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.9% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Snell 1-11 in the first half of the past two seasons. Dodgers showed improvement facing a starting lefthander last time out. Play LA +100.
Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Rangers at Angels—Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi has six starts on the campaign with an ERA 3.93 with WHIP 1.15. The righthander is striking out 26.5% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.5% with minimal home run damage.
Reid Detmers to start for LAA. Detmers in five starts carries an ERA 4.85 with WHIP 1.38. The lefthander a K rate of 27% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Detmer’s strikeout rate encouraging and so is the performance of the Angels bullpen. Play LAA -115.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 5/6/2023
Astros at Mariners—J.P. France to start for Houston. France makes his MLB debut. A 14th round draft pick in 2018. He spent 2022 in Triple A with an ERA 3.90 and WHIP 1.36 with 136 strikeouts in 111 innings. He has five appearances in Triple A in 2023 allowing five earned runs with 26 strikeouts in 19 1/3rd innings.
Marco Gonzales to start for Seattle. Gonzales in five starts on the campaign an ERA 4.74 with WHIP 1.46. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 17.9% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.4% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
France’s strikeouts in Triple A encouraging and so is the Astros bullpen. Houston does a better job hitting lefthanders and the Mariners are hitting only .213 at home. Play Houston +100.
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