Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox 5/4/2023 Picks Predictions

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox 5/4/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

Today, May 4th, marks the fourth and final game of the series between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.

The game will start at 6:10 PM ET, with Toronto as the -155 moneyline favorite, and the total set at 9.5 runs.

Toronto enters the game looking to snap a three-game losing streak after falling 7-6 to the Red Sox on Tuesday. The Blue Jays had a rough time in April, with their pitching staff struggling in their last few games.

In the last seven days, Toronto has allowed an average of 4.37 runs per game, while their bullpen has performed well with a 2.91 ERA and 13.3 K/9.

On the offensive side, the team has a batting average of .237/.308/.362 in the last seven days.

Kevin Gausman is set to pitch for Toronto. He has had an excellent season with a 2-2 record, a 2.33 ERA, and 54 strikeouts in 38.2 innings pitched across six starts.

Gausman has performed well in his previous two outings, allowing zero runs while striking out 24. He currently ranks in the 70th percentile in the expected batting average and the 53rd percentile in slugging percentage.

The Toronto Blue Jays are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
The Blue Jays are 15-5 SU in their last 20 matches with Boston.
Toronto is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Predictions 5/4/2023

The Boston Red Sox have had a solid week, winning two out of three games against the Cleveland Guardians and the first two games of their current series against the Toronto Blue Jays.

They lost the opening game of the Cleveland series 5-2 but bounced back with an 8-7 extra-inning win and a 7-1 victory.

Alex Verdugo hit a walk-off home run in Monday’s win over Toronto, while Connor Wong’s solo shot helped secure the second game.

Boston’s offense has been impressive, scoring 5.68 runs per game, which is the third-best in the MLB.

Over the last seven days, they have recorded the highest OPS in the league, hitting .333/.385/.600 with 10 home runs and 18 doubles in 180 at-bats.

However, their defense is struggling, allowing 5.23 runs per game (26th in the MLB) and posting a 4.99 ERA (also 26th).

The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, .304 opposing BABIP, and 6.3 K/9 in the last seven days and 21.1 innings pitched. On Wednesday, Brayan Bello will start on the mound.

The 23-year-old right-hander has struggled this season, posting a 6.57 ERA, 1.86 WHIP, and a 14/5 K/BB ratio in three starts (12.1 innings pitched).

The Boston Red Sox are 5-0 SU in their last 5 outings.
The total went OVER in 7 of Boston’s last 7 matches with Toronto.
The Red Sox are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox. The MLB pick for this game is the Boston Red Sox. The Toronto Blue Jays will win against the Red Sox and avoid losing all three games in this series.

The Blue Jays have a decent 2-2 record on the road, while Boston is 3-1 at home. Gausman gives the Jays a slight edge on the mound and if he gets enough runs from his teammates, the Blue Jays should win this game.

We predict that the Toronto Blue Jays will win and cover the spread and the total will be under 4-3.

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