Free MLB Picks For Today 5/4/2023
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2023
Cubs at Nationals—Jamison Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon in three starts posts an ERA 4.50 with WHIP 1.36. The veteran a career high 25.8% strikeout rate with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.3% with no homers allowed. He is expected to return from a groin injury.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in six starts carries an ERA 5.74 with WHIP 1.66. The lefthander pitches to contact with 14.4% strikeouts and 6.2% walks. Ground balls served at 47.4% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
Cubs bats are cold and Nationals averaging only 2.9 runs per game at home. Play Chicago and Washington under nine.
New York Mets vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2023
Mets at Tigers—Justin Verlander to make his season debut. The veteran in 28 starts in 2022 posted an ERA of 1.75 and WHIP 0.83 with the World Series champion Houston Astros. Strikeouts dipped to 27.8% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.9% with limited home run damage. The righthander was sidelined with a shoulder strain.
Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez in six starts carries an ERA 2.21 with WHIP 0.87. The lefthander fans 21.9% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.9% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
Rodriguez form here worth backing as an underdog. NYM is averaging only 2.8 runs per game against lefthanded starters. Play Detroit +161.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2023
Pirates at Rays—Vince Velasquez to start for Pittsburgh. Velasquez in six starts has an ERA 3.06 with WHIP 1.18. The veteran is striking out 23.4% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 29.7% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has four starts in 2023 with an ERA 3.00 and WHIP 1.14. The righthander has a K rate of 24.4% with 3.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 53.3% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Rays hitting .296 against lefthanded starters pushing across 6.6 runs per game. Pirates offense in this series is a concern. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs at +107.
LA Angels vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2023
Angels at Cardinals—Griffin Canning to start for LAA. Canning in three starts in 2023 has an ERA 4.11 with WHIP 1.17. The righthander a K rate of 24.2% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 40% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Jack Flaherty to start for St Louis. Flaherty has six starts, produces an ERA 3.94 and WHIP 1.44. The righty strikes out 24.1% with 15.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.8% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Cardinals are 4-13 against winning teams this season and 7-18 against righthanded starters. Flaherty walk rate very high. Play LA Angels +129.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2023
Orioles at Royals—Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez has five starts with an ERA of 4.07 and WHIP 1.40. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 32.4% with 10.5% walks. Ground ball rate 45% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.99 suggests a drop in ERA based on form.
Jordan Lyles to start for KC. Lyles in six starts in 2023 carries an ERA 6.11 with WHIP 1.36. The veteran fans 17.5% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 25.7% with 2.29 home runs per nine innings. Hard to back Lyles, KC bullpen and Royals hitters that bat .212 against righthanders. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/4/2023
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2023
Twins at White Sox—Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez in six starts carries an ERA 4.00 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander a career high 31.1% strikeout rate with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.1% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.98 suggests a drop in ERA with his advanced numbers.
Lucas Giolito to start for Chicago. Giolito in six starts produces an ERA 4.15 with WHIP 1.18. The righty fans 23.1% with 4.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.3% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Giolito 0-8 against teams averaging 1.25 home runs per game or greater. White Sox 4-17 as an underdog of +100 or greater. CWS bullpen an ERA of 6.68. Play Minnesota -130.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2023
Brewers at Rockies—Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 1.86 with WHIP 1.00. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 16.5% with 3.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.9% with limited home run damage.
Connor Seabold to start for Colorado. Seabold in seven appearances posts an ERA 5.27 and WHIP 1.54. The righthander is striking out 20% with 4.6% walks. A ground ball mark of 37% with limited home run damage.
Brewers bullpen performing well but issues scoring runs at the moment. Rockies 29-10 to the under facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better. Play Milwaukee and Colorado under 12.
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2023
Mariners at Athletics—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in five starts in 2023 produces an ERA 2.93 with WHIP 0.95. The righthander a K rate of 20% with 1.7% walks. Ground ball mark of 42.4% with minimal home run damage.
Drew Rucinski to start for Oakland. Rucinski spent the previous years in Korea. A lifetime ERA 5.28 and WHIP 1.64 in 42 career MLB appearances starting twice. The righthander in his 2023 opener allowed three earned runs with 11 hits and a strikeout in 5 2/3rd innings at home to the Reds.
Mariners batting .218 against righthanders and Athletics are at .209. Seattle bullpen sits with an ERA of 2.92. Play Seattle and Oakland under eight.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2023
Braves at Marlins—Dylan Dodd to start for Atlanta. Dodd spent 2022 in three levels of the minors with good results. He has two starts in 2023 allowing eight earned runs, two homers, 16 strikeouts and eight walks over 9 1/3rd innings. He pitched well at St Louis and was pounded at home to San Diego.
Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in six starts carries an ERA 3.48 and WHIP 1.34. The lefthander is striking out 27% with 7.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.2% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Braves are pounding lefthanders. Play Atlanta -102.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/4/2023
Blue Jays at Red Sox—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in six starts has an ERA 2.33 and WHIP 1.01. The veteran a career high 35.1% strikeouts with 3.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.1% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
Bryan Bello to start for Boston. Bello has three starts in 2023 puts up an ERA 6.57 and WHIP 1.86. The righthander fans 23.7% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 57.9% with 2.19 home runs per nine innings. Home run to fly ball rate of 33.3%.
Red Sox 22-10 to the over this season and 11-2 to the over against the AL East. Blue Jays bullpen has struggled on the road. Blue Jays pounded Bello last year for 11 runs in 13 innings. Play Toronto and Boston over 9.
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