Free MLB Picks For Today 5/1/2023
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2023
Braves at Mets—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta in Game 1. Strider in five starts has an ERA 1.80 with WHIP 0.83. The righthander a K rate of 42.6% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.2% with limited home run damage. Play Atlanta and New York under 7.5.
Jeff Brigham will be the primary pitcher for the Mets. Brigham has five appearances on the season allowing one earned run with nine strikeouts in 5 2/3rd innings. He has 58 career appearances in MLB with an ERA 4.32 and WHIP 1.36 and 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Bullpens should be strong for both games here with two rain outs in a row. Extra rest for Strider as well. Play Atlanta and New York under 8.5 in Game 1.
Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta in Game 2. Morton in five starts has an ERA 2.76 with WHIP 1.40. The veteran fans 20.2% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.9% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.35 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds.
Tylor Megill to start for NYM. Megill in five starts produces an ERA 3.96 with WHIP 1.48. The righty a strikeout mark of 17.3% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.3% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
Braves bullpen has been strong on the road with an ERA 1.73. Mets hitting only .228 at home. Play Atlanta -118 in Game 2.
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2023
Cubs at Nationals—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly in five starts this season has an ERA 3.21 with WHIP 0.93. The lefthander has a strike out rate of 24.5% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls served at 35.1% with limited home run damage.
Mackenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 3.00 and WHIP 1.30. The lefthander has a strikeout rate of 31.5% with 14.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50.8% with limited home run damage.
Both lineups pounding lefthanders. Nationals bullpen has struggled this season and Cubs past ten games. Play Chicago and Washington over nine.
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2023
Guardian at Yankees—Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill in five starts carries an ERA 5.40 plus WHIP 1.65. The righthander fans 12.8% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.9% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Domingo German to start for NYY. German has five starts in 2023 producing an ERA 5.54 with WHIP 1.08. The righty a career high 30.8% strikeouts with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.1% with 2.42 home runs per nine innings. Quantrill’s high contact the concern here. Play New York -119.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2023
Blue Jays at Red Sox—Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios in five starts on the season carries an ERA 4.71 with WHIP 1.08. The veteran fans 26.1% with 4.3% walks. Grounders sit at 49.4% with minimal home run damage.
Corey Kluber expected starter for Boston. Kluber has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 6.75 and WHIP 1.33. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.9% with 7.5% walks. Grounders served at 31.6% with 2.63 home runs per nine innings.
Team record behind Berrios 14-23 on the road when lined at -100 to -150 favorite. Berrios has been pounded in both road starts. Play Boston +134.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 5/1/2023
San Francisco Giants vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2023
Giants at Astros—Ross Stripling to start for San Francisco. Stripling in five appearances has an ERA 6.89 with WHIP 1.60. The righthander fans 19.4% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.5% with 3.45 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Garcia to start for Houston. Garcia has five starts in 2023 producing an ERA 4.00 with WHIP 1.26. The righty a K rate of 27.2% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 26.8% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Astros offense tough to back as they have been struggling to get runs. Play San Francisco on run line +1.5 runs at -130.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2023
Reds at Padres—Luke Weaver to start for Cincinnati. Weaver had 26 appearances in 2022 with an ERA 6.56 and WHIP 1.82. The righthander has two starts this season allowing ten earned runs with five homers in 11 2/3rd innings of work.
Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell has five starts in 2023 posting an ERA 5.48 with WHIP 1.87. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 23.9% with 16.5% walks. Grounder ball rate 33.8% with 1.96 home runs per nine innings.
Reds bullpen has performed well this season. Snell form is a tough back. Play Cincinnati on the run line +1.5 runs at +100.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 5/1/2023
Phillies at Dodgers—Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in five starts has an ERA 4.97 with WHIP 1.38. The veteran fans 21.3% with 13% walks. Ground balls come in at 59.2% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Tony Gonsolin to start for LAD.
Gonsolin in 24 starts last season had an ERA 2.14 with WHIP 0.87 The righthander in his 2023 debut allowed no earned runs with one strikeout in 3 1/3rd innings. The Dodger starter was sidelined to start the season with an ankle injury.
Dodgers pitching showing improvement on this home stand. Phillies bullpen has struggled on the road and Walker’s control a concern. Play LA on run line -1.5 runs at +125.
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