Free MLB Picks For Today 4/30/2023
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Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins—Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele in five starts has an ERA 1.19 with WHIP 0.89. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 25.2% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 54.7% with limited home run damage. Bryan Hoeing to start for Miami. Hoeing had eight appearances for Miami in 2022 with an ERA 12.08 and WHIP 1.89. In his 2023 debut the righthander allowed four earned runs with two walks in 3 2/3rd innings at Atlanta. Marlins are hitting .296 against lefthanders and their bullpen has performed well at home. Play Miami on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Guardians at Red Sox—Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen in his MLB debut allowed one earned run with eight strikeouts in six innings at home to Miami. The lefty was a second round pick from FIU in 2020. He spent 2022 in Double and Triple A with high strikeouts. Chris Sale to start for Boston. Sale has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 8.22 with WHIP 1.74. The lefthander fans 27.3% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.5% with 1.96 home runs per nine innings. Sale’s form the concern here. Guardians bullpen an ERA of 2.93. Play Cleveland +109.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Pirates at Nationals—Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo has five starts on the campaign with an ERA 3.03 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander a K rate of 22.5% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 54.5% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Josiah Gray to start for Washington. Gray in five starts posts an ERA 2.93 with WHIP 1.34. The righty a strikeout mark of 21.4% with 8.5% walks. Grounders sit at 43.8% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.72 suggests a rise in ERA based on his form. Nationals hitting only .222 against righthander’s. Gray has a history of getting hurt by the home run ball and his FIP is concerning. Play Pittsburgh -139.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Mariners at Blue Jays—Marco Gonzales to start for Seattle. Gonzales in four starts produces an ERA 3.32 with WHIP 1.25. The lefthander fans 19.5% with 8% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.7% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 4.82 with WHIP 1.25. The veteran has seen his strikeouts drop to 17.4% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.5% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings. Team record 18-5 to the under with Gonzalez against an AL team hitting at least .265. Mariners struggling at the plate. Play Seattle and Toronto under 9.5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Orioles at Tigers—Kyle Bradish will start for Baltimore. Bradish has three starts on the campaign posting an ERA 5.30 with WHIP 2.00. The righthander strikes out 18.4% with 12.2% walks. Grounders served at 61.8% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Spencer Turnbull to start for Detroit. Turnbull in five starts in 2023 carries an ERA 7.25 with WHIP 1.66. the righty pitches to high contact with 14.6% strikeouts with 11.7% walks. Grounders served at 48.6% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. Issues with both starters and Tigers bullpen. Orioles have gone over in 9 of 13 on the road. Lots of runs scored in this series. Play Baltimore and Detroit over 8.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Braves at Mets—With the rainout on Saturday the starters move to Sunday’s single scheduled game. Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider in five starts has an ERA 1.80 with WHIP 0.83. The righthander a K rate of 42.6% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.2% with limited home run damage. Tylor Megill to start for NYM.Megill in five starts produces an ERA 3.96 with WHIP 1.48. The righty a strikeout mark of 17.3% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.3% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.Braves bullpen has been strong on the road. Braves hitting only .238 against righthanders. Play Atlanta and New York under 7.5.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Royals at Twins—Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in five starts carries an ERA 6.67 with WHIP 1.37. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.7% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.5% with 1.67 home runs per nine innings. Sonny Gray to start for Minnesota. Gray has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 0.62 with WHIP 1.07. The veteran has a career high 29.3% strikeout rate with 9.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.5% with no homers allowed. KC batting only .209 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA of 5.55. Gray’s form outstanding as is the Twins bullpen at home. Play Minnesota on run line -1.5 runs at -107.
LA Angels vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Angels at Brewers—Jose Suarez to start for LAA. Suarez in four starts posts an ERA 10.26 with WHIP 2.28. The lefthander a career low 14% strikeouts with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 31.3% with 3.78 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea has three starts in 2023 with an ERA 5.17 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander fans only 14.3% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 51.1% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Brewers batting just .213 against lefthanders. Angels are getting good work from their bullpen. Rea’s high contact a concern. Play LA Angels +111.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Rays at White Sox—Drew Rasmussen to start for Tampa Bay. Rasmussen in five starts carries an ERA 3.33 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander a strikeout mark of 28.2% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.1% with minimal home run damage. Mike Clevinger to start for Chicago. Clevinger has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 4.81 and WHIP 1.60. The veteran is striking out 16.1% with 12.5% walks. Ground ball rate 31.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Ray’s keep winning and White Sox keep losing. White Sox bullpen ERA is 6.59 and Rays’s 2.46. Tampa Bay hitting .290 on the road. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs at -127.
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Yankees at Rangers—Nestor Cortes to start for NYY. Cortes in five starts has an ERA 3.49 with WHIP 1.06. The lefthander a K rate of 24.3% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 22.8% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez has five starts on the campaign with an ERA 2.60 with WHIP 1.45. The lefty fans 20% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate 42.5% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Respect the form for both starters and bullpens. NYY hitting struggling without Stanton in the lineup. Play New York and Texas under 8.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson in five starts posts an ERA 5.33 with WHIP 1.37. The righthander pitches to contact with 14.7% strikeouts and 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.4% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber has five starts in 2023 with an ERA 9.28 with WHIP 1.92. The lefthander a low strikeout rate of 14.4% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 32% with 2.11 home runs per nine innings. Diamondbacks are doing a great job of hitting lefthanders. Gomber form is a massive concern. Rockies 3-9 at home. Play Arizona -122.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Giants vs. Padres—Game played in Mexico City. Alex Cobb to start for San Francisco. Cobb in five starts produces an ERA 1.91 with 1.27. The righthander is fanning 21.8% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 62.5% with limited home run damage. Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish has four starts on the season with an ERA 3.00 and WHIP 1.13. The veteran has a strike out mark of 25.5% with 12.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.1% with no homers allowed. Trust Padres bullpen more as San Diego pounded the Giants pen in the opener. Play San Diego -145.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Reds at Athletics—Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo has five starts to the season with an ERA 6.31 and WHIP 1.87. The lefthander is striking out 29.6% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 45.9% with 2.10 home runs per nine innings. Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk in five starts carries an ERA 7.82 with WHIP 1.74. The lefty is pitching to high contact with 15.1% strikeouts and 9.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.9% with 3.20 home runs per nine innings. Athletics do a better job hitting lefthanders. Oakland bullpen ERA near seven. Both starters form in question. Play Cincinnati and Oakland over 8.
St Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Cardinals at Dodgers—Jake Woodford to start for St Louis. Woodford has five starts with an ERA 5.47 and WHIP 1.58. The righthander pitches to contact with 14.7% strikeouts and 6.4% walks. Ground balls served at 54.8% with 2.55 home runs per nine innings. Noah Syndergaard to start for St Louis. Syndergaard in five starts in 2023 has an ERA 6.58 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander is striking out 18.3% with 3.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.2% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. Cardinals 7-16 facing righthanded starters this season. LAD 17-3 when favored at home between -100 and -150. Woodford high contact concerning. Play LA -141.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 4/30/2023
Phillies at Astros—Bailey Falter to start for Philadelphia. Falter in five starts has an ERA 4.50 with WHIP 1.14. The lefthander strikes out 17% with 3.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.9% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings. Jose Urquidy to start for Houston. Urquidy has five starts in 2023 posting an ERA 5.64 with WHIP 1.75. The righty fans 19.6% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.4% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings. Astros lack of run production the concern and Phillies are hitting .274 as a team. Urquidy’s form is troubling against this lineup. Play Philadelphia +129.