Free MLB Picks For Today 4/17/2023
LA Angels vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Angels at Red Sox—Shohei Ohtani to start for LAA. Ohtani has three starts this season with an ERA 0.47 and WHIP 0.95. The righthander a strikeout rate of 32% with 16% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.9% with no homers allowed. His FIP is 3.20 suggesting a rise in ERA if form holds.
Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello had thirteen appearances in 2022 with an ERA 4.71 with WHIP 1.78. A strikeout mark of 20.5% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 55.7% with minimal home run damage.
Bello had a forearm injury that forced him to miss over two weeks of the season. Bello major struggles in his rookie season. Ohtani form too good. Play LA Angels -153.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Guardian at Tigers—Hunter Gaddis to start for Cleveland. Gaddis in three starts in 2023 produces an ERA 8.53 with WHIP 1.50. The righty is striking out 18.6% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 18.6% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.31 suggests a drop in ERA based on these numbers.
Eduardo Rodriguez starts for Detroit. Rodriguez in three starts on the campaign an ERA 4.50 plus WHIP 1.31. The lefthander has seen his strikeout rate plummet to 13.6% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls 38.5% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 5.61 suggests a rise in ERA if form doesn’t improve.
High contact for Rodriguez and Gaddis form poor. Both teams hitting. Play Cleveland and Detroit over 8.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Rays at Reds—Taj Bradley will be the primary pitcher for Tampa Bay. Bradley spent 2022 in both Double and Triple A. He has been hit hard in Triple A in his two starts this season. He has one start with the big club this year allowing three earned runs with eight strikeouts in five innings at home to Boston.
Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene has three starts this season with an ERA 5.14 and WHIP 1.64. The righthander a strikeout mark of 34.8% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls 25.7% with limited home run damage. His line drive rate a high 31.4%.
Greene does have a FIP of 2.50 suggesting a drop in ERA if form holds. Rays bats and bullpen puts the check mark on the road team here. Team record 4-20 with Greene as an underdog of +100 or greater. Play Tampa Bay -145.
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Giants at Marlins—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in three starts has an ERA 4.76 with WHIP 1.24. The righthander a strikeout mark of 31.4% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls 51.1% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. His start was pushed back after a weather postponement Sunday.
Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in three starts on the season has an ERA 1.93 with WHIP 1.13. The lefty a strikeout rate of 27% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls 47.8% with limited home run damage. Giants bullpen performing poorly and Luzardo form good. Play Miami -128.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Phillies at White Sox—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in three starts on the campaign an ERA 4.02 with WHIP 1.40. The righthander is striking out 26.5% with 10.3% walks. Ground ball rate 41.9% with limited home run damage.
Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn has three starts in 2023 with an ERA 7.31 plus WHIP 1.63. The veteran has a strikeout mark of 28.8% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls 29.5% with 3.38 home runs per nine innings.
A line drive rate of 27.3% and FIP 7.11. Phillies hitting .299 against righthanders. Lynn and the bullpen form tough to back. Play Philadelphia -123.
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Rangers at Royals—Jacob deGrom starts for Texas. deGrom in three starts this season an ERA 4.32 with WHIP 1.02. The veteran a strikeout rate of 40.9% with 3% walks. Ground balls 37.8% with limited home run damage. A FIP 1.26 indicates a massive drop in ERA should form holds.
Jordan Lyles will start for KC. Lyles in three starts in 2023 an ERA 5.19 plus WHIP 1.44. The veteran fans 19.7% with 5.3% walks.
Ground balls 26.3% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. The righthander is giving up 28.1% line drives. KC lineup and bullpen the concern. deGrom strikeouts encouraging. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 4/17/2023
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Diamondbacks at Cardinals—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in three starts in 2023 carries an ERA 2.93 with WHIP 1.43. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 23.4% with 18.8% walks. Ground balls 52.8% with limited home run damage. Line drive contact is limited.
Jack Flaherty to start for St Louis. Flaherty in three starts on the year an ERA 1.76 with WHIP 1.50. The righty is striking out 20% with 21.5% walks. Ground balls 54.1% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 5.45 suggests a massive rise in ERA based on his numbers. Flaherty’s control the concern here. Play Arizona +136.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Blue Jays at Astros—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman in three starts posts an ERA 1.35 plus WHIP 1.00. The righthander has a strikeout rate of 31.6% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls 49% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier has three starts in 2023 with an ERA 4.24 plus WHIP 1.18. The righty has seen his strikeout rate plummet to 19.7% with 2.8% walks. Ground balls 38.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Gausman and Blue Jays hitting form the key here. Play Toronto -121.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Pirates at Rockies—Rich Hill to start for Pittsburgh. Hill has three starts on the season with an ERA 7.20 plus WHIP 1.33. The lefthander has seen his strikeout rate plummet to 12.3% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls at 34% with 3.60 home runs per nine innings.
Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland in three starts in 2023 posts an ERA 0.96 and WHIP 0.96. The lefty a strikeout mark of 15.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.3% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Can’t back Hill here. Play Colorado -137.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Braves at Padres—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in 30 starts in 2022 produced an ERA 2.48 with WHIP 1.01. The lefthander has one start on the campaign allowing one earned run and two strikeouts in 3 1/3rd innings at Washington. He returns to action after missing time with a hamstring strain in his first start.
Ryan Weathers to start for San Diego. Weathers had 31 appearances in Triple A in 2022 with an ERA 6.73 plus WHIP 1.79. He worked just 3 2/3rd innings in the Majors last season. The lefthander two starts on the current campaign allowing three earned runs with five strikeouts in ten innings.
Braves are pounding lefthanders and bullpen performing well. Weathers form the past few seasons a massive concern. Play Atlanta -148.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Brewers at Mariners—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in three starts on the current season posts an ERA 5.19 with WHIP 1.10. The righthander is striking out 19.4% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 56.9% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
Chris Flexen to start for Seattle. Flexen in three appearances on the year has an ERA 8.74 with WHIP 2.03. The righthander has seen his strikeout mark plummet to 10.9% with 12.7% walks. Ground balls 42.9% with 2.38 home runs per nine innings. Play Milwaukee and Seattle over 7.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Cubs at Athletics—Hayden Wesneski to start for Chicago. Wesneski had six appearances in 2022 with an ERA 2.18 plus WHIP 0.94. The righthander has two starts on the season allowing five earned runs with three homers in six innings of work.
Kyle Muller will start for Oakland. Muller in three starts on the season has an ERA 5.52 and WHIP 1.50. The lefthander is striking out 16.4% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls 55.3% with limited home run damage.
Cubs are pounding lefty’s and Mullers contact rate a concern. Athletics bullpen ERA near six. Play Chicago -138.
New York Mets vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/17/2023
Mets at Dodgers—David Peterson to start for NYM. Peterson in three starts in 2023 has an ERA 4.91 plus WHIP 1.84. The lefthander is fanning 23.9% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls 53.7% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings.
Dustin May to start for LAD. May has three starts on the year with an ERA 1.47 plus WHIP 0.76. The righthander a strikeout mark of 17.6% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls 42.9% with no homers allowed. A FIP of 3.20 signals a rise in ERA with his numbers.
LAD hitting only .180 against lefthanders and Mets .197 against righthanders. May’s form outstanding. Play New York and Los Angeles under 8.5.
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