Free MLB Picks For Today 4/16/2023
San Francisco Giants vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Giants at Tigers—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has three starts this season with an ERA 6.35 with WHIP 1.24. The righthander has a 31.4% strikeout rate with 4.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 51.1% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. Matthew Boyd to start for Detroit.
Boyd had ten appearances for Seattle in 2022 with an ERA 1.35 and WHIP 0.98. The lefthander missed much of last season with an elbow injury. He has two starts this season allowing four earned runs with seven strikeouts in nine innings. Giants struggling hitting lefthanders and in their bullpen. Play Detroit +137.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Guardians at Nationals—Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in his three starts posts an ERA 2.37 with WHIP 0.95. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 19.2% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.5% with no homers allowed.
Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in his three starts carries an ERA 7.71 with WHIP 2.14. The lefty has seen his strikeout mark plummet to 12.7% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls 50.9% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. He is giving up a high 25.5% line drive contact.
Nats hitting only .209 against righthanders. Guardians bullpen in great form. Can’t back Corbin here. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at -140.
LA Angels vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Angels at Red Sox—Reid Detmers to start for LAA. Detmers started 25 games in 2022 with an ERA 3.77 and WHIP 1.21. The lefty has two starts this season allowing six earned runs with five walks in 9 2/3rd innings. Garrett Whitlock to start for Boston.
Whitlock appeared in 31 games last season with an ERA 3.45 and WHIP 1.02. The lefty spent time in the minors coming off hip surgery with great results in his two starts. He made his season debut at Tampa Bay allowing five earned runs with three homers in five innings.
LAA now 12-27 against the AL East and Boston 27-8 against the AL West. Red Sox pounding lefty’s at home. Play Boston +101.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Twins at Yankees—Pablo Lopez the starter for Minnesota. Lopez in three starts on the campaign has an ERA 1.35 with WHIP 0.65. The righthander a 36.6% strikeout mark with 7% walks. Ground balls 46.2% with minimal home run damage.
Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole in his three starts in 2023 posts an ErA 1.40 with WHIP 0.93. The veteran is striking out 31% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.2% with no homers allowed. He does have a line drive rate of 26.2% when batters making contact.
Lopez form and Twins bullpen give them the checkmark here. Also concern for hard contact against Cole. Play Minnesota +142.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Rays at Blue Jays—Shane McClanahan to start for Tampa Bay. McClanahan in his three starts has an ERA 1.59 plus WHIP 1.18. The lefty is striking out 30.9% with 13.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 55.3% with no homers allowed.
Alek Manoah will start for Toronto. Manoah has three starts on the campaign with an ERA 4.91 and WHIP 1.70. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate drop to 15.9% with 15.9% walks.
Grounders 32.6% with 1.84 home runs per nine innings. Team 14-3 to the under with Manoah in these closely lined games at -125 to +125 for the Blue Jays. Play Tampa Bay and Toronto under 8.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Phillies at Reds—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in three starts carries an ERA of 7.04 with WHIP 1.50. The veteran has seen his strikeout rate plummet to 22.4% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.7% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Line Drive rate high at 28.6% but only a FIP of 3.70 which suggests a lowering of his ERA should his form hold. Luis Cessa the starter for Cincinnati.
Cessa had 46 appearances in 2022 with an ERA 4.57 plus WHIP 1.29. The righty in his two starts this season allowed seven earned runs with five walks in nine innings. Nola’s and the Phillies bullpen poor form to much to back at this price. Play Cincinnati +160.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Diamondbacks at Marlins—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen has three starts in 2023 with an ERA 4.58 plus WHIP 1.19. The righthander a strikeout mark of 29.2% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 37% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.32 which indicates a possible dropping of his ERA.
Sandy Alcantara to start for Miami. Alcantara has three starts this season producing an ERA 5.79 plus WHIP 1.18. The righty strikeout rate plummeted to 14.5% with 7.9% walks.
Ground balls dealt at 45.8% with limited home run damage. Line drive rate way up to 23.7%. Prefer Gallen and his high strikeouts. Contact given up by Alcantara concerning. Play Arizona +113.
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Free MLB Picks For Today 4/16/2023
Atlanta Braves vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Braves at Royals—Kyle Wright to start for Atlanta. Wright had 30 starts in 2022 with an ERA 3.19 with WHIP 1.16. The righthander opened the year at home to Cincinnati allowing four earned runs with four walks hitting two in three innings. His season began late by rehabbing an injured shoulder.
Zack Greinke to start for KC. Greinke has three starts on the campaign with an ERA 3.31 plus WHIP 1.41. The veteran strikes out 15.7% with 4.3% walks. Ground ball rate 39.3% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Live Drive rate at a career high of 30.4% with FIP 4.17 which signals a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
KC poor hitting coupled with poor bullpen tough to back. Greinke’s contact and high FIP looks like trouble here. Play Atlanta run line -1.5 runs +108.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Orioles at White Sox—Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez spent time in Single, Double and Triple A in 2022. The righthander has two starts on the campaign allowing seven earned runs with eleven strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings.
Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has three starts on the campaign posting an ERA 1.65 plus WHIP 0.80. The righthander a strikeout mark of 34.8% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls 52.9% with limited home run damage. His FIP 3.07 indicates a possible rise in ERA if form holds.
Fast track for Rodriguez could be too fast. Bradish and Means injuries have elevated him into the Majors. Walks and line drive rate the concern for the young Orioles starter. Play Chicago -138.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Pirates at Cardinals—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in his three starts in 2023 produces an ERA 3.57 plus WHIP 1.36. The righthander strikes out 29.3% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.7% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.45 indicator or a rising ERA if this form holds.
Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas has three starts in 2023 with an ERA 10.05 plus WHIP 2.23. The righty posts a strikeout mark of 19.7% with 3.9% walks. Grounders are 33.9% with 2.51 home runs per nine innings.
Line drive rate a massive 37.5%. Mikolas form the massive concern. Pirates getting good work from pen and Keller’s strikeouts promising. Play Pittsburgh +150.
New York Mets vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Mets at Athletics—Jose Butto to start for NYM. Butto had one start in 2022 allowing seven earned runs in four innings. He is called up for Max Scherzer who is dealing with soreness. The righthander in two Triple A starts allowed two earned runs with eight strikeouts in 9 2/3rd innings.
Drafted in 2017 and is considered a strong prospect in the Met organization. JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears worked 17 games in 2022 with an ERA 3.86 and WHIP 1.29. The lefty has two starts on the season allowing six earned runs with nine strikeouts in 9 2/3rd innings.
Butto has shown promise in the minors. Mets do a better job hitting lefthanders and Athletics bullpen has been bad. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs +135.
Chicago Cubs vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Cubs at Dodgers—Drew Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly started 22 games last season posting an ERA 3.47 with WHIP 1.19. The lefthander in his two starts in 2023 allowed even earned runs in 9 2/3rd innings. Julio Urias to start for LAD.
Urias has three starts in 2023 with an ERA 1.50 plus WHIP 0.83. The lefty is striking out 30.3% with 3% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.6% with 0.50 home runs per nine innings. LAD struggling to hit lefthanders. Cubs face a tough lefthander in Urias here. Play Chicago and Los Angeles under 8.5.
Colorado Rockies vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Rockies at Mariners—Noah Davis expected starter for the Rockies. Davis just pitched an inning last year in his debut for the Rockies allowing two earned runs with a homer.
Davis spent the bulk of 2022 in Double A posting an ERA 5.54 and WHIP 1.45. The righthander has three starts in Triple A this season allowing six earned runs with seven walks in 12 2/3rd innings.
Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo has three starts in 2023 with an ERA 1.02 plus WHIP 0.74. The righthander a strikeout rate of 26.2% with 6.2% walks. Ground ball rate 43.2% with no homers allowed. Davis minor league numbers concerning. Play Seattle on run line -1.5 runs at -132.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Brewers at Padres—Wade Miley to start for Milwaukee. Miley appeared in nine games in 2022 posting an ERA 3.16 with WHIP 1.22. The veteran has two starts this season allowing three earned runs with six strikeouts in 11 innings. Miley suffered through injuries last season.
Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in 30 starts last year had an ERA 3.10 with WHIP 0.95. The righthander in his two starts in 2023 allowed six earned runs with eight strikeouts in 11 1/3rd innings. Brewers hitting righthander and their bullpen performing well. Play Milwaukee +157.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 4/16/2023
Rangers at Astros—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney in sixteen appearances last season produced an ERA 3.10 with WHIP 1.09. The lefthander has two starts in 2023 with an ERA 8.22 plus WHIP 1.70. Framber Valdez to start for Houston.
Valdez has three starts on the campaign with an ERA 1.89 and WHIP 1.21. The lefthander is striking out 23.4% with 7.8% walks. Ground ball rate 68.6% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 3.43 indicates a rise in ERA if form holds. Heaney 20-2 to the over when the total is lined between 7 and 8.5. Play Texas and Houston over 7.5.
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