Saint Mary's Gaels vs UConn Huskies 3/19/2023 Picks Predictions

Saint Mary’s Gaels vs UConn Huskies 3/19/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

Men’s Basketball Championship – West Region – 2nd Round

The #5 Saint Mary’s Gaels will meet with the #4 UConn Huskies in NCAAB action in MVP Arena, NY, on Sunday, March 19, 2023, at 6:10 PM ET.

First-round action saw the Gaels defeat a cunningly talented Virginia Commonwealth team by 12 points. After the half, Saint Mary’s outscored VCU by 11 points.

It also grabbed 11 offensive rebounds and outrebounded opponents 37-29. SMU struggled from beyond the arc, shooting just 40.8 percent from the field (3-for-17).

Logan Johnson, a senior guard, is Saint Mary’s top scorer. He averages 4.8 rebounds per game in addition to 14.7 points on 46.0 percent shooting.

A few other Gaels to keep an eye on include junior center Mitchell Saxen, senior guard Alex Ducas, and first-year guard Aidan Mahaney (14.5 PPG, 41.2 3PT%).

Saint Mary’s averages 71.9 points per game, which places them 176th in the country, and shoots 46.1 percent from the field, including 37.2% from three (38th).

It averages 33.0 rebounds per game (109th), has a +7.1 rebounding margin, and converts 69.6 percent of its free throw attempts (254th).

SMU ranks 73rd in effective field goal percentage (52.5%), 59th in adjusted tempo, and 40th in modified offensive efficiency.

The Gaels’ opponents score 59.3 points per game (6th), and they shoot 40.7 percent (30th), with 32.0% of their three-point attempts (72nd).

Saint Mary’s is 77th in assist-per-turnover ratio and ninth in modified defensive efficiency.

The Saint Mary’s-California Gaels are 17-3 SU in their last 20 matches.
The Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 matches in the Big East Conference.
The total went OVER in 6 of Saint Mary’s-California’s last 8 matches played in March.

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Saint Mary’s Gaels vs UConn Huskies Predictions 3/19/2023

In their first-round match on Friday, UConn defeated Iona 87-63, outscoring the Gaels 50-24 after falling behind 39-37 at the half. Iona was limited to 38.6 percent while Connecticut shot 48.5 percent.

The Huskies had 14 offensive rebounds and a +16 rebounding advantage. On the 32 field goals they made, they received 24 assists. Adama Sanogo, a junior forward, is Connecticut’s top scorer.

The Huskies ranked 44th in effective field goal percentage (53.5%), 6th in adjusted offensive efficiency, and 210th in adjusted pace.

UConn’s opponents score 64.8 points per game, which ranks 43rd and shoot 40.8 percent, including 29.7% from the three-point range (14th).

The Huskies ranked 37th in the assist-to-turnover ratio and 18th in modified defensive efficiency.

The Connecticut Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 matches.
The total went UNDER in 4 of Connecticut’s last 5 matches.
The Huskies are 7-1 SU in their last 8 matches.

The #5 Saint Mary’s Gaels vs #4 UConn Huskies. The NCAAB pick for this game is the #5 Saint Mary’s Gaels.

The Gaels have a combined ATS record of 0-5 in their past 5 games after an ATS victory and 1-5 in their previous 6 games after a straight-up victory.

The Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after a straight-up victory, and 5-1 ATS in their past six games vs. teams with winning percentages above.600.

I’m going after a wager on UConn at -3.5. Sanogo played incredibly well on Friday (28 points and 13 rebounds), and this Gaels team won’t be able to stop him. The #5 Saint Mary’s Gaels will win to a predicted score of 67-62.

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