Free NFL Picks For Today 1/21/2023
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Pick Prediction 1/21/2023
Jaguars at Chiefs—Quarterback Lawrence, center and right guard questionable for Jacksonville. Defensive starters healthy. KC receiver Mecole Hardman out with starters on defense healthy. Jacksonville ran their win streak to six straight after their 31-30 home win to LA Chargers.
Jags recovered from a 27-0 deficit in the first half. Jacksonville ran for nearly five yards per attempt and went 3 of 4 inside they red zone. Key rushes by Etienne late set up the game winning kick. Defensively they limited the LAC run game to 67 yards on 23 carries.
Trevor Lawrence has played through a toe injury for weeks now. A season high four interceptions all in the first half for Lawrence but bounced back with four touchdowns and 288 passing yards. Just 59.6% completions and 6.1 per attempt.
Defensively on the road this year the Jaguars are allowing 370 yards with 269 passing and 6.8 yards per pass attempt. They don’t generate pressure on quarterbacks on the road and were poor on the highway defensively on third down allowing 47% conversions.
Jaguars offense on third down converting 57.1%. Kansas City enters off the bye week. They finished at 14-3 and 7-1 at home. They closed the regular season on a five game win streak. KC offense at home averaging 395 yards, 4.3 yards per run.
Patrick Mahomes at home this year a 65.8% completion rate with 7.5 yards per attempt. He passed for 19 touchdowns and six picks on the home turf. He passed for 331 yards, four touchdowns and a pick in the week against the Jaguars in Week 10.
Jags offense has improved since then. Jaguars 4-0 to the over in their past four against a winning team. Play Jacksonville and Kansas City over 52.5.
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New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Pick Prediction 1/21/2023
Giants at Eagles—NYG starters on offense healthy with a linebacker questionable. Philadelphia starters on offense and defense healthy. Giants improved to 10-7 on the year with the 31-24 win at Minnesota.
Giants were able to move the football again against the Vikings this season as they posted 431 yards. The run game generated just under five yards per rush. They did give up 271 passing yards to the Vikings and 3 of 4 inside the red zone.
But Daniel Jones came up big in the road playoff spot throwing for 301 yards, two touchdowns and 8.6 yards per attempt. Philadelphia the top seed in the NFC and finished at 14-3. They broke a two game losing streak with a six point win against the Giants in the final regular season game who rested starters.
Jalen Hurts returned in Week 18 against the Giants after missing the previous two weeks with a shoulder injury. He completed 57.1% against the New York backups with an interception and 6.5 yards per attempt. He complained about pain in the shoulder so that is a concern.
Also, a concern is Hurts takes a big hit. Hurts at home this season completing 66.7% with 8.1 yards per attempt. He threw for 14 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. NYG has covered eight of nine on the road. They have covered all three getting over a touchdown. Jones improvement a key here as well as his mobility. Play New York Giants +7.5.
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