Free NFL Picks For Today 1/1/2023
Arizona Cardinals vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Cardinals at Falcons—Both teams out of playoffs. Murray and McCoy both out for Arizona. Receiver Hopkins with their right tackle questionable. On defense out are a defensive end and linebacker with cornerback questionable. Falcons have a guard questionable with defensive starters healthy.
Cardinals carry a five game losing streak into this game after their 19-16 home overtime loss to Tampa Bay. Past three games Arizona averaging only 296 yards with 4.6 per play. Defensively allowing 4.6 per rush.
David Blough will get the start and has been with the team for three weeks. Trace McSorley has been ineffective. Blough has seen action in three games with a 56.8% completion rate and 6.2 yards per attempt.
Atlanta has lost four straight and seven of eight. They come off the 17-9 road defeat at the Baltimore Ravens. Defensively they did limit the Ravens to 302 yards with 115 passing on 17 attempts. Rookie Desmon Ridder showed improvement with 66.7% completions and 6.6 yards per attempt.
On the year, Ridder a 59.3% completion rate with 5.3 yards per attempt. Tough to lay six points with a team that has lost six of seven. Past three games Falcons averaging only 14.3 points per game. Play Arizona +6.
Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Bears at Lions—Wide receiver Claypool out for the Bears with their defensive starters healthy. Lions center questionable with a safety out. Bears are 3-12 and out of the playoffs with the 35-13 home defeat to Buffalo Bills. Poor offensive showing with 209 yards. They gave up 416 yards to the Bills with 254 rushing on 31 attempts.
Eight straight losses for the Bears allowing 25 or greater points each game. Justin Fields is playing through a shoulder and foot injury. Past three games he is completing 71% with 7.6 yards per attempt. He has rushed for 17 yards in this period with 6.3 yards per attempt.
Lions dropped to 7-8 following their 37-23 road defeat to the Carolina Panthers. This broke a three game win streak. Defense let the Lions down in the loss as they give up 570 yards with 320 rushing on 43 attempts. Lions fell behind 31-7 early in the third quarter.
Jared Goff completed 59.5% with 8.5 yards per attempt. he passed for 355 yards and three touchdowns. Past four games Goff 66.3% completions with 8 yards per attempt. He passed for 1277 yards in this period with nine touchdowns and no pick.
Both weak defenses with Lions offense performing well. Detroit over in six of eight at home by averaging 32 points and 400 yards per game. They are giving up 419 yards and 27 points per game at home.
Bears defense past three games allowing 401 yards and 29.3 points per game. Lions run defense a concern to back them on the spread with Fields playing. Play Chicago and Detroit over 52.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Jaguars at Texans—Lawrence questionable with a guard as well. On defense a defensive end and linebacker questionable. Texans starters on offense and defense healthy. Jacksonville is 7-8 after their 19-3 road win at the Jets. Three straight wins for the Jags.
AFC South winner will be decided next week in the as the Jaguars face the Titans. Should Jacksonville win here and lose next week they still have an 8% chance to make the playoffs so this game does matter to the Jags. During this win streak the Jaguars are averaging 432 yards and allowing 329.
Lawrence has played through a toe injury for some time. On this win streak, Lawrence a 67% completion rate with 8 yards per attempt. He has passed for 915 yards, seven touchdowns and an interception. Houston fell to 2-12-1 with their 19-14 road win at Tennessee.
Texans has covered three straight. Offense only produced 285 yards in the win but held the Titans to 272 yards. In this three game period the Texans are getting outgained by 115 yards plus allowing 5.3 yards per run. The pass defense improved by allowing 6.6 yards per attempt in these three games.
Davis Mills was inserted back as the starting quarterback which began this cover streak. In this three game period, Mills a 61.6% completion rate with 6.5 yards per attempt. He passed for 474 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Texans won the first meeting 13-6 and have won nine straight against the Jaguars. Play Houston +3.
Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Broncos at Chiefs—Denver receivers Jeudy and Hinton both questionable. Linebacker Gregory out with a nose tackle and linebacker questionable. KC healthy on both sides of the football. Denver fell to 4-11 after their 51-14 road defeat to the LA Rams.
Team has lost six of seven. Broncos produced only 323 yards. Russell Wilson completed 55.6% with three interceptions. On the road the Broncos post only 14.9 points per game losing seven of eight. KC improved to 12-3 with their 24-10 home win to Seattle.
In cold weather the Chiefs held to only 297 yards. They limited the Seahawks to 333 yards and only 5 yards per pass attempt. They were 3 of 3 inside the red zone. Chiefs have won eight of nine but covering only once in this period.
KC defense getting in great form holding opponents to 291 yards past three games. KC wins out and the Bills split or lose their final two games and the Chiefs earn the top seed in the AFC. Play Kansas City -12.5.
Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Dolphins at Patriots—Tua Tagovailoa out with their fullback and left tackle out. On defense two starting linebackers questionable. New England has receiver Parker out with running back Stephenson, wide receiver Thornton and tight end Henry questionable. On defense both cornerbacks are questionable.
Miami fell to 8-7 after their 26-20 home defeat to Green Bay. It is a four game losing streak. Dolphins were held scoreless in the final 34 minutes. They held the Packers to only 301 yards. QB play has been an issue for the Dolphins in their past three games with 51.8% completion rate and lack of third down conversions.
Defense has had issues defending the pass allowing 289 yards and 68.2% completion in this period. They look to Teddy Bridgewater. Veteran saw action in four games on the year completing 61.7% with 8.7 yards per attempt.
Dolphins are running for 5.8 yards per rush past three games with Tua accounting for only 35 rushing yards in this period. New England fell to 7-8 with their 22-18 home defeat to Cincinnati. Poor offensive showing with 285 yards. They did rally down 22-0 at the half to 22-18 with six minutes remaining.
Ten points came from the offense with the defense returning a pick six 69 yards. Patriots have lost four of five with Mac Jones completing 62.1% in this period with 6.7 yads per attempt. He has passed for five touchdowns and an interception in this span. Yardage totals have been too low for this team.
Miami wins their final two games and will make the playoffs. Patriots win out they make the playoffs. One more loss and eliminated.
Dolphins last three road games sees the defense giving up 410 yards with 297 passing with 69% completion rate. Strongest unit on the field in Patriots defense. Play New England -2.5.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Colts at Giants—Indianapolis tight end Granson is out and a cornerback on defense as well. Starters on offense healthy for NYG with cornerback out and linebacker questionable. Indianapolis drops to 4-10-1 with their 20-3 home defeat to the LA Chargers. A poor offensive showing with 173 yards.
Losing streak now five straight for Indianapolis and 8 of 9. Nick Foles made his first start last week and completed 58.6% with 4.9 yards per attempt. He passed for 143 yards and an interception. Colts defense has digressed mightily since the coaching change.
Past three road games the Colts defense giving up 404 yards, 4.7 yards per rush, 274 passing yards and 37.7 points per game. NYG fell to 8-6-1 with their 27-24 road defeat at Minnesota.
Giants did move the football against a weak Vikings defense for 445 yards. They lose on a 61 yard field goal by the Vikings. They allowed 270 passing yards to the Vikings. Giants are winless in five of six games with a home tie.
Daniel Jones in this period completing 67.3% with 6.8 yards per attempt. He has passed for 1432 yards in this span with five touchdowns and three interceptions. Losses have come to all playoff contending teams with four point spread covers in those six.
A win and the Giants make the playoffs. New York cover success the key here. Colts have spiraled downward and past three road games getting outscored by 17.7 points per game. Play New York Giants -5.5.
New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Saints at Eagles—New Orleans wide receiver Olave questionable with a guard out. On defense out is a safety with a corner and linebacker questionable. Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts doubtful with a right tackle out. Defensive starters healthy.
New Orleans improved to 6-9 with their 17-10 road win at Cleveland. Saints gained just 244 yards in the win. They have been held to under 300 yards in three of four game. Team is under in seven of eight. Saints defense held the Browns to 249 yards.
Saints have allowed 18 or fewer points in four straight. Andy Dalton attempted just 15 passing in extreme cold conditions. Prior to last week, in his previous three road games Dalton completed 65.5% with 7.2 yards per attempt. Philadelphia fell to 13-2 with their 40-34 road defeat at Dallas.
Eagle offense did produce 442 yards with a backup Gardner Minshew under center. Defense allowed 304 passing yards to the Cowboys with six sacks on 35 attempts. Gardner Minshew figures to get the start here.
Minshew completed 60% with 8.9 yards per attempt. He passed for 355 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Past three games Eagles defense averaging 6.3 sacks per game. That is not good for immobile Andy Dalton. Saints run game has underperformed past three games with 6.3 yards per attempt.
New Orleans wins next two games and Buccaneers lose next two then they are NFC South champs. One more win in the next two games and Eagles win the NFC East plus gets the bye. Play Philadelphia -5.5.
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Free NFL Picks For Today 1/1/2023
Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Panthers at Buccaneers—Carolina offensive starters healthy with a cornerback out. Tampa Bay receiver Jones and left tackle questionable. On defense a cornerback out with the remaining three in the secondary questionable. Nose tackle questionable as well.
Carolina improved to 6-9 after their 37-23 home win to Detroit. Strong offensive performance by the Panthers with 570 yards with 320 rushing. Team has covered five of six winning four of those games.
Sam Darnold returning from injury completing 61.4% with 8.6 yards per attempt. He has thrown for four touchdowns and no interceptions. Defense the past three games holding teams to 331 yards and only 3.2 yards per run. They have been good getting off the field on third down in this period.
Tampa Bay improved to 7-8 following their 19-16 road overtime win at Arizona. Offense did move the football for 396 yards but only one touchdown scored. Tom Brady averaged 5.9 yards per attempt with a touchdown and two interceptions.
This season, Brady a career low 6.2 yards per attempt. Panthers have covered all four of their division games this year. Hard to trust the Bucs to cover more than a field goal. Carolina run game behind Hubbard and Foreman a big help to Darnold.
A Buccaneers win and they clinch the division. A loss then they need a win in Week 18 plus help. Panthers win out and make the playoffs. Play Carolina +3.5.
Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Commanders NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Browns at Commanders—Cleveland starters on offense healthy with a defensive end questionable. Washington starters healthy with a safety doubtful and corner questionable. Cleveland fell to 6-9 with their 17-10 home defeat to the New Orleans Saints.
A dismal offensive performance with 249 yards. Past three games Browns have averaged 292 yards. On defense in this period, they have allowed 310 yards but 5.2 yards per run DeShaun Watson had a season low 48.4% completion rate in the loss with 4.4 yards per attempt.
This season, Watson a 57.7% completion rate with 5.7 per attempt. Washington drops to 7-7-1 with their 37-20 road defeat at San Francisco. Team put up 349 yards with only 79 rushing yards on 33 carries. They did allow nearly six yards per rush to the 49ers.
Washington winless in three straight with issues in pass protection and 29.7% conversions on third down. Carson Wentz relieved last week and completed 12 of 16 for 123 yards and a touchdown. Wentz starts on Sunday and on the season a 62.9% completion rate with 6.5 yards per attempt.
Cleveland out of the playoffs. Commanders win out and they make the playoffs. With a loss and win next week the Commanders will need help. Browns offense held to 13 points or fewer in three straight. Play Washington -2.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
49ers at Raiders—Receiver Samuel out for the 49ers with defensive starters healthy. Raiders offense healthy on both sides of the ball. San Francisco improved to 11-4 after their 37-20 home win to Washington. 49ers moved the football for 371 yards.
It is an eight game win streak with the 49ers allowing 20 points or fewer in this period. Past three games 49ers defense holding teams to 316 yards with 3.3 yards per rush and only 5.5 yards per pass attempt. The offense in this period generating 177 rushing with 5.5 per rush.
Rookie Brock Purdy in his past four games completing 68.9% with 8 yards per attempt. He has thrown for 846 yards, eight touchdowns and two picks in this period. Las Vegas fell to 6-9 after their 13-10 road defeat at Pittsburgh. Raiders in a cold night on the road gained only 201 yards.
Past three games Las Vegas has averaged 270 yards with 164 passing for 5.6 yards per attempt. With these poor passing numbers, the Raiders bench Derek Carr. Jarrett Stidham seen mop up action this year. Stidham a career 52.5% completion rate with 5.6 yards per attempt throwing for two touchdowns and four interceptions.
49ers have clinched the NFC West. They will be either a two or three seed in the playoffs. Raiders must win out and need a lot of help. Would expect San Francisco to remain sharp to avoid poor form entering the playoffs. Take San Francisco -9.5.
New York Jets vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Jets at Seahawks—NYJ right guard questionable with a free safety questionable. Seattle running back Walker questionable with Lockett upgraded to expected to play. Their right tackle questionable. Seahawks nose tackle and safety questionable.
NYJ fell to 7-8 with their 19-3 home defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars. New York gained only 227 yards. NYJ has lost five of six with exception coming at home to a down Bears team. Mike White returns after missing two games to injury.
White in his two road starts a 57.4% completion rate with 6.3 yards per attempt. He threw for no touchdowns and two interceptions. Seattle fell to 7-8 with their 24-10 road defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs. Seahawks have lost five of six with the win coming at a down Rams team.
Seahawks gained 333 yards in the loss. Since the bye, Geno Smith completing 67.3% with 7.2 yards per attempt. Best unit on this field is the Jets defense. NYJ must win out and need help to make the playoffs. Seattle too needs to win out and get help to make playoffs. Play New York -1.5.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Vikings at Packers—Minnesota center is out with their defense healthy. Packers receiver Watson questionable with defensive starters healthy. Minnesota improved to 12-3 with their 27-24 home win to New York Giants. Vikings win on a 61 yard field goal as time expired. They have won four of five but missed covers in three straight.
In this three game span the Vikings defense allowing 417 yards with 4.6 yards per run and 273 passing with 7.2 yards per attempt. Offense in this period averaging 429 yards with 363 passing and 7.6 yards per attempt. Kirk Cousins on the season a 65.7% completion rate and 7 yards per attempt.
Cousins has averaged three touchdown throws per game past three. Green Bay is 7-8 with their 26-20 road win at Miami. After falling behind 20-10 the Packers held the Dolphins scoreless in the final 34 minutes. Three straight wins for Green Bay as their defense allowed 314 yards with the offense posting 26 points per game.
Aaron Rodgers during this win streak a 64.6% completion rate with 6.6 yards per attempt. Vikings over in five straight behind strong offense and poor defense. Minnesota has won NFC North and can only earn the top NFC seed by winning out and the Eagles losing out.
Packers win out and will need help to make the playoffs. They go 1-1 in their final two games and need a lot of help. Packers lose the final two and eliminated. Play Minnesota and Green Bay over 47.5.
LA Rams vs. LA Chargers NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Rams at Chargers—LAR has tight end Higbee questionable and on defense a linebacker questionable as well. LAC full back Horvath questionable with a safety out. Rams improved to 5-10 with the 51-14 home win to Denver Broncos.
Rams offense posted 388 yards. They have covered four of five. Baker Mayfield playing for a job somewhere next season coming off a big game with 85.7% completions and 8.2 yards per attempt. With the Rams a 69% completion rate with 6.8 yards per attempt.
Rams defense past three games holding teams to 323 yards, 4.4 yards per run and 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Chargers improved to 9-6 and clinched a playoff spot with the 20-3 road win at Indianapolis. LAC wins putting up 314 yards. Three straight wins for the Chargers holding teams to 225 yards.
Justin Herbert past three games a 73.4% completion rate with 7.4 yards per attempt. He has thrown for only one touchdown and three interceptions in this period. Chargers have had struggles in the red zone in this span of three games. Chargers 10-19-2 as a home favorite past 31 spots.
LAC has made the playoffs and will be either a 5,6 or 7 seed. That is not much to play with likely three straight road games if they get to the Super Bowl. Play LA Rams +6.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Pick Prediction 1/1/2023
Steelers at Ravens—Pittsburgh starters healthy on offense with a linebacker questionable on defense. Lamar Jackson out for Baltimore. On defense a corner out with an end questionable. Pittsburgh improved to 7-8 with their 13-10 home win to Las Vegas Raiders.
Steelers a touchdown on late fourth quarter drive was the difference. Team put up 350 yards with 344 passing. Steelers defense shut down the Raiders offense for 201 yards. Steelers defense past three games has allowed 240 yards with 3.8 yards per run and 6.1 yards per pass attempt.
Kenny Pickett since the bye week is completing 62.5% of his passes with 6.4 yards per attempt. Just three touchdowns and one pick in this five game span. Baltimore is 10-5 following the 17-9 road win at Atlanta. Ravens gained 299 yards in the win.
Defense allowed Atlanta 327 yards but 0 of 4 inside the red zone. Past three games Baltimore defense holding opponents to 313 yards, 3.8 yards per rush and 6.7 per pass attempt. Tyler Huntley gets the start for the injured Jackson.
This season, Huntley a 67% completion rate with 5.8 yards per attempt. he has thrown one touchdown and two interceptions. Ravens under in eight of ten. Steelers win out they finish with a winning record but will need a lot of help to make the playoffs with a 9% chance.
Baltimore wins out and they win AFC North. A loss and a Bengals win on Monday and the Ravens are a Wildcard. Both Ravens and Bengals lose this week and Baltimore wins next week, they are division champions. Baltimore won the first meeting on the road 16-14. Play Baltimore -2.
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