Memphis Tigers vs Utah State Aggies 12/27/2022 Picks Predictions

Memphis Tigers vs Utah State Aggies 12/27/2022 Picks Predictions Previews

The Memphis Tigers will go against the Utah State Aggies in NCAAF action in Gerald J. Ford Stadium, TX, on Tuesday, December 27, 2022, at 3:15 PM ET.

Memphis had a wild 2022 season, capturing four in a row and then dropping four in a row in the midst of the season. With two seconds remaining, an interception in the end zone cost it the season finale against SMU, 34-31.

The Tigers will now focus on an Aggies squad with the nation’s 26th-ranked scoring offense. The Tigers’ last match didn’t go as planned since they blew a chance to at least tie the score and force extra.

The Mustangs won the game after quarterback Seth Henigan floated an incomplete throw toward the end zone and it was picked off.

While Jevyon Ducker carried the ball 10 times for 81 yards, the sophomore quarterback completed 27 of 44 passes for 287 yards and a score. It was SMU’s sixth victory over Memphis in 15 games.

The Tigers are rated 30th overall for red zone scoring percentage (88.4%) and 27th overall for third down conversion percentage (45.1%).

In addition to 27.3 points and 371.9 total yards per game, the Tigers’ defense also allows 121.8 running yards and 250.2 passing yards.

Memphis is rated 59th in opponent red zone scoring percentage (83.3%) and 110th in opponent third down conversion percentage (43.4%), respectively.

The Memphis Tigers are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 matches.
The total went OVER in 9 of Memphis’ last 13 matches.
The Memphis Tigers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 matches.

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Memphis Tigers vs Utah State Aggies Predictions 12/27/2022

Before losing to Boise State in the regular season’s last game, Utah State won three consecutive matches against New Mexico, Hawaii, and San José State.

The Aggies also defeated Colorado State, Air Force, and UConn. The USU secondary, the nation’s 25th-ranked pass defense, will make it difficult for the Tigers’ passing attack to make an impact in the First Responder Bowl.

With its previous victory occurring in 1996, Utah State’s loss to the Broncos was its 19th loss in the last 20 matches against Boise.

At the half, the Aggies were down by a score of 21-7, but they came back to make it a score of 28-23 by driving to the Boise State 11 and then collapsing with 2 interceptions.

Still, capturing three of the final four games to qualify for a bowl game was a feat considering Utah State lost senior starting quarterback Logan Bonner to an ailment midway through the year.

In terms of third down conversion rate (34.1%) and red zone scoring percentage (82.2%), Utah State is placed 104th and 74th, respectively.

In addition to 396.8 total yards per game, including 198.4 rushing yards and 198.4 passing yards, the Aggies are giving up 30.6 points per game.

They are rated 103rd for opponent red zone scoring percentage (88.8%) and 65th for opponent third down conversion percentage (39.2%).

The Utah State Aggies are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 matches.
The Utah State Aggies are 5-2 SU in their last 7 matches.
The total went UNDER in 11 of Utah State’s last 13 matches played in December.

Memphis Tigers vs Utah State Aggies. The NCAAF pick for this game is the Memphis Tigers. Although Tyler Jr. is a reliable back, the Aggies wouldn’t be the same team without Bonner in the position.

They are failing to perform when it counts, ranking 104th nationally in 3rd down conversion percentage and 74th in red zone scoring percentage.

The Tigers average over 35 points per game and rank 27th and 30th, respectively, in third down conversion rate and percentage of points scored in the end zone.

Although Utah State’s secondary is strong, there is too much pressure on it to prevent Memphis from reaching the end zone.

During the second half, the Tigers should start to pull away, dominating and covering the 7.5-point spread. The Memphis Tigers will win to a predicted score of 35-27.

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