Free NFL Picks For Today 10/23/2022
Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Lions at Cowboys—Wide receiver Chark out for the Lions with running back Swift and wide receiver Reynolds questionable. On defense Detroit is without a defensive end with a corner questionable. Dak Prescott returns at quarterback for Dallas. No starters on the injury report.
Detroit returns from the bye at 1-4 with their 29-0 road defat at New England. Lions gained 312 yards with 101 rushing on 27 carries. They struggled defensively against the run surrendering 176 yards on 35 carries. Team was 0-3 inside the red zone and held the Patriots to 0 of 4.
Jared Goff as season low 54.3% completions with 6.5 yards per attempt. He had no touchdowns and one pick. On the year Goff veteran low 59.7% completions with 7.3 yards per attempt. Average target depth three year high at 9.1 yards.
Dallas is 4-2 after their 26-17 road defeat at Philadelphia Cowboys posted 315 yards with 134 on the ground on 26 carries. Defense held the Eagles to only 268 yards limiting both the run and pass. Copper Rush completed only half his passes and had three picks.
Dak Prescott on the season saw action in only one game completing 48.3% with 4.6 yards per pass attempt coming under heavy pressure by Tampa Bay. Lions defense struggling surrendering 5.5 yards per rush and 7.7 yards per pass attempt.
Cowboys defense playing well and don’t trust Goff against top flight defenses. Force Goff outside the pocket and he is ineffective. Play Dallas -6.5.
Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Commanders NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Packers at Commanders—Wide receiver Randall Cobb out for the Packers. Starers healthy on defense. For Washington wide receiver Dotson and right tackle questionable. Tight end Logan Thomas out. Quarterback Carson Wentz out with Taylor Heinicke starts. Chase Young still out for Washington.
Green Bay fell to 3-3 with their 27-10 home defeat to New York Jets. A season low 278 yards for the Packers with 60 rushing on 20 carries. GB did limit the Jets passing attack but allowed 179 rushing on 33 carries. Aaron Rodgers 63.4% completions in the loss with 6 yards per attempt.
On the year Rodgers 67% completions with a tie for career low 6.7 yards per attempt. Sack percentage on Rodgers is 6.7%. Washington 2-4 with their 12-7 road win on Thursday nigh to the Chicago Bears.
A season low 214 yards offensively with 128 rushing on 28 carries. They did surrender 391 yards to the Bears with 237 on the ground on 37 carries. But Commanders held Chicago to 0 of 3 in the red zone and had a +2 turnover margin.
Taylor Heinicke saw action in 16 games last year with the injury to Ryan Fitzpatrick. Heinicke in 2021, 65% completions with 6.9 yards per attempt. He did run for 313 yards with 5.2 yards per attempt. Packers have averaged 315 yards or fewer in three of four games. Heinicke’s third season in Washington. Play Washington +5.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Colts at Titans—Indianapolis offensive starters healthy. On defense they are without a defensive end and middle linebacker. Titans right guard out with wide receiver Phillies questionable. On defense an outside linebacker out. Indianapolis is 3-2-1 after their 34-27 home win to Jacksonville.
Jaguars gained 434 yards offensively with 45 rushing on 16 carries as both backs injured. Defensively Colts di limit the pass but allowed 243 rushing on 33 carries. Matt Ryan completed 72.4%, 389 passing yards, three touchdowns and 6.7 yards per attempt.
Against the Titans in Week 4, Ryan 73% completion rate with 9.6 yards per attempt. Tennessee is 3-2 after their 21-17 road win at Washington hitting their bye week. Titans posted 241 yards with 105 on the ground on 32 attempts.
A perfect 3 of 3 inside the red zone. They did limit the Commanders run game but surrendered 342 passing on 38 attempts. Ryan Tannehill 60% completion rate with 7.2 yards per attempt. He did complete 81% with two touchdowns and 6.5 yards per attempt in the first meetings. Tannehill getting sacked 8.7% of the time.
Titans relying heavily on the ground averaging 28 rushes and 16.6 passes per game. But run game generating only 3.7 yards per rush. Colts passing game starting to click and defense has played well. Play Indianapolis +2.5.
New York Giants vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Giants at Jaguars—Giants starting center questionable. On defense a defensive end and linebacker out. Jags wide receiver Marvin Jones questionable. On defense they are without a corner with linebacker, nose tackle and defensive end questionable.
NYG improved to 5-1 with their 24-20 home win to Baltimore Ravens. They win despite 238 yards offensively running for 83 yards on 31 carries. On defense Giants allowed 406 yards with 211 on the ground on 24 carries. Daniel Jones 70.4% completions with two touchdowns and only 6.4 yards per attempt.
On the year a career high 67.3% completions with career low 6.4 yards per attempt. A sack rate of 10.7% with low average depth per pass of 6.5 yards. Jacksonville 2-4 after their 34-27 road loss at Indianapolis. Jaguars offense gained 379 yards with 243 rushing on 33 carries.
They limited the Colts run game who had both running backs out. Against the pass the Jags surrendered 389 yards on 58 attempts. Trevor Lawrence 90.9% completions in the loss with a touchdown and 7.5 yards per attempt.
Jacksonville has lost three straight as Lawrence has thrown three touchdowns and three picks. During this losing streak the Jaguars not getting pressure on the quarterback with one sack per game and allowing 10.3 points in the fourth quarters. NYG defense has been outstanding on third down. Play New York Giants +3.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Buccaneers at Panthers—Receiver Julio Jones and tight end Cameron Brate out for Tampa Bay. A right guard is questionable. On defense a corner and defensive end out with a safety questionable. Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold out.
Receiver Shenault and right tackle questionable. On defense a tackle out with two linebackers and a corner questionable. Tampa Bay moves to 3-3 with their 20-18 road defeat at Pittsburgh. Buccaneers gained only 304 yards with 75 rushing on 26 carries.
Team was just 1 of 4 inside the red zone. Defensively they limited the run game for the Steelers and allowed 193 passing yards on 30 attempts. Tom Brady completed 62.5% with one touchdown and 6.1 yards per attempt. On the year Brady 67.2% completion rate and 6.7 yards per attempt.
Carolina drops to 1-5 with their 24-10 road defeat at the LA Rams. Panthers a season low 203 yards with 93 rushing on 21 carries. On defense the limited the Rams run game and allowed 249 passing yardage on 33 attempts. PJ Walker 62.5% completions in the loss with a miniscule 3.8 yards per attempt.
Average target depth just 2.8 yards per pass. This season Walker 68.2% completions and 5.5 yards per attempt. Panthers traded McCaffrey for draft picks so a loss with no help this season. Panthers struggle to score in this game. Play Tampa Bay and Carolina under 39.5.
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Browns at Ravens—Cleveland guard out on offense. On defense Clowney questionable and a corner out. Ravens running back Dobbins out. Questionable are receiver Bateman, tight end and both tackles. On defense a linebacker and tackle questionable.
Cleveland fell to 2-4 with their 38-15 home defeat to the New England Patriots. It was a season low 328 yards of offense for the Browns with 70 rushing on 18 carries. On defense they limited the Patriots running attack but allowed 301 yards passing to a backup on 34 attempts.
Jacoby Brissett as season low 46.7% completions with two interceptions and 5.9 yards per attempt. On the year Brissett 60.2% completions with 6.4 yards per attempt. Baltimore 3-3 after their 24-20 road defeat at New York Giants.
Ravens gained 406 yards with 211 rushing on 24 carries. They limited NYG to just 238 yards. Baltimore just 1 of 3 inside the red zone. Lamar Jackson a season low 53.1% completions with 6.6 yards per attempt.
On the year Jackson a veteran low 61.9% completions tying a career low of 7.1 yards per attempt. Ravens injuries on offense a concern. Browns are running for 5.5 yards per rush. Play Cleveland +6.5.
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Falcons at Bengals—Corarrelle Patterson out for Atlanta and defense healthy. Cincinnati healthy on offense. On defense a tackle and linebacker out. Atlanta sits at 3-3 with their 28-14 home win to San Francisco. Falcons gained just 289 yards with 168 rushing on 40 carries.
Atlanta held the 49ers ground attack to 50 yards on 16 carries. They did surrender 296 passing yards on 41 attempts. Marcus Mariota a season high 92.9% completions, two touchdowns and 9.2 yards per attempt. On the season Marriota 61.3% completion rate with 7.7 yards per attempt.
Cincinnati improved to 3-3 after their 30-26 road win at New Orleans Saints. Bengals offense posted 348 yards with 75 on the ground on 14 carries. They did surrender 228 yards rushing to the Saints on 34 attempts. They held the Saints to five yards per attempt.
Joe Burrow season high 75.7% completions, 300 yards, three touchdowns and 8.1 yards per rush. This season Burrow 66.7% completions with 7.1 yards per attempt. Falcons have covered every game this regular season.
Atlanta running for 4.9 yards per carry and Bengals allowing 4.7 yards per rush. Cincinnati has struggled to run the football. Mariota with his ability to run a key here. Play Atlanta +6.5.
New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Jets at Broncos—Jets receiver Moore is out and the defense healthy. Wilson out for the Broncos with a right guard questionable. On defense their nose tackle, defensive end and linebacker questionable. New York improves to 4-2 with their 27-10 road win at Green Bay.
NYJ moved the football for 278 yards with 179 rushing on 33 carries. Defense limited the Packers ground attack with 218 passing on 45 attempts. Zach Wilson 55.6% completions with a season low 6.1 yards per attempt. On the year Wilson 56% completion rate and 7.6 yards per attempt.
Denver 2-4 after their 19-16 road defeat on Monday night to the LA Clippers. Broncos gained only 258 yards a season low with 98 on the ground.
Brett Rypien to start and the backup has thrown only two passes last season. In 2020 Rypien 67.5% completions, two touchdowns, four picks and 7.4 yards per attempt. Both defenses playing well. Broncos averaging only 15.2 points a game. Play New York and Denver under 37.
Houston Texans vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Texans at Raiders—Houston wide out Chris Moore and tight end Brevin Jordan questionable. Defensive end Greenard out. Raiders tight end Waller out with receivers Renfrow and Hollins questionable. On defense a linebacker questionable.
Houston comes off the bye at 1-3-1 after their 13-6 road win at Jacksonville Texans a season low 248 yards with 116 rushing on 31 carries. On defense they allowed over five yards per rush to the Jags run game and 286 passing on 47 attempts.
Houston held Jacksonville to 0 of 3 in the red zone and picked off two passes. Davis Mills 66.7% completions in the win with 5.8 yards per rush. This season Mills down from his rookie year with 62.7% completions and 6.3 yards per attempt.
Las Vegas returns from their bye week 1-4 following their 30-29 road defeat at Kansas City. Raiders blew a 17-0 lead in defeat. Team ran effectively for 155 yards on 24 carries. They limited the KC production on the ground and surrendered 265 passing on 43 attempts.
But Las Vegas allowed 4 of 4 inside the red zone. Derek Carr 63.3% completions in the loss, two touchdowns and 8 yards per pass attempt. This season Carr a seven year low 61.4% completions with 7 yards per attempt. Raiders have struggled in pass defense allowing 256 yards, 68.5% completions and 7.2 yards per attempt.
Las Vegas struggling getting pressure on the quarterback and forcing turnovers on defense. Red zone performance poor for Las Vegas allowing 82.4% conversions. Play Houston +7.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Chiefs at 49ers—KC guard questionable. On defense a corner is out. 49ers offense healthy and McCaffery slotted as the lead running back. On defense a tackle out with corner and safety questionable. Kansas City fell to 4-2 after their 24-20 home defeat to Buffalo.
Chiefs moved the football for 387 yards with 68 rushing on 18 carries. On defense they allowed four yards per rush to the Bills but 318 passing on 40 attempts. Patrick Mahomes completed a near season low 62.5%, two touchdowns, two picks and 8.5 yards per attempt.
On the year Mahomes 65.9% completion rate and 7.6 yards per attempt. San Francisco moved to 3-3 after their 28-24 road defeat at Atlanta. 49ers moved the football for 346 yards rushing for only 50 on 16 carries. The defense held the Falcons to 289 yards with 168 rushing on 40 carries. But they did allow 3 of 3 red zone conversions.
Jimmy Garoppolo a season high 70.7% completions, two touchdowns, two picks and season low 7.2 yards per attempt. On the year Garoppolo 63.5% completion rate and 7.8 yards per attempt.
KC has navigated through a tougher schedule. No 49ers wins have come against teams with a current winning record. The two mobile quarterbacks San Francisco has seen resulted in loss to Atlanta and Chicago. Play Kansas City -1.
Seattle Seahawks vs. LA Chargers NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Seahawks at Chargers—Seattle receiver Tyler Lockett questionable and Pete Carroll he expected him to play. Right game out. Chargers receiver Keenan Allen questionable with receiver Palmer out. On defense they have a defensive end questionable.
Seattle improved to 3-3 after their 19-9 home win to Arizona. Seahawks gained only 296 yards with 136 rushing on 30 carries. Defensively they limited the Cardinals passing attack and allowed 144 rushing yards on 28 carries. Seahawks only were 1 of 5 inside the red zone.
Geno Smith 64.5% completion rate in the win with season low 6.4 yards per attempt. On the year Smith 73.4% completions with 8 yards per attempt. LAC 4-2 with their 19-16 home win in overtime on Monday night to the Denver Broncos. Chargers a season low 297 yards with 73 rushing on 24 carries.
On defense they held the Broncos to only 279 yards limiting their run and passing. Justin Herbert 64.9% in the win with an interception and a season low by far with 4.2 yards per attempt.
On the year Herbert 66.1% completion rate with career low 6.7 yards per attempt. Chargers have struggled running the football this year but is allowing 5.6 yards per rush. Play Seattle +5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Pick Prediction 10/23/2022
Steelers at Dolphins— Steelers offense healthy. On defense a corner is doubtful. Dolphins receiver Waddle questionable as are both their starters. On defense both defensive ends questionable and a corner questionable.
Pittsburgh moved to 2-4 with their 20-18 home win to Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Steelers gained only 270 yards running for 77 yards on 29 carries. Steelers limited the Bucs run game to 3 yards per rush and 229 passing yards on 40 carries. Pittsburgh held Tampa Bay to 1 of 4 inside the red zone.
Kenny Pickett completed 61.1% in the win with a season low 3.7 yards per attempt. On the year the rookie 66.3% completions, a touchdown, four picks and 6.2 yards per attempt. Miami 3-3 following their 24-16 home defeat to Minnesota.
Dolphins a season high 458 yards with 73 rushing on 20 carries. Tua Tagovailoa returns under center expected to start coming off concussion protocol . Tagovailoa career highs 69.6% completion rate with 9 yards per attempt on the year. Lot of banged up players on both sides for Miami. Play Pittsburgh +7.5.
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