Free NFL Picks For Today 10/9/2022
New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Giants vs. Packers—Daniel Jones likely to play. Receivers Robinson, Toney, Golladay and Shepard out. On defense their left defensive end our and right end questionable.
Receiver Sammy Watkins out for Green Bay with a strong safety questionable. Giants 3-1 after their 20-12 home win to Chicago Bears. Strong running performance for NYG in the win with 262 rushing on 44 carries. They did give up 149 rushing on 32 carries but held Chicago to 0-3 inside the red zone.
With the run game going Daniel Jones 8 of 13 for 71 yards for 5.5 yards per attempt. On the season Jones completing 63.8% with a career low 6 yards per pass attempt. Green Bay 3-1 coming off the 27-24 home win to New England in overtime.
Balanced offensive attack for the Packers with the run game generating 199 yards on 35 carries. They did convert 3 of 4 inside the red zone. Packers contained the pass but did allow 167 rushing yards on 33 carries. Aaron Rodgers completed 60% in the win with 7.2 yards per attempt.
Giants running or 5.7 yards a carry on the season with the Packers are giving up 5 per attempt. But NYG surrendering 3.5 sacks a game and Packers are getting pressure on the quarterback. Jones dealing again with cluster injuries to his receiving staff. But Packers offense don’t appear in sync with Rodgers. Play NY Giants +8.
LA Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Chargers at Browns—Keenan Allen out for the Chargers and receiver Palmer questionable. Joey Bosa out on defense. Cleveland healthy on offense on defense a tackle Bryan and end Clowney questionable. LAC improved to 2-2 after their 34-24 road win at Houston.
Chargers run game continued to struggle and were bailed out by their passing game. Good defensive performance by LA holding the Texans to 346 yards. Justin Herbert completed 69.2% with a season high 8.7 yards per attempt. Cleveland dropped to 2-2 after their 23-20 road defeat at Atlanta.
Facing a slew of injuries on defense the Browns gave up 202 rushing yards on 35 carries in defeat. Browns a good running team did rush for 177 yards on 35 carries. Team was only 1 of 3 in the red zone. Jacoby Brissett completed 60% in the loss with 6.7 yards per attempt.
Back to back road games for the Chargers. One dimensional offense for LAC as their run game has been bad. Cleveland runs for 5 yards a carry and the Chargers giving up 5.4 plus there is no Joey Bosa for LAC. Pass defense has been good for the Browns. Play Cleveland +1.5.
Detroit Lions vs. New England Patriots NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Lions at Patriots—Detroit on offense with be without running back Swift, receiver Chark and their full back. Receivers Brown and Reynolds questionable as is guard Jackson. On defense Lions are without a defensive end and a linebacker questionable.
Mac Jones doubtful with receivers Meyers questionable. On defense an end is out with a safety and corner questionable. Detroit fell to 1-3 after their 48-45 home defeat to Seattle. The offense showed well behind 520 yards. The defense gave up 555 yards with 235 rushing and 320 through the air.
Quarterback Jared Goff completed 66.7% in defeat averaging a season high 9.7 yards per attempt. Season wide Goff completing 60.9% with 7.5 yards per attempt. New England 1-3 after their 27-24 road defeat at Green Bay. New England tied a season low 271 yards. Run game produced 167 yards on 33 carries.
Defense struggled to stop the Packers ground attack surrendering 199 yards on 35 carries. Rookie Bailey Zappe expected starter. He did complete 66.7% of his passes in defeat with a touchdown and 6.6 yards per attempt.
Lions defense the major issue here as they are surrendering 444 yards with 5.6 yards on the ground. A concerning are the number of injuries on the Lions. Side. Play New England -3.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Falcons at Buccaneers—Tight end Pitts out for the Falcons. On the Bucs side tight end Brate out with Julio Jones questionable. On defense defensive end Hicks out. Atlanta moved to 2-2 after their 23-20 home win to Cleveland. Falcons had their ground game going with 202 yards on 35 carries.
Defensively they did allow 177 yards on the ground to the Browns on 35 carries but held them to 1 of 3 inside the red zone. Marcus Mariota a season worst 36.8% completions with 7.3 yards per attempt and a pick. On the year Mariota 58.2% completions with 7.9 yards per attempt. Just three touchdowns and four picks.
Tampa Bay 2-2 after their 41-31 home defeat to Kansas City. Run game non existent with three yards on six carries. Defense struggled to stop the run allowing 189 yards on 37 carries. Tom Brady completed 75% of his passes, three touchdowns and 7.4 yards per pass attempt.
Season high in yardage and completion rate. Falcons are running for 5.1 yards a carry and the Buccaneers giving up 4.3 per attempt. Falcons are protecting Mariota and they are getting points on the board. Play Atlanta +10.
Seattle Seahawks vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Seahawks at Saints—Wide receiver Goodwin questionable for the Seahawks. New Orleans quarterback Jameis Winston doubtful and wide receiver Michael Thomas out. Kamara questionable for expected to play. Wide receiver Landry questionable as is their left guard. Their strong safety questionable.
Seattle moved to 2-2 after their 48-45 road win at Detroit. Good news the Seahawks moved the football for 555 yards. But the defense surrendered 520 yards and 4 of 4 inside the red zone. Geno Smith completed 76.7%, two touchdowns and 10.7 yards per pass attempt.
New Orleans 1-3 after their 28-25 defeat in England to Minnesota. Saints defense limited run production but allowed 263 passing yards on 39 attempts. Andy Dalton did complete 71.4% with a touchdown and 8.4 yards per attempt. Seahawks have been strong on third down and Seattle protecting Smith. Play Seattle +5.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Texans at Jaguars—Houston receiver Chris Moore and tight end Brevin Jordan out. On defense a defensive end and linebacker out. Jacksonville wide out Zay Jones questionable. Houston fell to 0-3-1 after their 34-24 home defeat to the LA Chargers. Texans fell behind 27-7 at the half and got within three late.
Houston ran 14 times for 131 yards. On defense they did surrender 338 passing yards on 39 attempts. Davis Mills completed 74.3% of his passes with two touchdowns but two picks. He averaged 7 yards per attempt. For the season Mills 62% for 6.4 yards per attempt. Jacksonville 2-2 after their 29-21 road defeat at Philadelphia.
Jaguars blew a 14-0 early lead. They were hurt by five turnovers and gained only 219 yards in defense. They allowed 191 passing yards on 25 pass attempts. Trevor Lawrence a season low 47.8% completions with two touchdowns, a pick and four fumbles lost. He did average 7.6 per attempt.
This season Lawrence 65.7% completion rate and 7.1 per attempt. Only second home game for the Jaguars. They shut out Indianapolis 24-0 in their home game this season. Houston giving up 5.1 yards a carry to opponents and JAX has a good running back. Play Jacksonville -7.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Steelers at Bills—On defense Pittsburgh left corner and safety out with their right corner questionable. TJ Watt remains out. Bills are without their tight end and wide receiver McKenzie questionable. On defense a tackle and linebacker questionable with their strong safety out.
Pittsburgh fell to 1-3 after their 24-20 home defeat to the New York Jets. Steelers offense only 297 yards in the loss held to under 300 for the third time in four games. Pittsburgh did give up 250 yards on 37 attempts. Rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett completed 76.9% of passes, three touchdowns and 9.2 yards per attempt.
Buffalo improved to 3-1 after their 23-20 road win at Baltimore. Bills overcame a 20-3 deficit late in the second quarter in victory. Buffalo pass defense strong allowing 124 passing yards on 29 attempts. Bills gave up 73 yards rushing to a dual threat quarterback and that wont be the case here.
Steelers in their road games giving up 404 yards with 252 passing. Steelers will be challenged to score in this game. Play Pittsburgh and Buffalo under 45.5.
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Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Dolphins at Jets—Miami quarterback Tagovailoa out. Receivers Hill, Waddle plus left tackle questionable. On defense a corner is questionable. Jets have a linebacker out. Miami 3-1 after their 27-15 defeat on Thursday Night to the Cincinnati Bengals. Dolphins a -2 turnover margin and lost Tua to injury in game.
Miami struggled defending the pass giving up 304 yards on 32 attempts. Teddy Bridgewater in his relief role completed 60.9%, touchdown, and pick with 9.4 yards per attempt. NYJ is 2-2 after their 24-20 road win at Pittsburgh. Jets rally with the final fourteen points in the final seven and a half minutes.
Defense led the Jets to the win holding the Steelers to 297 yards. Zach Wilson in his season debut completed 50%, a touchdown, pick with 7 yards per pass attempt. Bridgewater is a game manager and had success backing up Drew Brews with the Saints weapons. He has good weapons in Miami. Play Miami -3.5.
Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Titans at Commanders—Titans right guard is questionable. On defense a linebacker and safety out. Washington will be without wide out Dotson and a right tackle on offense. Their tight end Logan Thomas questionable. On defense Chase Young out and a linebacker questionable.
Tennessee moves to 2-2 after their 24-17 road win at Indianapolis. Titans offense generated only 243 yards in the win and benefitted with a +3 turnover margin. Defensively Tennessee grounded the run game of Indy and allowed 327 passing yards on 37 attempts.
Ryan Tannehill did complete 81% of his passes, two touchdowns and 6.5 yards per attempt. On the season the veteran is completing 66.3% with 7.8 yards per attempt. Washington fell to 1-3 with their 25-10 road defeat at Dallas. Commanders only 297 yards in defeat.
Defensively they limited the Cowboys to only 279 yards shutting down the run. Carson Wentz completed just 59.5% of his throws, a touchdown, two picks and 5 yards per attempt. He is completing 62.2% of his throws for 6 yards per pass attempt on the season.
Commanders past two games have averaged 9 points and 269 yards. Commanders defense has been weak defending the pass. Also, they are allowing over four sacks per game. Titans have been good in the red zone. Take Tennessee -1.
Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Bears at Vikings—Chicago running back David Montgomery questionable and expected to play. On defense a corner doubtful. Vikings starters healthy. Chicago fell to 2-2 after their 20-12 road defeat at New York Giants. Bears offense produces only 304 yards and go 0 of 3 inside the red zone.
Chicago ran for 149 yards on 32 carries. But defensively they allowed the Giants to rush for 262 yards on 44 carries. Justin Fields completed just 50% of his passes with 7.9 yards per attempt. On the season Field 50.7% completions with 7 yards per attempt. Minnesota 3-1 after their 28-25 win against New Orleans in England.
Vikings limited on the ground but moved the football through the air. Kirk Cousins did complete 65.8% in the win with 7.2 yards per attempt. On the season the veteran 63.1% completions with a seven season low 6.6 yards per attempt.
Bears getting production running the football with 5.2 per carry. Vikings surrendering 4.6 yards a carry on the ground. Chicago has been good in pass defense. Play Chicago +7.5.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
49ers at Panthers—San Francisco left tackle out. On defense they are without their starting tackles on defense. Carolina on defense a linebackers and safety questionable. San Francisco moves to 2-2 after their 24-9 home win to LA Rams on Monday night.
Strong defensive performance by the 49ers holding LAR to 257 yards. 49ers averaged 4 yards a carry on the ground. They had a +2 turnover margin plus seven quarterback sacks. Jimmy Garoppolo 59.3% completion rate with 8.9 yards per attempt. On the season Garoppolo 61% completions with 7.8 yards per attempt.
Carolina fell to 1-3 after their 26-16 home defeat to Arizona. Another poor offensive performance with the Panthers gaining only 220 yards. Held to under 300 yards in all four games. Dreadful rushing with 40 yards on 13 carries. Defensively the Panthers held the Cardinals to 328 yards and 2 of 5 inside the red zone.
Baker Mayfield completed 61.1%, a touchdown, two picks and 5.5 yards per pass attempt. On the season. Mayfield a career low 54.7% completions with 6.4 yards per attempt.
Short week for San Francisco and injuries on the defensive line the concern. Panthers have been good in run defense and Garoppolo has not been very accurate. Play Carolina +6.5.
Dallas Cowboys vs. LA Rams NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Cowboys at Rams—Dallas receiver Lamb and running back Pollard questionable. On defense they have a tackle questionable. LAR center out. On defense a corner and safety questionable. Dallas moves to 3-1 after their 25-10 home win to Washington.
Cowboys leaned on their defense that gave up 297 yards with 155 passing on 42 attempts. Dallas Cowboys run game sputtered with 62 yards on 29 carries. Quarterback Cooper Rush completed 55.6%, two touchdowns and 8.3 yards per attempt.
On the season Rush 60.8% completion rate with 7.2 yards per attempt. LA fell to 2-2 after their 24-9 road defeat at San Francisco on Monday Night. Rams offense generated only 257 yards. Run game only contributed with 57 yards, -2 turnover margin and 0 of 3 inside the red zone.
They allowed seven sacks. Matthew Stafford completed 66.7%, a pick and only 5.3 yards per attempt. This season Stafford is completing 70.7% but only 6.8 yards per attempt.
Rams run game not helping the offense. LAR giving up 4 sacks a game and Cowboys defense averaging nearly four sacks per game. Cowboys pass defense allowing only 4.8 per attempt. Play Dallas +5.5.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Eagles at Cardinals—On offense Philadelphia has their left tackle out. On defense their starters healthy. Cardinals receiver Rondale Moore questionable as is their left tackle and left guard. Their center is doubtful. On defense their nose tackle out.
Philadelphia 4-0 after their 29-21 home win to Jacksonville. Eagles spotted the Jaguars a 14-0 early lead. Strong defensive performance holding the Jaguars to 219 yards and forcing five turnovers. Jalen Hurts completed 64% in the win with 8.2 yards per attempt.
On the season a career high 66.7% completions with 9.1 yards per attempt. Arizona 2-2 with their 26-16 road win at Carolina. Good defensively performance by the Cardinals allowing 220 yards and forcing three turnovers. Kyler Murray completed a season high 71.9% in the win with 6.5 yards per attempt.
On the season Murray 65.3% completion rate with 5.7 yards per attempt. Eagles passing game can exploit a weak pass defense for Arizona the allows 68.3% completions and 7.4 yards per attempt. Eagles defense is giving up 5 yards a carry on the ground which should aid Murry in the passing game. Play Philadelphia and Arizona over 49.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Pick Prediction 10/9/2022
Bengals at Ravens—Bengals receiver Higgins and tight end Hurst questionable. Ravens receiver Bateman out with their left tackle questionable. On defense a linebacker out with corner questionable. Cincinnati moved to 2-2 after their 27-15 home win to Miami.
Bengals separated late as the Dolphins lost their starting quarterback to injury. Cincinnati defense did surrender 293 passing yards on 37 carries. Bengals run game generate only 67 yards on 30 carries. Joe Burrow completed 64.5% of his throws with a season high 9.3 yards per attempt.
Baltimore fell to 2-2 after their 23-20 home defeat to Buffalo. Ravens offense held to 296 yards and blew a 20-3 lead late in the second quarter. Baltimore run game generated 162 yards on 33 carries. They limited a good Buffalo offense to only 326 yards. Lamar Jackson did complete 69% of his passes but only 5 yards per pass attempt.
On the season Jackson completing 65% of his passes with 7.6 yards per attempt. Baltimore defense giving up 425 yards, 5 yards per rush and 315 passing yards with 64.4% completions and 7.1 yards per attempt. They average only two sacks a game. Extra rest for the Bengals after playing two Thursday’s ago. Play Cincinnati +3.5.
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