Free MLB Picks For Today 10/2/2022
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Twins at Tigers—Simeon Woods Richardson expected to start for Minnesota. Richardson makes his MLB debut. He has seven starts in Triple A with an ERA 2.21 with WHIP 0.86. The righthander allowed nine earned runs with 38 strikeouts in 36 2/3rd innings.
Joey Wentz to start for Detroit. Wentz in six starts produces an ERA 3.54 and WHIP 1.07. The lefthander fans 20.2% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls served at 38.8% with 0.64 home runs per nine innings.
Tigers evened this series with the 3-2 win. Detroit has won seven of eight. Twins 31-46 on the road. Detroit bullpen past ten games an ERA 3.05. Play Detroit.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Phillies at Nationals—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler has 25 starts posting an ERA 2.92 and WHIP 1.06. The righthander a strikeout rate of 26.4% with 5.8% walks. Grounders 46% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Patrick Corbin will start for Washington. Corbin starts in 30 games with an ERA 6.08 plus WHIP 1.66. The lefthander is striking out 18.2% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls 44.4% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.84 an indicator of a dropping ERA based on his advanced numbers.
The teams split their doubleheader on Saturday and now Philadelphia has won two of three in this series. Nationals have lost six of nine losing to the run line in each loss. Past ten games Washington hitting .224.
Washington 19-36 to the run line against home run hitting teams averaging 1.25 home runs per game or greater the past two seasons. Team record behind Corbin on the run line 9-21 facing teams that average 4.5 runs per game or greater past two seasons. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs -135.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Orioles at Yankees—Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish starts in 22 games an ERA 5.11 with WHIP 1.39. The righthander striking out 21.8% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate 45.6% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Chi Chi Gonzalez to start for NYY. Gonzalez in six appearances has an ERA 6.87 plus WHIP 1.53. The righty pitches to 15.2% strikeouts with 5.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.9% with 2.45 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees evened this series after their 8-0 win. Orioles 32-18 to the over against good teams with .540 to .620 win percentage during the second half of the season. Past ten games Orioles bullpen an ERA 6.53. Play Baltimore and NYY over 7.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Michael Wacha the starter for the Red Sox. Wacha in 22 starts produces an ERA 3.06 with WHIP 1.09. The righthander is fanning 20.1% with 6% walks. Ground balls sit 40.8% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.89 an indicator of a rising ERA based on his numbers.
Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto. Gausman has 30 starts posts an ERA 3.30 and WHIP 1.23. The veteran strikes out 28.2% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.3% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.41 suggests a dropping ERA if form holds.
Blue Jays have won both games in this series after their 10-0 win. Team record behind Wacha 16-5 facing teams that strikeout 7 or greater times per game this season. Team record behind Gausman 13-15 as a home favorite -110 or greater past two seasons. Play Boston +160.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Royals at Guardians—Max Castillo to start for KC. Castillo in 13 appearances produces an ERA 4.98 and WHIP 1.25. The righthander fans 22.1% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate 49% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings.
Shane Bieber gets the start for Cleveland. Bieber has 30 starts with an ERA 2.91 with WHIP 1.03. The righty a strikeout mark of 25.4% with 4.6% walks. Grounders 47.6% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. KC evened this series with the 7-1 win to break a four game losing streak.
Guardians had won eight of nine prior to the loss. Cleveland 42-29 to the run line against a losing team during the second half of this season. Past ten games Guardians bullpen ERA 1.57. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Marlins at Brewers—Pablo Lopez to start for Miami. Lopez in 31 starts has an ERA 3.90 with WHIP 1.18. The righthander is striking out 23.5% with 7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.8% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
Freddy Peralta will start for Milwaukee. Peralta has worked seventeen games producing an ERA 3.77 and WHIP 1.07. The righty a strike out mark of 27% with 8.9% walks. Grounders 40.3% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Miami has won two of three in this series with their 4-3 win.
Brewers have lost four of six. Past ten games Brewers hitting .216 against righthanders. Milwaukee under in nine of ten. Marlins 40-27 to the under against teams hitting .250 or worse this season. Brewers 16-6 to the under as a home favorite of -175 to -250 this season. Play Miami and Milwaukee under seven.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Rays at Astros—Corey Kluber to start for Tampa Bay. Kluber in 30 starts an ERA 4.36 with WHIP 1.21. The veteran fans 20.2% with 3% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.9% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.53 and indicator of a dropping ERA based on his form.
Luis Garcia the starter for Houston. Garcia starts in 27 games posting an ERA 3.81 and WHIP 1.15. The righthander a strikeout rate of 24.6% with 7.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.7% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
Rays evened this series with the 2-1 win. Past ten games Rays hitting .204 against righthanders. Astros 98-55 facing teams striking out 7 or greater times this season. Play Houston -165.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Pirates at Cardinals—Roansy Contreras to start for Pittsburgh. Contreras in 20 appearances has an ERA 3.72 with WHIP 1.26. The righty is fanning 21.9% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.1% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Adam Wainwright will start for St Louis. Wainwright starts in 31 games produces an ERA 3.51 plus WHIP 1.27. The veteran strikes out 17.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate 44.1% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Cardinals have won both games in this series after their 13-3 win.
Past ten games Cardinals hitting .208 against righthanders and Pirates .217. Cardinals 35-20 to the under facing teams hitting .250 or worse the second half of this season. Play Pittsburgh and St Louis under 7.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Reds at Cubs—Chase Anderson to start for Cincinnati. Anderson has seven appearances posting an ERA 4.70 with WHIP 1.09. The righthander is striking out 25% with 12% walks. Grounders 50% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Marcus Stroman starts for Chicago. Stroman in 24 starts carries an ERA 3.66 plus WHIP 1.15. The righty a strikeout mark of 20.6% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate 50.8% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Cubs win both games of this series with their 2-1 win.
Chicago has won six straight and nine of ten. Reds have lost eight of nine. Past ten games Cincinnati batting .164 against righthanders and Cubs bullpen an ERA 1.77. Play Cubs on run line -1.5 runs at +134.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Diamondbacks at Giants—Zach Davies will start for Arizona. Davies in 26 starts produces an ERA 4.18 and WHIP 1.29. The righthander strikes out 18.1% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls 43.1% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. A 4.82 FIP indicates a rise in ERA possible based on his form.
Sean Hjelle the starter for San Francisco. Hjelle appeared in seven games an ERA 7.20 plus WHIP 1.80. The righty a strike out mark 20.6% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 60.9% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.24 suggests a drop in ERA based on his advanced numbers.
Diamondbacks evened this series with their 8-4 win. Giants had won eight of nine prior to that defeat. Past ten games San Francisco hitting .278. Arizona 18-56 on the road against the NL West past two seasons. Play San Francisco -110.
Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Rangers at Angels—Tyson Miller to start for Texas. Miller in three appearances allowed six earned runs with five walks in 6 2/3rd innings. In 29 Triple A appearances the righthander compiled an ERA 4.52 with WHIP 1.47. He had 114 strikeouts in 89 2/3rd innings.
Tucker Davidson to start for LAA. Davidson in eleven appearances produces an ERA 6.80 with WHIP 1.70. The lefty is striking out pitches to contact with 13.6% strikeouts and 13.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.7% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
LAA have won both games of this series after their 3-2 win for their sixth straight win. Rangers have lost seven of eight. Past ten games Rangers hitting .208 and Angels .272. LAA bullpen ERA 2.90 in this span.
Texas 18-35 facing a team that allows 4.4 runs per game or less during the second half of this season. Rangers 15-33 when lined on the road between +125 and -125 past two seasons. Play LA Angels -116.
Colorado Rockies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Rockies at Dodgers—German Marquez will start for Colorado. Marquez starts in 30 games has an ERA 5.12 with WHIP 1.39. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.8% with 7.9% walks. His ground balls 47.6% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Anderson the starter for LAD. Anderson has 29 appearances producing an ERA 2.54 plus WHIP 1.00. The lefthander fans 18.6% with 4.9% walks. Ground ball rate 40.3% with 0.67 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.35 an indicator of a rising ERA based on his form. LAD has all two in this series with the 6-4 win.
Rockies have lost seven straight and nine of ten. Past ten games Rockies hitting .226 and a bullpen ERA 7.75. Dodgers bullpen ERA in this period 1.85.
Team record behind Anderson 20-7 to the run line against a team that averages 7 strikes or more per game this season. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Athletics at Mariners—James Kaprielian to start for Oakland. Kaprielian in 25 starts carries an ERA 4.43 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander strikes out 16.4% with 10.1% walks. His ground balls 37.5% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
Robbie Ray the starter for Seattle. Ray starts in 31 games with an ERA 3.58 and WHIP 1.17. The veteran a strikeout rate of 28% with 7.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.8% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Mariners have won both games of this series after their 5-1 win.
Athletics have lost eight of nine and under in all five games on his road trip. Past ten games Oakland hitting .197 against lefthanders. Oakland 31-19 to the under facing a team that allows 3.9 runs per fewer per game this season. Kaprielian 11-3 to the under the second half of this season. Play Oakland and Seattle under seven.
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
White Sox at Padres—Lance Lynn to start for Chicago. Lynn in 20 starts has an ERA 4.16 with WHIP 1.16. A strikeout mark of 24.5% for the righthander and 3.7% walks. Ground balls 41.2% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Blake Snell the starter for San Diego. Snell has 23 starts posts an ERA 3.47 and WHIP 1.23. The lefthander an elite strikeout mark of 32.2% with 9.7% walks. Grounders 37.4% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 2.75 an indicator of a drop in ERA if form holds.
Padres evened this series with the 5-2 win to break a three game losing streak. Past ten games White Sox hitting .199 and a bullpen ERA 4.40. Chicago 14.34 past two seasons on the road facing a good team with a .540 to .620 win percentage. Play San Diego -156.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 10/2/2022
Mets at Braves—Chris Bassitt to start for NYM. Bassitt in 29 starts carries an ERA 3.27 with WHIP 1.13. The righthander strikes out 22.6% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls 49.1% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Charlie Morton starts for Atlanta. Morton has 30 starts producing an ERA 4.29 and WHIP 1.20. The veteran a strikeout rate of 28.4% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.7% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings.
Atlanta has won the first two in this series with the 4-2 win. They have won six of seven. Past ten games NYM hitting .212 against righthanders and Braves bullpen an ERA 1.06. Braves 85-37 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Play Atlanta -126.
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