Free MLB Picks For Today 9/13/2022
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Pirates at Reds—Johan Oviedo to start for Pittsburgh. Oviedo in sixteen appearances an ERA 3.90 with WHIP 1.47. The righthander fans 24.1% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls 45.9% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Raynel Espinal to start for Cincinnati. Espinal will make his 2022 MLB debut. He worked two innings last with Boston in his debut giving up two runs in two innings.
The righthander worked 83 1/3rd innings for the Reds Triple A affiliate compiling an ERA 5.29 with WHIP 1.50 with 102 strikeouts and 38 walks. Pittsburgh wins the opener of this series 6-3. Reds have lost three straight. Espinal minor league form a concern here. Play Pittsburgh in Game 1.
Luis Ortiz expected starter in Game 2 for Pittsburgh. Ortiz makes his MLB debut. He appeared in 24 Double A games compiling an ERA 4.41 with WHIP 1.17 striking out 126 in 114 innings. In 10 innings in Triple A the righthander allowed four earned runs with 12 strikeouts in ten innings.
Luis Cessa expected starter in Game 2 for Cincinnati. Cessa in 41 appearances an ERA 4.97 and WHIP 1.33. The righthander a strikeout mark of 19.6% with 8% walks.
Ground ball rate of 52.2% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings. Ortiz made a quick move up the ladder in the Pirates organization showcasing strikeouts. Play Pittsburgh in Game 2.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Rays at Blue Jays—Jeffrey Springs to start for Tampa Bay in Game 1. Springs appeared in 28 games with an ERA 2.54 with WHIP 1.10. The lefthander strikes out 26.8% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit 41.8% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.11 indicates a possible rise in ERA based on these results.
Alek Manoah the starter for Toronto. Manoah has 27 starts posting an ERA 2.42 with WHIP 0.99. The righthander a strikeout rate of 23% with 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.9% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.30 also suggest an increase in ERA based on this form.
Blue Jays win the opener of this seried 3-2. Team has won eight of ten and now ten games over .500 at home and Rays six games under .500 on the road. Both bullpens in outstanding form. Play Toronto and Tampa Bay under 7.5 in Game 1.
Starter for Tampa Bay is Kevin Herget in Game 2. Herget makes his MLB debut. He worked 19 games in Triple A compiling an ERA 2.55 with WHIP 1.16. The righthander has 92 strikeouts and 14 walks in 91 2/3rd innings. Mitch White to start for Toronto.
White in 21 appearances an ERA 5.09 with WHIP 1.43. The righty is striking out 29.2% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls 42.2% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Rays will utilize their bullpen here in support of Herget early. White ineffectiveness got him sent down to the minors but back up for this start. Play Tampa Bay in Game 2.
LA Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Angels at Guardians—Jose Suarez to start for LAA. Suarez in 18 appearances an ERA 3.77 with WHIP 1.26. The lefthander a 23% strikeout mark with 8.5% walks. Ground balls served at 37.8% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Cody Morris takes the mound for Cleveland. Morris has two starts allowing two earned runs with five strikeouts and three walks in six innings. He worked six games in Triple A giving up four earned runs with 30 strikeouts in 15 1/3rd innings. Guardians have won four straight and six of seven with their 5-4 win in the opener.
Angels have dropped four of five. LAA 19-41 against a winning team this season. LAA 16-38 against a team with a good bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better this season. Play Cleveland -135.
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Astros at Tigers—Hunter Brown will start for Houston. Brown, a righty, in his MLB debut allowed no earned runs with five strikeouts in six innings. He worked 106 Triple A innings this season compiling an ERA 2.55 and WHIP 1.08 striking out 134 with 45 walks.
Drew Hutchison the starter for Detroit. Hutchison appeared in 24 games producing an ERA 4.08 plus WHIP 1.43. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.1% strikeouts and 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.4% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Houston has won six of eight winning the opener of this series 7-0. Tigers have lost six of nine. Astros past ten games hitting .210 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 0.79. Astros 49-32 to the under against a losing team this season.
Tigers 25-14 to the under against a team with a good bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better on the season. Play Houston and Detroit under 8.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Phillies at Marlins—Bailey Falter to start for Philadelphia. Falter in fifteen appearances carries an ERA 4.02 with WHIP 1.20. The lefthander strikes out 21% with 5% walks. Ground balls 31.4% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.97 indicates a rise in ERA is possible with his form.
Sandy Alcantara will start for Miami. Alcantara has 28 starts with an ERA 2.42 plus WHIP 1.01. The righthander is striking out 23% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 53.7% with limited home run damage. Phillies win three straight at home to the Nationals.
Marlins split their doubleheader with the Rangers and have lost seven of ten overall. Past ten games Philadelphia hitting .317 against righthanders and Marlins .216 against lefty’s. Marlins 6-27 the second half of the season against teams averaging 4.5 runs per game or greater. Play Philadelphia +118.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Orioles at Nationals—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore Kremer in seventeen appearances an ERA 3.23 with WHIP 1.23. The righthander a strikeout rate of 18.5% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls 38.2% with limited home runs damage.
Cory Abbott to start for Washington. Abbott appeared in twelve games producing an ERA 4.22 and WHIP 1.19. The righty is striking out 21.3% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 26.4% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.96 suggests a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Orioles drop two of three at the Red Sox for six losses in their past eight games. Nationals are swept in a three game series at Philadelphia.
Team record behind Kremer 11-4 against teams that strikeout at least seven times per game. Nationals 6-21 at home against a winning team. Nationals 16-35 as an underdog of +100 to +150. Play Baltimore -138.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Yankees at Red Sox—Gerrit Cole the starter for NYY. Cole has 28 starts posting an ERA 3.20 plus WHIP 1.02. The veteran an elite strikeout mark of 32.1% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit 43.5% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta has starts in 28 games with an ERA 4.29 and WHIP 1.32. The righthander strikes out 22.4% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.3% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. NYY win two of three at home to the Rays.
Red Sox take two of three at Baltimore. Red Sox 3-16 against a good team with a .540 to .620 win percentage. Pivetta in three starts against the Yankees allowed eighteen earned runs with six homers in 13 1/3rd innings. Play NY Yankees -160.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Cubs at Mets—Adrian Sampson to start for Chicago. Sampson has sixteen appearances with an ERA 3.76 and WHIP 1.29. The righthander is striking out 17.1% with 5.9% walks. Grounders 39.2% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Jacob deGrom to start for NYM. deGrom has started seven with an ERA 1.66 and WHIP 0.55. The veteran an elite strikeout rate of 41.4% with 2.6% walks. Ground balls 41.2% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings.
Chicago wins the opener of this series 5-2. Cubs under in six straight and 48-31 to the under against a winning team past two seasons. Chicago 32-14 to the under against an NL starter who has a WHIP of 1.25 or better. Play NYM and Cubs under 7.
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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Royals at Twins—Kris Bubic the starter for KC. Bubic appeared in 24 games with an ERA 5.40 and WHIP 1.64. The lefthander fans 17.5% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls 41.4% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan has 23 starts posting an ERA 4.05 plus WHIP 1.16.
The righthander a strikeout mark of 24.2% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 26.6% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. Royals drop two of three at home to Detroit. Twins are swept in a three game home series against the Guardians. They have lost eight of ten.
Past ten games Minnesota hitting .171 against lefthanders and a bullpen ERA 5.13. KC pen in this period an ERA 2.78. Twins 18-25 when favored at home by -150 to -200 past two seasons with -24.7 units. Play Kansas City +164.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Brewers at Cardinals—Josh Lindblom the primary pitcher for Milwaukee. Lindblom in eight appearances an ERA 9.72 plus WHIP 1.98. The righthander strikes out 20% with 11.8% walks. Ground balls sit 27.3% with 2.70 home runs per nine innings. A career ERA of 4.78 with 3.75 walks per nine innings.
Jordan Montgomery the starter for St Louis. Montgomery has 28 starts dealing an ERA 3.08 and WHIP 1.04. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 21.3% with 4.9% walks. Grounders at 48.9% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
Brewers win two of three at home to the Reds. Cardinals take two of three at Pittsburgh. Past ten games Brewers hitting .191 against lefthanders. Montgomery has allowed one earned run or fewer in six of seven. Play St Louis.
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Rockies at White Sox—Chad Kuhl to start for Colorado. Kuhl in 23 starts has an ERA 5.38 with WHIP 1.51. The righthander is striking out 17.7% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.9% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.
Michael Kopech the starter for the White Sox. Kopech has 24 starts carrying an ERA 3.78 with WHIP 1.22. The righty a strikeout mark of 21.4% with 12% walks. Ground balls sit 36.1% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.50 suggests a rise in ERA based on these numbers.
Rockies hit the road winning four of six at home to the Diamondbacks and Brewers. White Sox return home winning three of four at Oakland and two of three at Seattle. Past ten games Rockies bullpen ERA 5.21 and Chicago hitting .281 as a team.
Kuhl 13-2 to the over when an underdog of +150 or greater past two seasons. Past three starts Kopech allowed eleven earned runs in 9 2/3rd innings. Play Colorado and Chicago over 8.5 runs.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Athletics at Rangers—Ken Waldichuk to start for Oakland. Waldichuk, a lefty, in two starts allowed four earned runs with eight strikeouts in ten innings. He has worked he has four starts with the Athletics Triple A affiliate compiling an ERA of 3.59 and WHIP 1.26 in 18 2/3rd innings striking out 21.
Cole Ragans to start for Texas. Ragans has logged five starts with an ERA 3.80 plus WHIP 1.45. The lefthander pitches to contact with 12.9% strikeouts and 14% walks. His ground balls are 33.8% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 6.26 suggest a massive rise in ERA if this form holds.
Oakland hits the road salvaging the finale of their four game home series against the White Sox. They had dropped eight of nine prior to that win. Rangers split a doubleheader at Miami.
Past ten games Texas hitting .207 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA 1.52. Athletics in this period hitting .190 against lefty’s. Athletics 59-38 to the under against a lefthanded starter. Play Oakland and Texas under 8.5.
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Padres at Mariners—Yu Darvish will start for San Diego. Darvish in has starts in 26 games producing an ERA 3.31 with WHIP 0.98. The veteran is striking out 24.9% with 5% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert in 28 starts has an ERA 3.23 plus WHIP 1.20. The righthander has 22.5% strike outs with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.3% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Padres lose two of three at home to the Dodgers.
Mariners win two of three at home to the Braves. Past ten games Padres hitting .219 against righthanders. Seattle bullpen an ERA 2.80 in this span. Darvish 15-7 to the under against teams that average seven or greater strikeouts per game.
Mariners 15-3 to the under at home against a starter who averages five or greater strikeouts per start this season. Play San Diego and Seattle under 7.5.
LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Dodgers at Diamondbacks—Clayton Kershaw to start for LAD. Kershaw in 17 starts an ERA 2.62 plus WHIP 0.97. The lefthander posts 27 % strikeouts with 4.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.1% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings.
Merrill Kelly the starter for Arizona. Kelly starts in 28 games with an ERA 2.94 and WHP 1.08. The righthander deals 21.6% strikeouts with 7.2% walks. Grounders at 44.4% with limited home run damage. Dodgers win 6-0 and magic number to clinch NL West is 1. LAD has won seven of nine.
Diamondbacks have dropped five of six. Past ten games Diamondbacks hitting .205 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA 5.28. LAD 50-30 to the run line against losing teams. Team record behind Kershaw 25-8 to the run line against a losing team past two seasons.
Arizona 15-32 to the run line against an NL pitcher with a WHIP of 1.05 or better past two seasons. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/13/2022
Braves at Giants—Kyle Wright to start for Atlanta. Wright has started 26 times producing an ERA 3.23 and WHIP 1.15. The righthander fans 23.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 54.6% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
Jakob Junis to start for San Francisco. Junis appearances in nineteen games with an ERA 3.98 plus WHIP 1.18. The righty engineers 20.9% strikeouts along with 5.2% walks. His ground balls are 45.3% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
Braves have lost three straight with the 3-2 defeat on Monday. Giants have won three straight. Atlanta 27-4 against losing teams the second half of this season. Braves 60-27 as a road favorite of -110 or higher past two seasons. Play Atlanta -152.
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