Free MLB Picks For Today 9/6/2022
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New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Mets at Pirates—With the rain out in Game 1 of this series they play one game on Tuesday and the pitching matchups carry to this game. Taijuan Walker to start for the Mets. Walker in 23 starts an ERA 3.45 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander a strikeout rate of 18.3% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit 46.3% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller appeared in 25 games with an ERA 4.43 plus WHIP 1.46. The righty strikes out 19.7% with 8.5% walks. Grounders at 49.5% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. New York loses two of three at home to the Nationals. Pirates drop all three at home to the Blue Jays. Past ten games Pirates batting .202 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 4.84. NYM 39-31 to the run line against losing teams. Play NY Mets on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Red Sox at Rays—Rich Hill to start for Boston. Hill in 20 starts carries an ERA 4.52 with WHIP 1.29. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 19.2% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls at 41.4% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Drew Rasmussen to start for Tampa Bay. Rasmussen started 23 games posting an ERA 2.70 plus WHIP 1.05. the righthander a strikeout rate of 22.1% with 5.8% walks. His ground balls are 46.8% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. Tampa Bay has won six of seven by taking the opener of this series 4-3. Rays have won seven straight at home against the Red Sox. Past ten games Boston bullpen an ERA 5.73. Team record behind Rasmussen 16-5 against teams that average seven strikeouts or greater per game. Play Tampa Bay -158.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Marlins at Phillies—Jesus Luzardo the starter for Miami. Luzardo has twelve starts with an ERA 3.44 and WHIP 1.04. The lefthander strikes out 28% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit 43.2% with limited home run damage. Aaron Nola to hit the mound for Philadelphia. Nola in 26 starts carries an ERA 3.43 plus WHIP 0.97. The righthander pitches to 28.2% strikeouts with 3.3% walks. Grounders at 43.4% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Marlins are on a seven game losing streak after getting swept in a three game series at Atlanta. Phillies return home after losing five of six on their trip out west. Past ten games Marlins hitting .188 against righthanders. Phillies bullpen in this period an ERA 5.59 but hitting .324 against lefthanders. Philadelphia 27-20 to the run line in their past 47 against a team that averages less the four runs per game. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Twins at Yankees—Joe Ryan starts for Minnesota. Ryan in 22 starts an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP 1.14. The righty fans 24.5% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 26.5% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Gerrit Cole the starter for NYY. Cole has 27 starts producing an ERA 3.28 plus WHIP 1.01. The veteran an elite strikeout rate of 31.3% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Yankees have won 17 of 18 at home to the Twins with their 5-2 win in the opener. Minnesota has lost four of five. Past ten games NYY hitting .154 against righthanders and Twins .237. Play Minnesota and NY Yankees under seven.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Blue Jays at Orioles—Mitch White the starter for Toronto. White has appeared in 20 games posting an ERA 4.67 and WHIP 1.39. The righthander strikes out 19.4% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.5% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.88 suggests a drop in ERA possible based on his performance. Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in seventeen starts carries an ERA 5.17 plus WHIP 1.47. The righty is striking out 22.2% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls at 44.7% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Blue Jays have won five straight and seven of eight after sweeping the Orioles in a doubleheader on Monday. Three straight losses for Baltimore. Bradish an ERA 6.29 at home with WHIP 1.74 and 2.23 home runs per nine innings. Past two starts White allowed thirteen earned runs in 9 2/3rd innings. Blue Jays 57-45 to the over when facing righthanded starters. Play Toronto and Baltimore over 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Reds at Cubs—Justin Dunn to start for Seattle. Dunn in five starts has an ERA 4.63 with WHIP 1.37. The righthander a strikeout mark of 19.2% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 29.9% with 2.70 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 6.92 indicates a rise in ERA based on these numbers. Wade Miley the starter for the Cubs. Miley in four starts carries an ERA 2.84 plus WHIP 1.21. The lefty pitches to contact with 15.2% strikeouts and 10.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.4% with no homers allowed. Reds win two of three at home to Colorado as they hit the road. Cubs return home losing seven of nine on their road trip. Past ten games Chicago hitting .214 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 8.48. In this period the Reds batting .274 against lefty’s. Reds 14-9 on the road when facing a losing team. Team record behind Dunn 7-0 past two seasons when facing a bad team with a .380 to .460 win percentage. Play Cincinnati +145.
Washington Nationals vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Nationals at Cardinals—Paolo Espino to start for Washington. Espino has 35 appearances posting an ERA 4.22 plus WHIP 1.29. The righty a strikeout mark of 18.5% with 4.7% walks. Grounders sit 38.7% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. Jose Quintana the stater for St Louis. Quintana in 26 starts carries an ERA 3.47 and WHIP 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 19.5% with 7.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.5% with limited home run damage. Nationals have won three straight and six of eight with their 6-0 win in the opener. Past ten games Nationals hitting .285 and Cardinals .212 against righthanders. In this period Washington bullpen an ERA 2.70. Nationals 10-11 for +13.3 units as a road underdog of +200 or greater. Play Washington +215.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Guardians at Royals—Shane Bieber to start for Cleveland. Bieber in 25 starts has an ERA 3.06 with WHIP 1.08. The righthander is striking out 25.8% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls 47.7% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Kris Bubic will start for KC. Bubic appeared in 23 games posting an ERA 5.47 with WHIP 1.67. The lefty a strikeout mark of 17.6% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 42% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Guardians broke their five game losing streak with their 6-5 win in the opener. Past ten games Cleveland hitting .188 against lefthanders. Team record behind Bieber 0-3 past three starts. Bubic has allowed three earned runs or less in seven of ten starts. Team record behind Bubic 11-4 at home against AL teams hitting .260 or worse. Royals are 19-12 coming off a day off past two seasons. Play Kansas City +172.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Rangers at Astros—Glenn Otto the starter for Texas. Otto started 21 games with an ERA 4.82 and WHIP 1.38. The righthander is striking out 17.9% with 12% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.7% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in 25 starts carries an ERA 2.63 along with WHIP 1.12. The lefthander strikes out 22.6% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 67% with limited home run damage. Rangers losing streak reaches nine with their 1-0 loss in the opener. Astros have won six of seven. Past ten games Astros batting .205 against righthanders with a bullpen ERA 1.00. Rangers 18-7 to the under on the road against winning teams. Astros 74-49 to the under against teams that average seven or greater strike outs per game. Play Houston and Texas under 8.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Brewers at Rockies—Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff in 21 starts posts an ERA 3.54 and WHIP 1.16. The righty strikes out 28.7% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit 35.9% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Chad Kuhl to start for Colorado. Kuhl has started 22 games with an ERA 5.19 plus WHIP 1.50. The righthander a strikeout mark of 17.4% with 9.6% walks. Grounders come in at 35.6% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. Milwaukee wins the opener of this series 6-4. Rockies have lost five straight and eight of ten. Kuhl 14-5 to the over when facing a winning team the past two seasons. Rockies are hitting .281 at home. Play Milwaukee and Colorado over 11.
Detroit Tigers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Tigers at Angels—Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez in eleven starts carries an ERA 4.17 with WHIP 1.41. The lefthander a strikeout rate of 19.5% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls sit 36.8% with 1 home run per nine innings. Mike Mayers to start for LAA. Mayers in 20 appearances carries an ERA 5.17 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander strikes out 21.3% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 29.1% with limited home run damage. A FIP 6.21 signals a rise in ERA with his numbers. Tigers have lost six of seven as they drop the opener of this series 10-0. LAA have won seven of ten. Detroit has been held to two runs or fewer in four of five. Past ten games Angels bullpen an ERA 1.32. Tigers 7-30 facing teams allowing 4.4 runs or fewer per game this season. Play LA Angels -145.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Diamondbacks at Padres—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly has 27 starts with an ERA 2.84 plus WHIP 1.11. The righthander a strikeout mark of 21.7% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.7% with limited home run damage. Joe Musgrove will start for San Diego. Musgrove in 24 starts posts an ERA 3.01 with WHIP 1.04. The veteran strikes out 24.7% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.1% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Arizona takes the opener of this series 5-0 and have won eight of ten. Padres have dropped three straight. Past ten games Arizona hitting .281 against righthanders and Padres bullpen an ERA 6.62. Team record behind Kelly 14-8 when facing a good team with win percentage .540 to .620. Padres 80-65 at home past two seasons with -23.6 units. Play Arizona +148.
Atlanta Braves vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Braves at Athletics—Kyle Wright the starter for Atlanta. Wright in 25 starts an ERA 2.85 plus WHIP 1.13. The righthander strikes out 24% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 54.3% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.49 indicates a rise in ERA possible based on these numbers. Cole Irvin to start for Oakland. Irvin has starts in 24 games producing an ERA 3.35 and WHIP 1.06. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 17.6% with 4.6% walks. Grounders at 38.4% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Atlanta hits the road after winning five of six on their home stand to losing teams. Athletics return home losing four of six at Baltimore and Washington. Oakland at home hit .201. Braves crush lefty’s on the road hitting .283. Braves 26-14 ton the run line on the road against lefthanders. Athletics 18-33 to the run line at home against good bullpen teams with a WHIP of 1.25 or better. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -130.
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
White Sox at Mariners—Johnny Cueto to start for Chicago. Cueto in nineteen appearances an ERA 2.93 and WHIP 1.17. The veteran pitches to contact with 15.7% strikeouts with 5.2% walks. Grounders at 44.6% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.87 suggests a rise in ERA based on this form. Logan Gilbert the starter for Seattle. Gilbert has 27 starts producing an ERA 3.35 with WHIP 1.21. The righthander strikes out 22% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.5% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. White Sox have won five of six with the 3-2 win in the opener. Team record behind Cueto 13-5 as an underdog of +100 or higher past two seasons. Cueto ERA 1.81 on the road with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Gilbert’s numbers not as good at home. Past ten games Seattle hitting .210. Play Chicago +130.
San Francisco Giants vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2022
Giants at Dodgers—Wei Chieh Huang expected starter for San Francisco. Huang has worked 5 2/3rd innings in MLB with Texas back in 2019. The righthander worked 52 1/3rd innings in Triple A this season compiling an ERA 4.47 and WHIP 1.44. Seven home runs with 65 strikeouts in these minor league appearances. Tyler Anderson the starter for LAD. Anderson in 25 appearances an ERA 2.68 and WHIP 1.02. The lefthander is striking out 19.5% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls served at 39.8% with limited home run damage. Giants have won four straight with their 7-4 win in the opener. LAD bullpen an ERA 2.19 past ten games. San Francisco 12-20 against good bullpen teams with ERA of 3.45 or better and 19-37 to the run line against the NL West division. Team record behind Anderson 9-2 to the run line when he faces a team batting .245 or worse this season. Play LA Dodgers run line -1.5 runs.