Free MLB Picks For Today 8/30/2022
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Orioles at Guardians—Spenser Watkins to start for Baltimore. Watkins in eighteen appearances an ERA 3.96 with WHIP 1.32. The righthander pitches to contact with 14.7% strikeouts with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.5% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill in 24 starts carries an ERA 3.59 plus WHIP 1.20. The righty a strikeout mark of 15.9% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 41% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Baltimore opened this trip winning two of three at Houston.
Guardians lose three of four at Seattle. Past ten games Guardians batting .206 against righthanders. Team record behind Watkins 8-3 against teams hitting .255 or worse. Orioles 17-10 as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Play Baltimore +135.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Rays at Marlins—Shane McClanahan the starter for the Rays. McClanahan has 24 starts posting an ERA 2.20 plus WHIP 0.86. The lefthander an elite strikeout mark of 32.5% with 5.4% walks. Grounders at 52.3% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Jesus Luzardo will start for Miami. Luzardo in 11 starts an ERA 3.34 and WHIP 1.01. The lefty is striking out 29.4% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.3% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. Tampa Bay has won seven of nine with the 12-4 win at Boston on Sunday.
Miami loses three of four at home to the LA Dodgers with the 3-2 defeat Monday. Past ten games Marlins batting .136 against lefthanders. Marlins 18-5 to the under in August. Play Tampa Bay and Miami under 6.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Athletics at Nationals—Cole Irvin will start for Oakland. Irvin in 23 starts carries an ERA 3.16 with WHIP 1.03. The lefthander is striking out 17.4% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls check in at 38.7% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Erick Fedde to start for Washington. Fedde started 20 games with an ERA 4.88 and WHIP 1.51. The righthander strikes out 17.8% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls served at 42.7% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals 20-46 at home. Athletics 8-3 facing teams that are getting outscored by 0.5 runs or greater this season. Play Oakland -105.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Cardinals at Reds—Dakota Hudson the starter for the Cardinals. Hudson started 23 games with an ERA 4.23 with WHIP 1.39. The righthander pitches to high contact with 13.7% strikeouts and 10.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.1% with limited home run damage.
Justin Dunn will start for Cincinnati. Dunn has four starts posting an ERA 5.12 and WHIP 1.50. The righty is striking out 17.9% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 28.1% with 2.79 home runs per nine innings. St Louis wins the opener of this series 13-4.
Past ten games Cardinals batting .309 against righthanders. Cardinals 28-15 against the run line facing a bad team with a .380 to .460 win percentage. They are 18-9 to the run line in August. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at -130.
Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Cubs at Blue Jays—Marcus Stroman will start for Chicago. Stroman in 18 starts an ERA 4.10 plus WHIP 1.22. The righty strikes out 20.9% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.5% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
Kevin Gausman starts for Toronto. Gausman has 24 starts producing an ERA 3.15 and WHIP 1.26. The veteran a strikeout mark of 27.7% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls served at 38.8% with limited home run damage. Toronto wins the opener of this series 5-4 to break a three game losing streak.
Cubs have lost three straight. Past ten games Cubs batting .184 against righthanders. Chicago 30-18 to the under as an underdog of +100 or higher on the season. Play Toronto and Chicago under eight.
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Mariners at Tigers—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in eighteen starts carries an ERA 3.32 with WHIP 1.20. The righthander a strikeout rate of 24.9% with 3.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.3% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Matt Manning the starter for Detroit. Manning started seven games with an ERA 2.37 plus WHIP 1.11. The righty strikes out 20.3% with 5.9% walks. A ground ball rate of 36.3% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Mariners hit the road winning three of four at home to Cleveland.
Tigers win two of three in Texas. Past ten games Seattle hitting .200 against righthanders. Detroit bats woke up past four games averaging eight runs per game. Tigers have returned +18.5 units at 38-41 as a home underdog of +125 or higher the past two season. Play Detroit +145.
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Rockies at Braves—Jose Urena will start for Colorado. Urena in fourteen appearances posts an ERA 5.98 with WHIP 1.67. The righthander pitches to high contact with an 11.6% strikeout mark with 11.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 50.2% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
Max Fried the starter for Atlanta. Fried started 24 games posting an ERA 2.52 and WHIP 1.02. The lefthander striking out 23% with 4.3% walks. Ground ball sit at 51.4% with limited home run damage. Rockies lost three of four at the Mets. Braves return home losing two of three in St Louis. Tough to back Urena here.
Rockies bullpen on the road an ERA 5.32. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -155. Braves 25-11 to the run line when facing a bad team with a .380 to .460 win percentage this season. Fried 34-20 to run line against teams striking out 7 or greater times past two season.
LA Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Dodgers at Mets—Andrew Heaney the starter for LAD. Heaney in nine starts an ERA 1.94 with WHIP 1.01. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 35.2% with 6.8% walks. Grounders sit 34% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.00 suggests a rise in ERA with his numbers.
Taijuan Walker starts for NYM. Walker has 22 starts carrying an ERA 3.38 and WHIP 1.20. The veteran strikes out 18.3% with 7.3% walks. His ground balls are 46.2% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. LAD win three of four at Miami to start this trip.
Mets win three of four at home to the Rockies and enter with an off day. Past ten games LAD hitting .304 with Mets .151 against lefthanders. Team record behind Walker 5-17 when facing winning teams the past two seasons. LAD 37-11 as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play LA Dodgers -130.
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Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Astros at Rangers—Framber Valdez gets the start for Houston. Valdez has started 24 games with an ERA 2.65 with WHIP 1.13. The lefty is striking out 22.4% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls are at 67.5% with 0.40 home runs per nine innings.
Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in 24 starts posts an ERA 4.19 plus WHIP 1.37. The righthander a 20% strikeout rate with 8.9% walks. Grounders at 54.5% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Astros drop two of three at home to Baltimore.
Texas lost two of three at home to Detroit giving up a total of 26 runs. Valdez in three starts against the Rangers allowed one runs in 20 innings. Dunning has pitched well against the Astros this year in two starts giving up two earned runs in 11 2/3rd innings. Dunning pitches better at home.
Houston 70-47 to the under facing a team that strikes out at least seven times per game this season. Astros 17-5 to the under favored by -125 to -175 on the road this season. Play Houston and Texas under 7.5.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Red Sox at Twins—Kutter Crawford the starter for the Red Sox. Crawford in 20 appearances an ERA 5.30 with WHIP 1.40. The righty strikes out 23% with 8% walks. Ground balls sit 32.1% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. His FIP 4.22 indicates a drop in ERA is possible based on these numbers.
Chris Archer the starter for Minnesota. Archer with 22 starts carries an ERA 4.34 and WHIP 1.30. The veteran strikes out 19.9% with 11% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.5% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
Twins have won all four on this home stand with the 4-2 win. Past ten games Red Sox bullpen ERA 6.28. Twins 11 games over .500 at home. Play Minnesota -135.
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Royals at White Sox—Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in 21 appearances has an ERA 3.15 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander a 25.6% strikeout rate with 6.2% walks. Ground balls served at 46.4% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
Lucas Giolito will start for Chicago. Giolito in 23 starts carries an ERA 5.14 with WHIP 1.50. The righty is striking out 25.3% with 8.6% walks. His grounders are 38.3% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.08 indicates a possible drop in ERA should these numbers hold. Royals drop two of three at home to San Diego.
White Sox have lost five of six after getting swept in a three game home series to the Diamondbacks. Past ten games White Sox bullpen an ERA 7.05. Singer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight of ten. Team record behind Singer 8-2 past ten starts. Play Kansas City +118.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Pirates at Brewers—Mitch Keller the starter for Pittsburgh. Keller has worked 24 games producing an ERA 4.50 and WHIP 1.48. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.7% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.5% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
Adrian Houser the primary pitcher for Milwaukee. Houser in sixteen starts carries an ERA 5.15 with WHIP 1.55. The righty is striking out 17.3% with 9.9% walks. Grounders sit at 46.9% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 4.23 suggests a drop in ERA is possible with his form.
Brewers have won three straight with the 7-5 win in the opener. Pirates have lost eight of nine. Brewers 12-2 to the run line against bad teams with a .380 win percentage of worse the past two seasons. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs +105.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Phillies at Diamondbacks—Aaron Nola the starter for Philadelphia. Nola in 25 starts an ERA 3.08 with WHIP 0.94. The righthander strikes out 28.5% with 3.4% walks. Grounders sit at 43.2% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
Zac Gallen will start for Arizona. Gallen started 24 games with an ERA 2.66 and WHIP 0.97. The righty is striking out 25.2% with 6.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.5% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Arizona wins the opener of this series 13-7.
Diamondbacks have won five of six. Past ten games Diamondbacks bullpen an ERA 7.71. Team record behind Nola 6-12 in his night games. Team record behind Gallen 9-3 at home. Play Arizona +120.
New York Yankees vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Yankees at Angels—Jameson Taillon the starter for NYY. Taillon has 25 starts with an ERA 3.89 and WHIP 1.13. The righthander is striking out 20.2% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.8% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
Mike Mayers will start for LAA. Mayers in nineteen appearances produces an ERA 4.46 plus WHIP 1.25. The righty strikes out 21.9% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 30% with 2.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 5.51 suggests a rise in ERA with these numbers.
Angels win the opener of this series 4-3. Three straight losses for NYY all against losing teams. Four straight wins for LAA. Past ten games Yankees hitting .205 against righthanders. Yankees 17-7 to the under in August. Play New York and LAA under 8.5.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2022
Padres at Giants—Blake Snell starts for San Diego. Snell in seventeen starts an ERA 4.24 plus WHIP 1.34. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 30.9% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 37% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP 3.14 suggests his ERA may drop if form holds.
Logan Webb the starter for San Francisco. Webb in has 26 starts posting an ERA 3.33 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander is striking out 19.9% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit 58.4% with limited home runs damage.
Padres win the opener of this series 6-5. Giants have lost five straight and nine of eleven. Past ten games Giants hitting .187. San Francisco 5-21 as an underdog of +100 to +150 on the season. Play San Diego -125.
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