Free MLB Picks For Today 8/23/2022
St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Cardinals at Cubs—Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis in Game 1. Wainwright in 24 starts carries an ERA 3.11 with WHIP 1.16. The righthander a strikeout rate of 20.2% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.2% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
Javier Assad expected starter in Game 1 for Chicago. Assad makes his MLB debut. In Triple A the righthander worked 36 2/3rd innings compiling an ERA 2.95 with WHIP 105 striking out 37.
Cardinals ran their win streak to eight straight with their 1-0 win in the opener. Past ten games Cubs hitting .214 against righthanders and Cardinals at .312. Take St Louis run line -1.5 runs in Game 1.
Matthew Liberatore the primary pitcher in Game 2. Liberatore in seven appearances has an ERA 5.33 with WHIP 1.74. The righthander a strikeout rate of 17.3% with 11% walks. Ground balls served at 35.6% with 1.67 home runs per nine innings.
Adrian Sampson in twelve appearances an ERA 3.51 with WHIP 1.25. The righty is striking out 19.4% with 6.5% walks. A ground ball rate of 40.1% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
Sampson has pitched well against the Cardinals the past two seasons allowing five earned runs in fifteen innings. Liberatore an ERA 7.98 with WHIP 2.18 in his road games. Cubs put up four earned runs with three homers in 3 1/3rd against Liberatore in early June. Take Chicago in Game 2.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Reds at Phillies—Nick Lodolo will start for Cincinnati. Lodolo in has started 11 games posting an ERA 4.12 and WHIP 1.57. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 28.7% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.6% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
Ranger Suarez expected starter for Philadelphia. Suarez in 21 starts has an ERA 3.31 with WHIP 1.29. The lefty is striking out 20.2% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 55.8% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Phillies win the opener of this series 4-1. Past ten games Phillies hitting .303 against lefthanders. Philadelphia 16-9 to the run line at home against a team with a poor bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Braves at Pirates—Max Fried the starter for the Braves. Fried in 23 starts an ERA 2.60 plus WHIP 1.05. The lefthander strikes out 22.9% with 4.3% walk rate. Ground balls dished at 51.1% with limited home run damage.
JT Brubaker to start for Pittsburgh. Brubaker started 23 games producing an ERA 4.19 with WHIP 1.43. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.2% with 8.6% walks. His ground balls come in at 43.9% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Braves win the opener of this series 2-1. Pirates have dropped eight of ten. Past ten games Atlanta bullpen an ERA 2.11.
Pirates 29th in hitting and 28th in scoring. Brubaker has allowed three earned runs or fewer in eight of ten starts. Play Atlanta and Pittsburgh under eight.
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
White Sox at Orioles—Dylan Cease to start for Chicago. Cease has 24 starts carrying an ERA 2.09 along with WHIP 1.17. The righty an elite strikeout rate of 32.3% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 41% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.87 suggests an increase in ERA based on these numbers.
Austin Voth expected starter for the Orioles. Voth appeared in 33 games with an ERA 4.86 along with WHIP 1.41. The righthander deals 21.2% strikeouts with 6.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.1% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.98 indicates a drop in ERA is possible if this form holds.
White Sox have lost four of five with their 6-4 defeat at KC. Orioles win two of three at home to Boston. Past ten games White Sox bullpen an ERA 5.79. Orioles 15-12 as an underdog of +125 or higher. Both numbers have been better as a starter and in a Baltimore uniform. Play Baltimore +125.
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Mets at Yankees—Taijuan Walker the starter for NYM. Walker in 21 starts an ERA 3.36 and WHIP 1.20. The veteran delivers 18.4% strikeouts with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.7% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings.
Frankie Montas expected to start for NYY. Montas started in 22 games posting an ERA 3.87 plus WHIP 1.21. The righthander is serving up 23.8% strikeouts with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.8% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees win the opener of this series 4-2. Past ten games Yankees batting .177 against righthanders. NYM 55-27 against righthanded starters this season. Mets have won 78% of the time after a defeat. Play NY Mets +102.
San Francisco Giants vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Giants at Tigers—Carlos Rodon to start for San Francisco. Rodon has 24 starts with an ERA 2.89 and WHIP 1.05. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 31.7% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.2% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 2.34 suggests a lowering of his ERA if this form holds.
Drew Hutchison the starter for Detroit. Hutchison has worked in 20 games posting an ERA 4.23 with WHIP 1.47. The righthander pitches to contact with 14.6% strikeouts and 10.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.8% with limited home run damage.
Giants enter play losing two of three in Colorado. Tigers take two of three at home to the Angels. Tigers under 60-38 against teams that strike out seven or more times per game. Play San Francisco and Detroit under 7.5.
LA Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Angels at Rays—Jose Suarez to start for LAA. Suarez has appeared in fifteen games with an ERA 4.12 with WHIP 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 22.6% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.9% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
Corey Kluber hits the mound for Tampa Bay. Kluber in 23 starts has an ERA 4.33 plus WHIP 1.17. The righty a strikeout mark of 21.7% with 3.5% walks. Ground ball rate is 36.7% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.45 suggests a decrease in ERA based on these numbers.
Rays win the opener of this series 2-1. Angels under in all four on this road trip. Past ten games LAA batting .192 against righthanders. Suarez 10-1 to the under when an underdog on the road of +100 or higher. Play LA Angels and Tampa Bay under seven.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Blue Jays at Red Sox—Ross Stripling to start for Toronto. Stripling logged 24 appearances carrying an ERA 2.93 with WHIP 1.03. The righthander pitches to 20.9% strikeouts with 4.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.1% with 0.61 home runs per nine innings.
Boston sends Josh Winckowski to the mound. Wincowski in twelve starts posts an ERA 5.19 and WHIP 1.50. The righty a contact pitcher with 13.5% strikeouts and 7.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 50.5% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
Blue Jays take three of four at the Yankees. Red Sox return home after losing two of three in Baltimore. Past ten games Blue Jays bullpen an ERA 1.72 and Red Sox 5.17. Red Sox 16-32 against the AL East with a bullpen ERA 5.02 and WHIP 1.43. Play Toronto -135.
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Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Twins at Astros—Aaron Sanchez to start for Minnesota. Sanchez in eight starts an ERA 7.68 with WHIP 1.68. The righthander pitches to contact with 14.7% strikeouts and 6.1% walks.
Ground balls served at 50.8% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.88 suggests a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold. He has thirteen starts in Triple A this season allowing 26 earned runs in 62 1/3rd innings of work striking out 43.
Justin Verlander to the mound for Houston. Verlander in 22 starts carries an ERA 1.95 and WHIP 0.88. The veteran a strikeout rate of 25% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls at 38.5% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
Twins enter play losing three of four at home to the Twins. They have played to under in eight of nine. Astros drop two of three in Atlanta.
Minnesota bullpen past five games an ERA 2.50. Verlander 13-4 to the under facing teams batting .255 or worse. Play Minnesota and Houston under 8.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Diamondbacks at Royals—Zach Davies the starter for Arizona. Davies in nineteen starts an ERA 3.99 with WHIP 1.22. The righthander is striking out 18.3% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.2% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
Jonathan Heasley the starter for KC. Heasley in thirteen starts posts an ERA 5.61 plus WHIP 1.56. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 16.5% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls at 36.2% with 1.92 home runs per nine innings.
Diamondbacks hit the road after getting pounded as they were swept in a three game home series to the Cardinals. KC comes off the 6-4 win at home to the White Sox. Past ten games Arizona batting .203 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA 6.91. KC has won 15 of 24 at home. Play Kansas City +105.
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Rangers at Rockies—Dane Dunning to start for the Rangers. Dunning in 23 starts carries an ERA 4.06 with WHIP 1.37. The righthander a 20.1% strikeout rate with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 54.3% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
German Marquez the starter for the Rockies. Marquez has 23 starts posting an ERA 5.05 and WHIP 1.43. The veteran deals 18.6% strikeouts with 8.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.3% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
Rangers win three of four in Minnesota. Rockies take two of three at home to the Giants. Rockies 42-21 at home against losing teams the past two seasons. Team record behind Dunning 1-10 on the road this season. Play Colorado -120.
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Guardians at Padres—Aaron Civale the starter for Cleveland. Civale in fourteen starts carries an ERA 5.63 with WHIP 1.34. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.7% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.6% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.71 suggests a lowering of his ERA based on these numbers.
Mike Clevinger the starter for San Diego. Clevinger has fifteen appearances posting an ERA 3.63 and WHIP 1.21. The righty strikes out 21% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls at 35% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians split a two game home series against the White Sox and enter with two days off after a rainout on Sunday. Padres split a four game series at home to the Nationals scoring a total of eight runs. Past ten games Padres hitting .218 against righthanders with bullpen ERA 2.15.
Guardians pen in this spa an ERA 1.98. Guardians 7-1 in their road interleague games this season. Team record 13-5 in Civale’s past eighteen road starts. Padres 16-37 facing teams with good bullpens with ERA of 3.45 or better the past two seasons. Play Cleveland +130.
Miami Marlins vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Marlins at Athletics—Pablo Lopez will start for Miami. Lopez started 24 games producing an ERA 3.83 and WHIP 1.17. The righthander a strikeout mark of 23.8% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.6% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
Zach Logue to start for Oakland. Logue appeared in ten games with an ERA 6.35 with WHIP 1.50. The lefthander pitches to contact with 15.3% strikeouts with 8.4% walks. Ground balls served at 28% with 1.99 home runs per nine innings.
Marlins win the opener of this series 3-0. Past ten games Marlins batting .181 against lefthanders and Athletics .224 against righty’s. Miami 15-2 to the under in August. Play Miami and Oakland under 7.5.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Brewers at Dodgers—Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes in 24 starts has an ERA 2.48 plus WHIP 0.93. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 32% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.4% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
Tony Gonsolin takes the mound for LAD. Gonsolin in 22 starts carries an ERA 2.12 with WHIP 0.86. The righty is striking out 24% with 7% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.9% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.34 indicates a possible rise in ERA with these numbers. Milwaukee wins the opener of this series 4-0.
Past ten games Milwaukee hitting .168 against righthanders and Dodgers .290. LAD 16-4 when favored at home by -125 to -175 this season. Team record behind Gonsolin 18-3 against teams that average 7 or greater strikeouts per game. Play LA Dodgers -145.
Washington Nationals vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 8/23/2022
Nationals at Mariners—Erick Fedde the starter for Washington. Fedde has started nineteen games posting an ERA 4.95 with WHIP 1.54. The righthander strikes out 17.1% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.6% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
Robbie Ray will get the start for Seattle. Ray in 24 starts displays an ERA 3.87 and WHIP 1.20. The veteran deals 28.5% strikeouts with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.9% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals split a four game series in San Diego. Mariners drop two of three in Oakland. Seattle bullpen rested and have covered the run line in 10 of 11 following an off day. Nationals 53-70 to the run line this season. Play Seattle on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
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