Free MLB Picks For Today 8/18/2022
Colorado Rockies vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Rockies at Cardinals—Antonio Senzatela to start for Colorado. Senzatela in eighteen starts carries an ERA of 4.67 with WHIP 1.65. The righthander pitches to contact with 12.9% strikeouts and 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 49.2% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
Adam Wainwright to start for St Louis. Wainwright an ERA 3.27 and WHIP 1.19 starting 23 games. The veteran a strikeout rate of 19.8% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 45.3% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
Cardinals have won both games of this series with their 5-1 win. Four straight losses for the Rockies. St Louis has covered the run line in 23 of 35 against bad teams with a .380 to .460 win percentage this season.
Rockies team record 6-14 to the run line behind Senzatela in road games the past two seasons. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Athletics at Rangers—Zach Logue to start for Oakland. Logue in nine appearances has an ERA 5.49 and WHIP 1.44. The lefthander a contact pitcher with 16% strikeouts and 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 26.7% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings.
Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning has 22 starts posting an ERA 4.12 with WHIP 1.38. The righthander a strikeout mark of 20.3% with 9.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 53.9% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
Athletics have won both games of this series with their 7-2 win on Wednesday. Logue has allowed two earned runs in two of his past three starts. Play Oakland +165.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Astros at White Sox—Luis Garcia to start for Houston. Garcia in 21 starts an ERA 4.03 and WHIP 1.13. The righthander is striking out 25.4% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.8% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
Lucas Giolito will start for Chicago. Giolito started 21 games carrying an ERA 4.92 with WHIP 1.49. The righty strike outs 25.8% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 37.3% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.10 suggests a drop in ERA if these numbers hold.
Astros have won one of the three in this series after their 3-2 win. This broke the White Sox five game win streak. Astros have won 27 of 40 against winning teams this season and have won 32 of 46 when favored -100 to -150 this season. Giolito an ERA 5.86 with 1.42 home runs per nine innings at home this season. Play Houston -125.
LA Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Dodgers at Brewers—Andrew Heaney to start for LAD. Heaney in seven starts an ERA 1.16 and WHIP 1.00. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 32.3% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.6% with minimal home run damage.
Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has 23 starts posting an ERA 2.39 and WHIP 0.92. The righty an elite strikeout rate of 32.3% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.3% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.04 suggests an increase in ERA if these numbers hold.
LAD has won two of three in this series after their 2-1 win. Past ten games Brewers batting .180 as a team with Dodgers bullpen an ERA 2.31.
LAD under in 37 of 59 on the road against winning teams. Dodgers under in 11 of 14 when favored as -100 to -150 on the road. Play LA Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers under 7.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Cubs at Orioles—Adrian Sampson to start for Chicago. Sampson has worked in 11 games with an ERA 3.88 and WHIP 1.27. The righthander a strikeout mark of 18.7% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.9% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Spenser Watkins the starter for Baltimore. Watkins in sixteen appearances has an ERA 4.23 with WHIP 1.37. The righty pitches to contact with 14.7% strikeouts and 7% walks. Ground balls served at 38.8% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
Cubs win two of three in Washington off their 3-2 win. Orioles did take two of three in Toronto. Chicago 17-38 against teams with good bullpens that perform with a WHIP of 1.25 or better on the season. Play Baltimore -150.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Diamondbacks at Giants—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in 22 starts carries an ERA 2.94 with WHIP 0.99. The righthander a strikeout rate of 24% with 7% walks. Ground balls served at 48.6% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Logan Webb the starter for the Giants. Webb has started 24 games posting an ERA 3.00 and WHIP 1.13. The righty is striking out 20.4% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 58.2% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Giants had their five game win streak snapped in a 3-2 loss on Wednesday.
Team record behind Webb 23-6 at home against teams that hit .245 or worse on the season and 21-3 as a -110 home favorite or higher. Diamondbacks 3-28 on the road against a good NL starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Play San Francisco -140.
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Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Red Sox at Pirates—Josh Winckowski to start for Boston. Winckowski in eleven starts an ERA 4.69 and WHIP 1.49. The righthander a strikeout mark of 13.9% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 51.1% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
JT Brubaker the starter for Pittsburgh. Brubaker has 22 starts with an ERA 4.45 with WHIP 1.50. The righty is striking out 22.9% with 9% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.6% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox take the first two in this series after their 8-3 victory.
Pirates have lost eight of nine. Past ten games Pittsburgh batting .197 against righthanders. Red Sox 17-3 to the run line on the road against NL teams giving up 4.5 runs per game or greater. They are also 8-0 to the run line against NL teams averaging 4 runs or less per game. Play Boston on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Blue Jays at Yankees—Jose Berrios the starter for Toronto. Berrios in 23 starts carries an ERA 5.61 and WHIP 1.39. The righthander strikes out 20.3% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.2% with 1.92 home runs per nine innings.
Frankie Montas the starter for NYY. Montas has 21 starts with an ERA 3.59 with WHIP 1.19. The righty a strikeout mark of 24.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.1% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Blue Jays had lost six of seven until their 6-1 win on Wednesday against Baltimore at home.
Yankees broke a three game losing streak after their 8-7 win against the Rays. Berrios on the road an ERA 7.50 with 2.50 home runs allowed per nine innings. Play NYY -140.
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Royals at Rays—Carlos Hernandez to start for KC. Hernandez in nine appearances posts an ERA 9.08 with WHIP 2.10. The righthander pitches to contact with 12% strikeouts and 12% walks. Ground balls served at 41.2% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
Shane McClanahan the starter for Tampa Bay. McClanahan has 22 starts with an ERA 2.28 and WHIP 0.87. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 32.2% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.6% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
Royals get swept in a three game series in Minnesota scoring a total of two runs. Rays take two of three at the Yankees. Past ten games KC bullpen an ERA 6.16 with WHIP 1.53. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Mets at Braves—Jacob deGrom to start for NYM. deGrom in three starts allowed three earned runs with 28 strikeouts and one walk over 16 2/3rd innings. In this short sample ground balls dealt at 40.7% with limited home run damage.
Max Fried the starter for Atlanta. Fried has 22 starts carrying an ERA 2.60 and WHIP 1.08. The veteran is striking out 22.9% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.5% with minimal home run damage.
Mets have won one of three in this series after their 9-7 win on Thursday. This broke the Braves eight game win streak. Team record behind Fried 31-11 in his past 42 second half of the season starts. Play Atlanta.
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 8/18/2022
Nationals at Padres—Anibal Sanchez to start for Washington. Sanchez has six starts posting an ERA 7.20 and WHIP 1.60. The veteran pitches to contact with 16.3% strikeouts with 10.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.1% with 3.00 home runs per nine innings.
Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in 22 starts an ERA 3.40 with WHIP 1.01. The righthander strikes out 25% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Nationals hit the road after losing four of six on their home stand. Padres split their six game road trip in Miami and Washington. N
ationals bullpen on the road an ERA 5.51 with WHIP 1.50. Washington have hit righthanders well on the road. Darvish 18-8 to the over when favored by -150 or greater.
Washington 40-23 to the over when facing good teams with .540 to .620 win percentage. Play Washington and San Diego over 7.5.
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