Free MLB Picks For Today 8/9/2022
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
White Sox at Royals—Lance Lynn will start for Chicago in Game 1. Lynn in ten starts has an ERA of 5.87 with WHIP 1.29. The righthander a strikeout rate of 24.4% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls served at 42.6% with 1.94 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.43 suggests a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold to form.
Brady Singer expected starter for KC. Singer in seventeen appearances holds an ERA 3.67 and WHIP 1.10. The righthander strikes out 25.4% with 5.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.9% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
White Sox past ten games hitting .278 against righthanders and bullpen ERA 2.25. That is outperforming the Royals. Lynn held KC to one run striking out eight in his last start working six innings. Play Chicago in Game 1.
Davis Martin expected starter in Game 2 for Chicago. Martin in seven appearances an ERA 4.75 with WHIP 1.29. The righthander strikes out 18% with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.7% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
KC sends Jonathan Heasley in Game 2. Heasley started twelve posting an ERA 5.82 and WHIP 1.56. The righty a strikeout mark of 16.1% with 11% walk rate.
Ground balls sit at 35.7% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. Heasley walks, contact and home runs concern as is the bullpen supporting him. Play Chicago in Game 2.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Blue Jays at Orioles—Starting for Toronto is Alek Manoah. The righthander an ERA of 2.45 and WHIP 0.99 in 21 starts. Manoah produces a strikeout rate of 22.5% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 38% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.42 suggesting an increase in ERA with these numbers.
Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in twelve starts carries an ERA 6.55 with WHIP 1.65. The righthander deals 22.8% strikeouts with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.5% with 1.92 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 5.15 indicates a drop in ERA if this form holds.
Orioles have won six of seven winning the opener of this series 7-4. Blue Jays have lost three of four. Bradish has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of six starts.
Manoah under in nine of ten facing teams averaging 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Blue Jays under in 34 of 54 against the AL East. Play Baltimore and Toronto under 8.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Braves at Red Sox—Charlie Morton the starter for Atlanta. Morton in 21 starts carries an ERA 4.09 with WHIP 1.21. The veteran is striking out 27.2% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 38.5% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
Rich Hill expected to throw for Boston. Hills in sixteen starts posts an ERA 4.52 and WHIP 1.32. The lefthander is striking out 18.8% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.4% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
Braves lost four of five at the Mets to open this series. Red sox drop three of four at KC with the pitching staff struggling. Morton 9-1 to the over in night games.
Morton’s road numbers poor with an ERA 4.82. Hill has got crushed at home with an ERA 6.83 and WHIP 1.59. Past five games Braves bullpen an ERA 5.29. Play Atlanta and Boston over 9.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Guardians at Tigers—Shane Bieber will start for Cleveland. Bieber has 20 starts posting an ERA 3.39 with WHIP 1.11. The righthander strikes out 25.1% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.9% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Tyler Alexander the starter for Detroit. Alexander in sixteen appearances has an ERA 4.04 plus WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander pitches to contact with 13.6% strikeouts and 5.7% walks. Ground balls at 37.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
Guardians split a four game series at home to Houston. Tigers have lost seven of nine after dropping three of four at home to the Rays. Detroit batting .204 past ten games with bullpen ERA 4.95.
Guardians bullpen in great form in this period with ERA 2.17. Tigers under in 39 of 60 against AL teams allowing 4.4 runs or fewer. Bieber under in 20 of 28 at night. Play Cleveland and Detroit under 7.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Reds at Mets—Mike Minor the starter for Cincinnati. Minor in 11 starts carries an ERA of 6.19 with WHIP 1.57. The lefty is striking out 19.5% with 9.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 29.4% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings.
Carlos Carrasco will throw for New York. Carrasco has started 21 games posting an ERA 3.82 and WHIP 1.28. The veteran strikes out 23.7% with 6.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 46.7% and 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
NYM have won eight of ten after winning the opener of this series 5-1. Past ten games Mets hitting .309 and Reds .227. Team record behind Carrasco 11-4 against NL teams with a team batting average of .255 or worse. Minor 2-9 to the run line this season. Play New York Mets on run line -1.5 runs at -144.
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Nationals at Cubs—Paolo Espino the starter for Washington. Espino has worked 30 games posting an ERA 4.20 with WHIP 1.27. The righthander a strikeout number of 17.8% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.9% with 1.91 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.96 signaling a rise in ERA if these numbers hold.
Marcus Stroman to start for Chicago. Stroman in fourteen starts an ERA 4.00 with WHIP 1.14. The veteran strikes out 22.4% with 5.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.8% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
Nationals have lost eight of nine losing 6-3 to the Cubs in the opener of this series. Cubs have won three of four on this home stand.
Stroman an ERA of 7.94 at home and Espino past two starts allowed nine earned runs in 8 2/3rd innings with four homers. Play Washington and Chicago over 8.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Marlins at Phillies—Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett in eleven starts has an ERA 3.88 and WHIP 1.16. The lefthander is striking out 27% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 46.2% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.04 suggests a lowering of his ERA if these numbers hold.
Zack Wheeler the starter for Philadelphia. Wheeler has twenty starts posting an ERA of 2.69 with WHIP 1.01. The veteran a strikeout mark of 27% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.4% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Miami has dropped seven of nine after losing two of three at the Cubs.
Phillies have won nine of ten sweeping the Nationals at home in a four game series. Past ten games Marlins hitting .208 against righthanders and Phillies .304 against lefty’s.
Phillies covered the run line in 15 of 22 when their -1.5 run line odds were +135 to -190 on the year. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at -110.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Rays at Brewers—Ryan Yarbrough the primary starter for Tampa Bay. Yarbrough in twelve appearances posts an ERA of 4.89 and WHIP 1.35. The lefty pitches to contact with 15% strikeouts and 6% walks. Grounders at 33.7% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
Brandon Woodruff to start for Milwaukee. Woodruff has sixteen starts with an ERA 3.49 with WHIP 1.19. The righthander a strikeout mark of 29.4% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.1% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.79 indicates a possible drop in ERA if these numbers hold.
Rays win three of four at Detroit over the weekend. Brewer have lost six of seven after losing two of three at home to Cincinnati. Past ten games Brewers hitting .219 against lefthanders and Rays .224 against righthanders.
Rays bullpen in good form. Woodruff under in 33 of 48 in the second half of the season in his career. Play Tampa Bay and Milwaukee under eight.
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Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Rangers at Astros—Martin Perez to start for Texas. Perez in 21 starts carries an ERA 2.47 and WHIP 1.16. The lefty strikes out 21.6% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 52.6% with limited home run damage.
Jose Urquidy the starter for Houston. Urquidy posts 20 starts recording an ERA of 3.62 and WHIP 1.15. The righthander a strikeout mark of 19% with 5.1% walks. Ground ball dished at 35.6% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
Rangers split a four game home series with the White Sox. Astros split a four game series at Cleveland. Texas under in 13 of 17 on the road against winning teams.
Astros under in 24 of 35 against a good starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. Also under in 28 of 39 after a loss. Play Houston and Texas under 8.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Cardinals at Rockies—Miles Mikolas the starter for St Louis. Mikolas in twenty starts posts an ERA 2.92 and WHIP 1.01. The righthander is striking out 19.3% with 4.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.1% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.68 does suggest an increase in ERA if this form holds.
Ryan Feltner the starter for Colorado. Feltner in nine appearances registers an ERA 5.75 with WHIP 1.45. The righty is striking out 20.8% with 6% walks. Grounders come in at 43.8% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.51 indicating a drop in ERA if these numbers hold.
Cardinals have won nine of ten after sweeping a three game home series against the Yankees. Rockies return home losing six of eight on their road trip.
Past ten games Cardinals bullpen an ERA 2.67 and Rockies 6.83. St Louis cover the run line in 21 of 30 against a bad team win percentage of .380 to .460. Play St Louis on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
LA Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Angels at Athletics—Shohei Ohtani the starter for LAA. Ohtani in eighteen starts posts an ERA 2.83 with WHIP 1.04. The righthander an elite strikeout mark of 35.9% with 5.7% walks. Grounders sit at 39.4% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
James Kaprielian the starter for Oakland. Kaprielian has seventeen starts with an ERA 4.32 and WHIP 1.29. The righty pitches to contact with 15.7% strikeouts and 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.2% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.20 suggests an increase in ERA with these numbers.
Angels take the opener of this series 1-0. Athletics have dropped seven of eight. LAA hitting .216 at home to righthanders and Oakland .206 on the road against righthanders.
Angels bullpen in this span an ERA of 2.58. Past six starts Kaprielian has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of those games.
Past three starts against the Angels, Kaprielian allowed one earned run in 17 1/3rd innings and team record 8-3 in his past eleven starts against a losing team. Play Oakland +155.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Pirates at Diamondbacks—Zach Thompson to start for Pittsburgh. Thompson in nineteen appearances carries an ERA 5.15 with WHIP 1.46. The righthander pitches to contact with 15.9% strikeouts and 8.8% walks. Ground balls served at 46.8% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings.
Tommy Henry the starter for Arizona. Henry in his lone start allowed four earned runs with three strikeouts in five innings. He started 20 in Triple A Compiling an ERA 3.83 and WHIP 1.34. Arizona has won three of four on this home stand winning 3-0 against the Pirates in the opener of this series.
Pirates have lost 35 of 55 on the road. Past ten games Pittsburgh hitting .213 against lefthanders with a bullpen ERA of 2.28. Arizona pen in this period an ERA 3.03. Pirates under in 18 of 24 in road NL teams that bat .245 or worse. Play Pittsburgh and Arizona under 9.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Giants at Padres—Alex Cobb the starter for San Francisco. Cobb in seventeen starts carries an ERA 4.08 with WHIP 1.27. The veteran a strikeout mark of 24.9% with 7% walks. Ground balls served at 62.2% with limited home run damage.
Joe Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove started nineteen posting an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP 1.02. The righthander strikes out 25% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.2% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
Giants have won three straight on this road trip winning the opener of this series 1-0. It is a five game losings streak for San Diego who has scored a total of seven runs.
Giants as an underdog of +150 or greater has won 14 of 23. San Francisco has won five of six against teams other than the Dodgers. Play San Francisco +150.
Minnesota Twins vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Twins at Dodgers—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan has seventeen starts with an ERA 3.67 and WHIP 1.08. The righthander strikes out 23.9% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 29% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings.
Julio Urias to start for LAD. Urias in twenty one starts carries an ERA of 2.57 with WHIP 0.99. The lefty a strikeout rate of 23.8% with 5.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.9% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.64 indicates a rise in ERA is possible with these numbers.
Twins split a four game home series with Toronto. Eight straight wins for the Dodgers covering the run line in each win. Past ten games Twins hitting .212 against lefthanders and LAD .280 against righthanders.
In this period Dodgers bullpen an ERA 1.25. Dodgers have covered the run line in 35 of 53 against an AL Team hits .255 or worse. Play LA Dodgers on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2022
Yankees at Mariners—Gerrit Cole to start for NYY. Cole has 22 starts posting an ERA of 3.56 and WHIP 1.04. The righthander an elite strikeout rate of 32.4% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.9% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in fifteen starts has an ERA 2.95 with WHIP 1.09. The traded player does strikeout 26.1% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.6% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
Yankees broke their five game losing streak winning 9-4 in the opener of this series. Mariners have lost five of nine. Team record 6-0 in Castillo’s past six starts.
The righthander faced the Yankees twice this year allowing four earned runs in 13 2/3rd innings with teams win in each game. Cole past three starts allowed fifteen runs fourteen earned in 18 innings. Play Seattle +116.
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